{
 "slug": "who-will-be-the-next-to-leave-the-trump-cabinet-474",
 "title": "Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/who-will-be-the-next-to-leave-the-trump-cabinet-474/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-to-leave-the-trump-cabinet-474",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-09-24T16:13:36+00:00",
 "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 73761.76,
 "volume_24h": 865.42,
 "liquidity": 230343.04,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "None before 2027",
   "probability": 0.5705,
   "change_24h": 0.05,
   "volume": 31521.05,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Pete Hegseth",
   "probability": 0.0895,
   "change_24h": -0.0055,
   "volume": 2549.68,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Susie Wiles",
   "probability": 0.08,
   "change_24h": -0.0005,
   "volume": 3929.98,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Robert F. Kennedy Jr.",
   "probability": 0.0725,
   "change_24h": -0.001,
   "volume": 19358.65,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Mike Waltz",
   "probability": 0.0535,
   "change_24h": -0.034,
   "volume": 1000.16,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Scott Bessent",
   "probability": 0.0405,
   "change_24h": 0.001,
   "volume": 2976.15,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Marco Rubio",
   "probability": 0.04,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 687.69,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Doug Burgum",
   "probability": 0.03,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1124.57,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "John Ratcliffe",
   "probability": 0.0235,
   "change_24h": 0.003,
   "volume": 716.31,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Brooke Rollins",
   "probability": 0.022,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 934.34,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Russell T. Vought",
   "probability": 0.02,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 695.15,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "J.D. Vance",
   "probability": 0.0135,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 729.53,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Scott Turner",
   "probability": 0.0135,
   "change_24h": 0.002,
   "volume": 489.29,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Sean Duffy",
   "probability": 0.011,
   "change_24h": 0.0005,
   "volume": 818.03,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Linda McMahon",
   "probability": 0.007,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1093.92,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Chris Wright",
   "probability": 0.007,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 888.39,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Jamieson Greer",
   "probability": 0.007,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 682.06,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Howard Lutnick",
   "probability": 0.0065,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1017.85,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Doug Collins",
   "probability": 0.0065,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 791.74,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Kelly Loeffler",
   "probability": 0.006,
   "change_24h": -0.001,
   "volume": 960.51,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Lee Zeldin",
   "probability": 0.0055,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 796.74,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "None before 2027": [
   [
    1787616023,
    0.4795
   ],
   [
    1787659226,
    0.4795
   ],
   [
    1787702426,
    0.4795
   ],
   [
    1787745627,
    0.4795
   ],
   [
    1787788825,
    0.481
   ],
   [
    1787832040,
    0.481
   ],
   [
    1787875226,
    0.481
   ],
   [
    1787918425,
    0.481
   ],
   [
    1787961626,
    0.481
   ],
   [
    1788004826,
    0.481
   ],
   [
    1788048025,
    0.481
   ],
   [
    1788091225,
    0.481
   ],
   [
    1788134423,
    0.48
   ],
   [
    1788177627,
    0.4805
   ],
   [
    1788220837,
    0.4805
   ],
   [
    1788264027,
    0.481
   ],
   [
    1788307224,
    0.481
   ],
   [
    1788350444,
    0.478
   ],
   [
    1788393629,
    0.478
   ],
   [
    1788436829,
    0.478
   ],
   [
    1788480021,
    0.4775
   ],
   [
    1788523221,
    0.473
   ],
   [
    1788566421,
    0.4735
   ],
   [
    1788609624,
    0.499
   ],
   [
    1788652827,
    0.499
   ],
   [
    1788696022,
    0.499
   ],
   [
    1788739235,
    0.4995
   ],
   [
    1788782424,
    0.4995
   ],
   [
    1788825618,
    0.4995
   ],
   [
    1788868821,
    0.5075
   ],
   [
    1788912027,
    0.5985
   ],
   [
    1788955225,
    0.666
   ],
   [
    1788998421,
    0.544
   ],
   [
    1789041622,
    0.5555
   ],
   [
    1789084824,
    0.5645
   ],
   [
    1789128026,
    0.5625
   ],
   [
    1789171224,
    0.5635
   ],
   [
    1789214426,
    0.5405
   ],
   [
    1789257623,
    0.5615
   ],
   [
    1789300826,
    0.5085
   ],
   [
    1789344019,
    0.5815
   ],
   [
    1789387217,
    0.633
   ],
   [
    1789430418,
    0.6435
   ],
   [
    1789473619,
    0.6435
   ],
   [
    1789516819,
    0.647
   ],
   [
    1789560030,
    0.6485
   ],
   [
    1789603222,
    0.6485
   ],
   [
    1789646421,
    0.6485
   ],
   [
    1789689625,
    0.5805
   ],
   [
    1789732826,
    0.5845
   ],
   [
    1789776026,
    0.5895
   ],
   [
    1789819227,
    0.5955
   ],
   [
    1789862425,
    0.6095
   ],
   [
    1789905622,
    0.6195
   ],
   [
    1789948822,
    0.6195
   ],
   [
    1789992016,
    0.6195
   ],
   [
    1790035222,
    0.562
   ],
   [
    1790078422,
    0.6065
   ],
   [
    1790121624,
    0.5445
   ],
   [
    1790164835,
    0.5195
   ],
   [
    1790208035,
    0.6195
   ],
   [
    1790251224,
    0.5705
   ],
   [
    1790267056,
    0.5705
   ]
  ],
  "Pete Hegseth": [
   [
    1787616017,
    0.036
   ],
   [
    1787659218,
    0.036
   ],
   [
    1787702418,
    0.036
   ],
   [
    1787745618,
    0.036
   ],
   [
    1787788819,
    0.036
   ],
   [
    1787832033,
    0.036
   ],
   [
    1787875218,
    0.038
   ],
   [
    1787918416,
    0.038
   ],
   [
    1787961619,
    0.038
   ],
   [
    1788004818,
    0.038
   ],
   [
    1788048018,
    0.038
   ],
   [
    1788091218,
    0.038
   ],
   [
    1788134419,
    0.0265
   ],
   [
    1788177619,
    0.0345
   ],
   [
    1788220829,
    0.0345
   ],
   [
    1788264019,
    0.0345
   ],
   [
    1788307217,
    0.0435
   ],
   [
    1788350435,
    0.06
   ],
   [
    1788393621,
    0.0615
   ],
   [
    1788436820,
    0.189
   ],
   [
    1788480017,
    0.149
   ],
   [
    1788523217,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1788566417,
    0.208
   ],
   [
    1788609619,
    0.1245
   ],
   [
    1788652823,
    0.0865
   ],
   [
    1788696017,
    0.071
   ],
   [
    1788739231,
    0.0995
   ],
   [
    1788782418,
    0.0735
   ],
   [
    1788825615,
    0.0795
   ],
   [
    1788868818,
    0.1425
   ],
   [
    1788912023,
    0.0665
   ],
   [
    1788955220,
    0.059
   ],
   [
    1788998418,
    0.055
   ],
   [
    1789041618,
    0.0545
   ],
   [
    1789084819,
    0.056
   ],
   [
    1789128020,
    0.0545
   ],
   [
    1789171219,
    0.0545
   ],
   [
    1789214420,
    0.0605
   ],
   [
    1789257618,
    0.0715
   ],
   [
    1789300821,
    0.0755
   ],
   [
    1789344015,
    0.0805
   ],
   [
    1789387214,
    0.142
   ],
   [
    1789430414,
    0.093
   ],
   [
    1789473615,
    0.0775
   ],
   [
    1789516816,
    0.063
   ],
   [
    1789560021,
    0.063
   ],
   [
    1789603216,
    0.063
   ],
   [
    1789646416,
    0.063
   ],
   [
    1789689620,
    0.0565
   ],
   [
    1789732820,
    0.062
   ],
   [
    1789776020,
    0.0615
   ],
   [
    1789819220,
    0.0605
   ],
   [
    1789862419,
    0.061
   ],
   [
    1789905617,
    0.0815
   ],
   [
    1789948817,
    0.0775
   ],
   [
    1789992012,
    0.0895
   ],
   [
    1790035217,
    0.091
   ],
   [
    1790078416,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1790121618,
    0.097
   ],
   [
    1790164823,
    0.097
   ],
   [
    1790208029,
    0.0895
   ],
   [
    1790251218,
    0.0895
   ],
   [
    1790267054,
    0.0885
   ]
  ],
  "Susie Wiles": [
   [
    1787616020,
    0.0665
   ],
   [
    1787659222,
    0.062
   ],
   [
    1787702422,
    0.0665
   ],
   [
    1787745623,
    0.067
   ],
   [
    1787788822,
    0.068
   ],
   [
    1787832037,
    0.0655
   ],
   [
    1787875222,
    0.064
   ],
   [
    1787918420,
    0.067
   ],
   [
    1787961623,
    0.0635
   ],
   [
    1788004822,
    0.0685
   ],
   [
    1788048022,
    0.062
   ],
   [
    1788091221,
    0.0665
   ],
   [
    1788134421,
    0.0465
   ],
   [
    1788177623,
    0.0595
   ],
   [
    1788220833,
    0.066
   ],
   [
    1788264023,
    0.049
   ],
   [
    1788307220,
    0.059
   ],
   [
    1788350439,
    0.059
   ],
   [
    1788393624,
    0.0675
   ],
   [
    1788436824,
    0.064
   ],
   [
    1788480019,
    0.0675
   ],
   [
    1788523219,
    0.0765
   ],
   [
    1788566419,
    0.0775
   ],
   [
    1788609621,
    0.074
   ],
   [
    1788652825,
    0.073
   ],
   [
    1788696019,
    0.073
   ],
   [
    1788739233,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1788782421,
    0.076
   ],
   [
    1788825616,
    0.078
   ],
   [
    1788868819,
    0.074
   ],
   [
    1788912024,
    0.0535
   ],
   [
    1788955222,
    0.0535
   ],
   [
    1788998419,
    0.053
   ],
   [
    1789041620,
    0.067
   ],
   [
    1789084821,
    0.059
   ],
   [
    1789128023,
    0.069
   ],
   [
    1789171221,
    0.0675
   ],
   [
    1789214423,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1789257620,
    0.066
   ],
   [
    1789300824,
    0.0655
   ],
   [
    1789344017,
    0.0685
   ],
   [
    1789387216,
    0.0655
   ],
   [
    1789430416,
    0.079
   ],
   [
    1789473616,
    0.0775
   ],
   [
    1789516817,
    0.0775
   ],
   [
    1789560025,
    0.0775
   ],
   [
    1789603219,
    0.078
   ],
   [
    1789646419,
    0.078
   ],
   [
    1789689622,
    0.0845
   ],
   [
    1789732823,
    0.084
   ],
   [
    1789776023,
    0.0835
   ],
   [
    1789819223,
    0.0795
   ],
   [
    1789862422,
    0.081
   ],
   [
    1789905619,
    0.08
   ],
   [
    1789948819,
    0.0805
   ],
   [
    1789992014,
    0.083
   ],
   [
    1790035219,
    0.084
   ],
   [
    1790078419,
    0.086
   ],
   [
    1790121621,
    0.0805
   ],
   [
    1790164829,
    0.0805
   ],
   [
    1790208032,
    0.08
   ],
   [
    1790251221,
    0.08
   ],
   [
    1790267055,
    0.08
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/who-will-be-the-next-to-leave-the-trump-cabinet-474/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/who-will-be-the-next-to-leave-the-trump-cabinet-474/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}