{
 "slug": "who-will-be-the-next-secretary-general-of-the-un",
 "title": "Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/who-will-be-the-next-secretary-general-of-the-un/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-secretary-general-of-the-un",
 "category": "other",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-08T12:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2027-07-01T03:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 86036.59,
 "volume_24h": 630.43,
 "liquidity": 3386.23,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Rebeca Grynspan",
   "probability": 0.4585,
   "change_24h": -0.0365,
   "volume": 5783.46,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Rafael Grossi",
   "probability": 0.365,
   "change_24h": 0.27,
   "volume": 23945.2,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Achim Steiner",
   "probability": 0.296,
   "change_24h": 0.058,
   "volume": 2570.68,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Colombe Cahen-Salvador",
   "probability": 0.282,
   "change_24h": 0.041,
   "volume": 2699.11,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Kristalina Georgieva",
   "probability": 0.2765,
   "change_24h": 0.048,
   "volume": 1926.53,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés",
   "probability": 0.125,
   "change_24h": -0.0075,
   "volume": 3067.06,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Jacinda Ardern",
   "probability": 0.0385,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1904.27,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Michelle Bachelet",
   "probability": 0.0135,
   "change_24h": 0.0005,
   "volume": 28402.58,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Amina Mohammed",
   "probability": 0.0115,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 3912.49,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Mia Mottley",
   "probability": 0.0115,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 2055.93,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Bruno Donat",
   "probability": 0.01,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 2422.2,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Alicia Bárcena",
   "probability": 0.005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 2101.43,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Vuk Jeremić",
   "probability": 0.0015,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 2602.02,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "David Choquehuanca",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 2643.62,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Rebeca Grynspan": [
   [
    1788912023,
    0.2395
   ],
   [
    1788955220,
    0.2405
   ],
   [
    1788998418,
    0.241
   ],
   [
    1789041618,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1789084819,
    0.2405
   ],
   [
    1789128021,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1789171220,
    0.2425
   ],
   [
    1789214420,
    0.2435
   ],
   [
    1789257618,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1789300822,
    0.2455
   ],
   [
    1789344016,
    0.2405
   ],
   [
    1789387214,
    0.2845
   ],
   [
    1789430415,
    0.2875
   ],
   [
    1789473615,
    0.2845
   ],
   [
    1789516816,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1789560022,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1789603217,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1789646417,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1789689620,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1789732821,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1789776021,
    0.2905
   ],
   [
    1789819221,
    0.2905
   ],
   [
    1789862420,
    0.291
   ],
   [
    1789905617,
    0.291
   ],
   [
    1789948817,
    0.291
   ],
   [
    1789992013,
    0.291
   ],
   [
    1790035218,
    0.361
   ],
   [
    1790078417,
    0.361
   ],
   [
    1790121619,
    0.362
   ],
   [
    1790164824,
    0.3625
   ],
   [
    1790208030,
    0.3645
   ],
   [
    1790251219,
    0.366
   ],
   [
    1790294422,
    0.3675
   ],
   [
    1790337618,
    0.556
   ],
   [
    1790380818,
    0.56
   ],
   [
    1790424017,
    0.561
   ],
   [
    1790467217,
    0.419
   ],
   [
    1790510416,
    0.405
   ],
   [
    1790553631,
    0.436
   ],
   [
    1790596817,
    0.436
   ],
   [
    1790640018,
    0.425
   ],
   [
    1790683220,
    0.4285
   ],
   [
    1790726420,
    0.433
   ],
   [
    1790769619,
    0.433
   ],
   [
    1790812821,
    0.437
   ],
   [
    1790856020,
    0.5415
   ],
   [
    1790899219,
    0.5925
   ],
   [
    1790942419,
    0.547
   ],
   [
    1790985622,
    0.51
   ],
   [
    1791028820,
    0.5195
   ],
   [
    1791072019,
    0.516
   ],
   [
    1791115221,
    0.5145
   ],
   [
    1791158423,
    0.537
   ],
   [
    1791201622,
    0.519
   ],
   [
    1791244821,
    0.5165
   ],
   [
    1791288025,
    0.6235
   ],
   [
    1791331225,
    0.584
   ],
   [
    1791374437,
    0.495
   ],
   [
    1791417637,
    0.427
   ],
   [
    1791460847,
    0.4615
   ],
   [
    1791465381,
    0.4585
   ]
  ],
  "Rafael Grossi": [
   [
    1788912025,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1788955223,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1788998420,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1789041620,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1789084822,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1789128024,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1789171222,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1789214424,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1789257621,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1789300824,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1789344018,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1789387216,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1789430417,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1789473617,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1789516818,
    0.33
   ],
   [
    1789560027,
    0.405
   ],
   [
    1789603220,
    0.405
   ],
   [
    1789646419,
    0.38
   ],
   [
    1789689623,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1789732824,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1789776024,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1789819224,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1789862423,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1789905620,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1789948820,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1789992015,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1790035220,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1790078420,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1790121622,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1790164830,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1790208033,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1790251222,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1790294425,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1790337620,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1790380820,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1790424019,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1790467220,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1790510419,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790553634,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790596819,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790640021,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1790683223,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1790726422,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790769622,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1790812824,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790856023,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1790899222,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1790942421,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1790985625,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1791028823,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1791072021,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1791115224,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1791158426,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1791201625,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1791244825,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1791288029,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1791331229,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1791374448,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1791417647,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1791460858,
    0.36
   ],
   [
    1791465324,
    0.38
   ]
  ],
  "Achim Steiner": [
   [
    1788912027,
    0.3975
   ],
   [
    1788955226,
    0.371
   ],
   [
    1788998421,
    0.39
   ],
   [
    1789041622,
    0.3995
   ],
   [
    1789084824,
    0.3665
   ],
   [
    1789128026,
    0.3745
   ],
   [
    1789171224,
    0.3445
   ],
   [
    1789214426,
    0.3435
   ],
   [
    1789257623,
    0.3455
   ],
   [
    1789300827,
    0.3775
   ],
   [
    1789344020,
    0.342
   ],
   [
    1789387218,
    0.3335
   ],
   [
    1789430418,
    0.3465
   ],
   [
    1789473619,
    0.3465
   ],
   [
    1789516819,
    0.347
   ],
   [
    1789560031,
    0.3485
   ],
   [
    1789603222,
    0.379
   ],
   [
    1789646422,
    0.348
   ],
   [
    1789689625,
    0.3435
   ],
   [
    1789732826,
    0.357
   ],
   [
    1789776027,
    0.3815
   ],
   [
    1789819227,
    0.346
   ],
   [
    1789862426,
    0.376
   ],
   [
    1789905623,
    0.364
   ],
   [
    1789948822,
    0.3585
   ],
   [
    1789992017,
    0.3475
   ],
   [
    1790035223,
    0.3385
   ],
   [
    1790078422,
    0.353
   ],
   [
    1790121625,
    0.314
   ],
   [
    1790164836,
    0.3215
   ],
   [
    1790208035,
    0.341
   ],
   [
    1790251225,
    0.337
   ],
   [
    1790294428,
    0.117
   ],
   [
    1790337623,
    0.116
   ],
   [
    1790380822,
    0.1355
   ],
   [
    1790424021,
    0.124
   ],
   [
    1790467222,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1790510422,
    0.1215
   ],
   [
    1790553636,
    0.102
   ],
   [
    1790596821,
    0.1035
   ],
   [
    1790640023,
    0.1355
   ],
   [
    1790683226,
    0.1235
   ],
   [
    1790726425,
    0.1205
   ],
   [
    1790769625,
    0.1125
   ],
   [
    1790812827,
    0.1245
   ],
   [
    1790856026,
    0.142
   ],
   [
    1790899225,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1790942424,
    0.113
   ],
   [
    1790985629,
    0.108
   ],
   [
    1791028827,
    0.143
   ],
   [
    1791072024,
    0.142
   ],
   [
    1791115227,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1791158430,
    0.2885
   ],
   [
    1791201630,
    0.3425
   ],
   [
    1791244828,
    0.3085
   ],
   [
    1791288032,
    0.278
   ],
   [
    1791331233,
    0.2155
   ],
   [
    1791417658,
    0.2495
   ],
   [
    1791465326,
    0.2745
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/who-will-be-the-next-secretary-general-of-the-un/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/who-will-be-the-next-secretary-general-of-the-un/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}