{
 "slug": "israel",
 "topic": "Israel",
 "category": "geopolitics",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/israel/",
 "updated": "2026-09-23T15:49:17+00:00",
 "count": 103,
 "volume_24h": 810183.54,
 "polymarket_tags": [
  "israel",
  "israel-election",
  "trump-netanyahu",
  "gaza"
 ],
 "markets": [
  {
   "title": "US-Iran ceasefire continues?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/us-iran-ceasefire-continues/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt",
   "leader": "Through September 25",
   "probability": 0.974,
   "change_24h": 0.004,
   "volume_24h": 264964.16,
   "volume": 2263424.34,
   "end_date": "2026-10-31T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election",
   "leader": "Gadi Eizenkot",
   "probability": 0.528,
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   "volume_24h": 249489.96,
   "volume": 38837926.34,
   "end_date": "2026-10-27T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.145,
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   "volume": 68407672.04,
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  },
  {
   "title": "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt-20260716224448963",
   "leader": "Through September 30",
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   "volume_24h": 72022.02,
   "volume": 31345602.0,
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  },
  {
   "title": "Will Netanyahu visit New York City?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-netanyahu-visit-new-york-city-byptptpt-20260722053445708",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-netanyahu-visit-new-york-city-byptptpt-20260722053445708",
   "leader": "By September 30",
   "probability": 0.994,
   "change_24h": 0.022,
   "volume_24h": 20072.72,
   "volume": 456309.88,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel military action against Lebanon?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-military-action-against-lebanon-onptptpt-20260903",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-military-action-against-lebanon-onptptpt-20260903",
   "leader": "September 23",
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   "volume_24h": 9142.47,
   "volume": 544848.16,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Netanyahu drops out of Israel election?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/netanyahu-drops-out-of-israel-election-by-july-31",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/netanyahu-drops-out-of-israel-election-by-july-31",
   "leader": "By September 30",
   "probability": 0.006,
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   "volume_24h": 8551.46,
   "volume": 203217.22,
   "end_date": "2026-10-27T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/mojtaba-khamenei-public-appearance/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mojtaba-khamenei-public-appearance-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.195,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume_24h": 7715.93,
   "volume": 7204324.08,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "What will Netanyahu say during the United Nations General Assembly?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-netanyahu-say-during-the-united-nations-general-assembly",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-netanyahu-say-during-the-united-nations-general-assembly",
   "leader": "Nuclear",
   "probability": 0.956,
   "change_24h": 0.041,
   "volume_24h": 6537.31,
   "volume": 19943.71,
   "end_date": "2026-09-24T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-the-end-of-2026/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-the-end-of-2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.065,
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   "volume_24h": 6420.09,
   "volume": 26238966.95,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel military action against Beirut?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-military-action-against-beirut-byptptpt-20260708221422557",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-military-action-against-beirut-byptptpt-20260708221422557",
   "leader": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.15,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 5604.4,
   "volume": 381750.11,
   "end_date": "2026-10-31T20:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-reza-pahlavi-enter-iran-by-june-30/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-reza-pahlavi-enter-iran-by-june-30",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.0335,
   "change_24h": -0.001,
   "volume_24h": 5336.22,
   "volume": 22115333.63,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-airspace-closed-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-airspace-closed-by",
   "leader": "December 31",
   "probability": 0.175,
   "change_24h": -0.03,
   "volume_24h": 4836.84,
   "volume": 80849.14,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Hezbollah disarm?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-hezbollah-disarm-by-march-31",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-hezbollah-disarm-by-march-31",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.09,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume_24h": 4708.82,
   "volume": 3062616.55,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel military action against Syria?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-military-action-against-syria-byptptpt-21",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-military-action-against-syria-byptptpt-21",
   "leader": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.31,
   "change_24h": -0.42,
   "volume_24h": 3026.39,
   "volume": 63161.38,
   "end_date": "2026-09-30T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-publicly-insult-by-september-30-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-publicly-insult-by-september-30-2026",
   "leader": "Mark Carney",
   "probability": 0.87,
   "change_24h": 0.115,
   "volume_24h": 2211.46,
   "volume": 150165.71,
   "end_date": "2026-09-30T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-trump-endorse-in-the-2026-israeli-election-20260610144125261",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-trump-endorse-in-the-2026-israeli-election-20260610144125261",
   "leader": "Likud",
   "probability": 0.475,
   "change_24h": 0.2,
   "volume_24h": 2128.95,
   "volume": 44808.98,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israeli Legislative Election Winner",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-legislative-election-winner",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-legislative-election-winner",
   "leader": "Yashar",
   "probability": 0.62,
   "change_24h": -0.01,
   "volume_24h": 2029.78,
   "volume": 324124.62,
   "end_date": "2026-10-28T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Houthi military action against Israel?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/houthi-military-action-against-israel-byptptpt-20260714210303206",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/houthi-military-action-against-israel-byptptpt-20260714210303206",
   "leader": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.275,
   "change_24h": -0.45,
   "volume_24h": 2023.79,
   "volume": 237427.58,
   "end_date": "2026-09-30T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Bank of Israel Decision in October?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bank-of-israel-decision-in-october",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bank-of-israel-decision-in-october",
   "leader": "No Change",
   "probability": 0.775,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 1980.95,
   "volume": 30748.33,
   "end_date": "2026-10-21T00:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-recognize-israel-by-december-31",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-recognize-israel-by-december-31",
   "leader": "Venezuela",
   "probability": 0.125,
   "change_24h": 0.03,
   "volume_24h": 1357.57,
   "volume": 805521.39,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-lebanon-effective-ceasefire-begins-byptptpt-2-week-pause",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-lebanon-effective-ceasefire-begins-byptptpt-2-week-pause",
   "leader": "September 30",
   "probability": 0.023,
   "change_24h": -0.0065,
   "volume_24h": 1244.15,
   "volume": 14451.25,
   "end_date": "2026-09-30T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel Election: Likud # of seats?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-likud-of-seats",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-likud-of-seats",
   "leader": "20-24",
   "probability": 0.375,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume_24h": 1244.14,
   "volume": 204125.79,
   "end_date": "2026-10-28T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Netanyahu and Pezeshkian meet by September 30?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/netanyahu-and-pezeshkian-meet-by-september-30",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/netanyahu-and-pezeshkian-meet-by-september-30",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0195,
   "change_24h": -0.2455,
   "volume_24h": 1100.99,
   "volume": 1100.99,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-cancelled-by-october-31/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-cancelled-by-october-31",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.14,
   "change_24h": -0.035,
   "volume_24h": 1068.57,
   "volume": 4064808.81,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel military action against Iraq?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-military-action-against-iraq-by-20260922",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-military-action-against-iraq-by-20260922",
   "leader": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.2,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 1061.12,
   "volume": 1061.12,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T20:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Netanyahu arrested by…?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/netanyahu-arrested-by-20260720194516248",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/netanyahu-arrested-by-20260720194516248",
   "leader": "December 31",
   "probability": 0.0445,
   "change_24h": -0.0205,
   "volume_24h": 1059.92,
   "volume": 29861.12,
   "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will the US officially declare war on Iran?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-officially-declare-war-on-iran-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-officially-declare-war-on-iran-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.0295,
   "change_24h": 0.001,
   "volume_24h": 1055.83,
   "volume": 7828530.62,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-phase-ii-by-october-31/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-phase-ii-by-october-31",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.16,
   "change_24h": -0.04,
   "volume_24h": 1051.14,
   "volume": 2890249.89,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-netanyahu-use-a-visual-aid-during-his-unga-speech",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-netanyahu-use-a-visual-aid-during-his-unga-speech",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.855,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 1040.35,
   "volume": 1040.35,
   "end_date": "2026-09-25T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/foreign-intervention-in-gaza-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/foreign-intervention-in-gaza-by",
   "leader": "December 31",
   "probability": 0.14,
   "change_24h": 0.03,
   "volume_24h": 851.29,
   "volume": 1092936.18,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Which parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-parties-will-win-a-seat-in-the-2026-knesset-elections",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-parties-will-win-a-seat-in-the-2026-knesset-elections",
   "leader": "RZP-Zehut",
   "probability": 0.89,
   "change_24h": 0.01,
   "volume_24h": 819.97,
   "volume": 5246.19,
   "end_date": "2026-10-27T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-parties-will-be-in-the-next-israeli-government",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-parties-will-be-in-the-next-israeli-government",
   "leader": "Yashar",
   "probability": 0.69,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 782.51,
   "volume": 3272.58,
   "end_date": "2027-06-30T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Trump meets with Netanyahu?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-meets-with-netanyahu-by-20260917",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-meets-with-netanyahu-by-20260917",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.595,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume_24h": 760.04,
   "volume": 3845.28,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel Election: Yashar # of seats?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-yashar-of-seats",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-yashar-of-seats",
   "leader": "22-23",
   "probability": 0.225,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume_24h": 739.71,
   "volume": 10246.91,
   "end_date": "2026-10-27T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-israel-launch-a-major-ground-offensive-in-gaza-by-october-31",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-israel-launch-a-major-ground-offensive-in-gaza-by-october-31",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.095,
   "change_24h": 0.01,
   "volume_24h": 716.17,
   "volume": 759636.59,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel Election: RZP-Zehut # of seats?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-rzp-zehut-of-seats",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-rzp-zehut-of-seats",
   "leader": "6-7",
   "probability": 0.525,
   "change_24h": 0.065,
   "volume_24h": 650.31,
   "volume": 8135.14,
   "end_date": "2026-10-27T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel Election: Together # of seats?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-together-of-seats",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-together-of-seats",
   "leader": "11-13",
   "probability": 0.315,
   "change_24h": 0.145,
   "volume_24h": 631.09,
   "volume": 4307.29,
   "end_date": "2026-10-27T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Netanyahu out?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/netanyahu-out-before-2027/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/netanyahu-out-before-2027",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.505,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 597.35,
   "volume": 124403213.66,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-and-saudi-arabia-normalize-relations-before-2027",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-and-saudi-arabia-normalize-relations-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.075,
   "change_24h": -0.035,
   "volume_24h": 570.22,
   "volume": 442213.37,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-israel-reopen-its-embassy-in-iran-in-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-israel-reopen-its-embassy-in-iran-in-2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0215,
   "change_24h": 0.0005,
   "volume_24h": 555.47,
   "volume": 195073.33,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel Election: Shas vote share?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-shas-vote-share",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-shas-vote-share",
   "leader": "<6%",
   "probability": 0.405,
   "change_24h": 0.04,
   "volume_24h": 369.79,
   "volume": 871.83,
   "end_date": "2026-10-27T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Iran coup attempt?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-coup-attempt-by-june-30",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-coup-attempt-by-june-30",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.09,
   "change_24h": -0.02,
   "volume_24h": 366.52,
   "volume": 2137277.88,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027",
   "leader": "New Zealand",
   "probability": 0.105,
   "change_24h": 0.01,
   "volume_24h": 363.0,
   "volume": 760468.93,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israeli election results in a hung parliament?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-election-results-in-a-hung-parliament",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-election-results-in-a-hung-parliament",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.37,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume_24h": 331.39,
   "volume": 6813.51,
   "end_date": "2026-10-27T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel military action against Yemen?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-military-action-against-yemen-byptptpt-20260714001321874",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-military-action-against-yemen-byptptpt-20260714001321874",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.395,
   "change_24h": 0.065,
   "volume_24h": 312.21,
   "volume": 306626.23,
   "end_date": "2026-09-30T20:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-country-will-join-abraham-accords-before-2027/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-country-will-join-abraham-accords-before-2027",
   "leader": "Saudi Arabia",
   "probability": 0.085,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 297.87,
   "volume": 1668683.31,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel withdraws from Lebanon?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-withdraws-from-lebanon-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-withdraws-from-lebanon-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.045,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 284.81,
   "volume": 8461960.94,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel Election: UTJ # of seats?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-utj-of-seats",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-utj-of-seats",
   "leader": "7-8",
   "probability": 0.655,
   "change_24h": -0.035,
   "volume_24h": 257.45,
   "volume": 6878.22,
   "end_date": "2026-10-27T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu # of seats?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-yisrael-beiteinu-of-seats",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-yisrael-beiteinu-of-seats",
   "leader": "6-7",
   "probability": 0.415,
   "change_24h": 0.305,
   "volume_24h": 235.0,
   "volume": 2776.95,
   "end_date": "2026-10-27T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-turkey-military-clash-before-2027",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-turkey-military-clash-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.135,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 200.0,
   "volume": 436733.76,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Hamas agree to disarm?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-hamaz-disarm-by-december-31/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-hamaz-disarm-by-december-31",
   "leader": "By December 31, 2026",
   "probability": 0.175,
   "change_24h": -0.01,
   "volume_24h": 189.58,
   "volume": 3771166.64,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-clavicular-wear-a-yarmulke-in-2026-20260710172344899",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-clavicular-wear-a-yarmulke-in-2026-20260710172344899",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.21,
   "change_24h": -0.07,
   "volume_24h": 187.03,
   "volume": 28328.29,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael # of seats?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-amcha-yisrael-of-seats",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-amcha-yisrael-of-seats",
   "leader": "<4",
   "probability": 0.615,
   "change_24h": 0.04,
   "volume_24h": 161.9,
   "volume": 5927.93,
   "end_date": "2026-10-27T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel Election: United Torah Judaism vote share?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-united-torah-judaism-vote-share",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-united-torah-judaism-vote-share",
   "leader": "6-7%",
   "probability": 0.435,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume_24h": 161.0,
   "volume": 1506.93,
   "end_date": "2026-10-27T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/how-many-different-countries-will-israel-strike-in-2026/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-different-countries-will-israel-strike-in-2026",
   "leader": "4",
   "probability": 0.759,
   "change_24h": -0.0045,
   "volume_24h": 124.14,
   "volume": 7566259.59,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-a-new-country-join-the-abraham-accords-before-2027",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-a-new-country-join-the-abraham-accords-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0915,
   "change_24h": -0.002,
   "volume_24h": 118.77,
   "volume": 307606.48,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-lebanon-diplomatic-meeting-by-20260918",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-lebanon-diplomatic-meeting-by-20260918",
   "leader": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.8,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 108.61,
   "volume": 108.61,
   "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "How many Israeli elections before government formed?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-israeli-elections-before-government-formed-20260728195012183",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-israeli-elections-before-government-formed-20260728195012183",
   "leader": "1",
   "probability": 0.655,
   "change_24h": -0.02,
   "volume_24h": 100.91,
   "volume": 43596.85,
   "end_date": "2026-10-27T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu vote share?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-yisrael-beiteinu-vote-share",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-yisrael-beiteinu-vote-share",
   "leader": "6-7%",
   "probability": 0.415,
   "change_24h": -0.05,
   "volume_24h": 39.51,
   "volume": 1725.98,
   "end_date": "2026-10-27T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel Election: Joint List # of seats?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-joint-list-of-seats",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-joint-list-of-seats",
   "leader": "8-9",
   "probability": 0.36,
   "change_24h": -0.04,
   "volume_24h": 33.44,
   "volume": 3125.17,
   "end_date": "2026-10-27T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel Election: Unity vote share?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-unity-vote-share",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-unity-vote-share",
   "leader": "<0.5%",
   "probability": 0.9855,
   "change_24h": -0.0015,
   "volume_24h": 27.0,
   "volume": 1658.9,
   "end_date": "2026-10-27T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-syria-diplomatic-meeting-byptptpt",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-syria-diplomatic-meeting-byptptpt",
   "leader": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.17,
   "change_24h": -0.08,
   "volume_24h": 20.49,
   "volume": 16143.53,
   "end_date": "2026-10-31T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel Election: Together vote share?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-together-vote-share",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-together-vote-share",
   "leader": "9-11%",
   "probability": 0.395,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume_24h": 20.0,
   "volume": 754.78,
   "end_date": "2026-10-27T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael vote share?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-amcha-yisrael-vote-share",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-amcha-yisrael-vote-share",
   "leader": "3.25-4%",
   "probability": 0.445,
   "change_24h": 0.04,
   "volume_24h": 17.1,
   "volume": 558.25,
   "end_date": "2026-10-27T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Israel election happen as scheduled?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-israel-election-happen-as-scheduled-20260720204824362",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-israel-election-happen-as-scheduled-20260720204824362",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.9635,
   "change_24h": 0.0055,
   "volume_24h": 16.3,
   "volume": 10302.78,
   "end_date": "2026-10-28T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-and-lebanon-normalize-relations-before-2027",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-and-lebanon-normalize-relations-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.07,
   "change_24h": -0.025,
   "volume_24h": 14.58,
   "volume": 239030.63,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel Election: Otzma # of seats?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-otzma-of-seats",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-otzma-of-seats",
   "leader": "8-9",
   "probability": 0.275,
   "change_24h": -0.03,
   "volume_24h": 11.12,
   "volume": 5443.29,
   "end_date": "2026-10-27T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel Election: Ra'am # of seats?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-raam-of-seats",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-raam-of-seats",
   "leader": "4",
   "probability": 0.315,
   "change_24h": 0.035,
   "volume_24h": 8.4,
   "volume": 8075.36,
   "end_date": "2026-10-27T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel Election: Religious Zionist Party–Zehut vote share?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-religious-zionist-party-zehut-vote-share",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-religious-zionist-party-zehut-vote-share",
   "leader": "4-5%",
   "probability": 0.415,
   "change_24h": 0.15,
   "volume_24h": 7.97,
   "volume": 1381.96,
   "end_date": "2026-10-27T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-israel-annex-west-bank-territory-before-2027",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-israel-annex-west-bank-territory-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.055,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 5.35,
   "volume": 90957.52,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-any-country-expel-an-israeli-ambassador-by-december-31",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-any-country-expel-an-israeli-ambassador-by-december-31",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.285,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 1.39,
   "volume": 54719.41,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T16:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-airspace-closed-between-octpt-15-and-octpt-31",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-airspace-closed-between-octpt-15-and-octpt-31",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.09,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume_24h": 1.09,
   "volume": 987.61,
   "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Netanyahu be pardoned?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-netanyahu-be-pardoned-by-june-30",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-netanyahu-be-pardoned-by-june-30",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.055,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 484684.14,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israeli forces enter Nabatieh?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-enter-nabatieh-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-enter-nabatieh-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.091,
   "change_24h": 0.0005,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 457894.01,
   "end_date": "2026-09-30T20:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-forces-in-gaza-before-2027",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-forces-in-gaza-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.07,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 186032.12,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israeli forces enter Choukine?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-enter-choukine-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-enter-choukine-by",
   "leader": "By September 30",
   "probability": 0.1,
   "change_24h": -0.004,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 169642.52,
   "end_date": "2026-09-30T20:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mahmoud-abbas-out-as-palestinian-president-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mahmoud-abbas-out-as-palestinian-president-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.14,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 142390.37,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israeli forces enter Beirut?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-enter-beirut-by-475",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-enter-beirut-by-475",
   "leader": "By September 30",
   "probability": 0.0235,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 139490.76,
   "end_date": "2026-09-30T20:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-evacuates-beirut-embassy-by-june-30",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-evacuates-beirut-embassy-by-june-30",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.07,
   "change_24h": 0.0025,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 119473.03,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israeli forces enter Tyre?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-enter-tyre-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-enter-tyre-by",
   "leader": "By September 30",
   "probability": 0.026,
   "change_24h": 0.0025,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 102800.4,
   "end_date": "2026-09-30T20:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-an-international-court-find-israel-or-its-leaders-guilty-of-genocide-by-december-31-2027-20260629142909679",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-an-international-court-find-israel-or-its-leaders-guilty-of-genocide-by-december-31-2027-20260629142909679",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.145,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 99617.56,
   "end_date": "2028-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-hezbollah-diplomatic-meeting-byptptpt-20260706181026740",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-hezbollah-diplomatic-meeting-byptptpt-20260706181026740",
   "leader": "By September 30",
   "probability": 0.0345,
   "change_24h": -0.0035,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 98154.62,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Greta Thunberg arrested?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/greta-thunberg-arrested-by-june-30",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/greta-thunberg-arrested-by-june-30",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.8255,
   "change_24h": 0.0005,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 72895.99,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel election: will Likud lose seats?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-will-likud-lose-seats",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-will-likud-lose-seats",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.915,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 18443.68,
   "end_date": "2026-10-28T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026?",
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   "title": "Israel Election: Shas # of seats?",
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  {
   "title": "Vote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/vote-of-confidence-in-knesset-by-december-31",
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   "title": "Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-a-new-country-join-the-abraham-accords-by-october-31",
   "leader": "Yes",
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   "volume": 3864.22,
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  {
   "title": "Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?",
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   "leader": "Yes",
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   "volume": 3218.2,
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  {
   "title": "Will the US House pass a bill restricting military aid to Israel by September 30?",
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   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0215,
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   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 2401.33,
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  },
  {
   "title": "Israel Election: Dems # of seats?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-dems-of-seats",
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   "volume": 2400.67,
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  },
  {
   "title": "Israel Election: United Arab List (Ra'am) vote share?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-united-arab-list-raam-vote-share",
   "leader": "4-4.75%",
   "probability": 0.365,
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   "volume": 2293.7,
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  },
  {
   "title": "Israel Election: Blue and White vote share?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-blue-and-white-vote-share",
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   "volume": 1628.14,
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  },
  {
   "title": "Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/vote-of-confidence-passes-in-knesset-by-december-31",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.495,
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   "volume": 1558.36,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
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  {
   "title": "Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nawaf-salam-out-as-lebanon-pm-in-2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.215,
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   "volume": 1246.53,
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  {
   "title": "Israel Election: The Joint List vote share?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-the-joint-list-vote-share",
   "leader": "6.5-7.5%",
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   "volume": 914.46,
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  },
  {
   "title": "Israel Election: Otzma Yehudit vote share?",
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   "probability": 0.305,
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  {
   "title": "Israel Election: Yashar vote share?",
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  {
   "title": "US announces military base in Israel in 2026?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-announces-military-base-in-israel-in-2026-20260630144955258",
   "leader": "Yes",
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   "volume": 675.33,
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  {
   "title": "Israel Election: Reservists–New Economic Party vote share?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-reservistsnew-economic-party-vote-share",
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  {
   "title": "Israel Election: The Democrats vote share?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-the-democrats-vote-share",
   "leader": "7-8%",
   "probability": 0.52,
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   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 360.68,
   "end_date": "2026-10-27T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Netanyahu convicted in corruption trial?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/netanyahu-convicted-in-corruption-trial",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.265,
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   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 160.14,
   "end_date": "2028-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
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 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/israel/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/israel/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma API; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}