{
 "slug": "will-russia-invade-a-nato-country-in-2025",
 "title": "Will Russia invade a NATO country?",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-russia-invade-a-nato-country-in-2025/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-invade-a-nato-country-in-2025",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-09-23T15:49:17+00:00",
 "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 5478634.21,
 "volume_24h": 21578.0,
 "liquidity": 81169.86,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "By December 31, 2026",
   "probability": 0.055,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume": 373932.65,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "By September 30, 2026",
   "probability": 0.0055,
   "change_24h": 0.0005,
   "volume": 1857.73,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "By June 30, 2026",
   "probability": 0.0,
   "change_24h": -0.0005,
   "volume": 3653052.29,
   "closed": true
  },
  {
   "name": "By December 31, 2025",
   "probability": 0.0,
   "change_24h": -0.001,
   "volume": 1449791.55,
   "closed": true
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "By December 31, 2026": [
   [
    1787529621,
    0.055
   ],
   [
    1787572818,
    0.055
   ],
   [
    1787616019,
    0.055
   ],
   [
    1787659220,
    0.05
   ],
   [
    1787702420,
    0.055
   ],
   [
    1787745621,
    0.055
   ],
   [
    1787788821,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1787832035,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1787875220,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1787918419,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1787961621,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1788004820,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1788048020,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1788091220,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1788134420,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1788177621,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1788220831,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1788264021,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1788307219,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1788350438,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1788393623,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1788436822,
    0.07
   ],
   [
    1788480018,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1788523218,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1788566418,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1788609620,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1788652824,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1788696018,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1788739232,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1788782419,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1788825616,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1788868819,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1788912024,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1788955221,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1788998418,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1789041619,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1789084820,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1789128022,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1789171220,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1789214421,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1789257619,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1789300823,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1789344016,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1789387215,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1789430415,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1789473616,
    0.06
   ],
   [
    1789516817,
    0.055
   ],
   [
    1789560024,
    0.06
   ],
   [
    1789603218,
    0.055
   ],
   [
    1789646418,
    0.055
   ],
   [
    1789689621,
    0.055
   ],
   [
    1789732822,
    0.055
   ],
   [
    1789776022,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1789819222,
    0.065
   ],
   [
    1789862421,
    0.055
   ],
   [
    1789905618,
    0.06
   ],
   [
    1789948818,
    0.06
   ],
   [
    1789992014,
    0.055
   ],
   [
    1790035218,
    0.055
   ],
   [
    1790078418,
    0.055
   ],
   [
    1790121620,
    0.055
   ],
   [
    1790164826,
    0.06
   ],
   [
    1790178674,
    0.055
   ]
  ],
  "By September 30, 2026": [
   [
    1789819225,
    0.006
   ],
   [
    1789862424,
    0.0055
   ],
   [
    1789905620,
    0.0055
   ],
   [
    1789948820,
    0.01
   ],
   [
    1789992015,
    0.01
   ],
   [
    1790035221,
    0.004
   ],
   [
    1790078420,
    0.005
   ],
   [
    1790121623,
    0.005
   ],
   [
    1790164831,
    0.0055
   ],
   [
    1790178675,
    0.0055
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-russia-invade-a-nato-country-in-2025/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-russia-invade-a-nato-country-in-2025/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}