{
 "slug": "will-a-us-ally-get-a-nuke-before-2027",
 "title": "Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-a-us-ally-get-a-nuke-before-2027/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-a-us-ally-get-a-nuke-before-2027",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-12T12:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 215153.62,
 "volume_24h": 1900.44,
 "liquidity": 35692.96,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.037,
   "change_24h": -0.013,
   "volume": 215153.62,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "No",
   "probability": 0.963,
   "change_24h": 0.013,
   "volume": null,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Yes": [
   [
    1789257616,
    0.053
   ],
   [
    1789300820,
    0.054
   ],
   [
    1789344014,
    0.0515
   ],
   [
    1789387213,
    0.0515
   ],
   [
    1789430413,
    0.0515
   ],
   [
    1789473614,
    0.0515
   ],
   [
    1789516815,
    0.054
   ],
   [
    1789560018,
    0.054
   ],
   [
    1789603215,
    0.054
   ],
   [
    1789646415,
    0.0535
   ],
   [
    1789689618,
    0.0535
   ],
   [
    1789732818,
    0.0535
   ],
   [
    1789776018,
    0.0535
   ],
   [
    1789819218,
    0.0535
   ],
   [
    1789862418,
    0.0535
   ],
   [
    1789905615,
    0.053
   ],
   [
    1789948815,
    0.053
   ],
   [
    1789992012,
    0.054
   ],
   [
    1790035215,
    0.0535
   ],
   [
    1790078415,
    0.0535
   ],
   [
    1790121616,
    0.054
   ],
   [
    1790164820,
    0.054
   ],
   [
    1790208028,
    0.054
   ],
   [
    1790251217,
    0.054
   ],
   [
    1790294419,
    0.054
   ],
   [
    1790337616,
    0.054
   ],
   [
    1790380816,
    0.054
   ],
   [
    1790424015,
    0.05
   ],
   [
    1790467215,
    0.0475
   ],
   [
    1790510415,
    0.0475
   ],
   [
    1790553630,
    0.0475
   ],
   [
    1790596815,
    0.0475
   ],
   [
    1790640016,
    0.0475
   ],
   [
    1790683218,
    0.0515
   ],
   [
    1790726418,
    0.051
   ],
   [
    1790769617,
    0.051
   ],
   [
    1790812819,
    0.051
   ],
   [
    1790856018,
    0.051
   ],
   [
    1790899217,
    0.051
   ],
   [
    1790942417,
    0.051
   ],
   [
    1790985621,
    0.051
   ],
   [
    1791028818,
    0.051
   ],
   [
    1791072017,
    0.051
   ],
   [
    1791115219,
    0.048
   ],
   [
    1791158420,
    0.046
   ],
   [
    1791201619,
    0.046
   ],
   [
    1791244819,
    0.0465
   ],
   [
    1791288022,
    0.0465
   ],
   [
    1791331222,
    0.0465
   ],
   [
    1791374430,
    0.0465
   ],
   [
    1791417630,
    0.0465
   ],
   [
    1791460839,
    0.0495
   ],
   [
    1791504030,
    0.0495
   ],
   [
    1791547230,
    0.05
   ],
   [
    1791590423,
    0.05
   ],
   [
    1791633628,
    0.05
   ],
   [
    1791676828,
    0.05
   ],
   [
    1791720028,
    0.05
   ],
   [
    1791763239,
    0.0515
   ],
   [
    1791806424,
    0.0355
   ],
   [
    1791810613,
    0.034
   ]
  ],
  "No": [
   [
    1789257620,
    0.947
   ],
   [
    1789300824,
    0.946
   ],
   [
    1789344017,
    0.9485
   ],
   [
    1789387216,
    0.9485
   ],
   [
    1789430416,
    0.9485
   ],
   [
    1789473617,
    0.9485
   ],
   [
    1789516818,
    0.946
   ],
   [
    1789560026,
    0.946
   ],
   [
    1789603219,
    0.946
   ],
   [
    1789646419,
    0.9465
   ],
   [
    1789689623,
    0.9465
   ],
   [
    1789732823,
    0.9465
   ],
   [
    1789776024,
    0.9465
   ],
   [
    1789819224,
    0.9465
   ],
   [
    1789862423,
    0.9465
   ],
   [
    1789905620,
    0.947
   ],
   [
    1789948819,
    0.947
   ],
   [
    1789992015,
    0.946
   ],
   [
    1790035220,
    0.9465
   ],
   [
    1790078419,
    0.9465
   ],
   [
    1790121621,
    0.946
   ],
   [
    1790164830,
    0.946
   ],
   [
    1790208032,
    0.946
   ],
   [
    1790251222,
    0.946
   ],
   [
    1790294425,
    0.946
   ],
   [
    1790337620,
    0.946
   ],
   [
    1790380820,
    0.946
   ],
   [
    1790424019,
    0.95
   ],
   [
    1790467219,
    0.9525
   ],
   [
    1790510419,
    0.9525
   ],
   [
    1790553633,
    0.9525
   ],
   [
    1790596819,
    0.9525
   ],
   [
    1790640020,
    0.9525
   ],
   [
    1790683222,
    0.9485
   ],
   [
    1790726422,
    0.949
   ],
   [
    1790769621,
    0.949
   ],
   [
    1790812824,
    0.949
   ],
   [
    1790856023,
    0.949
   ],
   [
    1790899222,
    0.949
   ],
   [
    1790942421,
    0.949
   ],
   [
    1790985625,
    0.949
   ],
   [
    1791028823,
    0.949
   ],
   [
    1791072021,
    0.949
   ],
   [
    1791115224,
    0.952
   ],
   [
    1791158426,
    0.954
   ],
   [
    1791201625,
    0.954
   ],
   [
    1791244824,
    0.9535
   ],
   [
    1791288028,
    0.9535
   ],
   [
    1791331228,
    0.9535
   ],
   [
    1791374447,
    0.9535
   ],
   [
    1791417646,
    0.9535
   ],
   [
    1791460857,
    0.9505
   ],
   [
    1791504048,
    0.9505
   ],
   [
    1791547249,
    0.95
   ],
   [
    1791590429,
    0.95
   ],
   [
    1791633635,
    0.95
   ],
   [
    1791676836,
    0.95
   ],
   [
    1791720036,
    0.95
   ],
   [
    1791763246,
    0.9485
   ],
   [
    1791806433,
    0.9645
   ],
   [
    1791810616,
    0.966
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-a-us-ally-get-a-nuke-before-2027/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-a-us-ally-get-a-nuke-before-2027/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}
