{
 "slug": "what-will-be-in-a-us-iran-deal-in-2026",
 "title": "What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/what-will-be-in-a-us-iran-deal-in-2026/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-be-in-a-us-iran-deal-in-2026-20260624150226501",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-09-23T15:49:17+00:00",
 "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 999402.14,
 "volume_24h": 32424.58,
 "liquidity": 281085.08,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium",
   "probability": 0.175,
   "change_24h": 0.02,
   "volume": 148970.7,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Iran Reconstruction Funding",
   "probability": 0.17,
   "change_24h": -0.015,
   "volume": 280720.83,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Dilution of Iran's Uranium",
   "probability": 0.17,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume": 158078.95,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)",
   "probability": 0.16,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume": 161155.19,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)",
   "probability": 0.15,
   "change_24h": -0.035,
   "volume": 182481.96,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Enriched Uranium Surrender",
   "probability": 0.055,
   "change_24h": 0.015,
   "volume": 67994.51,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium": [
   [
    1787529624,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1787572821,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1787616022,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1787659224,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1787702423,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1787745625,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1787788824,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1787832038,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1787875224,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1787918423,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1787961624,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1788004824,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1788048023,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1788091223,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1788134422,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1788177625,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1788220835,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1788264025,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1788307222,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1788350442,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1788393626,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1788436826,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1788480020,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1788523220,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1788566420,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1788609623,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1788652826,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1788696020,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1788739234,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1788782422,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1788825617,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1788868820,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1788912025,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1788955224,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1788998420,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1789041621,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1789084822,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1789128024,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1789171223,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1789214424,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1789257621,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1789300825,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1789344018,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1789387216,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1789430417,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1789473618,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1789516818,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1789560028,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1789603220,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1789646420,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1789689623,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1789732824,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1789776025,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1789819225,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1789862424,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1789905621,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1789948820,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1789992015,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790035221,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1790078420,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1790121623,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1790164831,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1790178675,
    0.175
   ]
  ],
  "Iran Reconstruction Funding": [
   [
    1787529625,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1787572822,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1787616023,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1787659225,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1787702425,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1787745627,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1787788825,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1787832039,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1787875225,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1787918424,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1787961626,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1788004825,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1788048025,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1788091224,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1788134423,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1788177626,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1788220836,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1788264026,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1788307223,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1788350443,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1788393628,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1788436828,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1788480020,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1788523221,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1788566421,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1788609624,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1788652827,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1788696021,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1788739235,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1788782423,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1788825617,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1788868821,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1788912026,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1788955224,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1788998421,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1789041621,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1789084823,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1789128025,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1789171224,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1789214425,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1789257622,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1789300826,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1789344019,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1789387217,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1789430418,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1789473618,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1789516819,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1789560029,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1789603221,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1789646421,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1789689624,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1789732825,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1789776026,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1789819226,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1789862425,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1789905622,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1789948821,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1789992016,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1790035222,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1790078421,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1790121624,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1790164834,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1790178675,
    0.17
   ]
  ],
  "Dilution of Iran's Uranium": [
   [
    1787529626,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1787572824,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1787616024,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1787659227,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1787702426,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1787745628,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1787788826,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1787832041,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1787875227,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1787918426,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1787961627,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1788004826,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1788048026,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1788091226,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1788134424,
    0.08
   ],
   [
    1788177628,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1788220837,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1788264028,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1788307225,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1788350445,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1788393630,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1788436830,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1788480021,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1788523222,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1788566422,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1788609625,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1788652828,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1788696022,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1788739236,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1788782424,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1788825618,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1788868821,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1788912027,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1788955225,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1788998421,
    0.08
   ],
   [
    1789041622,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1789084824,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1789128026,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1789171224,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1789214426,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1789257623,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1789300827,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1789344019,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1789387218,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1789430418,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1789473619,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1789516819,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1789560031,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1789603222,
    0.08
   ],
   [
    1789646422,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1789689625,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1789732826,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1789776027,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1789819227,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1789862426,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1789905623,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1789948822,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1789992017,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1790035223,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1790078422,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1790121625,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1790164836,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1790178676,
    0.17
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/what-will-be-in-a-us-iran-deal-in-2026/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/what-will-be-in-a-us-iran-deal-in-2026/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}
