{
 "slug": "iran",
 "topic": "Iran",
 "category": "geopolitics",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/iran/",
 "updated": "2026-09-23T15:49:17+00:00",
 "count": 117,
 "volume_24h": 2192506.89,
 "polymarket_tags": [
  "iran",
  "trump-iran",
  "us-iran",
  "israel-x-iran",
  "iranian-leadership-regime",
  "khamenei",
  "diplomacy-ceasefire"
 ],
 "markets": [
  {
   "title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-byptptpt-20260713152715080",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.619,
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   "volume_24h": 546137.75,
   "volume": 31113905.66,
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  },
  {
   "title": "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.205,
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   "volume_24h": 324278.84,
   "volume": 12583878.28,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "US-Iran ceasefire continues?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/us-iran-ceasefire-continues/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt",
   "leader": "Through September 25",
   "probability": 0.974,
   "change_24h": 0.004,
   "volume_24h": 264964.16,
   "volume": 2263424.34,
   "end_date": "2026-10-31T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/saudi-oil-pipeline-east-west-restarts/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-oil-pipeline-east-west-restarts-byptptpt",
   "leader": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.768,
   "change_24h": -0.159,
   "volume_24h": 170705.16,
   "volume": 1290829.64,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.145,
   "change_24h": -0.01,
   "volume_24h": 108028.21,
   "volume": 68407672.04,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/who-will-attend-a-round-of-us-iran-peace-talks-by-december-31/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-attend-a-round-of-us-iran-peace-talks-by-december-31-20260812153824803",
   "leader": "Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani",
   "probability": 0.775,
   "change_24h": 0.66,
   "volume_24h": 106359.72,
   "volume": 988981.58,
   "end_date": "2027-06-23T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/bab-el-mandeb-strait-effectively-closed/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bab-el-mandeb-strait-effectively-closed-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.175,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 104001.5,
   "volume": 15132748.09,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt-20260716224448963",
   "leader": "Through September 30",
   "probability": 0.9615,
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   "volume_24h": 72022.02,
   "volume": 31345602.0,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T20:29:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-september-30/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-september-30-20260702154339440",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0065,
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   "volume_24h": 40679.02,
   "volume": 9289714.51,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Iran leadership change?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/iran-leadership-change/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-leadership-change-by",
   "leader": "By June 30, 2027",
   "probability": 0.255,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 36875.88,
   "volume": 26041579.97,
   "end_date": "2027-07-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/what-will-be-in-a-us-iran-deal-in-2026/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-be-in-a-us-iran-deal-in-2026-20260624150226501",
   "leader": "1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium",
   "probability": 0.175,
   "change_24h": 0.02,
   "volume_24h": 32424.58,
   "volume": 999402.14,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/kharg-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-by-march-31/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/kharg-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-by-march-31",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.055,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 27625.46,
   "volume": 73742111.54,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-october-31/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-october-31-20260810151043583",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.08,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume_24h": 25464.78,
   "volume": 845436.1,
   "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Crude Oil all time high?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/crude-oil-all-time-high/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/crude-oil-all-time-high-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.105,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 24212.22,
   "volume": 4146261.11,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "US-Iran Hormuz Agreement?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-iran-hormuz-agreement-byptptpt-20260803235957575",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-iran-hormuz-agreement-byptptpt-20260803235957575",
   "leader": "By September 30",
   "probability": 0.071,
   "change_24h": 0.015,
   "volume_24h": 23300.51,
   "volume": 1316005.24,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/iran-oman-hormuz-management-agreement/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-oman-hormuz-management-agreement-byptptpt-20260804222725871",
   "leader": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.34,
   "change_24h": 0.01,
   "volume_24h": 23236.07,
   "volume": 2616901.65,
   "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/houthi-military-action-against-saudi-arabia-on-20260916",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/houthi-military-action-against-saudi-arabia-on-20260916",
   "leader": "September 28",
   "probability": 0.55,
   "change_24h": 0.175,
   "volume_24h": 22167.03,
   "volume": 113427.68,
   "end_date": "2026-09-30T20:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Iran charges Hormuz fees?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/iran-charges-hormuz-fees/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-charges-hormuz-fees-byptptpt-20260625175035466",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.25,
   "change_24h": 0.02,
   "volume_24h": 15756.71,
   "volume": 3085077.28,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Iran full airspace closure?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/iran-full-airspace-closure/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-full-airspace-closure-byptptpt-20260625195253028",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.24,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume_24h": 15082.43,
   "volume": 9720338.69,
   "end_date": "2027-01-26T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/where-will-the-next-us-iran-senior-diplomatic-meeting-take-placeptptpt",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/where-will-the-next-us-iran-senior-diplomatic-meeting-take-placeptptpt",
   "leader": "USA",
   "probability": 0.42,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 13957.04,
   "volume": 13957.04,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-blockade-lifted-before-xi-visits-us",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-blockade-lifted-before-xi-visits-us",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.001,
   "change_24h": -0.0315,
   "volume_24h": 11563.4,
   "volume": 19213.0,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-us-iran-senior-diplomatic-meeting-byptptpt",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-us-iran-senior-diplomatic-meeting-byptptpt",
   "leader": "By December 31, 2026",
   "probability": 0.87,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 11506.2,
   "volume": 11506.2,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-november-30-20260810151158765",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-november-30-20260810151158765",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.125,
   "change_24h": -0.025,
   "volume_24h": 11432.3,
   "volume": 412373.27,
   "end_date": "2026-12-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Houthis enter Aden?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/houthis-enter-aden/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/houthis-enter-aden-byptptpt",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.225,
   "change_24h": -0.1,
   "volume_24h": 10254.73,
   "volume": 309951.44,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-month-will-strait-of-hormuz-traffic-return-to-normal-20260702155718114",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-month-will-strait-of-hormuz-traffic-return-to-normal-20260702155718114",
   "leader": "No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026",
   "probability": 0.805,
   "change_24h": 0.025,
   "volume_24h": 9893.14,
   "volume": 462215.91,
   "end_date": "2027-02-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Iran leader end of 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/iran-leader-end-of-2026/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-leader-end-of-2026",
   "leader": "Mojtaba Khamenei",
   "probability": 0.8485,
   "change_24h": 0.0035,
   "volume_24h": 9508.01,
   "volume": 39545078.21,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel military action against Lebanon?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-military-action-against-lebanon-onptptpt-20260903",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-military-action-against-lebanon-onptptpt-20260903",
   "leader": "September 23",
   "probability": 0.929,
   "change_24h": 0.204,
   "volume_24h": 9142.47,
   "volume": 544848.16,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of September?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/avgpt-of-ships-transiting-strait-of-hormuz-end-of-september",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/avgpt-of-ships-transiting-strait-of-hormuz-end-of-september",
   "leader": "0-5",
   "probability": 0.84,
   "change_24h": 0.135,
   "volume_24h": 7780.32,
   "volume": 57427.19,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/mojtaba-khamenei-public-appearance/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mojtaba-khamenei-public-appearance-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.195,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume_24h": 7715.93,
   "volume": 7204324.08,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-september-30/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-september-30-20260629143335077",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.004,
   "change_24h": 0.0005,
   "volume_24h": 6544.5,
   "volume": 2450151.31,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Trump and Pezeshkian meet by September 30?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-and-pezeshkian-meet-by-september-30",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-and-pezeshkian-meet-by-september-30",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.051,
   "change_24h": -0.199,
   "volume_24h": 6540.83,
   "volume": 6540.83,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-the-end-of-2026/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-the-end-of-2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.065,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 6420.09,
   "volume": 26238966.95,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-unsc-adopt-a-resolution-endorsing-the-final-us-iran-deal-by-date",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-unsc-adopt-a-resolution-endorsing-the-final-us-iran-deal-by-date",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.21,
   "change_24h": 0.075,
   "volume_24h": 6345.14,
   "volume": 250813.68,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "USD x Iranian rials End of September?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/usd-x-iranian-rials-end-of-september",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/usd-x-iranian-rials-end-of-september",
   "leader": "2.2M+",
   "probability": 0.91,
   "change_24h": 0.06,
   "volume_24h": 6341.37,
   "volume": 86620.74,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel military action against Beirut?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-military-action-against-beirut-byptptpt-20260708221422557",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-military-action-against-beirut-byptptpt-20260708221422557",
   "leader": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.15,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 5604.4,
   "volume": 381750.11,
   "end_date": "2026-10-31T20:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-reza-pahlavi-enter-iran-by-june-30/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-reza-pahlavi-enter-iran-by-june-30",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.0335,
   "change_24h": -0.001,
   "volume_24h": 5336.22,
   "volume": 22115333.63,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 28?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-ships-transit-bab-el-mandeb-strait-week-of-september-28",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-ships-transit-bab-el-mandeb-strait-week-of-september-28",
   "leader": "190-209",
   "probability": 0.295,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 4961.05,
   "volume": 4961.05,
   "end_date": "2026-10-04T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Houthis seize an oil tanker?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/houthis-seize-an-oil-tanker-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/houthis-seize-an-oil-tanker-by",
   "leader": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.505,
   "change_24h": 0.235,
   "volume_24h": 4881.99,
   "volume": 72252.33,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-airspace-closed-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-airspace-closed-by",
   "leader": "December 31",
   "probability": 0.175,
   "change_24h": -0.03,
   "volume_24h": 4836.84,
   "volume": 80849.14,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-reissues-iran-oil-sales-sanction-relief-byptptpt-20260708142359046",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-reissues-iran-oil-sales-sanction-relief-byptptpt-20260708142359046",
   "leader": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.28,
   "change_24h": -0.04,
   "volume_24h": 4488.5,
   "volume": 369255.24,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/farsi-hengam-hormuz-or-kharg-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-byptptpt-20260804165426109",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/farsi-hengam-hormuz-or-kharg-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-byptptpt-20260804165426109",
   "leader": "By September 30",
   "probability": 0.0085,
   "change_24h": 0.0005,
   "volume_24h": 3380.39,
   "volume": 161181.47,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 28?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-week-of-september-28",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-week-of-september-28",
   "leader": "<20",
   "probability": 0.335,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 3219.11,
   "volume": 3219.11,
   "end_date": "2026-10-04T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel military action against Syria?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-military-action-against-syria-byptptpt-21",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-military-action-against-syria-byptptpt-21",
   "leader": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.31,
   "change_24h": -0.42,
   "volume_24h": 3026.39,
   "volume": 63161.38,
   "end_date": "2026-09-30T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by October 30?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-us-crude-oil-reserves-fall-to-by-october-30",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-us-crude-oil-reserves-fall-to-by-october-30",
   "leader": "280M",
   "probability": 0.685,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 2579.26,
   "volume": 2579.26,
   "end_date": "2026-11-12T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "USD x Iranian rials End of September? (Higher Strikes)",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/usd-x-iranian-rials-end-of-september-higher-strikes",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/usd-x-iranian-rials-end-of-september-higher-strikes",
   "leader": "2.2 to 2.5M",
   "probability": 0.785,
   "change_24h": 0.02,
   "volume_24h": 2372.09,
   "volume": 35575.35,
   "end_date": "2026-09-30T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Houthi military action against Israel?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/houthi-military-action-against-israel-byptptpt-20260714210303206",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/houthi-military-action-against-israel-byptptpt-20260714210303206",
   "leader": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.275,
   "change_24h": -0.45,
   "volume_24h": 2023.79,
   "volume": 237427.58,
   "end_date": "2026-09-30T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mohammed-bin-salman-out-as-leader-of-saudi-arabia-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mohammed-bin-salman-out-as-leader-of-saudi-arabia-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.046,
   "change_24h": 0.001,
   "volume_24h": 1630.04,
   "volume": 1827250.02,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of September?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/avgpt-of-ships-transiting-bab-el-mandeb-strait-end-of-september",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/avgpt-of-ships-transiting-bab-el-mandeb-strait-end-of-september",
   "leader": "25-29",
   "probability": 0.455,
   "change_24h": -0.145,
   "volume_24h": 1606.72,
   "volume": 49379.83,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Saudi airspace closed?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-airspace-closed-byptptpt",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-airspace-closed-byptptpt",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.225,
   "change_24h": 0.01,
   "volume_24h": 1545.32,
   "volume": 21372.82,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "USD x Iranian rials End of December?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/usd-x-iranian-rials-end-of-december",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/usd-x-iranian-rials-end-of-december",
   "leader": "2.0 - 2.5M",
   "probability": 0.38,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume_24h": 1542.49,
   "volume": 26170.95,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 21?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-week-of-september-21",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-week-of-september-21",
   "leader": "20-24",
   "probability": 0.4,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 1422.53,
   "volume": 1422.53,
   "end_date": "2026-09-27T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-lebanon-effective-ceasefire-begins-byptptpt-2-week-pause",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-lebanon-effective-ceasefire-begins-byptptpt-2-week-pause",
   "leader": "September 30",
   "probability": 0.023,
   "change_24h": -0.0065,
   "volume_24h": 1244.15,
   "volume": 14451.25,
   "end_date": "2026-09-30T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Masoud Pezeshkian arrested by September 28?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/masoud-pezeshkian-arrested-by-september-28",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/masoud-pezeshkian-arrested-by-september-28",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0055,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 1230.33,
   "volume": 1230.33,
   "end_date": "2026-09-29T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Netanyahu and Pezeshkian meet by September 30?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/netanyahu-and-pezeshkian-meet-by-september-30",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/netanyahu-and-pezeshkian-meet-by-september-30",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0195,
   "change_24h": -0.2455,
   "volume_24h": 1100.99,
   "volume": 1100.99,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Iran target an Arab country?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-target-an-arab-country-by-20260909",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-target-an-arab-country-by-20260909",
   "leader": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.39,
   "change_24h": -0.185,
   "volume_24h": 1089.2,
   "volume": 51279.51,
   "end_date": "2026-10-31T20:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will the US officially declare war on Iran?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-officially-declare-war-on-iran-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-officially-declare-war-on-iran-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.0295,
   "change_24h": 0.001,
   "volume_24h": 1055.83,
   "volume": 7828530.62,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-target-united-arab-emirates-byptptpt-20260907",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-target-united-arab-emirates-byptptpt-20260907",
   "leader": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.295,
   "change_24h": -0.27,
   "volume_24h": 859.64,
   "volume": 7320.53,
   "end_date": "2026-09-30T19:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Abbas Araghchi arrested by September 28?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/abbas-araghchi-arrested-by-september-28",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/abbas-araghchi-arrested-by-september-28",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.006,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 794.19,
   "volume": 794.19,
   "end_date": "2026-09-29T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/shipping-successfully-targeted-in-hormuz-onptptpt",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/shipping-successfully-targeted-in-hormuz-onptptpt",
   "leader": "September 23",
   "probability": 0.975,
   "change_24h": 0.57,
   "volume_24h": 779.95,
   "volume": 33779.48,
   "end_date": "2026-09-30T19:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/pete-hegseth-out-as-secretary-of-defense-by-december-31",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/pete-hegseth-out-as-secretary-of-defense-by-december-31",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.235,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 731.78,
   "volume": 446422.16,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-invokes-war-powers-in-yemen-by-september-30",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-invokes-war-powers-in-yemen-by-september-30",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0695,
   "change_24h": -0.009,
   "volume_24h": 697.11,
   "volume": 49536.23,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Iran Nuke before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-nuke-before-2027",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-nuke-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.048,
   "change_24h": -0.0015,
   "volume_24h": 662.72,
   "volume": 1314940.72,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 21?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-ships-transit-bab-el-mandeb-strait-week-of-september-21",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-ships-transit-bab-el-mandeb-strait-week-of-september-21",
   "leader": "170-189",
   "probability": 0.535,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 645.22,
   "volume": 645.22,
   "end_date": "2026-09-27T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-september-30",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-september-30",
   "leader": "10+",
   "probability": 0.09,
   "change_24h": -0.155,
   "volume_24h": 581.16,
   "volume": 35485.23,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-israel-reopen-its-embassy-in-iran-in-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-israel-reopen-its-embassy-in-iran-in-2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0215,
   "change_24h": 0.0005,
   "volume_24h": 555.47,
   "volume": 195073.33,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-withdraw-from-the-npt-before-2027",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-withdraw-from-the-npt-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.1045,
   "change_24h": 0.0035,
   "volume_24h": 541.65,
   "volume": 578002.87,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Houthis enter Saudi Arabia?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/houthis-enter-saudi-arabia-byptptpt",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/houthis-enter-saudi-arabia-byptptpt",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.22,
   "change_24h": 0.02,
   "volume_24h": 533.85,
   "volume": 41861.41,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Masoud Pezeshkian out?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/masoud-pezeshkian-out-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/masoud-pezeshkian-out-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.09,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 533.59,
   "volume": 870968.96,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Iran invades Kuwait?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-invades-kuwait-byptptpt-20260720015031544",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-invades-kuwait-byptptpt-20260720015031544",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.06,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 457.63,
   "volume": 1100857.56,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-send-warships-through-the-strait-of-hormuz-by-december-31",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-send-warships-through-the-strait-of-hormuz-by-december-31",
   "leader": "US",
   "probability": 0.275,
   "change_24h": 0.015,
   "volume_24h": 396.88,
   "volume": 49769.9,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Iran target Iraq?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-target-iraq-byptptpt-20260907",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-target-iraq-byptptpt-20260907",
   "leader": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.35,
   "change_24h": -0.275,
   "volume_24h": 390.23,
   "volume": 9659.11,
   "end_date": "2026-09-30T20:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-imposes-new-sanctions-on-china-by-september-30",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-imposes-new-sanctions-on-china-by-september-30",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.041,
   "change_24h": 0.007,
   "volume_24h": 381.5,
   "volume": 8679.99,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Iran coup attempt?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-coup-attempt-by-june-30",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-coup-attempt-by-june-30",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.09,
   "change_24h": -0.02,
   "volume_24h": 366.52,
   "volume": 2137277.88,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Perim Island no longer under Houthi control?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/perim-island-no-longer-under-houthi-control-by-20260916",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/perim-island-no-longer-under-houthi-control-by-20260916",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.225,
   "change_24h": -0.01,
   "volume_24h": 360.78,
   "volume": 11549.66,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-announces-withdrawal-from-al-udeid-air-base-by-sep-30-20260626182408440",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-announces-withdrawal-from-al-udeid-air-base-by-sep-30-20260626182408440",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.014,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 315.79,
   "volume": 194790.43,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel military action against Yemen?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-military-action-against-yemen-byptptpt-20260714001321874",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-military-action-against-yemen-byptptpt-20260714001321874",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.395,
   "change_24h": 0.065,
   "volume_24h": 312.21,
   "volume": 306626.23,
   "end_date": "2026-09-30T20:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel withdraws from Lebanon?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-withdraws-from-lebanon-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-withdraws-from-lebanon-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.045,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 284.81,
   "volume": 8461960.94,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-agrees-to-end-enrichment-of-uranium-by-september-30-20260709004922353",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-agrees-to-end-enrichment-of-uranium-by-september-30-20260709004922353",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0115,
   "change_24h": 0.001,
   "volume_24h": 260.97,
   "volume": 74168.35,
   "end_date": "2026-09-30T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Another Iranian Ambassador expelled?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/another-iranian-diplomat-expelled-byptptpt",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/another-iranian-diplomat-expelled-byptptpt",
   "leader": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.22,
   "change_24h": -0.055,
   "volume_24h": 255.03,
   "volume": 33123.09,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mohammed-ghalibaf-out-as-speaker-of-iran-parliament-byptptpt-20260709235401297",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mohammed-ghalibaf-out-as-speaker-of-iran-parliament-byptptpt-20260709235401297",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.115,
   "change_24h": -0.07,
   "volume_24h": 240.0,
   "volume": 56949.97,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "US obtains Iranian enriched uranium?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.055,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 230.68,
   "volume": 29472774.14,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Iran target Jordan?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-target-jordan-by-20260909",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-target-jordan-by-20260909",
   "leader": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.36,
   "change_24h": -0.235,
   "volume_24h": 198.97,
   "volume": 6748.32,
   "end_date": "2026-10-31T20:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-blockade-lifted-before-iran-oman-hormuz-agreement",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-blockade-lifted-before-iran-oman-hormuz-agreement",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.37,
   "change_24h": -0.015,
   "volume_24h": 183.27,
   "volume": 13214.31,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by September 25?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-us-crude-oil-reserves-fall-to-by-september-25",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-us-crude-oil-reserves-fall-to-by-september-25",
   "leader": "280M",
   "probability": 0.049,
   "change_24h": -0.0055,
   "volume_24h": 164.44,
   "volume": 59893.58,
   "end_date": "2026-10-08T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Iran target Ukraine?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-target-ukraine-byptptpt-20260727234956916",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-target-ukraine-byptptpt-20260727234956916",
   "leader": "By September 30",
   "probability": 0.005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 161.66,
   "volume": 510699.41,
   "end_date": "2026-09-30T20:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/abu-musa-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-byptptpt-20260720011758214",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/abu-musa-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-byptptpt-20260720011758214",
   "leader": "By September 30",
   "probability": 0.0055,
   "change_24h": -0.003,
   "volume_24h": 150.0,
   "volume": 97380.35,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/hormuz-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-byptptpt-20260720014603391",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/hormuz-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-byptptpt-20260720014603391",
   "leader": "By September 30",
   "probability": 0.008,
   "change_24h": -0.007,
   "volume_24h": 150.0,
   "volume": 71360.71,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/how-many-different-countries-will-israel-strike-in-2026/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-different-countries-will-israel-strike-in-2026",
   "leader": "4",
   "probability": 0.759,
   "change_24h": -0.0045,
   "volume_24h": 124.14,
   "volume": 7566259.59,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to \"Strait of Trump\" by December 31?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-renames-strait-of-hormuz-to-strait-of-trump-by-december-31",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-renames-strait-of-hormuz-to-strait-of-trump-by-december-31",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.054,
   "change_24h": 0.009,
   "volume_24h": 111.11,
   "volume": 100028.97,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Iran target Syria?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-target-syria-byptptpt",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-target-syria-byptptpt",
   "leader": "By September 30",
   "probability": 0.032,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 111.09,
   "volume": 40113.87,
   "end_date": "2026-09-30T20:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-lebanon-diplomatic-meeting-by-20260918",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-lebanon-diplomatic-meeting-by-20260918",
   "leader": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.8,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 108.61,
   "volume": 108.61,
   "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "US x Russia military clash?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/us-x-russia-military-clash/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-russia-military-clash-by",
   "leader": "By December 31, 2026",
   "probability": 0.0345,
   "change_24h": -0.0015,
   "volume_24h": 89.4,
   "volume": 1806175.69,
   "end_date": "2027-05-29T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-issues-iran-sanctions-executive-order-by-aug-28",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-issues-iran-sanctions-executive-order-by-aug-28",
   "leader": "By September 30",
   "probability": 0.33,
   "change_24h": 0.29,
   "volume_24h": 83.35,
   "volume": 7261.38,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Iran target Egypt?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-target-egypt-byptptpt",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-target-egypt-byptptpt",
   "leader": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.13,
   "change_24h": -0.145,
   "volume_24h": 80.0,
   "volume": 29865.13,
   "end_date": "2026-09-30T20:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by..?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/0-ships-transit-bab-el-mandeb-on-any-date-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/0-ships-transit-bab-el-mandeb-on-any-date-by",
   "leader": "December 31",
   "probability": 0.165,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume_24h": 68.62,
   "volume": 8102.61,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-agrees-to-surrender-enriched-uranium-stockpile-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-agrees-to-surrender-enriched-uranium-stockpile-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.065,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume_24h": 50.58,
   "volume": 17934649.42,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iaea-visits-isfahan-fordow-or-natanz-nuclear-site-by-july-31-20260624040209014",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iaea-visits-isfahan-fordow-or-natanz-nuclear-site-by-july-31-20260624040209014",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.135,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 30.0,
   "volume": 376841.83,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-and-lebanon-normalize-relations-before-2027",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-and-lebanon-normalize-relations-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.07,
   "change_24h": -0.025,
   "volume_24h": 14.58,
   "volume": 239030.63,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-recognizes-reza-pahlavi-as-leader-of-iran-in2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-recognizes-reza-pahlavi-as-leader-of-iran-in2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0445,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 6.78,
   "volume": 638382.19,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T16:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-agrees-to-end-enrichment-of-uranium-by-december-31",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-agrees-to-end-enrichment-of-uranium-by-december-31",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.125,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 2.27,
   "volume": 1760074.42,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-any-country-expel-an-israeli-ambassador-by-december-31",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-any-country-expel-an-israeli-ambassador-by-december-31",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.285,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 1.39,
   "volume": 54719.41,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T16:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-airspace-closed-between-octpt-15-and-octpt-31",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-airspace-closed-between-octpt-15-and-octpt-31",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.09,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume_24h": 1.09,
   "volume": 987.61,
   "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Total Internet Blackout in Iran?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/total-internet-blackout-in-iran-byptptpt-20260720155238426",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/total-internet-blackout-in-iran-byptptpt-20260720155238426",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.235,
   "change_24h": 0.01,
   "volume_24h": 1.02,
   "volume": 249407.15,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/hengam-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-byptptpt-20260720014859845",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/hengam-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-byptptpt-20260720014859845",
   "leader": "By September 30",
   "probability": 0.006,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.01,
   "volume": 208473.45,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0335,
   "change_24h": 0.0045,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 11767366.64,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "US charges Hormuz fees?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-charges-hormuz-fees-byptptpt-20260713151243232",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-charges-hormuz-fees-byptptpt-20260713151243232",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.058,
   "change_24h": 0.0005,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 983543.84,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Iran hold a presidential election?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-hold-a-presidential-election-by-june-30",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-hold-a-presidential-election-by-june-30",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.115,
   "change_24h": 0.035,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 767426.82,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-talk-to-mojtaba-khamenei-by-march-31",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-talk-to-mojtaba-khamenei-by-march-31",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.031,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 626289.23,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "US military draft authorized in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-military-draft-authorized-in-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-military-draft-authorized-in-2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.046,
   "change_24h": -0.004,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 531927.76,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-meets-with-mojtaba-khamenei-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-meets-with-mojtaba-khamenei-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.024,
   "change_24h": -0.002,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 200375.23,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/farsi-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-byptptpt-20260720015111488",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/farsi-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-byptptpt-20260720015111488",
   "leader": "By September 30",
   "probability": 0.005,
   "change_24h": -0.001,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 198461.68,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-reopen-its-embassy-in-iran-in-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-reopen-its-embassy-in-iran-in-2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.045,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 159502.86,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-hezbollah-diplomatic-meeting-byptptpt-20260706181026740",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-hezbollah-diplomatic-meeting-byptptpt-20260706181026740",
   "leader": "By September 30",
   "probability": 0.0345,
   "change_24h": -0.0035,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 98154.62,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/abbas-araghchi-out-as-minister-of-foreign-affairs-of-iran-byptptpt-20260709234123315",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/abbas-araghchi-out-as-minister-of-foreign-affairs-of-iran-byptptpt-20260709234123315",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.11,
   "change_24h": 0.06,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 77455.59,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/greater-tunb-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-byptptpt-20260720014332851",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/greater-tunb-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-byptptpt-20260720014332851",
   "leader": "By September 30",
   "probability": 0.005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 55049.52,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-any-country-expel-a-us-ambassador-by-december-31",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-any-country-expel-a-us-ambassador-by-december-31",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.25,
   "change_24h": 0.015,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 33029.58,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T16:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/congress-approves-iran-deal-in-2026-20260616005217959",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/congress-approves-iran-deal-in-2026-20260616005217959",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.07,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 13169.61,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  }
 ],
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/iran/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/iran/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma API; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}