{
 "slug": "tx-37-house-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "title": "TX-37 House Election Margin of Victory",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/tx-37-house-margin-of-victory-2026/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/tx-37-house-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-24T12:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 20164.35,
 "volume_24h": 761.81,
 "liquidity": 102193.5,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Democrat 65-70%",
   "probability": 0.185,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume": 3430.58,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 70-75%",
   "probability": 0.168,
   "change_24h": -0.0555,
   "volume": 2647.99,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 55-60%",
   "probability": 0.1605,
   "change_24h": -0.0265,
   "volume": 2819.48,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 50-55%",
   "probability": 0.159,
   "change_24h": -0.0295,
   "volume": 2848.1,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 60-65%",
   "probability": 0.155,
   "change_24h": -0.035,
   "volume": 5057.68,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 75%+",
   "probability": 0.0625,
   "change_24h": 0.013,
   "volume": 564.57,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican Wins",
   "probability": 0.0485,
   "change_24h": -0.041,
   "volume": 446.51,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 35-45%",
   "probability": 0.0395,
   "change_24h": 0.0015,
   "volume": 360.29,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 45-50%",
   "probability": 0.015,
   "change_24h": -0.0005,
   "volume": 1083.53,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 0-35%",
   "probability": 0.005,
   "change_24h": -0.0055,
   "volume": 905.62,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Democrat 65-70%": [
   [
    1790294416,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1790337615,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1790380815,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1790424014,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1790467214,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1790510413,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1790553628,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1790596814,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1790640015,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1790683216,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1790726416,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1790769616,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1790812817,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1790856015,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1790899215,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1790942416,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1790985619,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1791028815,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1791072016,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1791115217,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1791158418,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1791201616,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1791244817,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791288019,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1791331219,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1791374420,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1791417621,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1791460830,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1791504020,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1791547220,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1791590419,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1791633622,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1791676822,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1791720022,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1791763233,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1791806418,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1791849624,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1791892820,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1791936021,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1791979232,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1792022436,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1792065620,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1792108821,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1792152021,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1792195226,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1792238420,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1792281647,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1792324834,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1792368019,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1792411218,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1792454419,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1792497620,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1792540820,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1792584020,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1792670420,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1792713636,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1792756825,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1792800036,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1792847756,
    0.185
   ]
  ],
  "Democrat 70-75%": [
   [
    1790294425,
    0.0395
   ],
   [
    1790337620,
    0.0605
   ],
   [
    1790380820,
    0.0505
   ],
   [
    1790424019,
    0.051
   ],
   [
    1790467220,
    0.116
   ],
   [
    1790510419,
    0.108
   ],
   [
    1790553634,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1790596819,
    0.1105
   ],
   [
    1790640021,
    0.1085
   ],
   [
    1790683223,
    0.107
   ],
   [
    1790726422,
    0.1085
   ],
   [
    1790769622,
    0.107
   ],
   [
    1790812824,
    0.1035
   ],
   [
    1790856023,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1790899222,
    0.0995
   ],
   [
    1790942421,
    0.1075
   ],
   [
    1790985625,
    0.1065
   ],
   [
    1791028823,
    0.0975
   ],
   [
    1791072021,
    0.064
   ],
   [
    1791115224,
    0.0615
   ],
   [
    1791158426,
    0.0615
   ],
   [
    1791201625,
    0.0615
   ],
   [
    1791244825,
    0.0615
   ],
   [
    1791288029,
    0.0615
   ],
   [
    1791331229,
    0.0615
   ],
   [
    1791374448,
    0.0615
   ],
   [
    1791417647,
    0.062
   ],
   [
    1791460858,
    0.062
   ],
   [
    1791504050,
    0.062
   ],
   [
    1791547250,
    0.047
   ],
   [
    1791590430,
    0.048
   ],
   [
    1791633636,
    0.0475
   ],
   [
    1791676837,
    0.0475
   ],
   [
    1791720037,
    0.048
   ],
   [
    1791763246,
    0.048
   ],
   [
    1791806434,
    0.049
   ],
   [
    1791849640,
    0.049
   ],
   [
    1791892838,
    0.048
   ],
   [
    1791936039,
    0.058
   ],
   [
    1791979250,
    0.0835
   ],
   [
    1792022455,
    0.0965
   ],
   [
    1792065642,
    0.0985
   ],
   [
    1792108841,
    0.092
   ],
   [
    1792152042,
    0.099
   ],
   [
    1792195247,
    0.0995
   ],
   [
    1792238443,
    0.0995
   ],
   [
    1792324855,
    0.0695
   ],
   [
    1792368040,
    0.104
   ],
   [
    1792411239,
    0.1025
   ],
   [
    1792454440,
    0.0745
   ],
   [
    1792497642,
    0.1015
   ],
   [
    1792540844,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1792584044,
    0.102
   ],
   [
    1792670444,
    0.213
   ],
   [
    1792756843,
    0.2025
   ],
   [
    1792800053,
    0.213
   ]
  ],
  "Democrat 55-60%": [
   [
    1790294426,
    0.0605
   ],
   [
    1790337621,
    0.104
   ],
   [
    1790380820,
    0.0635
   ],
   [
    1790424020,
    0.078
   ],
   [
    1790467220,
    0.2005
   ],
   [
    1790510420,
    0.2005
   ],
   [
    1790553634,
    0.2005
   ],
   [
    1790596820,
    0.206
   ],
   [
    1790640021,
    0.201
   ],
   [
    1790683223,
    0.2005
   ],
   [
    1790726423,
    0.1205
   ],
   [
    1790769622,
    0.122
   ],
   [
    1790812825,
    0.117
   ],
   [
    1790856024,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1790899223,
    0.0835
   ],
   [
    1790942422,
    0.119
   ],
   [
    1790985626,
    0.1265
   ],
   [
    1791028824,
    0.099
   ],
   [
    1791072022,
    0.1895
   ],
   [
    1791115225,
    0.1895
   ],
   [
    1791158427,
    0.189
   ],
   [
    1791201626,
    0.189
   ],
   [
    1791244825,
    0.1895
   ],
   [
    1791288030,
    0.1895
   ],
   [
    1791331229,
    0.189
   ],
   [
    1791374451,
    0.189
   ],
   [
    1791417650,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1791504052,
    0.1895
   ],
   [
    1791547253,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1791590431,
    0.1895
   ],
   [
    1791633637,
    0.1975
   ],
   [
    1791676838,
    0.1095
   ],
   [
    1791720038,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1791763248,
    0.208
   ],
   [
    1791806435,
    0.208
   ],
   [
    1791849642,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1791892839,
    0.186
   ],
   [
    1791936040,
    0.186
   ],
   [
    1791979252,
    0.1795
   ],
   [
    1792022457,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1792065644,
    0.158
   ],
   [
    1792108842,
    0.163
   ],
   [
    1792152044,
    0.109
   ],
   [
    1792195249,
    0.1635
   ],
   [
    1792238445,
    0.111
   ],
   [
    1792324857,
    0.2105
   ],
   [
    1792368041,
    0.1865
   ],
   [
    1792411241,
    0.1985
   ],
   [
    1792454441,
    0.2035
   ],
   [
    1792497644,
    0.202
   ],
   [
    1792540845,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1792584046,
    0.168
   ],
   [
    1792670446,
    0.187
   ],
   [
    1792756845,
    0.187
   ],
   [
    1792800055,
    0.201
   ],
   [
    1792847760,
    0.1615
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/tx-37-house-margin-of-victory-2026/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/tx-37-house-margin-of-victory-2026/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}
