{
 "slug": "will-russia-capture-serhiivka-by-april-30",
 "title": "Will Russia capture Serhiivka?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-russia-capture-serhiivka-by-april-30/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-serhiivka-by-april-30",
 "category": "geopolitics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-18T12:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 87519.05,
 "volume_24h": 523.99,
 "liquidity": 1755.5,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.15,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume": 45282.38,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "By July 31",
   "probability": 0.0,
   "change_24h": -0.001,
   "volume": 32628.64,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "By April 30",
   "probability": 0.0,
   "change_24h": -0.0075,
   "volume": 5449.37,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "By May 31",
   "probability": 0.0,
   "change_24h": -0.0075,
   "volume": 4158.66,
   "closed": true
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "By December 31": [
   [
    1789776022,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1789819222,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1789862421,
    0.38
   ],
   [
    1789905618,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1789948818,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1789992013,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1790035218,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1790078418,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1790121619,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1790164826,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1790208031,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790251220,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790294423,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790337618,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790380818,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790424017,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790467218,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790510417,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1790553632,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1790596817,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1790640019,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1790683220,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1790726420,
    0.135
   ],
   [
    1790769620,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790812822,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790856021,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790899220,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1790942420,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790985623,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1791028821,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1791072019,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1791115222,
    0.095
   ],
   [
    1791158424,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1791201623,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1791244822,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1791288026,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1791331226,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1791374440,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1791417640,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1791460850,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1791504041,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1791547242,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1791590427,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1791633632,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1791676833,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1791720033,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1791763243,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1791806430,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1791849636,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1791892833,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1791936034,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1791979245,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1792022450,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1792065635,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1792108836,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1792152036,
    0.1
   ],
   [
    1792195241,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1792238436,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1792324849,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1792329381,
    0.15
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-russia-capture-serhiivka-by-april-30/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-russia-capture-serhiivka-by-april-30/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}