{
 "slug": "which-companies-will-have-a-1-ai-model-by-december-31",
 "title": "Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-companies-will-have-a-1-ai-model-by-december-31/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-companies-will-have-a-1-ai-model-by-december-31",
 "category": "economy",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-09-24T17:47:06+00:00",
 "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 162881.11,
 "volume_24h": 3373.19,
 "liquidity": 116743.15,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Google",
   "probability": 0.265,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 19831.49,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "OpenAI",
   "probability": 0.19,
   "change_24h": -0.065,
   "volume": 32716.47,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "xAI",
   "probability": 0.125,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 9268.53,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Meta",
   "probability": 0.1,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 17582.8,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Z.ai",
   "probability": 0.085,
   "change_24h": -0.02,
   "volume": 5993.75,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Alibaba",
   "probability": 0.075,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume": 5203.59,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Baidu",
   "probability": 0.065,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 2074.24,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "DeepSeek",
   "probability": 0.055,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 23857.76,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Microsoft",
   "probability": 0.045,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 5306.4,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Moonshot",
   "probability": 0.0355,
   "change_24h": -0.0395,
   "volume": 13478.36,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Amazon",
   "probability": 0.0325,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 6432.2,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Meituan",
   "probability": 0.0255,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 4866.57,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Mistral",
   "probability": 0.0235,
   "change_24h": -0.0005,
   "volume": 11691.73,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "ByteDance",
   "probability": 0.0085,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 4577.22,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Google": [
   [
    1787616025,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1787659228,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1787702427,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1787745630,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1787788827,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1787832042,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1787875228,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1787918427,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1787961628,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1788004827,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1788048027,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1788091227,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1788134425,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1788177629,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1788220838,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1788264029,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1788307226,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1788350446,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1788393631,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1788436831,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1788480022,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1788523223,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1788566423,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1788609626,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1788652828,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1788696023,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1788739236,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1788782425,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1788825618,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1788868822,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1788912028,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1788955226,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1788998422,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1789041623,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1789084825,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1789128027,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1789171225,
    0.33
   ],
   [
    1789214427,
    0.33
   ],
   [
    1789257624,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1789300827,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1789344020,
    0.35
   ],
   [
    1789387218,
    0.36
   ],
   [
    1789430419,
    0.36
   ],
   [
    1789473620,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1789516820,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1789560032,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1789603223,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1789646423,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1789689626,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1789732827,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1789776028,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1789819228,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1789862427,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1789905623,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1789948823,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1789992018,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790035223,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790078423,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790121626,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790164837,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790208036,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790251226,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1790272822,
    0.265
   ]
  ],
  "OpenAI": [
   [
    1787616020,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1787659221,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1787702422,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1787745622,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1787788822,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1787832036,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1787875222,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1787918420,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1787961622,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1788004822,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1788048021,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1788091221,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1788134421,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1788177622,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1788220832,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1788264022,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1788307220,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1788350439,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1788393624,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1788436824,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1788480019,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1788523219,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1788566419,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1788609621,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1788652825,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1788696019,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1788739233,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1788782420,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1788825616,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1788868819,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1788912024,
    0.33
   ],
   [
    1788955222,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1788998419,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1789041619,
    0.35
   ],
   [
    1789084821,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1789128023,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1789171221,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1789214422,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1789257620,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1789300823,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1789344017,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1789387215,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1789430416,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1789473616,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1789516817,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1789560025,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1789603219,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1789646418,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1789689622,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1789732823,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1789776023,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1789819223,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1789862422,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1789905619,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1789948819,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1789992014,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1790035219,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1790078419,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1790121621,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1790164828,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1790208032,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1790251221,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1790272818,
    0.19
   ]
  ],
  "xAI": [
   [
    1787616020,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1787659221,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1787702421,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1787745622,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1787788822,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1787832036,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1787875221,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1787918420,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1787961622,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1788004821,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1788048021,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1788091221,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1788134421,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1788177622,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1788220832,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1788264022,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1788307220,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1788350439,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1788393624,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1788436823,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1788480019,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1788523219,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1788566419,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1788609621,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1788652825,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1788696019,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1788739233,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1788782420,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1788825616,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1788868819,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1788912024,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1788955222,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1788998419,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789041619,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789084821,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789128022,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789171221,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789214422,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789257620,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789300823,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789344017,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789387215,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789430416,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789473616,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789516817,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789560025,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789603219,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789646418,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789689622,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789732822,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789776023,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789819223,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789862422,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789905619,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789948819,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789992014,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790035219,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790078419,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790121621,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790164828,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790208031,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790251221,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790272818,
    0.125
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-companies-will-have-a-1-ai-model-by-december-31/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-companies-will-have-a-1-ai-model-by-december-31/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}