{
 "slug": "tx-24-house-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "title": "TX-24 House Election Margin of Victory",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/tx-24-house-margin-of-victory-2026/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/tx-24-house-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-25T00:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 20588.28,
 "volume_24h": 954.68,
 "liquidity": 98296.23,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Republican 3-6%",
   "probability": 0.185,
   "change_24h": -0.02,
   "volume": 3553.15,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 6-9%",
   "probability": 0.1665,
   "change_24h": 0.004,
   "volume": 2622.48,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 9-12%",
   "probability": 0.165,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 6832.15,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 21%+",
   "probability": 0.115,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1664.98,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 12-15%",
   "probability": 0.11,
   "change_24h": 0.015,
   "volume": 3254.1,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 0-3%",
   "probability": 0.052,
   "change_24h": -0.0675,
   "volume": 554.58,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 0-3%",
   "probability": 0.05,
   "change_24h": -0.064,
   "volume": 598.8,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 15-18%",
   "probability": 0.046,
   "change_24h": -0.006,
   "volume": 813.96,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 18-21%",
   "probability": 0.0375,
   "change_24h": -0.006,
   "volume": 166.71,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 3%+",
   "probability": 0.0235,
   "change_24h": -0.0165,
   "volume": 527.38,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Republican 3-6%": [
   [
    1790337620,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790380820,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1790424019,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1790467219,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790510419,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1790553633,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1790596819,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1790640020,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790683222,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790726422,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1790769621,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1790812823,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1790856022,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1790899222,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1790942421,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1790985625,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1791028823,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1791072021,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1791115223,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1791158426,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1791201625,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1791244824,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1791288028,
    0.055
   ],
   [
    1791331228,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1791374446,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1791417645,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1791460856,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1791504048,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1791547248,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1791590429,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1791633635,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1791676836,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1791720036,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1791763246,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1791806433,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1791849639,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1791892837,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1791936038,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1791979249,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1792022454,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1792065640,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1792108839,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1792152041,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1792195246,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1792238441,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1792324854,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1792368038,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1792411238,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1792454438,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1792497641,
    0.08
   ],
   [
    1792540842,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1792584042,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1792670442,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1792713658,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1792756842,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1792800052,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1792891005,
    0.175
   ]
  ],
  "Republican 6-9%": [
   [
    1790337622,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790380821,
    0.2425
   ],
   [
    1790424020,
    0.2235
   ],
   [
    1790467221,
    0.227
   ],
   [
    1790510421,
    0.2385
   ],
   [
    1790553635,
    0.229
   ],
   [
    1790596820,
    0.2325
   ],
   [
    1790640022,
    0.2265
   ],
   [
    1790683224,
    0.214
   ],
   [
    1790726423,
    0.218
   ],
   [
    1790769623,
    0.1715
   ],
   [
    1790812826,
    0.204
   ],
   [
    1790856025,
    0.218
   ],
   [
    1790899224,
    0.181
   ],
   [
    1790942423,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1790985627,
    0.0925
   ],
   [
    1791028825,
    0.0925
   ],
   [
    1791072023,
    0.0925
   ],
   [
    1791115225,
    0.0925
   ],
   [
    1791158428,
    0.0975
   ],
   [
    1791201627,
    0.1185
   ],
   [
    1791244826,
    0.1195
   ],
   [
    1791288031,
    0.0765
   ],
   [
    1791331231,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1791374454,
    0.1895
   ],
   [
    1791417652,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1791504056,
    0.1865
   ],
   [
    1791547256,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1791590432,
    0.1505
   ],
   [
    1791633638,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1791676839,
    0.1985
   ],
   [
    1791720040,
    0.1865
   ],
   [
    1791763249,
    0.187
   ],
   [
    1791806436,
    0.174
   ],
   [
    1791849643,
    0.169
   ],
   [
    1791892841,
    0.172
   ],
   [
    1791936042,
    0.172
   ],
   [
    1791979253,
    0.168
   ],
   [
    1792022459,
    0.182
   ],
   [
    1792065646,
    0.1805
   ],
   [
    1792108844,
    0.1795
   ],
   [
    1792152046,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1792195251,
    0.1865
   ],
   [
    1792238447,
    0.1865
   ],
   [
    1792324859,
    0.183
   ],
   [
    1792368043,
    0.1825
   ],
   [
    1792411243,
    0.183
   ],
   [
    1792454444,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1792497647,
    0.178
   ],
   [
    1792540848,
    0.177
   ],
   [
    1792584049,
    0.1755
   ],
   [
    1792670448,
    0.1815
   ],
   [
    1792756846,
    0.1815
   ],
   [
    1792800056,
    0.1625
   ],
   [
    1792886405,
    0.167
   ],
   [
    1792891006,
    0.1675
   ]
  ],
  "Republican 9-12%": [
   [
    1790337619,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1790380819,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1790424018,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1790467219,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1790510418,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1790553633,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1790596818,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1790640019,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1790683221,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1790726421,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1790769621,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1790812823,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1790856022,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1790899221,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1790942420,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1790985624,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1791028822,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1791072020,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1791115223,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1791158425,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1791201624,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1791244823,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1791288027,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1791331227,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1791374443,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1791417643,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1791460853,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1791504044,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1791547245,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1791590428,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1791633634,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1791676835,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1791720035,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1791763245,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1791806431,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1791849638,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1791892835,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1791936036,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1791979247,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1792022452,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1792065638,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1792108838,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1792152038,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1792195244,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1792238439,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1792324852,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1792368036,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1792411236,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1792454436,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1792497639,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1792540840,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1792584039,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1792670440,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1792713656,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1792756840,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1792800050,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1792891005,
    0.165
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/tx-24-house-margin-of-victory-2026/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/tx-24-house-margin-of-victory-2026/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}