{
 "slug": "which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-mathematics-end-of-september",
 "title": "Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-mathematics-end-of-september/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-mathematics-end-of-september-20260728165020631",
 "category": "tech",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-09-25T00:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2026-09-30T16:00:00+00:00",
 "volume": 55656.22,
 "volume_24h": 341.25,
 "liquidity": 28228.65,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Anthropic",
   "probability": 0.94,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 18755.82,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "OpenAI",
   "probability": 0.04,
   "change_24h": -0.025,
   "volume": 17976.0,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "DeepSeek",
   "probability": 0.001,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 3338.71,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Google",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1550.24,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Microsoft",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1416.21,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Moonshot",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1069.85,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Tencent",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 933.61,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Nvidia",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 926.1,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "SpaceXAI",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 903.33,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "ByteDance",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 864.27,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Z.ai",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 847.52,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Alibaba",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 807.15,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Amazon",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 803.14,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Thinky",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 768.05,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "MiniMax",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 748.3,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Baidu",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 688.94,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "StepFun",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 686.27,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Mistral",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 682.12,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Meta",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 659.26,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Meituan",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 657.04,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Xiaomi",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 574.28,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Anthropic": [
   [
    1787659216,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1787702416,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1787745616,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1787788817,
    0.44
   ],
   [
    1787832031,
    0.46
   ],
   [
    1787875216,
    0.45
   ],
   [
    1787918413,
    0.45
   ],
   [
    1787961617,
    0.45
   ],
   [
    1788004816,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1788048016,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1788091215,
    0.435
   ],
   [
    1788134416,
    0.405
   ],
   [
    1788177615,
    0.41
   ],
   [
    1788220827,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1788264017,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1788307215,
    0.405
   ],
   [
    1788350432,
    0.4
   ],
   [
    1788393618,
    0.35
   ],
   [
    1788436817,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1788480016,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1788523215,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1788566416,
    0.775
   ],
   [
    1788609617,
    0.855
   ],
   [
    1788652822,
    0.92
   ],
   [
    1788696015,
    0.925
   ],
   [
    1788739230,
    0.945
   ],
   [
    1788782416,
    0.835
   ],
   [
    1788825614,
    0.88
   ],
   [
    1788868817,
    0.855
   ],
   [
    1788912021,
    0.875
   ],
   [
    1788955218,
    0.875
   ],
   [
    1788998416,
    0.87
   ],
   [
    1789041616,
    0.88
   ],
   [
    1789084817,
    0.885
   ],
   [
    1789128018,
    0.885
   ],
   [
    1789171217,
    0.885
   ],
   [
    1789214418,
    0.885
   ],
   [
    1789257616,
    0.885
   ],
   [
    1789300820,
    0.885
   ],
   [
    1789344014,
    0.885
   ],
   [
    1789387213,
    0.885
   ],
   [
    1789430413,
    0.885
   ],
   [
    1789473614,
    0.885
   ],
   [
    1789516815,
    0.885
   ],
   [
    1789560018,
    0.89
   ],
   [
    1789603215,
    0.885
   ],
   [
    1789646415,
    0.875
   ],
   [
    1789689618,
    0.875
   ],
   [
    1789732818,
    0.875
   ],
   [
    1789776018,
    0.875
   ],
   [
    1789819218,
    0.865
   ],
   [
    1789862418,
    0.865
   ],
   [
    1789905615,
    0.865
   ],
   [
    1789948814,
    0.865
   ],
   [
    1789992011,
    0.865
   ],
   [
    1790035215,
    0.87
   ],
   [
    1790078415,
    0.87
   ],
   [
    1790121616,
    0.92
   ],
   [
    1790164819,
    0.935
   ],
   [
    1790208027,
    0.94
   ],
   [
    1790251216,
    0.94
   ],
   [
    1790294419,
    0.94
   ],
   [
    1790298193,
    0.94
   ]
  ],
  "OpenAI": [
   [
    1787659226,
    0.65
   ],
   [
    1787702426,
    0.645
   ],
   [
    1787745628,
    0.645
   ],
   [
    1787788826,
    0.505
   ],
   [
    1787832040,
    0.51
   ],
   [
    1787875226,
    0.51
   ],
   [
    1787918425,
    0.51
   ],
   [
    1787961627,
    0.51
   ],
   [
    1788004826,
    0.51
   ],
   [
    1788048026,
    0.55
   ],
   [
    1788091225,
    0.565
   ],
   [
    1788134424,
    0.575
   ],
   [
    1788177627,
    0.575
   ],
   [
    1788220837,
    0.62
   ],
   [
    1788264027,
    0.745
   ],
   [
    1788307224,
    0.53
   ],
   [
    1788350444,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1788393629,
    0.625
   ],
   [
    1788436829,
    0.695
   ],
   [
    1788480021,
    0.735
   ],
   [
    1788523221,
    0.745
   ],
   [
    1788566421,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1788609624,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1788652827,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1788696022,
    0.06
   ],
   [
    1788739235,
    0.045
   ],
   [
    1788782424,
    0.045
   ],
   [
    1788825618,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1788868821,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1788912027,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1788955225,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1788998421,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1789041622,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1789084824,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1789128026,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1789171224,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1789214426,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1789257623,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1789300826,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1789344019,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1789387217,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1789430418,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1789473619,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1789516819,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1789560030,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1789603222,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1789646421,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1789689625,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1789732826,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1789776027,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1789819227,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1789862425,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1789905622,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1789948822,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1789992016,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790035222,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1790078422,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1790121624,
    0.06
   ],
   [
    1790164835,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1790208035,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1790251224,
    0.045
   ],
   [
    1790294428,
    0.04
   ],
   [
    1790298195,
    0.04
   ]
  ],
  "DeepSeek": [
   [
    1787659218,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1787702418,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1787745618,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1787788819,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1787832033,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1787875218,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1787918416,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1787961619,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1788004818,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1788048018,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1788091218,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1788134419,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1788177619,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1788220829,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1788264019,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1788307217,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1788350435,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1788393621,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1788436820,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1788480017,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1788523217,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1788566417,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1788609619,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1788652823,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1788696017,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1788739231,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1788782418,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1788825615,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1788868818,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1788912023,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1788955220,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1788998418,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1789041618,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1789084819,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1789128020,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1789171219,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1789214420,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1789257618,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1789300821,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1789344016,
    0.001
   ],
   [
    1789387214,
    0.001
   ],
   [
    1789430414,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1789473615,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1789516816,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1789560021,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1789603217,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1789646416,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1789689620,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1789732820,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1789776020,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1789819220,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1789862420,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1789905617,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1789948817,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1789992013,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1790035217,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1790078417,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1790121619,
    0.001
   ],
   [
    1790164824,
    0.001
   ],
   [
    1790208030,
    0.001
   ],
   [
    1790251219,
    0.001
   ],
   [
    1790294421,
    0.001
   ],
   [
    1790298194,
    0.001
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-mathematics-end-of-september/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-mathematics-end-of-september/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}