{
 "slug": "china",
 "topic": "China & Taiwan",
 "category": "geopolitics",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/china/",
 "updated": "2026-09-23T15:49:17+00:00",
 "count": 82,
 "volume_24h": 521153.79,
 "polymarket_tags": [
  "china",
  "taiwan",
  "trump-xi"
 ],
 "markets": [
  {
   "title": "Will Xi Jinping visit US?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-xi-jinping-visit-us-before-2027/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-xi-jinping-visit-us-before-2027",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.9995,
   "change_24h": 0.001,
   "volume_24h": 319961.26,
   "volume": 3123348.86,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Best Chinese AI Company end of September?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-september/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-september-20260717140852824",
   "leader": "Alibaba",
   "probability": 0.905,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume_24h": 37969.47,
   "volume": 606922.27,
   "end_date": "2026-09-30T16:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-china-invade-taiwan-before-2027/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-china-invade-taiwan-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.04,
   "change_24h": 0.0005,
   "volume_24h": 36483.06,
   "volume": 42645634.42,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Taipei Mayor Election Winner",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/taipei-mayor-election-winner/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/taipei-mayor-election-winner-20260813125857100",
   "leader": "Chiang Wan-an",
   "probability": 0.855,
   "change_24h": 0.06,
   "volume_24h": 23700.01,
   "volume": 211036.54,
   "end_date": "2026-11-29T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "How long will Trump and Xi shake hands?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-long-will-trump-and-xi-shake-hands-20260916",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-long-will-trump-and-xi-shake-hands-20260916",
   "leader": "15s+",
   "probability": 0.4,
   "change_24h": 0.245,
   "volume_24h": 17142.78,
   "volume": 21717.27,
   "end_date": "2026-10-08T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "US x China tariff agreement by December 31?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-china-tariff-agreement-by-december-31",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-china-tariff-agreement-by-december-31",
   "leader": "December 31",
   "probability": 0.91,
   "change_24h": -0.015,
   "volume_24h": 12611.1,
   "volume": 278125.14,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-blockade-lifted-before-xi-visits-us",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-blockade-lifted-before-xi-visits-us",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.001,
   "change_24h": -0.0315,
   "volume_24h": 11563.4,
   "volume": 19213.0,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "What will Trump say during his remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-his-remarks-at-xi-jinpings-state-arrival",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-his-remarks-at-xi-jinpings-state-arrival",
   "leader": "China 5+ times",
   "probability": 0.575,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 7958.91,
   "volume": 7937.91,
   "end_date": "2026-09-24T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-and-xi-kiss-at-their-summit-20260916",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-and-xi-kiss-at-their-summit-20260916",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0025,
   "change_24h": -0.003,
   "volume_24h": 6237.17,
   "volume": 10461.43,
   "end_date": "2026-10-08T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-china-invade-taiwan-by-september-30-2026/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-china-invade-taiwan-by-september-30-2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0035,
   "change_24h": -0.0005,
   "volume_24h": 5948.05,
   "volume": 2181320.05,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of Xi summit?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-endorses-chinas-claim-to-taiwan-by-end-of-xi-summit",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-endorses-chinas-claim-to-taiwan-by-end-of-xi-summit",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.016,
   "change_24h": -0.004,
   "volume_24h": 5520.79,
   "volume": 24937.69,
   "end_date": "2026-10-08T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Who will attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-attend-the-white-house-state-dinner-for-xi-jinping",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-attend-the-white-house-state-dinner-for-xi-jinping",
   "leader": "Elon Musk",
   "probability": 0.992,
   "change_24h": 0.0015,
   "volume_24h": 5240.22,
   "volume": 20269.17,
   "end_date": "2026-10-08T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Hsinchu City Mayor Election Winner",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/hsinchu-city-mayor-election-winner-20260813135716400",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/hsinchu-city-mayor-election-winner-20260813135716400",
   "leader": "Ann Kao",
   "probability": 0.935,
   "change_24h": 0.075,
   "volume_24h": 4073.78,
   "volume": 28191.7,
   "end_date": "2026-11-29T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-a-chinese-company-have-the-best-ai-model-by-december-31",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-a-chinese-company-have-the-best-ai-model-by-december-31",
   "leader": "#3",
   "probability": 0.125,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 2693.94,
   "volume": 247196.42,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/zhang-youxia-sentenced-to-prison-before-2027",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/zhang-youxia-sentenced-to-prison-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.145,
   "change_24h": 0.01,
   "volume_24h": 2221.79,
   "volume": 214356.35,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/china-x-taiwan-military-clash-before-2027/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/china-x-taiwan-military-clash-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0565,
   "change_24h": -0.002,
   "volume_24h": 2048.8,
   "volume": 3431659.88,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Xi meet with Takaichi?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-xi-meet-with-takaichi-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-xi-meet-with-takaichi-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.665,
   "change_24h": 0.105,
   "volume_24h": 1642.28,
   "volume": 103322.91,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "China Annual Inflation 2026",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/china-annual-inflation-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/china-annual-inflation-2026",
   "leader": "0.1 – 0.5%",
   "probability": 0.276,
   "change_24h": 0.049,
   "volume_24h": 1423.52,
   "volume": 94548.05,
   "end_date": "2027-01-11T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Trump insult Xi by end of US Visit?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-insult-xi-by-end-of-us-visit",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-insult-xi-by-end-of-us-visit",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.013,
   "change_24h": 0.0015,
   "volume_24h": 1378.09,
   "volume": 2810.79,
   "end_date": "2026-10-08T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-china-invade-taiwan-by-june-30-2027",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-china-invade-taiwan-by-june-30-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.085,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 1154.13,
   "volume": 455015.19,
   "end_date": "2027-07-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-and-xi-hug-at-their-summit-20260916",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-and-xi-hug-at-their-summit-20260916",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0545,
   "change_24h": 0.0095,
   "volume_24h": 1144.74,
   "volume": 8728.55,
   "end_date": "2026-10-08T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Best Chinese AI Company end of October?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-october",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-october",
   "leader": "Alibaba",
   "probability": 0.635,
   "change_24h": -0.015,
   "volume_24h": 1139.73,
   "volume": 108316.01,
   "end_date": "2026-10-31T16:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-china-blockade-taiwan-by-in-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-china-blockade-taiwan-by-in-2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.038,
   "change_24h": 0.003,
   "volume_24h": 1110.22,
   "volume": 370964.57,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ren-zhengfei-confirmed-outside-china-byptptpt",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ren-zhengfei-confirmed-outside-china-byptptpt",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.13,
   "change_24h": -0.035,
   "volume_24h": 1038.36,
   "volume": 3631.14,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Kaohsiung Mayor Election Winner",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/kaohsiung-mayor-election-winner-20260813125857600",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/kaohsiung-mayor-election-winner-20260813125857600",
   "leader": "Lai Jui-lung",
   "probability": 0.685,
   "change_24h": 0.01,
   "volume_24h": 1031.91,
   "volume": 17520.7,
   "end_date": "2026-11-29T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "When will Xi leave the USA?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/when-will-xi-leave-the-usa-20260916",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/when-will-xi-leave-the-usa-20260916",
   "leader": "September 25",
   "probability": 0.984,
   "change_24h": 0.008,
   "volume_24h": 962.74,
   "volume": 1807.22,
   "end_date": "2026-10-08T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Xi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/xi-meets-with-lee-jae-myung-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/xi-meets-with-lee-jae-myung-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.9115,
   "change_24h": 0.003,
   "volume_24h": 900.73,
   "volume": 49302.32,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "China x Philippines military clash before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/china-x-philippines-military-clash-before-2027-20260723214807932",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/china-x-philippines-military-clash-before-2027-20260723214807932",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.27,
   "change_24h": -0.015,
   "volume_24h": 878.7,
   "volume": 482850.4,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-china-invade-taiwan-by-december-31-2027",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-china-invade-taiwan-by-december-31-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.115,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 518.11,
   "volume": 3238141.12,
   "end_date": "2028-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "U.S. tariff rate on China on December 31, 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-tariff-rate-on-china-on-december-31-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-tariff-rate-on-china-on-december-31-2026",
   "leader": "5–15%",
   "probability": 0.265,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 457.53,
   "volume": 457.53,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-china-agree-to-pace-the-ai-frontier-in-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-china-agree-to-pace-the-ai-frontier-in-2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.095,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 434.28,
   "volume": 36635.33,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-imposes-new-sanctions-on-china-by-september-30",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-imposes-new-sanctions-on-china-by-september-30",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.041,
   "change_24h": 0.007,
   "volume_24h": 381.5,
   "volume": 8679.99,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Best Chinese AI Company end of November?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-november",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-november",
   "leader": "Alibaba",
   "probability": 0.535,
   "change_24h": -0.03,
   "volume_24h": 365.5,
   "volume": 3431.0,
   "end_date": "2026-12-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-removed-from-chinese-military-companies-list-by-june-30-2027-20260706223230550",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-removed-from-chinese-military-companies-list-by-june-30-2027-20260706223230550",
   "leader": "CATL",
   "probability": 0.295,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 336.21,
   "volume": 388093.81,
   "end_date": "2027-07-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Pingtung County Magistrate Election Winner",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/pingtung-county-magistrate-election-winner-202608131357161100",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/pingtung-county-magistrate-election-winner-202608131357161100",
   "leader": "Chou Chun-mi",
   "probability": 0.88,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 316.0,
   "volume": 5798.53,
   "end_date": "2026-11-29T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Chiayi City Mayor Election Winner",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/chiayi-city-mayor-election-winner-202608131357161000",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/chiayi-city-mayor-election-winner-202608131357161000",
   "leader": "Wang Mei-hui",
   "probability": 0.785,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 300.0,
   "volume": 12189.58,
   "end_date": "2026-11-29T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/china-gdp-growth-yy-in-q3-2026-20260716161116873",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/china-gdp-growth-yy-in-q3-2026-20260716161116873",
   "leader": "4.3-4.6%",
   "probability": 0.35,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume_24h": 229.75,
   "volume": 46108.5,
   "end_date": "2026-10-21T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/second-best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-october",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/second-best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-october",
   "leader": "Z.ai",
   "probability": 0.425,
   "change_24h": 0.065,
   "volume_24h": 227.7,
   "volume": 32372.87,
   "end_date": "2026-10-31T16:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "People's Bank of China rate change by September 30?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/peoples-bank-of-china-rate-change-by-september-30-20260630000252021",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/peoples-bank-of-china-rate-change-by-september-30-20260630000252021",
   "leader": "No Change",
   "probability": 0.991,
   "change_24h": 0.0025,
   "volume_24h": 222.5,
   "volume": 55328.87,
   "end_date": "2026-09-30T15:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/xi-jinping-divorce-before-2027",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/xi-jinping-divorce-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0085,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 220.04,
   "volume": 111352.17,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "China ballistic missile launch by December 31?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/china-ballistic-missile-launch-by-december-31-20260706145934670",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/china-ballistic-missile-launch-by-december-31-20260706145934670",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.27,
   "change_24h": -0.02,
   "volume_24h": 211.93,
   "volume": 12183.9,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "New Taipei Mayor Election Winner",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/new-taipei-mayor-election-winner-20260813125857200",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/new-taipei-mayor-election-winner-20260813125857200",
   "leader": "Lee Shu-chuan",
   "probability": 0.735,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume_24h": 201.73,
   "volume": 27590.33,
   "end_date": "2026-11-29T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-xi-jinping-purge-in-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-xi-jinping-purge-in-2026",
   "leader": "Dong Jun",
   "probability": 0.1435,
   "change_24h": 0.0385,
   "volume_24h": 189.71,
   "volume": 221551.48,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "China Annual GDP Growth 2026",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/china-annual-gdp-growth-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/china-annual-gdp-growth-2026",
   "leader": "4.0–5.0%",
   "probability": 0.905,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 170.96,
   "volume": 911048.41,
   "end_date": "2027-02-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Taitung County Magistrate Election Winner",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/taitung-county-magistrate-election-winner-202608131357161300",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/taitung-county-magistrate-election-winner-202608131357161300",
   "leader": "Wu Hsiu-hua",
   "probability": 0.865,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 164.94,
   "volume": 9683.75,
   "end_date": "2026-11-29T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/third-best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-october",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/third-best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-october",
   "leader": "Moonshot",
   "probability": 0.45,
   "change_24h": 0.095,
   "volume_24h": 150.0,
   "volume": 17811.0,
   "end_date": "2026-10-31T16:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-government-removes-public-access-to-a-major-chinese-ai-model-in-2026-20260703203328223",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-government-removes-public-access-to-a-major-chinese-ai-model-in-2026-20260703203328223",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.155,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 144.53,
   "volume": 53324.68,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Taoyuan Mayor Election Winner",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/taoyuan-mayor-election-winner-20260813125857300",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/taoyuan-mayor-election-winner-20260813125857300",
   "leader": "Chang San-cheng",
   "probability": 0.89,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume_24h": 135.26,
   "volume": 15209.4,
   "end_date": "2026-11-29T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-china-unban-bitcoin-by-2027",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-china-unban-bitcoin-by-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0245,
   "change_24h": -0.001,
   "volume_24h": 105.34,
   "volume": 1085922.96,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-taiwanese-local-elections-party-winner",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-taiwanese-local-elections-party-winner",
   "leader": "Kuomintang (KMT)",
   "probability": 0.885,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 64.74,
   "volume": 183736.53,
   "end_date": "2027-07-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Miaoli County Magistrate Election Winner",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/miaoli-county-magistrate-election-winner-20260813135716500",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/miaoli-county-magistrate-election-winner-20260813135716500",
   "leader": "Chung Tung-chin",
   "probability": 0.9005,
   "change_24h": -0.002,
   "volume_24h": 60.0,
   "volume": 23388.7,
   "end_date": "2026-11-29T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/penghu-county-magistrate-election-winner-202608131357161400",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/penghu-county-magistrate-election-winner-202608131357161400",
   "leader": "Chen Chen-chung",
   "probability": 0.77,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 60.0,
   "volume": 10518.05,
   "end_date": "2026-11-29T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Lienchiang County Magistrate Election Winner",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lienchiang-county-magistrate-election-winner-202608131357161600",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lienchiang-county-magistrate-election-winner-202608131357161600",
   "leader": "Wang Chung-ming",
   "probability": 0.935,
   "change_24h": 0.04,
   "volume_24h": 57.96,
   "volume": 5955.71,
   "end_date": "2026-11-29T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Tainan Mayor Election Winner",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/tainan-mayor-election-winner-20260813125857500",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/tainan-mayor-election-winner-20260813125857500",
   "leader": "Chen Ting-fei",
   "probability": 0.895,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume_24h": 50.0,
   "volume": 4990.01,
   "end_date": "2026-11-29T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "September Inflation China - Annual",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/september-inflation-china-annual",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/september-inflation-china-annual",
   "leader": "0.7% to 0.8%",
   "probability": 0.435,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume_24h": 39.67,
   "volume": 24072.61,
   "end_date": "2026-10-14T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/second-best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-september-20260722220234242",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/second-best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-september-20260722220234242",
   "leader": "Z.ai",
   "probability": 0.745,
   "change_24h": -0.01,
   "volume_24h": 36.63,
   "volume": 134659.74,
   "end_date": "2026-09-30T16:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "China coup attempt before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/china-coup-attempt-before-2027",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/china-coup-attempt-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.044,
   "change_24h": -0.0115,
   "volume_24h": 22.28,
   "volume": 159109.92,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Nantou County Magistrate Election Winner",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nantou-county-magistrate-election-winner-20260813135716700",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nantou-county-magistrate-election-winner-20260813135716700",
   "leader": "Hsu Shu-hua",
   "probability": 0.945,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 22.0,
   "volume": 5695.11,
   "end_date": "2026-11-29T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "China x Japan military clash before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/china-x-japan-military-clash-before-2027",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/china-x-japan-military-clash-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.055,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 20.83,
   "volume": 1374988.97,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Keelung Mayor Election Winner",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/keelung-mayor-election-winner-20260813135716100",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/keelung-mayor-election-winner-20260813135716100",
   "leader": "Hsieh Kuo-liang",
   "probability": 0.86,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume_24h": 11.99,
   "volume": 1794.51,
   "end_date": "2026-11-29T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lai-ching-te-out-as-president-of-taiwan-in-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lai-ching-te-out-as-president-of-taiwan-in-2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.036,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 10.36,
   "volume": 106017.26,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/third-best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-september-20260722220502453",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/third-best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-september-20260722220502453",
   "leader": "Moonshot",
   "probability": 0.74,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume_24h": 10.01,
   "volume": 64209.31,
   "end_date": "2026-09-30T16:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Kinmen County Magistrate Election Winner",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/kinmen-county-magistrate-election-winner-202608131357161500",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/kinmen-county-magistrate-election-winner-202608131357161500",
   "leader": "Chen Yu-jen",
   "probability": 0.955,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume_24h": 9.47,
   "volume": 11446.62,
   "end_date": "2026-11-29T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Chiayi County Magistrate Election Winner",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/chiayi-county-magistrate-election-winner-20260813135716900",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/chiayi-county-magistrate-election-winner-20260813135716900",
   "leader": "Tsai Yi-yu",
   "probability": 0.905,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume_24h": 5.96,
   "volume": 5565.21,
   "end_date": "2026-11-29T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Hualien County Magistrate Election Winner",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/hualien-county-magistrate-election-winner-202608131357161200",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/hualien-county-magistrate-election-winner-202608131357161200",
   "leader": "Yu Shu-chen",
   "probability": 0.785,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 5.0,
   "volume": 6826.22,
   "end_date": "2026-11-29T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/hu-jintao-public-appearance-by-december-31",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/hu-jintao-public-appearance-by-december-31",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0525,
   "change_24h": 0.0035,
   "volume_24h": 2.08,
   "volume": 6280.9,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T15:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/second-best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-november",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/second-best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-november",
   "leader": "Z.ai",
   "probability": 0.31,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume_24h": 1.6,
   "volume": 3806.4,
   "end_date": "2026-12-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Lai Ching-te impeached?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lai-ching-te-impeached-by-june-30",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lai-ching-te-impeached-by-june-30",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.0285,
   "change_24h": 0.0015,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 1359009.92,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Jimmy Lai released?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/jimmy-lai-released-by-june-30",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/jimmy-lai-released-by-june-30",
   "leader": "By December 31, 2026",
   "probability": 0.0505,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 385494.13,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "China x India military clash?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/china-x-india-military-clash-by-december-31",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/china-x-india-military-clash-by-december-31",
   "leader": "By December 31, 2026",
   "probability": 0.065,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 330947.87,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "US x China Military clash before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-china-military-clash-before-2027",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-china-military-clash-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.027,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 212994.93,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/taiwanese-premier-cho-jung-tai-out-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/taiwanese-premier-cho-jung-tai-out-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.255,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 137558.48,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-added-to-chinese-military-companies-list-by-june-30-2027-20260706225129414",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-added-to-chinese-military-companies-list-by-june-30-2027-20260706225129414",
   "leader": "Moonshot AI",
   "probability": 0.345,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 95862.88,
   "end_date": "2027-07-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Tariff increase on Canada in effect?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/tariff-increase-on-canada-in-effect-by-june-30",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/tariff-increase-on-canada-in-effect-by-june-30",
   "leader": "By December 31, 2026",
   "probability": 0.115,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 56454.4,
   "end_date": "2027-01-25T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/eileen-gu-citizenship-revoked",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/eileen-gu-citizenship-revoked",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0155,
   "change_24h": -0.0005,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 50353.46,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-apple-purchase-memory-cxmt-chips-in-2026-20260630171913147",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-apple-purchase-memory-cxmt-chips-in-2026-20260630171913147",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.165,
   "change_24h": -0.03,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 22370.3,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Hsinchu County Magistrate Election Winner",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/hsinchu-county-magistrate-election-winner-20260813135716300",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/hsinchu-county-magistrate-election-winner-20260813135716300",
   "leader": "Cheng Chao-fang",
   "probability": 0.555,
   "change_24h": -0.065,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 15781.28,
   "end_date": "2026-11-29T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Changhua County Magistrate Election Winner",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/changhua-county-magistrate-election-winner-20260813135716600",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/changhua-county-magistrate-election-winner-20260813135716600",
   "leader": "Chen Su-yueh",
   "probability": 0.92,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 15274.7,
   "end_date": "2026-11-29T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Yilan County Magistrate Election Winner",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/yilan-county-magistrate-election-winner-20260813135716200",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/yilan-county-magistrate-election-winner-20260813135716200",
   "leader": "Lin Kuo-chang",
   "probability": 0.675,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 6796.82,
   "end_date": "2026-11-29T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Taichung Mayor Election Winner",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/taichung-mayor-election-winner-20260813125857400",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/taichung-mayor-election-winner-20260813125857400",
   "leader": "Johnny Chiang",
   "probability": 0.87,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 3715.99,
   "end_date": "2026-11-29T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Yunlin County Magistrate Election Winner",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/yunlin-county-magistrate-election-winner-20260813135716800",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/yunlin-county-magistrate-election-winner-20260813135716800",
   "leader": "Chang Chia-chun",
   "probability": 0.935,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 2557.84,
   "end_date": "2026-11-29T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/third-best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-november",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/third-best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-november",
   "leader": "MiniMax",
   "probability": 0.3515,
   "change_24h": 0.3165,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 1985.18,
   "end_date": "2026-12-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  }
 ],
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/china/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/china/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma API; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}