{
 "slug": "us-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-crimea-before-2027",
 "title": "U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/us-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-crimea-before-2027/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-crimea-before-2027",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-17T00:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 76938.56,
 "volume_24h": 1859.51,
 "liquidity": 18141.76,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.041,
   "change_24h": 0.006,
   "volume": 76938.56,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "No",
   "probability": 0.959,
   "change_24h": -0.006,
   "volume": null,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Yes": [
   [
    1789646415,
    0.0425
   ],
   [
    1789689619,
    0.0425
   ],
   [
    1789732819,
    0.0425
   ],
   [
    1789776019,
    0.0425
   ],
   [
    1789819219,
    0.0425
   ],
   [
    1789862419,
    0.0425
   ],
   [
    1789905616,
    0.0425
   ],
   [
    1789948816,
    0.0425
   ],
   [
    1789992012,
    0.042
   ],
   [
    1790035216,
    0.042
   ],
   [
    1790078416,
    0.042
   ],
   [
    1790121617,
    0.042
   ],
   [
    1790164821,
    0.042
   ],
   [
    1790208028,
    0.042
   ],
   [
    1790251217,
    0.042
   ],
   [
    1790294420,
    0.042
   ],
   [
    1790337616,
    0.042
   ],
   [
    1790380817,
    0.042
   ],
   [
    1790424016,
    0.042
   ],
   [
    1790467216,
    0.042
   ],
   [
    1790510415,
    0.0415
   ],
   [
    1790553630,
    0.0415
   ],
   [
    1790596816,
    0.0415
   ],
   [
    1790640017,
    0.0365
   ],
   [
    1790683219,
    0.0355
   ],
   [
    1790726419,
    0.035
   ],
   [
    1790769618,
    0.035
   ],
   [
    1790812820,
    0.036
   ],
   [
    1790856018,
    0.0345
   ],
   [
    1790899218,
    0.0345
   ],
   [
    1790942418,
    0.035
   ],
   [
    1790985621,
    0.035
   ],
   [
    1791028818,
    0.035
   ],
   [
    1791072018,
    0.035
   ],
   [
    1791115220,
    0.035
   ],
   [
    1791158421,
    0.035
   ],
   [
    1791201620,
    0.035
   ],
   [
    1791244820,
    0.0375
   ],
   [
    1791288023,
    0.035
   ],
   [
    1791331223,
    0.035
   ],
   [
    1791374432,
    0.035
   ],
   [
    1791417632,
    0.035
   ],
   [
    1791460842,
    0.035
   ],
   [
    1791504033,
    0.035
   ],
   [
    1791547233,
    0.035
   ],
   [
    1791590424,
    0.035
   ],
   [
    1791633629,
    0.0365
   ],
   [
    1791676829,
    0.0375
   ],
   [
    1791720029,
    0.035
   ],
   [
    1791763240,
    0.0375
   ],
   [
    1791806426,
    0.035
   ],
   [
    1791849632,
    0.035
   ],
   [
    1791892829,
    0.0365
   ],
   [
    1791936030,
    0.035
   ],
   [
    1791979241,
    0.035
   ],
   [
    1792022445,
    0.035
   ],
   [
    1792065629,
    0.035
   ],
   [
    1792108830,
    0.035
   ],
   [
    1792152031,
    0.035
   ],
   [
    1792195236,
    0.041
   ],
   [
    1792199486,
    0.041
   ]
  ],
  "No": [
   [
    1789646419,
    0.9575
   ],
   [
    1789689623,
    0.9575
   ],
   [
    1789732823,
    0.9575
   ],
   [
    1789776024,
    0.9575
   ],
   [
    1789819224,
    0.9575
   ],
   [
    1789862423,
    0.9575
   ],
   [
    1789905620,
    0.9575
   ],
   [
    1789948819,
    0.9575
   ],
   [
    1789992015,
    0.958
   ],
   [
    1790035220,
    0.958
   ],
   [
    1790078419,
    0.958
   ],
   [
    1790121622,
    0.958
   ],
   [
    1790164830,
    0.958
   ],
   [
    1790208032,
    0.958
   ],
   [
    1790251222,
    0.958
   ],
   [
    1790294425,
    0.958
   ],
   [
    1790337620,
    0.958
   ],
   [
    1790380820,
    0.958
   ],
   [
    1790424019,
    0.958
   ],
   [
    1790467219,
    0.958
   ],
   [
    1790510419,
    0.9585
   ],
   [
    1790553633,
    0.9585
   ],
   [
    1790596819,
    0.9585
   ],
   [
    1790640020,
    0.9635
   ],
   [
    1790683223,
    0.9655
   ],
   [
    1790726422,
    0.965
   ],
   [
    1790769622,
    0.965
   ],
   [
    1790812824,
    0.964
   ],
   [
    1790856023,
    0.9655
   ],
   [
    1790899222,
    0.9655
   ],
   [
    1790942421,
    0.965
   ],
   [
    1790985625,
    0.965
   ],
   [
    1791028823,
    0.965
   ],
   [
    1791072021,
    0.965
   ],
   [
    1791115224,
    0.965
   ],
   [
    1791158426,
    0.965
   ],
   [
    1791201625,
    0.965
   ],
   [
    1791244824,
    0.9625
   ],
   [
    1791288028,
    0.965
   ],
   [
    1791331228,
    0.965
   ],
   [
    1791374447,
    0.965
   ],
   [
    1791417647,
    0.965
   ],
   [
    1791460857,
    0.965
   ],
   [
    1791504049,
    0.965
   ],
   [
    1791547249,
    0.965
   ],
   [
    1791590430,
    0.965
   ],
   [
    1791633635,
    0.9635
   ],
   [
    1791676836,
    0.9625
   ],
   [
    1791720037,
    0.965
   ],
   [
    1791763246,
    0.9625
   ],
   [
    1791806433,
    0.965
   ],
   [
    1791849640,
    0.965
   ],
   [
    1791892837,
    0.9635
   ],
   [
    1791936038,
    0.965
   ],
   [
    1791979250,
    0.965
   ],
   [
    1792022455,
    0.965
   ],
   [
    1792065641,
    0.965
   ],
   [
    1792108840,
    0.965
   ],
   [
    1792152041,
    0.965
   ],
   [
    1792195246,
    0.959
   ],
   [
    1792199488,
    0.9585
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/us-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-crimea-before-2027/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/us-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-crimea-before-2027/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}