{
 "slug": "middle-east",
 "topic": "Middle East",
 "category": "geopolitics",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/middle-east/",
 "updated": "2026-09-23T15:49:17+00:00",
 "count": 108,
 "volume_24h": 1293682.23,
 "polymarket_tags": [
  "middle-east",
  "yemen",
  "houthis",
  "houthi",
  "saudi-arabia",
  "red-sea"
 ],
 "markets": [
  {
   "title": "US-Iran ceasefire continues?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/us-iran-ceasefire-continues/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt",
   "leader": "Through September 25",
   "probability": 0.974,
   "change_24h": 0.004,
   "volume_24h": 264964.16,
   "volume": 2263424.34,
   "end_date": "2026-10-31T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election",
   "leader": "Gadi Eizenkot",
   "probability": 0.528,
   "change_24h": -0.0005,
   "volume_24h": 249489.96,
   "volume": 38837926.34,
   "end_date": "2026-10-27T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/what-price-will-wti-hit-in-september-2026/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-wti-hit-in-september-2026",
   "leader": "↑ $95",
   "probability": 0.7,
   "change_24h": 0.11,
   "volume_24h": 219172.99,
   "volume": 7578605.85,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:59.999000+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/saudi-oil-pipeline-east-west-restarts/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-oil-pipeline-east-west-restarts-byptptpt",
   "leader": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.767,
   "change_24h": -0.16,
   "volume_24h": 170705.16,
   "volume": 1290829.64,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.145,
   "change_24h": -0.01,
   "volume_24h": 108028.21,
   "volume": 68407672.04,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/bab-el-mandeb-strait-effectively-closed/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bab-el-mandeb-strait-effectively-closed-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.175,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 104001.5,
   "volume": 15132748.09,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "US-Yemen ceasefire continues?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-yemen-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-yemen-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt",
   "leader": "Through September 22",
   "probability": 0.984,
   "change_24h": -0.0075,
   "volume_24h": 34630.98,
   "volume": 50144.42,
   "end_date": "2026-10-31T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/houthi-military-action-against-saudi-arabia-on-20260916",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/houthi-military-action-against-saudi-arabia-on-20260916",
   "leader": "September 28",
   "probability": 0.55,
   "change_24h": 0.175,
   "volume_24h": 22167.03,
   "volume": 113427.68,
   "end_date": "2026-09-30T20:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-houthi-ceasefire-agreement-announced-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-houthi-ceasefire-agreement-announced-by",
   "leader": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.295,
   "change_24h": 0.035,
   "volume_24h": 10332.14,
   "volume": 45970.41,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Houthis enter Aden?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/houthis-enter-aden/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/houthis-enter-aden-byptptpt",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.225,
   "change_24h": -0.1,
   "volume_24h": 10254.73,
   "volume": 309951.44,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Iran leader end of 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/iran-leader-end-of-2026/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-leader-end-of-2026",
   "leader": "Mojtaba Khamenei",
   "probability": 0.8485,
   "change_24h": 0.0035,
   "volume_24h": 9508.01,
   "volume": 39545078.21,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel military action against Lebanon?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-military-action-against-lebanon-onptptpt-20260903",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-military-action-against-lebanon-onptptpt-20260903",
   "leader": "September 23",
   "probability": 0.929,
   "change_24h": 0.204,
   "volume_24h": 9142.47,
   "volume": 544848.16,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/mojtaba-khamenei-public-appearance/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mojtaba-khamenei-public-appearance-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.195,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume_24h": 7715.93,
   "volume": 7204324.08,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-the-end-of-2026/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-the-end-of-2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.065,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 6420.09,
   "volume": 26238966.95,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "USD x Iranian rials End of September?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/usd-x-iranian-rials-end-of-september",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/usd-x-iranian-rials-end-of-september",
   "leader": "2.2M+",
   "probability": 0.91,
   "change_24h": 0.06,
   "volume_24h": 6341.37,
   "volume": 86620.74,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-reza-pahlavi-enter-iran-by-june-30/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-reza-pahlavi-enter-iran-by-june-30",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.0335,
   "change_24h": -0.001,
   "volume_24h": 5336.22,
   "volume": 22115333.63,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 28?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-ships-transit-bab-el-mandeb-strait-week-of-september-28",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-ships-transit-bab-el-mandeb-strait-week-of-september-28",
   "leader": "190-209",
   "probability": 0.3,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 4961.05,
   "volume": 4961.05,
   "end_date": "2026-10-04T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Houthis seize an oil tanker?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/houthis-seize-an-oil-tanker-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/houthis-seize-an-oil-tanker-by",
   "leader": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.505,
   "change_24h": 0.235,
   "volume_24h": 4881.99,
   "volume": 72252.33,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/farsi-hengam-hormuz-or-kharg-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-byptptpt-20260804165426109",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/farsi-hengam-hormuz-or-kharg-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-byptptpt-20260804165426109",
   "leader": "By September 30",
   "probability": 0.0085,
   "change_24h": 0.0005,
   "volume_24h": 3380.39,
   "volume": 161181.47,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel military action against Syria?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-military-action-against-syria-byptptpt-21",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-military-action-against-syria-byptptpt-21",
   "leader": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.31,
   "change_24h": -0.42,
   "volume_24h": 3026.39,
   "volume": 63161.38,
   "end_date": "2026-09-30T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "USD x Iranian rials End of September? (Higher Strikes)",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/usd-x-iranian-rials-end-of-september-higher-strikes",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/usd-x-iranian-rials-end-of-september-higher-strikes",
   "leader": "2.2 to 2.5M",
   "probability": 0.785,
   "change_24h": 0.02,
   "volume_24h": 2372.09,
   "volume": 35575.35,
   "end_date": "2026-09-30T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-20260916",
   "leader": "September 24",
   "probability": 0.77,
   "change_24h": 0.19,
   "volume_24h": 2325.45,
   "volume": 158380.71,
   "end_date": "2026-09-30T20:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Houthi military action against Israel?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/houthi-military-action-against-israel-byptptpt-20260714210303206",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/houthi-military-action-against-israel-byptptpt-20260714210303206",
   "leader": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.275,
   "change_24h": -0.45,
   "volume_24h": 2023.79,
   "volume": 237427.58,
   "end_date": "2026-09-30T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mohammed-bin-salman-out-as-leader-of-saudi-arabia-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mohammed-bin-salman-out-as-leader-of-saudi-arabia-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.046,
   "change_24h": 0.001,
   "volume_24h": 1630.04,
   "volume": 1827250.02,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of September?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/avgpt-of-ships-transiting-bab-el-mandeb-strait-end-of-september",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/avgpt-of-ships-transiting-bab-el-mandeb-strait-end-of-september",
   "leader": "25-29",
   "probability": 0.455,
   "change_24h": -0.145,
   "volume_24h": 1606.72,
   "volume": 49379.83,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Saudi airspace closed?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-airspace-closed-byptptpt",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-airspace-closed-byptptpt",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.225,
   "change_24h": 0.01,
   "volume_24h": 1545.32,
   "volume": 21372.82,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "USD x Iranian rials End of December?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/usd-x-iranian-rials-end-of-december",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/usd-x-iranian-rials-end-of-december",
   "leader": "2.0 - 2.5M",
   "probability": 0.38,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume_24h": 1542.49,
   "volume": 26170.95,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-recognize-israel-by-december-31",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-recognize-israel-by-december-31",
   "leader": "Venezuela",
   "probability": 0.125,
   "change_24h": 0.03,
   "volume_24h": 1357.57,
   "volume": 805521.39,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Masoud Pezeshkian arrested by September 28?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/masoud-pezeshkian-arrested-by-september-28",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/masoud-pezeshkian-arrested-by-september-28",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0055,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 1230.33,
   "volume": 1230.33,
   "end_date": "2026-09-29T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Iran target an Arab country?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-target-an-arab-country-by-20260909",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-target-an-arab-country-by-20260909",
   "leader": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.39,
   "change_24h": -0.185,
   "volume_24h": 1089.2,
   "volume": 51279.51,
   "end_date": "2026-10-31T20:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-cancelled-by-october-31/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-cancelled-by-october-31",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.14,
   "change_24h": -0.035,
   "volume_24h": 1068.57,
   "volume": 4064808.81,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel military action against Iraq?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-military-action-against-iraq-by-20260922",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-military-action-against-iraq-by-20260922",
   "leader": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.2,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 1061.12,
   "volume": 1061.12,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T20:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will the US officially declare war on Iran?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-officially-declare-war-on-iran-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-officially-declare-war-on-iran-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.0295,
   "change_24h": 0.001,
   "volume_24h": 1055.83,
   "volume": 7828530.62,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-phase-ii-by-october-31/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-phase-ii-by-october-31",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.16,
   "change_24h": -0.04,
   "volume_24h": 1051.14,
   "volume": 2890249.89,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-target-united-arab-emirates-byptptpt-20260907",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-target-united-arab-emirates-byptptpt-20260907",
   "leader": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.295,
   "change_24h": -0.27,
   "volume_24h": 859.64,
   "volume": 7320.53,
   "end_date": "2026-09-30T19:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/foreign-intervention-in-gaza-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/foreign-intervention-in-gaza-by",
   "leader": "December 31",
   "probability": 0.14,
   "change_24h": 0.03,
   "volume_24h": 851.29,
   "volume": 1092936.18,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Saudi troops fighting in Yemen?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-troops-fighting-in-yemen-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-troops-fighting-in-yemen-by",
   "leader": "By December 31, 2026",
   "probability": 0.225,
   "change_24h": -0.03,
   "volume_24h": 766.68,
   "volume": 15844.22,
   "end_date": "2027-07-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/france-uk-or-germany-military-action-against-yemen-by-20260914",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/france-uk-or-germany-military-action-against-yemen-by-20260914",
   "leader": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.1495,
   "change_24h": 0.0395,
   "volume_24h": 757.92,
   "volume": 8706.87,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T20:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel Election: Yashar # of seats?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-yashar-of-seats",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-yashar-of-seats",
   "leader": "22-23",
   "probability": 0.225,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume_24h": 739.71,
   "volume": 10246.91,
   "end_date": "2026-10-27T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-israel-launch-a-major-ground-offensive-in-gaza-by-october-31",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-israel-launch-a-major-ground-offensive-in-gaza-by-october-31",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.095,
   "change_24h": 0.01,
   "volume_24h": 716.17,
   "volume": 759636.59,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-invokes-war-powers-in-yemen-by-september-30",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-invokes-war-powers-in-yemen-by-september-30",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0695,
   "change_24h": -0.009,
   "volume_24h": 697.11,
   "volume": 49536.23,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Iran Nuke before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-nuke-before-2027",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-nuke-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.048,
   "change_24h": -0.0015,
   "volume_24h": 662.72,
   "volume": 1314940.72,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel Election: RZP-Zehut # of seats?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-rzp-zehut-of-seats",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-rzp-zehut-of-seats",
   "leader": "6-7",
   "probability": 0.525,
   "change_24h": 0.065,
   "volume_24h": 650.31,
   "volume": 8135.14,
   "end_date": "2026-10-27T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 21?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-ships-transit-bab-el-mandeb-strait-week-of-september-21",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-ships-transit-bab-el-mandeb-strait-week-of-september-21",
   "leader": "170-189",
   "probability": 0.535,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 645.22,
   "volume": 645.22,
   "end_date": "2026-09-27T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel Election: Together # of seats?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-together-of-seats",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-together-of-seats",
   "leader": "11-13",
   "probability": 0.315,
   "change_24h": 0.145,
   "volume_24h": 631.09,
   "volume": 4307.29,
   "end_date": "2026-10-27T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-join-the-mecca-agreement-by-december-31",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-join-the-mecca-agreement-by-december-31",
   "leader": "Egypt",
   "probability": 0.15,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume_24h": 623.22,
   "volume": 62159.88,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Netanyahu out?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/netanyahu-out-before-2027/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/netanyahu-out-before-2027",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.505,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 597.35,
   "volume": 124403213.66,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/houthi-x-saudi-arabia-effective-ceasefire-begins-by-20260916",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/houthi-x-saudi-arabia-effective-ceasefire-begins-by-20260916",
   "leader": "October 31",
   "probability": 0.495,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume_24h": 572.46,
   "volume": 5337.41,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-and-saudi-arabia-normalize-relations-before-2027",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-and-saudi-arabia-normalize-relations-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.075,
   "change_24h": -0.035,
   "volume_24h": 570.22,
   "volume": 442213.37,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-israel-reopen-its-embassy-in-iran-in-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-israel-reopen-its-embassy-in-iran-in-2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0215,
   "change_24h": 0.0005,
   "volume_24h": 555.47,
   "volume": 195073.33,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-withdraw-from-the-npt-before-2027",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-withdraw-from-the-npt-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.1045,
   "change_24h": 0.0035,
   "volume_24h": 541.65,
   "volume": 578002.87,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Houthis enter Saudi Arabia?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/houthis-enter-saudi-arabia-byptptpt",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/houthis-enter-saudi-arabia-byptptpt",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.22,
   "change_24h": 0.02,
   "volume_24h": 533.85,
   "volume": 41861.41,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Masoud Pezeshkian out?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/masoud-pezeshkian-out-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/masoud-pezeshkian-out-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.09,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 533.59,
   "volume": 870968.96,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Pakistan military action against Yemen?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/pakistan-military-action-against-yemen-by-20260909",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/pakistan-military-action-against-yemen-by-20260909",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.15,
   "change_24h": 0.02,
   "volume_24h": 508.15,
   "volume": 20558.79,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T20:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Iran invades Kuwait?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-invades-kuwait-byptptpt-20260720015031544",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-invades-kuwait-byptptpt-20260720015031544",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.06,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 457.63,
   "volume": 1100857.56,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Iran target Iraq?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-target-iraq-byptptpt-20260907",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-target-iraq-byptptpt-20260907",
   "leader": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.35,
   "change_24h": -0.275,
   "volume_24h": 390.23,
   "volume": 9659.11,
   "end_date": "2026-09-30T20:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Iran coup attempt?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-coup-attempt-by-june-30",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-coup-attempt-by-june-30",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.09,
   "change_24h": -0.02,
   "volume_24h": 366.52,
   "volume": 2137277.88,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Perim Island no longer under Houthi control?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/perim-island-no-longer-under-houthi-control-by-20260916",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/perim-island-no-longer-under-houthi-control-by-20260916",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.225,
   "change_24h": -0.01,
   "volume_24h": 360.78,
   "volume": 11549.66,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-announces-withdrawal-from-al-udeid-air-base-by-sep-30-20260626182408440",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-announces-withdrawal-from-al-udeid-air-base-by-sep-30-20260626182408440",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.014,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 315.79,
   "volume": 194790.43,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel military action against Yemen?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-military-action-against-yemen-byptptpt-20260714001321874",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-military-action-against-yemen-byptptpt-20260714001321874",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.395,
   "change_24h": 0.065,
   "volume_24h": 312.21,
   "volume": 306626.23,
   "end_date": "2026-09-30T20:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-country-will-join-abraham-accords-before-2027/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-country-will-join-abraham-accords-before-2027",
   "leader": "Saudi Arabia",
   "probability": 0.085,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 297.87,
   "volume": 1668683.31,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-agrees-to-end-enrichment-of-uranium-by-september-30-20260709004922353",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-agrees-to-end-enrichment-of-uranium-by-september-30-20260709004922353",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0115,
   "change_24h": 0.001,
   "volume_24h": 260.97,
   "volume": 74168.35,
   "end_date": "2026-09-30T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel Election: UTJ # of seats?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-utj-of-seats",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-utj-of-seats",
   "leader": "7-8",
   "probability": 0.655,
   "change_24h": -0.035,
   "volume_24h": 257.45,
   "volume": 6878.22,
   "end_date": "2026-10-27T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nato-troops-fighting-in-yemen-before-2027",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nato-troops-fighting-in-yemen-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.049,
   "change_24h": 0.001,
   "volume_24h": 249.02,
   "volume": 6398.92,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu # of seats?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-yisrael-beiteinu-of-seats",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-yisrael-beiteinu-of-seats",
   "leader": "6-7",
   "probability": 0.415,
   "change_24h": 0.305,
   "volume_24h": 235.0,
   "volume": 2776.95,
   "end_date": "2026-10-27T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-another-country-leave-opec-in-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-another-country-leave-opec-in-2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.17,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume_24h": 226.56,
   "volume": 186013.41,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T19:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-turkey-military-clash-before-2027",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-turkey-military-clash-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.135,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 200.0,
   "volume": 436733.76,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Iran target Jordan?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-target-jordan-by-20260909",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-target-jordan-by-20260909",
   "leader": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.36,
   "change_24h": -0.235,
   "volume_24h": 198.97,
   "volume": 6748.32,
   "end_date": "2026-10-31T20:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/aziz-akhannouch-out-as-morocco-prime-minister-by-december-31-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/aziz-akhannouch-out-as-morocco-prime-minister-by-december-31-2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.863,
   "change_24h": -0.0215,
   "volume_24h": 162.75,
   "volume": 168237.01,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael # of seats?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-amcha-yisrael-of-seats",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-amcha-yisrael-of-seats",
   "leader": "<4",
   "probability": 0.615,
   "change_24h": 0.04,
   "volume_24h": 161.9,
   "volume": 5927.93,
   "end_date": "2026-10-27T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/how-many-different-countries-will-israel-strike-in-2026/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-different-countries-will-israel-strike-in-2026",
   "leader": "4",
   "probability": 0.759,
   "change_24h": -0.0045,
   "volume_24h": 124.14,
   "volume": 7566259.59,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-a-new-country-join-the-abraham-accords-before-2027",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-a-new-country-join-the-abraham-accords-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0915,
   "change_24h": -0.002,
   "volume_24h": 118.77,
   "volume": 307606.48,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Iran target Syria?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-target-syria-byptptpt",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-target-syria-byptptpt",
   "leader": "By September 30",
   "probability": 0.032,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 111.09,
   "volume": 40113.87,
   "end_date": "2026-09-30T20:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Iran target Egypt?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-target-egypt-byptptpt",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-target-egypt-byptptpt",
   "leader": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.13,
   "change_24h": -0.145,
   "volume_24h": 80.0,
   "volume": 29865.13,
   "end_date": "2026-09-30T20:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by..?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/0-ships-transit-bab-el-mandeb-on-any-date-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/0-ships-transit-bab-el-mandeb-on-any-date-by",
   "leader": "December 31",
   "probability": 0.165,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume_24h": 68.62,
   "volume": 8102.61,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "OPEC dissolves in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/opec-dissolves-in-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/opec-dissolves-in-2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0385,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 63.07,
   "volume": 38840.25,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-agrees-to-surrender-enriched-uranium-stockpile-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-agrees-to-surrender-enriched-uranium-stockpile-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.065,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume_24h": 50.58,
   "volume": 17934649.42,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Iran target Saudi Arabia?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-target-saudi-arabia-byptptpt",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-target-saudi-arabia-byptptpt",
   "leader": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.12,
   "change_24h": -0.085,
   "volume_24h": 35.47,
   "volume": 92346.36,
   "end_date": "2026-09-30T20:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel Election: Joint List # of seats?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-joint-list-of-seats",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-joint-list-of-seats",
   "leader": "8-9",
   "probability": 0.36,
   "change_24h": -0.04,
   "volume_24h": 33.44,
   "volume": 3125.17,
   "end_date": "2026-10-27T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Saudi Arabia military action against Iran?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-iran-by-20260916",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-iran-by-20260916",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.095,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 23.7,
   "volume": 1754.16,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T20:29:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-syria-diplomatic-meeting-byptptpt",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-syria-diplomatic-meeting-byptptpt",
   "leader": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.17,
   "change_24h": -0.08,
   "volume_24h": 20.49,
   "volume": 16143.53,
   "end_date": "2026-10-31T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Iran nuclear test before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-nuclear-test-before-2027",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-nuclear-test-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0495,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 15.07,
   "volume": 262829.51,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-and-lebanon-normalize-relations-before-2027",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-and-lebanon-normalize-relations-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.07,
   "change_24h": -0.025,
   "volume_24h": 14.58,
   "volume": 239030.63,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel Election: Otzma # of seats?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-otzma-of-seats",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-otzma-of-seats",
   "leader": "8-9",
   "probability": 0.275,
   "change_24h": -0.03,
   "volume_24h": 11.12,
   "volume": 5443.29,
   "end_date": "2026-10-27T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel Election: Ra'am # of seats?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-raam-of-seats",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-raam-of-seats",
   "leader": "4",
   "probability": 0.315,
   "change_24h": 0.035,
   "volume_24h": 8.4,
   "volume": 8075.36,
   "end_date": "2026-10-27T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-recognizes-reza-pahlavi-as-leader-of-iran-in2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-recognizes-reza-pahlavi-as-leader-of-iran-in2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0445,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 6.78,
   "volume": 638382.19,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T16:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-israel-annex-west-bank-territory-before-2027",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-israel-annex-west-bank-territory-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.055,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 5.35,
   "volume": 90957.52,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-agrees-to-end-enrichment-of-uranium-by-december-31",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-agrees-to-end-enrichment-of-uranium-by-december-31",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.125,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 2.27,
   "volume": 1760074.42,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-any-country-expel-an-israeli-ambassador-by-december-31",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-any-country-expel-an-israeli-ambassador-by-december-31",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.285,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 1.39,
   "volume": 54719.41,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T16:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israeli forces enter Nabatieh?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-enter-nabatieh-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-enter-nabatieh-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.091,
   "change_24h": 0.0005,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 457894.01,
   "end_date": "2026-09-30T20:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-meets-with-mojtaba-khamenei-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-meets-with-mojtaba-khamenei-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.024,
   "change_24h": -0.002,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 200375.23,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israeli forces enter Choukine?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-enter-choukine-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-enter-choukine-by",
   "leader": "By September 30",
   "probability": 0.1,
   "change_24h": -0.004,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 169642.52,
   "end_date": "2026-09-30T20:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Iran target Qatar?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-target-qatar-byptptpt",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-target-qatar-byptptpt",
   "leader": "By September 30",
   "probability": 0.0375,
   "change_24h": 0.0035,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 144361.31,
   "end_date": "2026-09-30T20:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israeli forces enter Beirut?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-enter-beirut-by-475",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-enter-beirut-by-475",
   "leader": "By September 30",
   "probability": 0.0235,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 139490.76,
   "end_date": "2026-09-30T20:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-evacuates-beirut-embassy-by-june-30",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-evacuates-beirut-embassy-by-june-30",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.07,
   "change_24h": 0.0025,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 119473.03,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/uae-x-saudi-arabia-sever-diplomatic-relations-in-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/uae-x-saudi-arabia-sever-diplomatic-relations-in-2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0415,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 114160.83,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T19:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israeli forces enter Tyre?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-enter-tyre-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-enter-tyre-by",
   "leader": "By September 30",
   "probability": 0.026,
   "change_24h": 0.0025,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 102800.4,
   "end_date": "2026-09-30T20:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-uae-leave-the-gulf-cooperation-council-in-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-uae-leave-the-gulf-cooperation-council-in-2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.06,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 100937.84,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T19:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Iran target Oman?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-target-oman-byptptpt",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-target-oman-byptptpt",
   "leader": "By September 30",
   "probability": 0.0265,
   "change_24h": -0.001,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 41668.73,
   "end_date": "2026-09-30T19:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-saudi-nuclear-deal-enters-into-force-in-2026-20260722230956508",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-saudi-nuclear-deal-enters-into-force-in-2026-20260722230956508",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.085,
   "change_24h": 0.01,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 39254.0,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/congress-approves-iran-deal-in-2026-20260616005217959",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/congress-approves-iran-deal-in-2026-20260616005217959",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.07,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 13169.61,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel Election: Shas # of seats?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-shas-of-seats",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-shas-of-seats",
   "leader": "8-9",
   "probability": 0.385,
   "change_24h": -0.01,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 5457.21,
   "end_date": "2026-10-27T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Houthi military action against Mecca?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/houthi-military-action-against-mecca-by-20260916",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/houthi-military-action-against-mecca-by-20260916",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.1,
   "change_24h": -0.025,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 4519.72,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T20:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-a-new-country-join-the-abraham-accords-by-october-31",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-a-new-country-join-the-abraham-accords-by-october-31",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.051,
   "change_24h": 0.001,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 3864.22,
   "end_date": "2026-10-31T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Iran target Bahrain?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-target-bahrain-byptptpt-20260907",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-target-bahrain-byptptpt-20260907",
   "leader": "By September 30",
   "probability": 0.23,
   "change_24h": -0.085,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 2573.57,
   "end_date": "2026-09-30T20:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel Election: Dems # of seats?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-dems-of-seats",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-dems-of-seats",
   "leader": "<8",
   "probability": 0.295,
   "change_24h": 0.06,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 2400.67,
   "end_date": "2026-10-27T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Iran target Kuwait?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-target-kuwait-byptptpt-20260907",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-target-kuwait-byptptpt-20260907",
   "leader": "By September 30",
   "probability": 0.2,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 2223.05,
   "end_date": "2026-09-30T20:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel Election: Yashar vote share?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-yashar-vote-share",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-yashar-vote-share",
   "leader": "18-20%",
   "probability": 0.425,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 709.53,
   "end_date": "2026-10-27T23:59:00+00:00"
  }
 ],
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/middle-east/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/middle-east/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma API; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}