{
 "slug": "wy-al-house-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "title": "WY-AL House Election Margin of Victory",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/wy-al-house-margin-of-victory-2026/",
 "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/wy-al-house-margin-of-victory-2026",
 "category": "politics",
 "closed": false,
 "updated": "2026-10-24T12:50:00+00:00",
 "end_date": "2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00",
 "volume": 23678.72,
 "volume_24h": 4826.66,
 "liquidity": 113471.19,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Republican 30-35%",
   "probability": 0.185,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume": 5286.78,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 40-45%",
   "probability": 0.165,
   "change_24h": -0.05,
   "volume": 4195.56,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 35-40%",
   "probability": 0.125,
   "change_24h": -0.06,
   "volume": 4515.54,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 10-20%",
   "probability": 0.09,
   "change_24h": -0.015,
   "volume": 3288.01,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 25-30%",
   "probability": 0.0875,
   "change_24h": -0.013,
   "volume": 1344.02,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 20-25%",
   "probability": 0.0415,
   "change_24h": -0.039,
   "volume": 1019.22,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Democrat Wins",
   "probability": 0.02,
   "change_24h": -0.0025,
   "volume": 881.59,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 45-50%",
   "probability": 0.014,
   "change_24h": -0.071,
   "volume": 1139.09,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 0-10%",
   "probability": 0.013,
   "change_24h": -0.0345,
   "volume": 762.76,
   "closed": false
  },
  {
   "name": "Republican 50%+",
   "probability": 0.0015,
   "change_24h": -0.003,
   "volume": 1246.16,
   "closed": false
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Republican 30-35%": [
   [
    1790294427,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1790337622,
    0.23
   ],
   [
    1790380821,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1790424020,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1790467221,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1790510421,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1790553635,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1790596820,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1790640022,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1790683225,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1790726424,
    0.4
   ],
   [
    1790769623,
    0.37
   ],
   [
    1790812826,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1790856025,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1790899224,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1790942423,
    0.345
   ],
   [
    1790985627,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1791028825,
    0.325
   ],
   [
    1791072023,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1791115226,
    0.33
   ],
   [
    1791158428,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1791201628,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1791244826,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1791288031,
    0.385
   ],
   [
    1791331231,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1791374455,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1791417654,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1791504057,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1791547258,
    0.375
   ],
   [
    1791590432,
    0.455
   ],
   [
    1791633638,
    0.415
   ],
   [
    1791676840,
    0.355
   ],
   [
    1791720040,
    0.315
   ],
   [
    1791763249,
    0.38
   ],
   [
    1791806437,
    0.39
   ],
   [
    1791849644,
    0.335
   ],
   [
    1791892841,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1791936042,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1791979254,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1792065647,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1792108845,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1792152047,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1792195251,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1792238448,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1792368044,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1792411244,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1792454444,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1792497647,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1792540849,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1792584050,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1792670449,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1792756847,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1792800057,
    0.19
   ]
  ],
  "Republican 40-45%": [
   [
    1790294423,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1790337619,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1790380819,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1790424018,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1790467218,
    0.115
   ],
   [
    1790510418,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1790553632,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790596818,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790640019,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790683221,
    0.105
   ],
   [
    1790726421,
    0.08
   ],
   [
    1790769620,
    0.06
   ],
   [
    1790812822,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1790856021,
    0.075
   ],
   [
    1790899220,
    0.11
   ],
   [
    1790942420,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1790985624,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1791028821,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1791072020,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1791115222,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1791158424,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1791201623,
    0.125
   ],
   [
    1791244823,
    0.17
   ],
   [
    1791288027,
    0.155
   ],
   [
    1791331226,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1791374442,
    0.14
   ],
   [
    1791417642,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1791460852,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1791504043,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1791547244,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1791590428,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791633633,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1791676834,
    0.145
   ],
   [
    1791720034,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1791763244,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1791806431,
    0.15
   ],
   [
    1791849637,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1791892834,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791936035,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1791979246,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1792022452,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1792065637,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1792108837,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1792152038,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1792195243,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1792238438,
    0.195
   ],
   [
    1792324851,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1792368036,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1792411235,
    0.18
   ],
   [
    1792454435,
    0.175
   ],
   [
    1792497638,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1792540839,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1792584039,
    0.165
   ],
   [
    1792670439,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1792713654,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1792756839,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1792800050,
    0.21
   ]
  ],
  "Republican 35-40%": [
   [
    1790294425,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1790337620,
    0.285
   ],
   [
    1790380820,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790424019,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790467220,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1790510419,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790553633,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790596819,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1790640020,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1790683223,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790726422,
    0.275
   ],
   [
    1790769622,
    0.225
   ],
   [
    1790812824,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1790856023,
    0.245
   ],
   [
    1790899222,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1790942421,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1790985625,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1791028823,
    0.235
   ],
   [
    1791072021,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791115224,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791158426,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791201625,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1791244824,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1791288028,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1791331228,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791374447,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791417647,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791460857,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791504049,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1791547250,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791590430,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791633635,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791676836,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1791720037,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1791763246,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1791806433,
    0.205
   ],
   [
    1791849640,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1791892837,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1791936038,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1791979250,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1792022455,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1792065641,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1792108840,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1792152042,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1792195246,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1792238442,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1792324855,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1792368039,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1792411239,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1792454439,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1792497642,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1792540843,
    0.215
   ],
   [
    1792584043,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1792670443,
    0.3
   ],
   [
    1792713659,
    0.19
   ],
   [
    1792756843,
    0.185
   ],
   [
    1792800053,
    0.23
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/wy-al-house-margin-of-victory-2026/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/wy-al-house-margin-of-victory-2026/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma and CLOB APIs; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}