{
 "slug": "wi-01-house-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "title": "WI-01 House Election Margin of Victory",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/wi-01-house-margin-of-victory-2026/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/wi-01-house-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-24T00:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 21524.52,
 "volume_24h": 2545.55,
 "liquidity": 94867.05,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Democrat 0-3%",
   "probability": 0.19,
   "change_24h": -0.025,
   "volume": 7257.01,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 3-6%",
   "probability": 0.185,
   "change_24h": -0.01,
   "volume": 2853.86,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 0-3%",
   "probability": 0.13,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume": 4686.29,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 6-9%",
   "probability": 0.126,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1784.44,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 12%+",
   "probability": 0.065,
   "change_24h": -0.155,
   "volume": 2276.43,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 3-6%",
   "probability": 0.065,
   "change_24h": -0.0135,
   "volume": 1330.81,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 6-9%",
   "probability": 0.0365,
   "change_24h": 0.001,
   "volume": 395.84,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 9-12%",
   "probability": 0.0345,
   "change_24h": 0.002,
   "volume": 261.1,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat 12%+",
   "probability": 0.015,
   "change_24h": 0.0005,
   "volume": 451.06,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 9-12%",
   "probability": 0.011,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 227.69,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Democrat 0-3%": [
   [
    1790251222,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1790294425,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1790337620,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1790380820,
    0.38
   ],
   [
    1790424019,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1790467219,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1790510419,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1790553633,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1790596819,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1790640020,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1790683222,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1790726422,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1790769621,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1790812824,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1790856022,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1790899222,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1790942421,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1790985625,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1791028823,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1791072021,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1791115224,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1791158426,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1791201625,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1791244824,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1791288028,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1791331228,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1791374447,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1791417646,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791460857,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1791504048,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1791547249,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791590429,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1791633635,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1791676836,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1791720036,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1791763246,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1791806433,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1791849639,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1791892837,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1791936038,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1791979249,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1792022455,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1792065641,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1792108840,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1792152041,
    0.36
   ],
   [
    1792195246,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1792238442,
    0.295
   ],
   [
    1792324854,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1792368039,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1792411238,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1792454439,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1792497641,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1792540842,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1792584043,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1792670442,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1792713658,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1792756842,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1792800052,
    0.2
   ]
  ],
  "Republican 3-6%": [
   [
    1790251226,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790294429,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790337623,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790380822,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790424022,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1790467222,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1790510422,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1790553636,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1790596822,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1790640023,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1790683226,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790726425,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790769625,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790812827,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790856027,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790899226,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790942425,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790985629,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1791028827,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1791072025,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1791115227,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1791158430,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1791201630,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1791244828,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1791288033,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1791331233,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1791417659,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1791590434,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1791633641,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1791676842,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1791720043,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1791763252,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1791806439,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1791849647,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1791892844,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1791936045,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1791979258,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1792065651,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1792108848,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1792152050,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1792195255,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1792238452,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1792368048,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1792411248,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1792454448,
    0.08
   ],
   [
    1792497652,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1792540853,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1792584055,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1792670454,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1792756851,
    0.15
   ]
  ],
  "Republican 0-3%": [
   [
    1790251223,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1790294427,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1790337621,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1790380821,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1790424020,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1790467221,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1790510420,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1790553635,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1790596820,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1790640022,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1790683224,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1790726423,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1790769623,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1790812825,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1790856024,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1790899223,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1790942423,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1790985627,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1791028824,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1791072022,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1791115225,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1791158428,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1791201627,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1791244826,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1791288030,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1791331230,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1791374453,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1791417652,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1791504055,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1791547255,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1791590432,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1791633638,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1791676839,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1791720039,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1791763249,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1791806436,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1791849643,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1791892840,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1791936041,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1791979253,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1792022458,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1792065645,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1792108844,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1792152045,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1792195250,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1792238446,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1792324859,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1792368043,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1792411243,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1792454443,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1792497646,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1792540847,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1792584048,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1792670448,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1792756846,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1792800056,
    0.13
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/wi-01-house-margin-of-victory-2026/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/wi-01-house-margin-of-victory-2026/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}
