{
 "slug": "will-claude-go-down-on-days-in-september",
 "title": "Will Claude go down on __ days in September?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-claude-go-down-on-days-in-september/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-claude-go-down-on-days-in-september",
 "category": "tech",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-09-24T17:47:06+00:00",
 "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 21537.05,
 "volume_24h": 1469.48,
 "liquidity": 6442.5,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "5-7",
   "probability": 0.705,
   "change_24h": -0.02,
   "volume": 5550.14,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "8-10",
   "probability": 0.23,
   "change_24h": -0.03,
   "volume": 4012.98,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "11-13",
   "probability": 0.024,
   "change_24h": 0.003,
   "volume": 2091.94,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "<5",
   "probability": 0.006,
   "change_24h": 0.0045,
   "volume": 8478.09,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "14+",
   "probability": 0.0005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 1403.9,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "5-7": [
   [
    1787788824,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1787832038,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1787875224,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1787918423,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1787961624,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1788004824,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1788048023,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1788091223,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1788134422,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1788177625,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1788220835,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1788264025,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1788307222,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1788350442,
    0.37
   ],
   [
    1788393626,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1788436826,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1788480020,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1788523220,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1788566420,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1788609623,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1788652826,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1788696020,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1788739234,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1788782422,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1788825617,
    0.33
   ],
   [
    1788868820,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1788912025,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1788955224,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1788998420,
    0.39
   ],
   [
    1789041621,
    0.405
   ],
   [
    1789084822,
    0.38
   ],
   [
    1789128024,
    0.49
   ],
   [
    1789171223,
    0.44
   ],
   [
    1789214424,
    0.425
   ],
   [
    1789257621,
    0.425
   ],
   [
    1789300825,
    0.425
   ],
   [
    1789344018,
    0.515
   ],
   [
    1789387216,
    0.515
   ],
   [
    1789430417,
    0.515
   ],
   [
    1789473618,
    0.515
   ],
   [
    1789516818,
    0.515
   ],
   [
    1789560028,
    0.515
   ],
   [
    1789603220,
    0.515
   ],
   [
    1789646420,
    0.515
   ],
   [
    1789689623,
    0.515
   ],
   [
    1789732824,
    0.625
   ],
   [
    1789776025,
    0.7
   ],
   [
    1789819225,
    0.715
   ],
   [
    1789862424,
    0.715
   ],
   [
    1789905621,
    0.715
   ],
   [
    1789948820,
    0.725
   ],
   [
    1789992015,
    0.725
   ],
   [
    1790035221,
    0.74
   ],
   [
    1790078420,
    0.76
   ],
   [
    1790121623,
    0.725
   ],
   [
    1790164832,
    0.725
   ],
   [
    1790208033,
    0.7
   ],
   [
    1790251223,
    0.715
   ],
   [
    1790272695,
    0.705
   ]
  ],
  "8-10": [
   [
    1787788824,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1787832039,
    0.415
   ],
   [
    1787875225,
    0.41
   ],
   [
    1787918424,
    0.35
   ],
   [
    1787961625,
    0.35
   ],
   [
    1788004824,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1788048024,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1788091224,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1788134423,
    0.38
   ],
   [
    1788177626,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1788220835,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1788264026,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1788307223,
    0.33
   ],
   [
    1788350442,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1788393627,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1788436827,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1788480020,
    0.35
   ],
   [
    1788523221,
    0.365
   ],
   [
    1788566421,
    0.39
   ],
   [
    1788609623,
    0.395
   ],
   [
    1788652826,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1788696021,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1788739234,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1788782423,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1788825617,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1788868820,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1788912026,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1788955224,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1788998420,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1789041621,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1789084823,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1789128025,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1789171223,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1789214425,
    0.425
   ],
   [
    1789257622,
    0.425
   ],
   [
    1789300825,
    0.425
   ],
   [
    1789344018,
    0.42
   ],
   [
    1789387217,
    0.425
   ],
   [
    1789430417,
    0.425
   ],
   [
    1789473618,
    0.425
   ],
   [
    1789516818,
    0.395
   ],
   [
    1789560029,
    0.33
   ],
   [
    1789603221,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1789646420,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1789689624,
    0.33
   ],
   [
    1789732825,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1789776025,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1789819226,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1789862424,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1789905621,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1789948821,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1789992016,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1790035221,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1790078421,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1790121623,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1790164833,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1790208034,
    0.255
   ],
   [
    1790251223,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1790272633,
    0.23
   ]
  ],
  "11-13": [
   [
    1787788823,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1787832037,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1787875223,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1787918421,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1787961623,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1788004822,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1788048022,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1788091222,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1788134421,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1788177623,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1788220833,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1788264024,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1788307221,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1788350440,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1788393625,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1788436825,
    0.265
   ],
   [
    1788480019,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1788523219,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1788566419,
    0.405
   ],
   [
    1788609622,
    0.395
   ],
   [
    1788652825,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1788696020,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1788739233,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1788782421,
    0.305
   ],
   [
    1788825617,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1788868820,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1788912025,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1788955223,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1788998419,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789041620,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1789084822,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1789128023,
    0.06
   ],
   [
    1789171222,
    0.025
   ],
   [
    1789214423,
    0.0875
   ],
   [
    1789257621,
    0.096
   ],
   [
    1789300824,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1789344018,
    0.038
   ],
   [
    1789387216,
    0.027
   ],
   [
    1789430416,
    0.0265
   ],
   [
    1789473617,
    0.033
   ],
   [
    1789516818,
    0.0705
   ],
   [
    1789560026,
    0.076
   ],
   [
    1789603219,
    0.096
   ],
   [
    1789646419,
    0.0665
   ],
   [
    1789689623,
    0.0545
   ],
   [
    1789732823,
    0.0305
   ],
   [
    1789776024,
    0.157
   ],
   [
    1789819224,
    0.046
   ],
   [
    1789862423,
    0.0465
   ],
   [
    1789905620,
    0.047
   ],
   [
    1789948819,
    0.0405
   ],
   [
    1789992015,
    0.0445
   ],
   [
    1790035220,
    0.103
   ],
   [
    1790078420,
    0.011
   ],
   [
    1790121622,
    0.0175
   ],
   [
    1790164830,
    0.0175
   ],
   [
    1790208032,
    0.0125
   ],
   [
    1790251222,
    0.024
   ],
   [
    1790272695,
    0.024
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-claude-go-down-on-days-in-september/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-claude-go-down-on-days-in-september/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}