{
 "slug": "vt-al-house-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "title": "VT-AL House Election Margin of Victory",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/vt-al-house-margin-of-victory-2026/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/vt-al-house-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-22T00:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 20125.53,
 "volume_24h": 3139.17,
 "liquidity": 127453.59,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Democrat 25-30%",
   "probability": 0.2155,
   "change_24h": 0.0885,
   "volume": 1935.92,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 35-40%",
   "probability": 0.2,
   "change_24h": 0.067,
   "volume": 4976.42,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 45-50%",
   "probability": 0.185,
   "change_24h": 0.025,
   "volume": 2484.56,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 40-45%",
   "probability": 0.17,
   "change_24h": -0.025,
   "volume": 4512.89,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 30-35%",
   "probability": 0.125,
   "change_24h": 0.015,
   "volume": 2648.91,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 50-55%",
   "probability": 0.0845,
   "change_24h": 0.006,
   "volume": 917.22,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican Wins",
   "probability": 0.028,
   "change_24h": -0.0015,
   "volume": 874.14,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 55%+",
   "probability": 0.004,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 753.49,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 15-25%",
   "probability": 0.0015,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 558.51,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 0-15%",
   "probability": 0.0015,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 463.48,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Democrat 25-30%": [
   [
    1790078418,
    0.0065
   ],
   [
    1790121620,
    0.006
   ],
   [
    1790164826,
    0.006
   ],
   [
    1790208031,
    0.006
   ],
   [
    1790251220,
    0.006
   ],
   [
    1790294423,
    0.006
   ],
   [
    1790337618,
    0.0065
   ],
   [
    1790380818,
    0.005
   ],
   [
    1790424017,
    0.005
   ],
   [
    1790467218,
    0.005
   ],
   [
    1790510417,
    0.004
   ],
   [
    1790553632,
    0.0045
   ],
   [
    1790596817,
    0.004
   ],
   [
    1790640019,
    0.004
   ],
   [
    1790683221,
    0.0045
   ],
   [
    1790726420,
    0.005
   ],
   [
    1790769620,
    0.004
   ],
   [
    1790812822,
    0.0045
   ],
   [
    1790856021,
    0.004
   ],
   [
    1790899220,
    0.004
   ],
   [
    1790942420,
    0.0045
   ],
   [
    1790985623,
    0.004
   ],
   [
    1791028821,
    0.006
   ],
   [
    1791072019,
    0.004
   ],
   [
    1791115222,
    0.0045
   ],
   [
    1791158424,
    0.0045
   ],
   [
    1791201623,
    0.0055
   ],
   [
    1791244822,
    0.0045
   ],
   [
    1791288026,
    0.0045
   ],
   [
    1791331226,
    0.0045
   ],
   [
    1791374440,
    0.004
   ],
   [
    1791417640,
    0.004
   ],
   [
    1791460850,
    0.0045
   ],
   [
    1791504041,
    0.004
   ],
   [
    1791547242,
    0.004
   ],
   [
    1791590427,
    0.004
   ],
   [
    1791633632,
    0.004
   ],
   [
    1791676833,
    0.0045
   ],
   [
    1791720033,
    0.0045
   ],
   [
    1791763243,
    0.005
   ],
   [
    1791806430,
    0.0045
   ],
   [
    1791849636,
    0.0045
   ],
   [
    1791892833,
    0.006
   ],
   [
    1791936034,
    0.004
   ],
   [
    1791979245,
    0.0045
   ],
   [
    1792022450,
    0.0045
   ],
   [
    1792065635,
    0.004
   ],
   [
    1792108836,
    0.004
   ],
   [
    1792152036,
    0.0045
   ],
   [
    1792195241,
    0.0045
   ],
   [
    1792238437,
    0.004
   ],
   [
    1792324850,
    0.0045
   ],
   [
    1792368034,
    0.0045
   ],
   [
    1792411234,
    0.0045
   ],
   [
    1792454434,
    0.0155
   ],
   [
    1792497636,
    0.1605
   ],
   [
    1792540837,
    0.126
   ],
   [
    1792584037,
    0.1585
   ],
   [
    1792631675,
    0.216
   ]
  ],
  "Democrat 35-40%": [
   [
    1790078418,
    0.2505
   ],
   [
    1790121620,
    0.3475
   ],
   [
    1790164826,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1790208031,
    0.2845
   ],
   [
    1790251220,
    0.2795
   ],
   [
    1790294423,
    0.2975
   ],
   [
    1790337619,
    0.2895
   ],
   [
    1790380819,
    0.156
   ],
   [
    1790424018,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790467218,
    0.156
   ],
   [
    1790510418,
    0.2075
   ],
   [
    1790553632,
    0.1735
   ],
   [
    1790596817,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1790640019,
    0.206
   ],
   [
    1790683221,
    0.167
   ],
   [
    1790726421,
    0.177
   ],
   [
    1790769620,
    0.1945
   ],
   [
    1790812822,
    0.153
   ],
   [
    1790856021,
    0.202
   ],
   [
    1790899220,
    0.159
   ],
   [
    1790942420,
    0.221
   ],
   [
    1790985623,
    0.169
   ],
   [
    1791028821,
    0.138
   ],
   [
    1791072020,
    0.192
   ],
   [
    1791115222,
    0.1435
   ],
   [
    1791158424,
    0.143
   ],
   [
    1791201623,
    0.143
   ],
   [
    1791244822,
    0.143
   ],
   [
    1791288026,
    0.143
   ],
   [
    1791331226,
    0.143
   ],
   [
    1791374441,
    0.143
   ],
   [
    1791417640,
    0.1495
   ],
   [
    1791460851,
    0.1515
   ],
   [
    1791504042,
    0.1545
   ],
   [
    1791547242,
    0.1545
   ],
   [
    1791590427,
    0.137
   ],
   [
    1791633633,
    0.172
   ],
   [
    1791676833,
    0.1615
   ],
   [
    1791720034,
    0.1365
   ],
   [
    1791763243,
    0.1405
   ],
   [
    1791806430,
    0.134
   ],
   [
    1791849636,
    0.1375
   ],
   [
    1791892833,
    0.149
   ],
   [
    1791936035,
    0.136
   ],
   [
    1791979246,
    0.1505
   ],
   [
    1792022451,
    0.1535
   ],
   [
    1792065636,
    0.1565
   ],
   [
    1792108836,
    0.1415
   ],
   [
    1792152037,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1792195242,
    0.1285
   ],
   [
    1792238437,
    0.1325
   ],
   [
    1792324850,
    0.124
   ],
   [
    1792368035,
    0.1235
   ],
   [
    1792411234,
    0.123
   ],
   [
    1792454434,
    0.124
   ],
   [
    1792497637,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1792540838,
    0.1335
   ],
   [
    1792584037,
    0.134
   ],
   [
    1792631675,
    0.2005
   ]
  ],
  "Democrat 45-50%": [
   [
    1790078416,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1790121618,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1790164823,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1790208029,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1790251218,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1790294421,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1790337617,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1790380817,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1790424016,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1790467217,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1790510416,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1790553631,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1790596816,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1790640017,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1790683219,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1790726419,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1790769618,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1790812820,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1790856019,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1790899218,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1790942418,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1790985622,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791028819,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1791072018,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1791115220,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1791158422,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1791201621,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1791244820,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1791288024,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1791331223,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1791374434,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791417634,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791460844,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791504034,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1791547235,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1791590425,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791633630,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1791676830,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1791720030,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1791763241,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1791806427,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791849633,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1791892830,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1791936031,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1791979242,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1792022446,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1792065631,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1792108831,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1792152032,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1792195237,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1792238432,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1792281657,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1792324845,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1792368030,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1792411229,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1792454429,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1792497632,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1792540832,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1792584032,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1792631674,
    0.18
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/vt-al-house-margin-of-victory-2026/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/vt-al-house-margin-of-victory-2026/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}