{
 "slug": "france",
 "topic": "France",
 "category": "politics",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/france/",
 "updated": "2026-09-23T15:49:17+00:00",
 "count": 36,
 "volume_24h": 229708.64,
 "polymarket_tags": [
  "france",
  "french-election"
 ],
 "markets": [
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   "title": "Next French Presidential Election",
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   "leader": "Marine Le Pen",
   "probability": 0.3835,
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   "volume_24h": 188147.96,
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  },
  {
   "title": "Highest temperature in Paris on September 24?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-paris-on-september-24-2026",
   "leader": "24°C",
   "probability": 0.38,
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   "volume_24h": 15934.39,
   "volume": 17733.49,
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  },
  {
   "title": "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-french-presidential-election-who-will-advance-to-the-2nd-round",
   "leader": "Marine Le Pen",
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   "volume": 198869.02,
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  },
  {
   "title": "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2027-french-presidential-election-who-will-be-on-the-ballot",
   "leader": "Jean-Luc Mélenchon",
   "probability": 0.9475,
   "change_24h": 0.0345,
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   "volume": 437365.67,
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  },
  {
   "title": "Lowest temperature in Paris on September 24?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lowest-temperature-in-paris-on-september-24-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lowest-temperature-in-paris-on-september-24-2026",
   "leader": "12°C",
   "probability": 0.325,
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   "volume_24h": 3737.93,
   "volume": 4770.56,
   "end_date": "2026-09-24T12:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Highest temperature in Paris on September 25?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-paris-on-september-25-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-paris-on-september-25-2026",
   "leader": "27°C",
   "probability": 0.42,
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   "volume_24h": 3292.13,
   "volume": 3227.99,
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  },
  {
   "title": "Socialist Party of France Presidential Nominee",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/socialist-party-of-france-presidential-nominee-20260710182042067",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/socialist-party-of-france-presidential-nominee-20260710182042067",
   "leader": "Raphael Glucksmann",
   "probability": 0.785,
   "change_24h": 0.055,
   "volume_24h": 2394.94,
   "volume": 54570.96,
   "end_date": "2027-04-17T21:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/france-uk-or-germany-military-action-against-yemen-by-20260914",
   "leader": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.1495,
   "change_24h": 0.0395,
   "volume_24h": 757.92,
   "volume": 8706.87,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T20:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "SER Seat Count after French Senate Election?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ser-seat-count-after-french-senate-election",
   "leader": "59-61",
   "probability": 0.475,
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  },
  {
   "title": "Lowest temperature in Paris on September 25?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lowest-temperature-in-paris-on-september-25-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lowest-temperature-in-paris-on-september-25-2026",
   "leader": "11°C",
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   "volume_24h": 396.84,
   "volume": 396.84,
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  },
  {
   "title": "Union Centriste Seat Count after French Senate Election?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/union-centriste-seat-count-after-french-senate-election",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/union-centriste-seat-count-after-french-senate-election",
   "leader": "62-64",
   "probability": 0.5275,
   "change_24h": 0.0815,
   "volume_24h": 347.01,
   "volume": 8764.15,
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  },
  {
   "title": "French Socialist Primary: First Round Winner",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/french-socialist-primary-first-round-winner",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/french-socialist-primary-first-round-winner",
   "leader": "Raphaël Glucksmann",
   "probability": 0.875,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 252.8,
   "volume": 5028.6,
   "end_date": "2026-10-10T18:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "National Rally Group Seat Count after French Senate Election?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/national-rally-group-seat-count-after-french-senate-election",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/national-rally-group-seat-count-after-french-senate-election",
   "leader": "12",
   "probability": 0.26,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 217.0,
   "volume": 8701.44,
   "end_date": "2026-10-12T14:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/french-presidential-election-who-will-announce-a-run-in-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/french-presidential-election-who-will-announce-a-run-in-2026",
   "leader": "Dominique de Villepin",
   "probability": 0.59,
   "change_24h": -0.035,
   "volume_24h": 93.43,
   "volume": 98005.21,
   "end_date": "2027-04-18T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Le Pen names non-Bardella PM?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/le-pen-names-non-bardella-pm-byptptpt-20260708200413440",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/le-pen-names-non-bardella-pm-byptptpt-20260708200413440",
   "leader": "By April 17, 2027",
   "probability": 0.106,
   "change_24h": -0.0165,
   "volume_24h": 60.0,
   "volume": 4726.14,
   "end_date": "2027-04-17T21:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "French Senate Election: 2nd Most Seats?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/french-senate-election-2nd-most-seats",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/french-senate-election-2nd-most-seats",
   "leader": "SER",
   "probability": 0.68,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume_24h": 48.97,
   "volume": 13361.1,
   "end_date": "2026-10-12T14:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Next President of the National Rally in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-president-of-the-national-rally-in-2026-20260708193244734",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-president-of-the-national-rally-in-2026-20260708193244734",
   "leader": "Jordan Bardella",
   "probability": 0.9605,
   "change_24h": -0.0045,
   "volume_24h": 40.38,
   "volume": 10917.5,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Les Républicains Seat Count after French Senate Election?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/les-republicains-seat-count-after-french-senate-election",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/les-republicains-seat-count-after-french-senate-election",
   "leader": "121-124",
   "probability": 0.38,
   "change_24h": -0.01,
   "volume_24h": 40.0,
   "volume": 17307.53,
   "end_date": "2026-10-12T14:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Lecornu out as French PM?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lecornu-out-as-french-pm-by-381",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lecornu-out-as-french-pm-by-381",
   "leader": "By December 31, 2026",
   "probability": 0.265,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 39.74,
   "volume": 355564.58,
   "end_date": "2026-10-11T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/french-socialist-primary-first-round-2nd-place",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/french-socialist-primary-first-round-2nd-place",
   "leader": "Olivier Faure",
   "probability": 0.77,
   "change_24h": 0.065,
   "volume_24h": 39.47,
   "volume": 4645.08,
   "end_date": "2026-10-10T18:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Macron out?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/macron-out-in-2025/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/macron-out-in-2025",
   "leader": "By December 31, 2026",
   "probability": 0.046,
   "change_24h": 0.001,
   "volume_24h": 34.4,
   "volume": 2155995.57,
   "end_date": "2027-01-03T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/national-rally-forms-a-french-senate-group-in-2026-20260706175436248",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/national-rally-forms-a-french-senate-group-in-2026-20260706175436248",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.855,
   "change_24h": -0.015,
   "volume_24h": 32.2,
   "volume": 3623.65,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T22:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "2027 French Presidential Election: Attal vs Philippe",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2027-french-presidential-election-attal-vs-philippe",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2027-french-presidential-election-attal-vs-philippe",
   "leader": "Édouard Philippe",
   "probability": 0.705,
   "change_24h": 0.01,
   "volume_24h": 20.98,
   "volume": 6054.02,
   "end_date": "2027-04-18T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-jordan-bardella-leave-the-national-rally-byptptpt-20260709012217842",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-jordan-bardella-leave-the-national-rally-byptptpt-20260709012217842",
   "leader": "By March 31",
   "probability": 0.105,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume_24h": 9.85,
   "volume": 16570.24,
   "end_date": "2027-04-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "French election called?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/french-election-called/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/french-election-called-by",
   "leader": "By December 31, 2026",
   "probability": 0.0595,
   "change_24h": -0.011,
   "volume_24h": 1.91,
   "volume": 1094735.44,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "European military action against Iran?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/european-military-action-on-iran-byptptpt-20260720022428140",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/european-military-action-on-iran-byptptpt-20260720022428140",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.075,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 326354.17,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T22:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "France United Left Primary Winner",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/france-united-left-primary-winner",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/france-united-left-primary-winner",
   "leader": "Canceled",
   "probability": 0.921,
   "change_24h": -0.0055,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 229033.15,
   "end_date": "2027-04-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will France pass a national budget by December 31?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-france-pass-a-national-budget-by-december-31",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-france-pass-a-national-budget-by-december-31",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.395,
   "change_24h": 0.01,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 12790.67,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T22:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-grard-larcher-be-reelected-as-president-of-the-french-senate",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-grard-larcher-be-reelected-as-president-of-the-french-senate",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.9655,
   "change_24h": 0.0055,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 7722.12,
   "end_date": "2027-06-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Marine Le Pen out as Member of the National Assembly?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/marine-le-pen-out-as-member-of-the-national-assembly-byptptpt-20260706153645647",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/marine-le-pen-out-as-member-of-the-national-assembly-byptptpt-20260706153645647",
   "leader": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.019,
   "change_24h": -0.0035,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 3570.47,
   "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "French Senate Election: Most Seats?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/french-senate-election-most-seats",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/french-senate-election-most-seats",
   "leader": "Les Républicains",
   "probability": 0.9755,
   "change_24h": 0.0005,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 2973.44,
   "end_date": "2026-10-12T14:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/le-pen-ankle-monitor-before-french-presidential-election-20260708202050689",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/le-pen-ankle-monitor-before-french-presidential-election-20260708202050689",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.105,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 2580.82,
   "end_date": "2027-04-18T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-summer-2026-be-frances-hottest-summer-on-record-1786459847288",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-summer-2026-be-frances-hottest-summer-on-record-1786459847288",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.9975,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 1715.2,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "2027 French Presidential Election: Knafo or Zemmour for Reconquête?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2027-french-presidential-election-knafo-or-zemmour-for-reconquete",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2027-french-presidential-election-knafo-or-zemmour-for-reconquete",
   "leader": "Knafo",
   "probability": 0.055,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 740.33,
   "end_date": "2027-04-18T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will the French Socialist primary be won outright in the first round?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/french-socialist-primary-winner-in-the-first-round",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/french-socialist-primary-winner-in-the-first-round",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.36,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 644.6,
   "end_date": "2026-10-10T18:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Macron call a referendum by December 31?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-macron-call-a-referendum-by-december-31-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-macron-call-a-referendum-by-december-31-2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0585,
   "change_24h": 0.0065,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 109.06,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  }
 ],
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/france/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/france/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma API; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}