{
 "slug": "who-will-receive-the-second-mandate-to-form-israels-next-government",
 "title": "Who will receive the second mandate to form Israel's next government?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/who-will-receive-the-second-mandate-to-form-israels-next-government/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-receive-the-second-mandate-to-form-israels-next-government-20261105190000000",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-11-09T00:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2028-01-01T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 23919.8,
 "volume_24h": 16078.17,
 "liquidity": 85096.59,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Benjamin Netanyahu",
   "probability": 0.585,
   "change_24h": 0.235,
   "volume": 5833.48,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "No second mandate",
   "probability": 0.405,
   "change_24h": -0.075,
   "volume": 4466.06,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Yair Golan",
   "probability": 0.01,
   "change_24h": -0.065,
   "volume": 751.48,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Avigdor Lieberman",
   "probability": 0.006,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 772.78,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Ayelet Shaked",
   "probability": 0.0055,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1093.87,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Moshe Feiglin",
   "probability": 0.0055,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 784.94,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Yossi Cohen",
   "probability": 0.0055,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 748.51,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Yariv Levin",
   "probability": 0.0055,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 596.57,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Naftali Bennett",
   "probability": 0.005,
   "change_24h": -0.006,
   "volume": 1100.14,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Gadi Eizenkot",
   "probability": 0.005,
   "change_24h": -0.0005,
   "volume": 1028.46,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Eli Cohen",
   "probability": 0.005,
   "change_24h": -0.0005,
   "volume": 804.3,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Benny Gantz",
   "probability": 0.005,
   "change_24h": -0.0165,
   "volume": 803.04,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Yoaz Hendel",
   "probability": 0.005,
   "change_24h": -0.0005,
   "volume": 785.4,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Gideon Sa’ar",
   "probability": 0.005,
   "change_24h": -0.0005,
   "volume": 777.05,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Yair Lapid",
   "probability": 0.005,
   "change_24h": -0.0005,
   "volume": 728.54,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Ofer Winter",
   "probability": 0.005,
   "change_24h": -0.0005,
   "volume": 687.47,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Itamar Ben Gvir",
   "probability": 0.005,
   "change_24h": -0.0065,
   "volume": 677.68,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Israel Katz",
   "probability": 0.005,
   "change_24h": -0.0005,
   "volume": 668.53,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Nir Barkat",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume": 284.14,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Gilad Erdan",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume": 275.72,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Amir Ohana",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume": 251.64,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Benjamin Netanyahu": [
   [
    1794052851,
    0.43
   ],
   [
    1794139248,
    0.52
   ],
   [
    1794182458,
    0.55
   ],
   [
    1794186324,
    0.59
   ]
  ],
  "No second mandate": [
   [
    1794052833,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1794096043,
    0.53
   ],
   [
    1794139231,
    0.39
   ],
   [
    1794182443,
    0.415
   ],
   [
    1794186322,
    0.4
   ]
  ],
  "Yair Golan": [
   [
    1794052817,
    0.05
   ],
   [
    1794096027,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1794139216,
    0.01
   ],
   [
    1794182430,
    0.01
   ],
   [
    1794186613,
    0.01
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/who-will-receive-the-second-mandate-to-form-israels-next-government/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/who-will-receive-the-second-mandate-to-form-israels-next-government/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}