{
 "slug": "which-coalition-will-form-the-next-new-zealand-government",
 "title": "Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-new-zealand-government/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-new-zealand-government",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-09-24T16:13:36+00:00",
 "end_date": "2028-01-01T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 55656.78,
 "volume_24h": 16.76,
 "liquidity": 417794.36,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "National + ACT + NZF",
   "probability": 0.445,
   "change_24h": -0.02,
   "volume": 10157.91,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Labour + Green",
   "probability": 0.254,
   "change_24h": -0.0025,
   "volume": 5001.28,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Labour + Green + Maori",
   "probability": 0.17,
   "change_24h": -0.025,
   "volume": 5285.53,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Other",
   "probability": 0.076,
   "change_24h": 0.007,
   "volume": 12881.74,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Labour + Green + NZF",
   "probability": 0.008,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1719.12,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Labour + Maori",
   "probability": 0.0075,
   "change_24h": -0.0005,
   "volume": 1479.0,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "National + Labour",
   "probability": 0.006,
   "change_24h": -0.001,
   "volume": 1471.77,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Labour + Green + Maori + NZF",
   "probability": 0.0055,
   "change_24h": -0.009,
   "volume": 2029.5,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "National + ACT",
   "probability": 0.005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 2230.1,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "National + NZF",
   "probability": 0.005,
   "change_24h": 0.001,
   "volume": 1932.54,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Labour",
   "probability": 0.0025,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1523.6,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "National + ACT + NZF + Maori",
   "probability": 0.0015,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1527.32,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Labour + Maori + NZF",
   "probability": 0.0015,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1438.27,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Labour + NZF",
   "probability": 0.0015,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1435.78,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "National + ACT + Maori",
   "probability": 0.0015,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1430.85,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "National + Maori",
   "probability": 0.0015,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1420.92,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "National",
   "probability": 0.0015,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1346.48,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "National + NZF + Maori",
   "probability": 0.0015,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1345.08,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "National + ACT + NZF": [
   [
    1787616022,
    0.425
   ],
   [
    1787659225,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1787702424,
    0.39
   ],
   [
    1787745626,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1787788824,
    0.395
   ],
   [
    1787832039,
    0.435
   ],
   [
    1787875225,
    0.435
   ],
   [
    1787918424,
    0.43
   ],
   [
    1787961625,
    0.43
   ],
   [
    1788004824,
    0.42
   ],
   [
    1788048024,
    0.435
   ],
   [
    1788091224,
    0.39
   ],
   [
    1788134423,
    0.435
   ],
   [
    1788177626,
    0.435
   ],
   [
    1788220835,
    0.45
   ],
   [
    1788264026,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1788307223,
    0.475
   ],
   [
    1788350443,
    0.425
   ],
   [
    1788393627,
    0.44
   ],
   [
    1788436827,
    0.43
   ],
   [
    1788480020,
    0.45
   ],
   [
    1788523221,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1788566421,
    0.43
   ],
   [
    1788609623,
    0.44
   ],
   [
    1788652826,
    0.395
   ],
   [
    1788696021,
    0.395
   ],
   [
    1788739234,
    0.475
   ],
   [
    1788782423,
    0.475
   ],
   [
    1788825617,
    0.45
   ],
   [
    1788868820,
    0.45
   ],
   [
    1788912026,
    0.45
   ],
   [
    1788955224,
    0.48
   ],
   [
    1788998420,
    0.475
   ],
   [
    1789041621,
    0.46
   ],
   [
    1789084823,
    0.465
   ],
   [
    1789128025,
    0.49
   ],
   [
    1789171223,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1789214425,
    0.45
   ],
   [
    1789257622,
    0.47
   ],
   [
    1789300825,
    0.46
   ],
   [
    1789344018,
    0.44
   ],
   [
    1789387217,
    0.44
   ],
   [
    1789430417,
    0.435
   ],
   [
    1789473618,
    0.44
   ],
   [
    1789516818,
    0.435
   ],
   [
    1789560029,
    0.44
   ],
   [
    1789603221,
    0.435
   ],
   [
    1789646420,
    0.44
   ],
   [
    1789689624,
    0.45
   ],
   [
    1789732825,
    0.45
   ],
   [
    1789776025,
    0.435
   ],
   [
    1789819226,
    0.47
   ],
   [
    1789862424,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1789905621,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1789948821,
    0.475
   ],
   [
    1789992016,
    0.45
   ],
   [
    1790035221,
    0.44
   ],
   [
    1790078421,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1790121623,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1790164833,
    0.475
   ],
   [
    1790208034,
    0.44
   ],
   [
    1790251223,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1790267356,
    0.46
   ]
  ],
  "Labour + Green": [
   [
    1787616022,
    0.3045
   ],
   [
    1787659224,
    0.216
   ],
   [
    1787702424,
    0.2075
   ],
   [
    1787745625,
    0.1985
   ],
   [
    1787788824,
    0.188
   ],
   [
    1787832038,
    0.188
   ],
   [
    1787875224,
    0.188
   ],
   [
    1787918423,
    0.1885
   ],
   [
    1787961624,
    0.1885
   ],
   [
    1788004824,
    0.2065
   ],
   [
    1788048024,
    0.201
   ],
   [
    1788091223,
    0.2075
   ],
   [
    1788134422,
    0.194
   ],
   [
    1788177625,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1788220835,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1788264025,
    0.1955
   ],
   [
    1788307222,
    0.1975
   ],
   [
    1788350442,
    0.218
   ],
   [
    1788393627,
    0.203
   ],
   [
    1788436827,
    0.2015
   ],
   [
    1788480020,
    0.2065
   ],
   [
    1788523220,
    0.2055
   ],
   [
    1788566420,
    0.212
   ],
   [
    1788609623,
    0.209
   ],
   [
    1788652826,
    0.223
   ],
   [
    1788696021,
    0.2195
   ],
   [
    1788739234,
    0.2215
   ],
   [
    1788782422,
    0.217
   ],
   [
    1788825617,
    0.2125
   ],
   [
    1788868820,
    0.2125
   ],
   [
    1788912026,
    0.212
   ],
   [
    1788955224,
    0.2175
   ],
   [
    1788998420,
    0.2215
   ],
   [
    1789041621,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1789084822,
    0.2025
   ],
   [
    1789128024,
    0.208
   ],
   [
    1789171223,
    0.1905
   ],
   [
    1789214424,
    0.186
   ],
   [
    1789257621,
    0.1865
   ],
   [
    1789300825,
    0.186
   ],
   [
    1789344018,
    0.1875
   ],
   [
    1789387217,
    0.1915
   ],
   [
    1789430417,
    0.1905
   ],
   [
    1789473618,
    0.1915
   ],
   [
    1789516818,
    0.1885
   ],
   [
    1789560028,
    0.2055
   ],
   [
    1789603220,
    0.196
   ],
   [
    1789646420,
    0.192
   ],
   [
    1789689623,
    0.192
   ],
   [
    1789732824,
    0.1925
   ],
   [
    1789776025,
    0.191
   ],
   [
    1789819225,
    0.192
   ],
   [
    1789862424,
    0.1925
   ],
   [
    1789905621,
    0.193
   ],
   [
    1789948820,
    0.192
   ],
   [
    1789992015,
    0.192
   ],
   [
    1790035221,
    0.192
   ],
   [
    1790078421,
    0.192
   ],
   [
    1790121623,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790164832,
    0.279
   ],
   [
    1790208033,
    0.268
   ],
   [
    1790251223,
    0.2545
   ],
   [
    1790267355,
    0.252
   ]
  ],
  "Labour + Green + Maori": [
   [
    1787616015,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1787659216,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1787702416,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1787745616,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1787788817,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1787832031,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1787875216,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1787918413,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1787961617,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1788004816,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1788048016,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1788091215,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1788134417,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1788177616,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1788220827,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1788264017,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1788307215,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1788350432,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1788393618,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1788436817,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1788480016,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1788523215,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1788566416,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1788609617,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1788652822,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1788696015,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1788739230,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1788782416,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1788825614,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1788868817,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1788912021,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1788955218,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1788998416,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1789041616,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1789084817,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1789128018,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1789171217,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1789214418,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1789257616,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1789300820,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1789344014,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1789387213,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1789430413,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1789473614,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1789516815,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1789560018,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1789603215,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1789646415,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1789689618,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1789732818,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1789776018,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1789819218,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1789862418,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1789905615,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1789948814,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1789992011,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1790035215,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1790078415,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1790121616,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1790164819,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1790208027,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1790251216,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1790267353,
    0.17
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-new-zealand-government/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-new-zealand-government/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}