{
 "slug": "which-movie-has-biggest-opening-weekend-in-2026",
 "title": "Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-movie-has-biggest-opening-weekend-in-2026/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-movie-has-biggest-opening-weekend-in-2026",
 "category": "culture",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-09-23T15:49:17+00:00",
 "end_date": "2027-02-01T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 2247565.91,
 "volume_24h": 1625.52,
 "liquidity": 107253.1,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Avengers: Doomsday",
   "probability": 0.495,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume": 386027.18,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Spider-Man: Brand New Day",
   "probability": 0.495,
   "change_24h": 0.02,
   "volume": 216945.26,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Dune: Messiah",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 168184.71,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 74839.14,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Michael",
   "probability": 0.0,
   "change_24h": -0.002,
   "volume": 601009.1,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "The Odyssey",
   "probability": 0.0,
   "change_24h": -0.003,
   "volume": 229613.57,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "Toy Story 5",
   "probability": 0.0,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 220011.23,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "Wuthering Heights",
   "probability": 0.0,
   "change_24h": -0.0055,
   "volume": 122856.18,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "Project Hail Mary",
   "probability": 0.0,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 91481.22,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "Scream 7",
   "probability": 0.0,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 67647.55,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu",
   "probability": 0.0,
   "change_24h": -0.001,
   "volume": 47227.35,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie",
   "probability": 0.0,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 21723.42,
   "closed": true
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Avengers: Doomsday": [
   [
    1787529621,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1787572819,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1787616019,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1787659221,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1787702421,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1787745622,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1787788821,
    0.475
   ],
   [
    1787832036,
    0.505
   ],
   [
    1787875221,
    0.595
   ],
   [
    1787918419,
    0.585
   ],
   [
    1787961622,
    0.495
   ],
   [
    1788004821,
    0.485
   ],
   [
    1788048021,
    0.535
   ],
   [
    1788091220,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1788134420,
    0.555
   ],
   [
    1788177622,
    0.555
   ],
   [
    1788220832,
    0.565
   ],
   [
    1788264022,
    0.565
   ],
   [
    1788307219,
    0.565
   ],
   [
    1788350438,
    0.565
   ],
   [
    1788393623,
    0.565
   ],
   [
    1788436823,
    0.565
   ],
   [
    1788480018,
    0.565
   ],
   [
    1788523218,
    0.565
   ],
   [
    1788566418,
    0.565
   ],
   [
    1788609621,
    0.565
   ],
   [
    1788652824,
    0.565
   ],
   [
    1788696019,
    0.565
   ],
   [
    1788739233,
    0.54
   ],
   [
    1788782420,
    0.53
   ],
   [
    1788825616,
    0.53
   ],
   [
    1788868819,
    0.525
   ],
   [
    1788912024,
    0.485
   ],
   [
    1788955222,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1788998419,
    0.435
   ],
   [
    1789041619,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1789084821,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1789128022,
    0.475
   ],
   [
    1789171221,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1789214422,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1789257619,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1789300823,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1789344017,
    0.53
   ],
   [
    1789387215,
    0.535
   ],
   [
    1789430416,
    0.535
   ],
   [
    1789473616,
    0.535
   ],
   [
    1789516817,
    0.535
   ],
   [
    1789560024,
    0.525
   ],
   [
    1789603218,
    0.525
   ],
   [
    1789646418,
    0.525
   ],
   [
    1789689622,
    0.525
   ],
   [
    1789732822,
    0.515
   ],
   [
    1789776022,
    0.515
   ],
   [
    1789819222,
    0.525
   ],
   [
    1789862422,
    0.53
   ],
   [
    1789905619,
    0.53
   ],
   [
    1789948818,
    0.515
   ],
   [
    1789992014,
    0.505
   ],
   [
    1790035219,
    0.515
   ],
   [
    1790078418,
    0.49
   ],
   [
    1790121620,
    0.495
   ],
   [
    1790164828,
    0.495
   ],
   [
    1790178612,
    0.495
   ]
  ],
  "Spider-Man: Brand New Day": [
   [
    1787529618,
    0.665
   ],
   [
    1787572816,
    0.665
   ],
   [
    1787616016,
    0.645
   ],
   [
    1787659217,
    0.645
   ],
   [
    1787702417,
    0.635
   ],
   [
    1787745617,
    0.635
   ],
   [
    1787788818,
    0.535
   ],
   [
    1787832032,
    0.505
   ],
   [
    1787875217,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1787918415,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1787961618,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1788004817,
    0.485
   ],
   [
    1788048017,
    0.465
   ],
   [
    1788091217,
    0.465
   ],
   [
    1788134418,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1788177618,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1788220828,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1788264018,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1788307216,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1788350434,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1788393620,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1788436819,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1788480017,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1788523216,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1788566417,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1788609619,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1788652822,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1788696016,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1788739231,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1788782417,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1788825615,
    0.475
   ],
   [
    1788868817,
    0.475
   ],
   [
    1788912022,
    0.525
   ],
   [
    1788955219,
    0.545
   ],
   [
    1788998417,
    0.555
   ],
   [
    1789041617,
    0.555
   ],
   [
    1789084818,
    0.535
   ],
   [
    1789128020,
    0.465
   ],
   [
    1789171219,
    0.465
   ],
   [
    1789214419,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1789257617,
    0.425
   ],
   [
    1789300821,
    0.4
   ],
   [
    1789344015,
    0.405
   ],
   [
    1789387214,
    0.405
   ],
   [
    1789430414,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1789473614,
    0.395
   ],
   [
    1789516815,
    0.46
   ],
   [
    1789560020,
    0.465
   ],
   [
    1789603216,
    0.45
   ],
   [
    1789646416,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1789689619,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1789732820,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1789776020,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1789819220,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1789862419,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1789905616,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1789948816,
    0.445
   ],
   [
    1789992012,
    0.505
   ],
   [
    1790035216,
    0.46
   ],
   [
    1790078416,
    0.47
   ],
   [
    1790121618,
    0.49
   ],
   [
    1790164822,
    0.49
   ],
   [
    1790178611,
    0.495
   ]
  ],
  "Dune: Messiah": [
   [
    1787529614,
    0.0035
   ],
   [
    1787572812,
    0.0035
   ],
   [
    1787616012,
    0.0035
   ],
   [
    1787659212,
    0.0035
   ],
   [
    1787702412,
    0.0035
   ],
   [
    1787745611,
    0.0025
   ],
   [
    1787788814,
    0.0025
   ],
   [
    1787832028,
    0.0025
   ],
   [
    1787875212,
    0.0035
   ],
   [
    1787918409,
    0.0025
   ],
   [
    1787961613,
    0.003
   ],
   [
    1788004813,
    0.003
   ],
   [
    1788048012,
    0.003
   ],
   [
    1788091212,
    0.0025
   ],
   [
    1788134415,
    0.0025
   ],
   [
    1788177612,
    0.0025
   ],
   [
    1788220823,
    0.0025
   ],
   [
    1788264013,
    0.0025
   ],
   [
    1788307212,
    0.0025
   ],
   [
    1788350428,
    0.0025
   ],
   [
    1788393615,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1788436812,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1788480015,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1788523213,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1788566413,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1788609614,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1788652819,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1788696012,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1788739227,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1788782412,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1788825612,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1788868813,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1788912018,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1788955214,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1788998414,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1789041613,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1789084814,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1789128015,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1789171214,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1789214414,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1789257613,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1789300817,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1789344012,
    0.0015
   ],
   [
    1789387212,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1789430412,
    0.001
   ],
   [
    1789473612,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1789516813,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1789560012,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1789603212,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1789646412,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1789689615,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1789732814,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1789776015,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1789819215,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1789862415,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1789905612,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1789948812,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1789992010,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1790035213,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1790078412,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1790121613,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1790164814,
    0.0005
   ],
   [
    1790178610,
    0.0005
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-movie-has-biggest-opening-weekend-in-2026/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-movie-has-biggest-opening-weekend-in-2026/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}