{
 "slug": "vances-republican-nomination-odds-hit-by-december-31",
 "title": "Vance's Republican nomination odds hit __ by December 31?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/vances-republican-nomination-odds-hit-by-december-31/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/vances-republican-nomination-odds-hit-by-december-31",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-11-07T00:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 33676.08,
 "volume_24h": 461.62,
 "liquidity": 31223.78,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "↓ 30%",
   "probability": 1.0,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 7744.28,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "↓ 25%",
   "probability": 0.435,
   "change_24h": 0.04,
   "volume": 799.42,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "↑ 40%",
   "probability": 0.235,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume": 18127.72,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "↑ 45%",
   "probability": 0.14,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume": 7004.66,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "↓ 25%": [
   [
    1793750425,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1793793626,
    0.39
   ],
   [
    1793836838,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1793880026,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1793923227,
    0.395
   ],
   [
    1793966426,
    0.42
   ],
   [
    1794009627,
    0.435
   ]
  ],
  "↑ 40%": [
   [
    1793750445,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1793793646,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1793836856,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1793880046,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1793923248,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1793966448,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1794009648,
    0.235
   ]
  ],
  "↑ 45%": [
   [
    1793750432,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1793793633,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1793836844,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1793880033,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1793923234,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1793966433,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1794009634,
    0.14
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/vances-republican-nomination-odds-hit-by-december-31/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/vances-republican-nomination-odds-hit-by-december-31/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}