{
 "slug": "who-wins-the-senate-pending-hormuz-agreement-and-oil-below-80",
 "title": "Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/who-wins-the-senate-pending-hormuz-agreement-and-oil-below-80/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-wins-the-senate-pending-hormuz-agreement-and-oil-below-80",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-16T12:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 72223.02,
 "volume_24h": 21240.52,
 "liquidity": 1650771.91,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate",
   "probability": 0.5835,
   "change_24h": -0.0005,
   "volume": 7334.74,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate",
   "probability": 0.3315,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 9653.09,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate",
   "probability": 0.0425,
   "change_24h": -0.0075,
   "volume": 25333.87,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate",
   "probability": 0.0335,
   "change_24h": -0.0075,
   "volume": 29901.33,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate": [
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    1791849640,
    0.587
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   [
    1791892837,
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   [
    1791936038,
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   [
    1791979250,
    0.585
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   [
    1792022455,
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   [
    1792065641,
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   [
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   [
    1792152042,
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   [
    1792155743,
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  "No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate": [
   [
    1791849630,
    0.33
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   [
    1791892827,
    0.327
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   [
    1791936028,
    0.325
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   [
    1791979239,
    0.3285
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   [
    1792022443,
    0.3315
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   [
    1792065627,
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   [
    1792108828,
    0.3315
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   [
    1792152029,
    0.3315
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   [
    1792155741,
    0.3315
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  ],
  "Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate": [
   [
    1791849632,
    0.0465
   ],
   [
    1791892828,
    0.0495
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   [
    1791936030,
    0.05
   ],
   [
    1791979240,
    0.05
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   [
    1792022445,
    0.05
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   [
    1792065629,
    0.05
   ],
   [
    1792108830,
    0.044
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   [
    1792152031,
    0.0435
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   [
    1792155741,
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  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/who-wins-the-senate-pending-hormuz-agreement-and-oil-below-80/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/who-wins-the-senate-pending-hormuz-agreement-and-oil-below-80/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}
