{
 "slug": "will-israel-launch-a-major-ground-offensive-in-gaza-by-october-31",
 "title": "Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-israel-launch-a-major-ground-offensive-in-gaza-by-october-31/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-israel-launch-a-major-ground-offensive-in-gaza-by-october-31",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-09-24T16:13:36+00:00",
 "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 760945.06,
 "volume_24h": 1308.47,
 "liquidity": 14380.81,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.105,
   "change_24h": 0.015,
   "volume": 111313.74,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "By March 31, 2026",
   "probability": 0.0,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume": 325856.17,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "By June 30",
   "probability": 0.0,
   "change_24h": -0.0115,
   "volume": 172888.78,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "By  October 31",
   "probability": 0.0,
   "change_24h": -0.003,
   "volume": 100196.6,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.0,
   "change_24h": -0.0075,
   "volume": 50689.77,
   "closed": true
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "By December 31": [
   [
    1787616022,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1787659224,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1787702424,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1787745626,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1787788824,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1787832039,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1787875224,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1787918423,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1787961625,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1788004824,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1788048024,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1788091224,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1788134422,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1788177625,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1788220835,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1788264025,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1788307222,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1788350442,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1788393627,
    0.08
   ],
   [
    1788436827,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1788480020,
    0.08
   ],
   [
    1788523220,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1788566420,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1788609623,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1788652826,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1788696021,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1788739234,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1788782422,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1788825617,
    0.13
   ],
   [
    1788868820,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1788912026,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1788955224,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1788998420,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789041621,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1789084823,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1789128024,
    0.12
   ],
   [
    1789171223,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1789214425,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1789257622,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1789300825,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1789344018,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1789387217,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1789430417,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1789473618,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1789516818,
    0.08
   ],
   [
    1789560028,
    0.08
   ],
   [
    1789603221,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1789646420,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1789689624,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1789732825,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1789776025,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1789819225,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1789862424,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1789905621,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1789948821,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1789992016,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1790035221,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1790078421,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1790121623,
    0.085
   ],
   [
    1790164832,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1790208034,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1790251223,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790266696,
    0.105
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-israel-launch-a-major-ground-offensive-in-gaza-by-october-31/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-israel-launch-a-major-ground-offensive-in-gaza-by-october-31/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}