{
 "slug": "tx-21-house-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "title": "TX-21 House Election Margin of Victory",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/tx-21-house-margin-of-victory-2026/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/tx-21-house-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-27T12:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 20493.05,
 "volume_24h": 688.58,
 "liquidity": 86771.31,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Republican 10-15%",
   "probability": 0.355,
   "change_24h": 0.095,
   "volume": 4605.78,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 5-10%",
   "probability": 0.3,
   "change_24h": -0.045,
   "volume": 6469.66,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 15-20%",
   "probability": 0.18,
   "change_24h": 0.01,
   "volume": 4164.46,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 0-5%",
   "probability": 0.105,
   "change_24h": 0.0125,
   "volume": 1427.5,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 20-25%",
   "probability": 0.0645,
   "change_24h": 0.0005,
   "volume": 1193.1,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 30%+",
   "probability": 0.048,
   "change_24h": -0.002,
   "volume": 800.33,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat Wins",
   "probability": 0.0095,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 983.14,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 25-30%",
   "probability": 0.006,
   "change_24h": -0.001,
   "volume": 849.08,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Republican 10-15%": [
   [
    1790553632,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790596817,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1790640018,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790683220,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790726420,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790769619,
    0.3
   ],
   [
    1790812821,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1790856020,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1790899219,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1790942419,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1790985623,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1791028820,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791072019,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1791115221,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791158423,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791201622,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791244822,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791288025,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791331225,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791374438,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791417638,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791460848,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791504039,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791547240,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791590426,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1791633632,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1791676832,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1791720032,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1791763242,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1791806429,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1791849635,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1791892832,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1791936033,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1791979244,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1792022449,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1792065634,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1792108834,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1792152035,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1792195240,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1792238435,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1792324848,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1792368033,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1792411232,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1792454433,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1792497635,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1792540835,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1792584035,
    0.33
   ],
   [
    1792670435,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1792713651,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1792756836,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1792800047,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1792929633,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1793016028,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1793059252,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1793102444,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1793107222,
    0.34
   ]
  ],
  "Republican 5-10%": [
   [
    1790553636,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790596822,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790640024,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1790683227,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1790726425,
    0.47
   ],
   [
    1790769625,
    0.405
   ],
   [
    1790812828,
    0.38
   ],
   [
    1790856027,
    0.38
   ],
   [
    1790899226,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1790942425,
    0.35
   ],
   [
    1790985629,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1791028827,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1791072025,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1791115228,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1791158430,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1791201630,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1791244829,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1791288033,
    0.35
   ],
   [
    1791331234,
    0.35
   ],
   [
    1791590435,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1791633641,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1791676843,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1791720043,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1791763252,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1791806440,
    0.415
   ],
   [
    1791849647,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1791892845,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1791936045,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1791979258,
    0.37
   ],
   [
    1792065652,
    0.35
   ],
   [
    1792108849,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1792152051,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1792195256,
    0.36
   ],
   [
    1792238453,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1792368049,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1792411249,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1792454449,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1792497652,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1792540854,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1792584055,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1792670454,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1792756852,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1792886411,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1792929649,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1793016040,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1793107225,
    0.3
   ]
  ],
  "Republican 15-20%": [
   [
    1790553636,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1790596821,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1790640023,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1790683226,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1790726425,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1790769624,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1790812827,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1790856026,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1790899225,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1790942424,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1790985628,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1791028826,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1791072024,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1791115227,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1791158429,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1791201629,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1791244828,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1791288032,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1791331232,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1791417657,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1791590433,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1791633640,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1791676841,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1791720042,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1791763251,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1791806438,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1791849645,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1791892843,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1791936044,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1791979256,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1792065650,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1792108847,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1792152049,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1792195254,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1792238450,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1792368047,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1792411247,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1792454447,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1792497650,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1792540851,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1792584053,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1792670452,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1792756850,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1792800059,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1792886408,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1792929647,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1793016038,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1793107225,
    0.18
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/tx-21-house-margin-of-victory-2026/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/tx-21-house-margin-of-victory-2026/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}
