{
 "slug": "will-russia-capture-mala-tokmachka",
 "title": "Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-russia-capture-mala-tokmachka/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-mala-tokmachka-by",
 "category": "geopolitics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-09-24T16:13:36+00:00",
 "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 426203.09,
 "volume_24h": 3844.19,
 "liquidity": 28926.55,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.505,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume": 40043.96,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "By September 30",
   "probability": 0.011,
   "change_24h": -0.025,
   "volume": 308076.2,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "By June 30",
   "probability": 0.0,
   "change_24h": -0.0035,
   "volume": 78082.93,
   "closed": true
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "By December 31": [
   [
    1787616012,
    0.635
   ],
   [
    1787659212,
    0.635
   ],
   [
    1787702412,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1787745611,
    0.615
   ],
   [
    1787788814,
    0.585
   ],
   [
    1787832028,
    0.56
   ],
   [
    1787875212,
    0.58
   ],
   [
    1787918409,
    0.56
   ],
   [
    1787961613,
    0.565
   ],
   [
    1788004813,
    0.535
   ],
   [
    1788048012,
    0.535
   ],
   [
    1788091212,
    0.535
   ],
   [
    1788134415,
    0.48
   ],
   [
    1788177612,
    0.475
   ],
   [
    1788220823,
    0.475
   ],
   [
    1788264013,
    0.475
   ],
   [
    1788307212,
    0.475
   ],
   [
    1788350428,
    0.475
   ],
   [
    1788393615,
    0.49
   ],
   [
    1788436812,
    0.51
   ],
   [
    1788480015,
    0.535
   ],
   [
    1788523213,
    0.52
   ],
   [
    1788566414,
    0.525
   ],
   [
    1788609614,
    0.525
   ],
   [
    1788652819,
    0.525
   ],
   [
    1788696012,
    0.555
   ],
   [
    1788739227,
    0.59
   ],
   [
    1788782412,
    0.585
   ],
   [
    1788825612,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1788868813,
    0.595
   ],
   [
    1788912018,
    0.595
   ],
   [
    1788955214,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1788998414,
    0.615
   ],
   [
    1789041613,
    0.625
   ],
   [
    1789084814,
    0.625
   ],
   [
    1789128015,
    0.635
   ],
   [
    1789171214,
    0.64
   ],
   [
    1789214414,
    0.625
   ],
   [
    1789257613,
    0.63
   ],
   [
    1789300817,
    0.64
   ],
   [
    1789344012,
    0.645
   ],
   [
    1789387212,
    0.64
   ],
   [
    1789430412,
    0.625
   ],
   [
    1789473612,
    0.605
   ],
   [
    1789516813,
    0.615
   ],
   [
    1789560012,
    0.565
   ],
   [
    1789603212,
    0.555
   ],
   [
    1789646412,
    0.535
   ],
   [
    1789689615,
    0.505
   ],
   [
    1789732814,
    0.515
   ],
   [
    1789776015,
    0.44
   ],
   [
    1789819215,
    0.48
   ],
   [
    1789862415,
    0.485
   ],
   [
    1789905612,
    0.475
   ],
   [
    1789948812,
    0.49
   ],
   [
    1789992010,
    0.49
   ],
   [
    1790035213,
    0.505
   ],
   [
    1790078412,
    0.505
   ],
   [
    1790121613,
    0.485
   ],
   [
    1790164814,
    0.5
   ],
   [
    1790208025,
    0.505
   ],
   [
    1790251213,
    0.505
   ],
   [
    1790266993,
    0.505
   ]
  ],
  "By September 30": [
   [
    1787616024,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1787659227,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1787702427,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1787745629,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1787788826,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1787832041,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1787875227,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1787918426,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1787961627,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1788004827,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1788048027,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1788091226,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1788134424,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1788177628,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1788220838,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1788264028,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1788307225,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1788350445,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1788393630,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1788436830,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1788480022,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1788523222,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1788566422,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1788609625,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1788652828,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1788696023,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1788739236,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1788782425,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1788825618,
    0.09
   ],
   [
    1788868821,
    0.08
   ],
   [
    1788912027,
    0.08
   ],
   [
    1788955226,
    0.055
   ],
   [
    1788998421,
    0.08
   ],
   [
    1789041622,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1789084824,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1789128027,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1789171225,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1789214427,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1789257623,
    0.08
   ],
   [
    1789300827,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1789344020,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1789387218,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1789430419,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1789473619,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1789516819,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1789560031,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1789603222,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1789646422,
    0.06
   ],
   [
    1789689625,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1789732827,
    0.06
   ],
   [
    1789776027,
    0.06
   ],
   [
    1789819228,
    0.055
   ],
   [
    1789862426,
    0.045
   ],
   [
    1789905623,
    0.045
   ],
   [
    1789948822,
    0.045
   ],
   [
    1789992017,
    0.045
   ],
   [
    1790035223,
    0.04
   ],
   [
    1790078423,
    0.04
   ],
   [
    1790121625,
    0.04
   ],
   [
    1790164836,
    0.036
   ],
   [
    1790208036,
    0.0355
   ],
   [
    1790251225,
    0.036
   ],
   [
    1790266996,
    0.011
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-russia-capture-mala-tokmachka/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-russia-capture-mala-tokmachka/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}
