{
 "slug": "tx-36-house-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "title": "TX-36 House Election Margin of Victory",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/tx-36-house-margin-of-victory-2026/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/tx-36-house-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-26T12:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 20234.1,
 "volume_24h": 677.19,
 "liquidity": 86957.05,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Republican 15-20%",
   "probability": 0.23,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 8097.44,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 10-15%",
   "probability": 0.22,
   "change_24h": -0.04,
   "volume": 3760.0,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 5-10%",
   "probability": 0.2155,
   "change_24h": -0.0575,
   "volume": 1291.19,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 20-25%",
   "probability": 0.18,
   "change_24h": -0.16,
   "volume": 2982.14,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 30%+",
   "probability": 0.0705,
   "change_24h": 0.007,
   "volume": 1481.42,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 25-30%",
   "probability": 0.068,
   "change_24h": -0.008,
   "volume": 680.08,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat Wins",
   "probability": 0.067,
   "change_24h": 0.016,
   "volume": 1110.61,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 0-5%",
   "probability": 0.0345,
   "change_24h": 0.015,
   "volume": 831.22,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Republican 15-20%": [
   [
    1790467215,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1790510415,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1790553630,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1790596815,
    0.38
   ],
   [
    1790640016,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1790683218,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1790726418,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1790769617,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1790812819,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1790856018,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1790899217,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1790942417,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1790985621,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1791028818,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1791072017,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1791115219,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1791158420,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1791201619,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791244819,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791288022,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791331222,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791374430,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791417630,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1791460839,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1791504030,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1791547230,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1791590423,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1791633628,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1791676828,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1791720028,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1791763239,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1791806424,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1791849630,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1791892827,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1791936028,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1791979239,
    0.39
   ],
   [
    1792022443,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1792065628,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1792108828,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1792152029,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1792195234,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1792238428,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1792281654,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1792324842,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1792368027,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1792411226,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1792454426,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1792497628,
    0.33
   ],
   [
    1792540828,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1792584028,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1792670428,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1792713644,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1792756831,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1792800042,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1792929627,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1793016023,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1793020708,
    0.23
   ]
  ],
  "Republican 10-15%": [
   [
    1790467221,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1790510421,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1790553635,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1790596820,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1790640022,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1790683224,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1790726423,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1790769623,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1790812825,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1790856024,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1790899223,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1790942423,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1790985627,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1791028825,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1791072023,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1791115225,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1791158428,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1791201627,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1791244826,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1791288030,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1791331230,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1791374454,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1791417652,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1791504055,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1791547256,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1791590432,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1791633638,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1791676839,
    0.35
   ],
   [
    1791720040,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1791763249,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1791806436,
    0.36
   ],
   [
    1791849643,
    0.36
   ],
   [
    1791892840,
    0.36
   ],
   [
    1791936041,
    0.35
   ],
   [
    1791979253,
    0.37
   ],
   [
    1792022459,
    0.36
   ],
   [
    1792065646,
    0.35
   ],
   [
    1792108844,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1792152045,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1792195250,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1792238447,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1792324859,
    0.3
   ],
   [
    1792368043,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1792411243,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1792454443,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1792497646,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1792540847,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1792584048,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1792670448,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1792756846,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1792800056,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1792886404,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1792929643,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1793016036,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1793020710,
    0.22
   ]
  ],
  "Republican 5-10%": [
   [
    1790467221,
    0.1085
   ],
   [
    1790510421,
    0.1205
   ],
   [
    1790553635,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1790596820,
    0.1155
   ],
   [
    1790640022,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1790683224,
    0.111
   ],
   [
    1790726423,
    0.0875
   ],
   [
    1790769623,
    0.099
   ],
   [
    1790812825,
    0.131
   ],
   [
    1790856024,
    0.1375
   ],
   [
    1790899223,
    0.096
   ],
   [
    1790942423,
    0.093
   ],
   [
    1790985627,
    0.0955
   ],
   [
    1791028825,
    0.096
   ],
   [
    1791072023,
    0.0955
   ],
   [
    1791115225,
    0.1135
   ],
   [
    1791158428,
    0.1165
   ],
   [
    1791201627,
    0.1115
   ],
   [
    1791244826,
    0.116
   ],
   [
    1791288030,
    0.1115
   ],
   [
    1791331230,
    0.128
   ],
   [
    1791374454,
    0.134
   ],
   [
    1791417652,
    0.1525
   ],
   [
    1791504055,
    0.1385
   ],
   [
    1791547256,
    0.142
   ],
   [
    1791590432,
    0.1395
   ],
   [
    1791633638,
    0.1515
   ],
   [
    1791676839,
    0.1655
   ],
   [
    1791720040,
    0.1435
   ],
   [
    1791763249,
    0.146
   ],
   [
    1791806436,
    0.196
   ],
   [
    1791849643,
    0.1485
   ],
   [
    1791892840,
    0.1545
   ],
   [
    1791936041,
    0.094
   ],
   [
    1791979253,
    0.1005
   ],
   [
    1792022459,
    0.1565
   ],
   [
    1792065646,
    0.1685
   ],
   [
    1792108844,
    0.1225
   ],
   [
    1792152045,
    0.1045
   ],
   [
    1792195250,
    0.1465
   ],
   [
    1792238447,
    0.172
   ],
   [
    1792324859,
    0.1495
   ],
   [
    1792368043,
    0.126
   ],
   [
    1792411243,
    0.1325
   ],
   [
    1792454443,
    0.1295
   ],
   [
    1792497646,
    0.1525
   ],
   [
    1792540848,
    0.122
   ],
   [
    1792584048,
    0.114
   ],
   [
    1792670448,
    0.186
   ],
   [
    1792756846,
    0.162
   ],
   [
    1792800056,
    0.133
   ],
   [
    1792886404,
    0.1385
   ],
   [
    1792929643,
    0.163
   ],
   [
    1793016036,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1793020710,
    0.2105
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/tx-36-house-margin-of-victory-2026/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/tx-36-house-margin-of-victory-2026/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}
