{
 "slug": "russia-ukraine",
 "topic": "Russia–Ukraine War",
 "category": "geopolitics",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/russia-ukraine/",
 "updated": "2026-09-23T15:49:17+00:00",
 "count": 129,
 "volume_24h": 850605.52,
 "polymarket_tags": [
  "ukraine",
  "russia",
  "ukraine-peace-deal",
  "ukraine-map",
  "putin",
  "zelenskyy",
  "zelensky"
 ],
 "markets": [
  {
   "title": "Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-december-31/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-december-31",
   "leader": "Druzkhivka",
   "probability": 0.4,
   "change_24h": -0.035,
   "volume_24h": 186254.11,
   "volume": 1518802.87,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/where-will-trump-and-putin-meet-next-678/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/where-will-trump-and-putin-meet-next-678",
   "leader": "China",
   "probability": 0.68,
   "change_24h": -0.025,
   "volume_24h": 126752.11,
   "volume": 1363723.34,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "NATO x Russia military clash?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/nato-x-russia-military-clash-in-2025/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nato-x-russia-military-clash-in-2025",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.315,
   "change_24h": -0.01,
   "volume_24h": 109123.28,
   "volume": 7690649.61,
   "end_date": "2027-01-03T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-agreement/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-agreement-by",
   "leader": "By December 31, 2027",
   "probability": 0.725,
   "change_24h": 0.01,
   "volume_24h": 69998.89,
   "volume": 7936141.64,
   "end_date": "2027-07-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Putin out as President of Russia?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/putin-out-before-2027/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/putin-out-before-2027",
   "leader": "By June 30, 2027",
   "probability": 0.115,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 60893.37,
   "volume": 25403877.79,
   "end_date": "2027-07-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-russia-announce-a-new-forced-mobilization/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-announce-a-new-forced-mobilization-byptptpt",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.275,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 55497.42,
   "volume": 411728.28,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/where-will-zelenskyy-and-putin-meet-next/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/where-will-zelenskyy-and-putin-meet-next",
   "leader": "No meeting before 2027",
   "probability": 0.93,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume_24h": 26259.32,
   "volume": 3559999.49,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Russia x Ukraine peace talks?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/russia-x-ukraine-peace-talks-byptptpt-20260609012540716",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/russia-x-ukraine-peace-talks-byptptpt-20260609012540716",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.69,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume_24h": 23098.38,
   "volume": 804454.96,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Russia invade a NATO country?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-russia-invade-a-nato-country-in-2025/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-invade-a-nato-country-in-2025",
   "leader": "By December 31, 2026",
   "probability": 0.055,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 21578.0,
   "volume": 5478634.21,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/ukraine-signs-peace-deal-with-russia-before-2027/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ukraine-signs-peace-deal-with-russia-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.075,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 17675.39,
   "volume": 2809618.14,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Trump meets with Putin?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-meets-with-putin-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-meets-with-putin-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.735,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume_24h": 16040.59,
   "volume": 293203.51,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Russia military action against EU country?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/russia-military-action-against-eu-country-byptptpt",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/russia-military-action-against-eu-country-byptptpt",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.2,
   "change_24h": 0.015,
   "volume_24h": 15613.84,
   "volume": 47653.33,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-ukraine-recapture-crimean-territory-by-june-30-2026/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-recapture-crimean-territory-by-june-30-2026",
   "leader": "By June 30, 2027",
   "probability": 0.105,
   "change_24h": -0.01,
   "volume_24h": 12836.16,
   "volume": 3896932.43,
   "end_date": "2027-07-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/kanye-west-performs-in-russia-by-october-31/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/kanye-west-performs-in-russia-by-october-31",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.116,
   "change_24h": 0.0235,
   "volume_24h": 12793.88,
   "volume": 632237.03,
   "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-russia-capture-all-of-kostyantynivka/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-all-of-kostyantynivka-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.295,
   "change_24h": 0.01,
   "volume_24h": 11138.43,
   "volume": 1747907.89,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Russia capture Orikhiv?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-russia-capture-orikhiv/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-orikhiv-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.29,
   "change_24h": -0.025,
   "volume_24h": 9675.94,
   "volume": 346498.42,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/russia-x-ukraine-any-diplomatic-meeting-byptptpt-20260819",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/russia-x-ukraine-any-diplomatic-meeting-byptptpt-20260819",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.88,
   "change_24h": -0.015,
   "volume_24h": 8923.93,
   "volume": 263092.07,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Ukraine target Moscow?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-september-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-september-2026",
   "leader": "September 30",
   "probability": 0.29,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 8371.59,
   "volume": 8371.59,
   "end_date": "2026-09-30T20:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Russia invade another country in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-invade-another-country-in-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-invade-another-country-in-2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.065,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 7720.35,
   "volume": 529301.32,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Russia capture Dobropillia?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-dobropillia-byptptpt",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-dobropillia-byptptpt",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.165,
   "change_24h": -0.02,
   "volume_24h": 7590.34,
   "volume": 23497.09,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/zelenskyy-out-as-ukraine-president-before-2027/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/zelenskyy-out-as-ukraine-president-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.055,
   "change_24h": -0.01,
   "volume_24h": 7337.33,
   "volume": 3258850.62,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Russia capture Lyman?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-russia-capture-lyman-in-2025/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-lyman-in-2025",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.065,
   "change_24h": 0.01,
   "volume_24h": 3781.64,
   "volume": 3069034.3,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Russia enter Mykolaivka?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-enter-mykolaivka-byptptpt-20260805154948089",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-enter-mykolaivka-byptptpt-20260805154948089",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.82,
   "change_24h": -0.02,
   "volume_24h": 2537.41,
   "volume": 231386.03,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Russia enter Havrylivka?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-enter-havrylivka-by-february-28",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-enter-havrylivka-by-february-28",
   "leader": "By September 30",
   "probability": 0.0085,
   "change_24h": -0.022,
   "volume_24h": 2161.46,
   "volume": 145120.21,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/russia-x-ukraine-peace-parlay",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/russia-x-ukraine-peace-parlay",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0375,
   "change_24h": 0.0015,
   "volume_24h": 2153.2,
   "volume": 628529.58,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-the-royal-cafe-alex-in-kostyantynivka-byptptpt",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-the-royal-cafe-alex-in-kostyantynivka-byptptpt",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.635,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 1869.57,
   "volume": 38506.57,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Russia target Kyiv?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-2026",
   "leader": "September 26",
   "probability": 0.93,
   "change_24h": 0.12,
   "volume_24h": 1815.68,
   "volume": 106794.88,
   "end_date": "2026-09-30T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-re-enter-kamianske-by-june-30",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-re-enter-kamianske-by-june-30",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.285,
   "change_24h": 0.015,
   "volume_24h": 1760.07,
   "volume": 89138.79,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-re-enter-uspenivka-by-march-31",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-re-enter-uspenivka-by-march-31",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.44,
   "change_24h": 0.135,
   "volume_24h": 1740.62,
   "volume": 198492.26,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Ukraine strikes another tanker in Caspian Sea?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ukraine-strikes-another-tanker-in-caspian-sea-byptptpt-20260726221135931",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ukraine-strikes-another-tanker-in-caspian-sea-byptptpt-20260726221135931",
   "leader": "By September 30",
   "probability": 0.056,
   "change_24h": 0.013,
   "volume_24h": 1702.63,
   "volume": 45433.59,
   "end_date": "2026-09-30T20:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will US withdraw from NATO?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-us-withdraw-from-nato-before-2027",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-us-withdraw-from-nato-before-2027",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.0205,
   "change_24h": -0.0015,
   "volume_24h": 1113.19,
   "volume": 6339690.2,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/eu-country-blames-russia-for-new-sabotage-attack-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/eu-country-blames-russia-for-new-sabotage-attack-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.645,
   "change_24h": -0.02,
   "volume_24h": 1108.84,
   "volume": 26662.79,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Russia enter Krasnopillya?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-enter-krasnopillya-by-april-30",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-enter-krasnopillya-by-april-30",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.2,
   "change_24h": -0.07,
   "volume_24h": 1099.39,
   "volume": 90195.52,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Bank of Russia decision in October?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bank-of-russia-decision-in-october-20260724021538830",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bank-of-russia-decision-in-october-20260724021538830",
   "leader": "No Change",
   "probability": 0.7,
   "change_24h": 0.04,
   "volume_24h": 778.88,
   "volume": 39897.94,
   "end_date": "2026-10-24T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-zelenskyy-talk-to-putin-by-november-30-821/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-zelenskyy-talk-to-putin-by-november-30-821",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.075,
   "change_24h": 0.01,
   "volume_24h": 714.38,
   "volume": 966052.25,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-putin-and-zelensky-meet-together-before-2027",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-putin-and-zelensky-meet-together-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.065,
   "change_24h": 0.015,
   "volume_24h": 700.25,
   "volume": 51188.55,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka again?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-enter-oleksiievo-druzhkivka-again-byptptpt",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-enter-oleksiievo-druzhkivka-again-byptptpt",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.835,
   "change_24h": 0.025,
   "volume_24h": 673.57,
   "volume": 8632.86,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-visit-ukraine-by-december-31-20260729205841876",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-visit-ukraine-by-december-31-20260729205841876",
   "leader": "Friedrich Merz",
   "probability": 0.565,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume_24h": 626.62,
   "volume": 546694.32,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-mala-tokmachka-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-mala-tokmachka-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.5,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume_24h": 483.78,
   "volume": 422358.9,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-oleksiievo-druzhkivka-byptptpt-20260706174556069",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-oleksiievo-druzhkivka-byptptpt-20260706174556069",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.18,
   "change_24h": -0.015,
   "volume_24h": 452.64,
   "volume": 210858.52,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Russia capture Shevchenko?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-shevchenko-byptptpt-20260805162837387",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-shevchenko-byptptpt-20260805162837387",
   "leader": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.34,
   "change_24h": 0.01,
   "volume_24h": 409.33,
   "volume": 62006.23,
   "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "NATO downs another Russian drone?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nato-downs-another-russian-drone-byptptpt-copy",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nato-downs-another-russian-drone-byptptpt-copy",
   "leader": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.66,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 404.29,
   "volume": 404.29,
   "end_date": "2026-10-31T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Russia capture all of Lyman?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-all-of-lyman-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-all-of-lyman-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.038,
   "change_24h": 0.011,
   "volume_24h": 385.76,
   "volume": 340305.88,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Russia capture Sloviansk?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-slovainsk-by-2027",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-slovainsk-by-2027",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.0255,
   "change_24h": -0.0045,
   "volume_24h": 380.06,
   "volume": 451580.9,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-re-enter-obratne-or-temyrivka-by-march-31",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-re-enter-obratne-or-temyrivka-by-march-31",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.335,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 376.37,
   "volume": 69723.1,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Russia capture Vodianske?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-vodianske-byptptpt-20260724162613570",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-vodianske-byptptpt-20260724162613570",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.2,
   "change_24h": -0.025,
   "volume_24h": 356.04,
   "volume": 133451.15,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-all-of-donetsk-oblast-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-all-of-donetsk-oblast-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.026,
   "change_24h": 0.004,
   "volume_24h": 354.03,
   "volume": 964645.25,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Russia capture Mykolaivka?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-mykolaivka-byptptpt",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-mykolaivka-byptptpt",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.09,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 334.09,
   "volume": 9798.97,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-putin-meet-with-zelenskyy-by-december-31-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-putin-meet-with-zelenskyy-by-december-31-2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.06,
   "change_24h": -0.01,
   "volume_24h": 329.5,
   "volume": 19232.4,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-all-of-chasiv-yar-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-all-of-chasiv-yar-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.62,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 304.07,
   "volume": 109541.57,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-enter-malokaterynivka-by-february-28",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-enter-malokaterynivka-by-february-28",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.0555,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume_24h": 246.77,
   "volume": 288062.95,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-any-aircraft-land-or-take-off-at-kyiv-boryspil-airport-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-any-aircraft-land-or-take-off-at-kyiv-boryspil-airport-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.135,
   "change_24h": -0.04,
   "volume_24h": 240.69,
   "volume": 55242.63,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/eu-country-expels-russian-ambassador-by-december-31",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/eu-country-expels-russian-ambassador-by-december-31",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.155,
   "change_24h": -0.04,
   "volume_24h": 239.88,
   "volume": 2136.97,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-russia-nuclear-deal-by-december-31",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-russia-nuclear-deal-by-december-31",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.054,
   "change_24h": 0.0005,
   "volume_24h": 232.6,
   "volume": 661899.02,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Another NATO article 4?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/another-nato-article-4-byptptpt-20260726214235871",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/another-nato-article-4-byptptpt-20260726214235871",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.51,
   "change_24h": 0.025,
   "volume_24h": 225.37,
   "volume": 170300.96,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Russia capture Havrylivka?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-havrylivka-by-february-28",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-havrylivka-by-february-28",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.053,
   "change_24h": -0.0015,
   "volume_24h": 219.62,
   "volume": 304272.6,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Russia capture Dovha Balka?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-dovha-balka-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-dovha-balka-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.41,
   "change_24h": 0.14,
   "volume_24h": 215.36,
   "volume": 131427.9,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Russia capture all of Bilytske?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-all-of-bilytske-by-june-30",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-all-of-bilytske-by-june-30",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.535,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 199.76,
   "volume": 86629.5,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Russia enter Moskovka?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-enter-moskovka-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-enter-moskovka-by",
   "leader": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.23,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume_24h": 186.35,
   "volume": 114445.74,
   "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-novyi-donbas-byptptpt-20260724163321934",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-novyi-donbas-byptptpt-20260724163321934",
   "leader": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.26,
   "change_24h": 0.02,
   "volume_24h": 177.42,
   "volume": 88905.06,
   "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/ukraine-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-ukrainian-territory-in-2025/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ukraine-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-ukrainian-territory-in-2025",
   "leader": "By December 31, 2026",
   "probability": 0.021,
   "change_24h": -0.002,
   "volume_24h": 170.31,
   "volume": 2650597.42,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Iran target Ukraine?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-target-ukraine-byptptpt-20260727234956916",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-target-ukraine-byptptpt-20260727234956916",
   "leader": "By September 30",
   "probability": 0.005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 161.66,
   "volume": 510699.41,
   "end_date": "2026-09-30T20:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-russia-capture-all-of-stepnohirsk/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-all-of-stepnohirsk-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.125,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume_24h": 151.52,
   "volume": 2272454.66,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-russia-capture-all-of-vovchansk/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-all-of-vovchansk-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.235,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 142.45,
   "volume": 978596.49,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ukraine-agrees-not-to-join-nato-before-2027",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ukraine-agrees-not-to-join-nato-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.045,
   "change_24h": -0.015,
   "volume_24h": 141.47,
   "volume": 155702.36,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Wildberries announce a bankruptcy before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-wildberries-announce-bankruptcy-before-2027-20260723171611669",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-wildberries-announce-bankruptcy-before-2027-20260723171611669",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.08,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 139.88,
   "volume": 137998.74,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-kucheriv-yar-byptptpt-20260724165221452",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-kucheriv-yar-byptptpt-20260724165221452",
   "leader": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.065,
   "change_24h": -0.02,
   "volume_24h": 138.1,
   "volume": 148637.6,
   "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/european-country-agrees-to-give-ukraine-security-guarantee-by-june-30",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/european-country-agrees-to-give-ukraine-security-guarantee-by-june-30",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.075,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 121.0,
   "volume": 267644.21,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Russia capture Stavky?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-stavky-by-july-31",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-stavky-by-july-31",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.14,
   "change_24h": -0.115,
   "volume_24h": 109.07,
   "volume": 130625.63,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "U.S. nuclear test?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-nuclear-test-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-nuclear-test-by",
   "leader": "By December 31, 2026",
   "probability": 0.048,
   "change_24h": 0.001,
   "volume_24h": 101.3,
   "volume": 796645.47,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-agree-to-cede-territory-to-russia-before-2027",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-agree-to-cede-territory-to-russia-before-2027",
   "leader": "By December 31, 2026",
   "probability": 0.065,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 91.96,
   "volume": 823975.71,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Russia enter Stavky?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-enter-stavky-by-june-30",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-enter-stavky-by-june-30",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.175,
   "change_24h": -0.08,
   "volume_24h": 89.39,
   "volume": 68575.87,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Russia capture Bilytske?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-bilytske-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-bilytske-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.745,
   "change_24h": -0.015,
   "volume_24h": 83.06,
   "volume": 421780.33,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Belgorod Oblast Gubernatorial Election Winner",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/belgorod-oblast-gubernatorial-election-winner-20260724164252589",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/belgorod-oblast-gubernatorial-election-winner-20260724164252589",
   "leader": "Alexander Shuvaev",
   "probability": 0.995,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 81.48,
   "volume": 15358.67,
   "end_date": "2027-07-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Russia capture Kindrativka?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-kindrativka-by-march-31",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-kindrativka-by-march-31",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.265,
   "change_24h": -0.015,
   "volume_24h": 80.5,
   "volume": 73316.87,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Russia nuclear test?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/russia-nuclear-test/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/russia-nuclear-test-by",
   "leader": "By December 31, 2026",
   "probability": 0.0535,
   "change_24h": -0.0005,
   "volume_24h": 71.86,
   "volume": 6232490.4,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Russia enter Borova?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-enter-borova-by-december-31",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-enter-borova-by-december-31",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.24,
   "change_24h": -0.04,
   "volume_24h": 68.0,
   "volume": 293265.86,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-enter-pokrovskoe-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-enter-pokrovskoe-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.155,
   "change_24h": 0.015,
   "volume_24h": 63.86,
   "volume": 103976.69,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Ukraine election called?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/ukraine-election-called-in-2025/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ukraine-election-called-in-2025",
   "leader": "By December 31, 2026",
   "probability": 0.095,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 52.59,
   "volume": 1846891.79,
   "end_date": "2027-02-15T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "US x Cuba economic deal?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-cuba-economic-deal-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-cuba-economic-deal-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.175,
   "change_24h": -0.015,
   "volume_24h": 40.0,
   "volume": 435960.76,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-novodmytrivka-byptptpt-20260714215009494",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-novodmytrivka-byptptpt-20260714215009494",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.5,
   "change_24h": -0.11,
   "volume_24h": 40.0,
   "volume": 95072.05,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Russia capture Borova by December 31, 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-borova-by-december-31-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-borova-by-december-31-2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.08,
   "change_24h": 0.015,
   "volume_24h": 35.26,
   "volume": 54381.12,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Kanye West meet with Vladimir Putin by October 31?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-kanye-west-meet-with-vladimir-putin-by-october-31",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-kanye-west-meet-with-vladimir-putin-by-october-31",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.019,
   "change_24h": -0.0005,
   "volume_24h": 31.56,
   "volume": 11511.65,
   "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-re-enter-hryshyne-byptptpt-20260604220409322",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-re-enter-hryshyne-byptptpt-20260604220409322",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.16,
   "change_24h": -0.125,
   "volume_24h": 30.0,
   "volume": 115162.03,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ukraine-signs-peace-deal-with-russia-by-october-31",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ukraine-signs-peace-deal-with-russia-by-october-31",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0145,
   "change_24h": -0.0005,
   "volume_24h": 21.02,
   "volume": 12494.76,
   "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Bank of Russia decision in December?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bank-of-russia-decision-in-december",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bank-of-russia-decision-in-december",
   "leader": "No change",
   "probability": 0.425,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume_24h": 20.0,
   "volume": 2908.56,
   "end_date": "2026-12-18T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Russia capture Sumy?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-sumy-before-october",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-sumy-before-october",
   "leader": "By March 31, 2027",
   "probability": 0.055,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume_24h": 15.37,
   "volume": 868857.58,
   "end_date": "2027-04-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Russia capture Viroliubivka?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-viroliubivka-by-march-31",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-viroliubivka-by-march-31",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.275,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume_24h": 10.0,
   "volume": 33345.25,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-russia-capture-all-of-kupiansk/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-all-of-kupiansk-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.0225,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 9.28,
   "volume": 2091099.7,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Russia capture Kupiansk?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-kupiansk-by-387",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-kupiansk-by-387",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.125,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 7.69,
   "volume": 157595.45,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-kozacha-lopan-byptptpt-20260630005737619",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-kozacha-lopan-byptptpt-20260630005737619",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.295,
   "change_24h": -0.01,
   "volume_24h": 5.82,
   "volume": 59470.13,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ukraine-agrees-to-limit-size-of-armed-forces-before-2027",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ukraine-agrees-to-limit-size-of-armed-forces-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.045,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume_24h": 5.33,
   "volume": 116125.02,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-kupiansk-vuzlovyi-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-kupiansk-vuzlovyi-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.21,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume_24h": 4.76,
   "volume": 227784.6,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-sign-an-eu-accession-treaty-by-december-31-2027-20260611204943691",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-sign-an-eu-accession-treaty-by-december-31-2027-20260611204943691",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.065,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 3.19,
   "volume": 3075.7,
   "end_date": "2028-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Russia capture Serhiivka?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-serhiivka-by-april-30",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-serhiivka-by-april-30",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.11,
   "change_24h": -0.025,
   "volume_24h": 1.88,
   "volume": 85928.91,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/kadyrov-out-as-head-of-the-chechen-republic-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/kadyrov-out-as-head-of-the-chechen-republic-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.07,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume_24h": 1.06,
   "volume": 296392.64,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Ukraine election held?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ukraine-election-held-in-2025",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ukraine-election-held-in-2025",
   "leader": "By December 31, 2026",
   "probability": 0.0155,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 2499017.79,
   "end_date": "2027-02-13T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ukraine-joins-nato-before-2027",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ukraine-joins-nato-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0355,
   "change_24h": 0.001,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 1251171.43,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Russia capture all of Prymorske?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-all-of-prymorske-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-all-of-prymorske-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.0245,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 1206242.82,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Ukraine peace referendum scheduled?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ukraine-calls-a-referendum-on-peace-deal-with-russia-by-january-31",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ukraine-calls-a-referendum-on-peace-deal-with-russia-by-january-31",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.05,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 529273.63,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/natoeu-troops-fighting-in-ukraine-in-2025",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/natoeu-troops-fighting-in-ukraine-in-2025",
   "leader": "By December 31, 2026",
   "probability": 0.0525,
   "change_24h": -0.004,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 482408.03,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/eunato-country-announces-peacekeeping-force-in-ukraine-before-2027",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/eunato-country-announces-peacekeeping-force-in-ukraine-before-2027",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.0395,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 461929.53,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-all-of-drobysheve-by-march-31",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-all-of-drobysheve-by-march-31",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.061,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 278111.3,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Russia enter Mykhailivka?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-enter-mykhailivka-by-april-30",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-enter-mykhailivka-by-april-30",
   "leader": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.34,
   "change_24h": 0.095,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 235908.63,
   "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-a-us-ally-get-a-nuke-before-2027",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-a-us-ally-get-a-nuke-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.054,
   "change_24h": 0.0005,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 212902.98,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Russia enter Khatnie?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-enter-khatnie-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-enter-khatnie-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.275,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 207706.64,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-ukraine-before-2027",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-ukraine-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.028,
   "change_24h": 0.0005,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 188975.88,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-rai-oleksandrivka-by-june-30",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-rai-oleksandrivka-by-june-30",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.205,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 187389.03,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Ukraine coup attempt?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ukraine-coup-attempt-by-june-30",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ukraine-coup-attempt-by-june-30",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.063,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 169866.61,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-re-enter-rodynske-byptptpt-20260724164113823",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-re-enter-rodynske-byptptpt-20260724164113823",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.08,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 168647.22,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nord-stream-pipeline-turned-on-before-2027",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nord-stream-pipeline-turned-on-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.057,
   "change_24h": -0.001,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 163436.99,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-agree-to-give-up-the-rest-of-donbas-before-2027",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-agree-to-give-up-the-rest-of-donbas-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.039,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 150449.21,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-all-of-ternuvate-by-february-28",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-all-of-ternuvate-by-february-28",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.0995,
   "change_24h": -0.0015,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 142175.33,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Russia capture Huliaipilske?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-huliaipilske-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-huliaipilske-by",
   "leader": "By September 30",
   "probability": 0.0265,
   "change_24h": 0.0005,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 141380.38,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/putin-and-zelenskyy-shake-hands-by-june-30",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/putin-and-zelenskyy-shake-hands-by-june-30",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.033,
   "change_24h": 0.0005,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 138646.8,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Russia coup attempt in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/russia-coup-attempt-in-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/russia-coup-attempt-in-2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.045,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 132539.27,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-re-enter-myrnohrad-by-may-31",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-re-enter-myrnohrad-by-may-31",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.075,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 125754.4,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Russia capture Prymorske?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-prymorske-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-prymorske-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.06,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 119633.41,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-verkhnia-tersa-by-may-31",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-verkhnia-tersa-by-may-31",
   "leader": "By September 30",
   "probability": 0.035,
   "change_24h": 0.0035,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 112875.18,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-putin-and-zelensky-seen-together-before-2027",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-putin-and-zelensky-seen-together-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.075,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 94823.9,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Russia capture Myropillia?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-myropillia-by-may-31",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-myropillia-by-may-31",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.165,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 93252.51,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-crimea-before-2027",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-crimea-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.042,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 74722.38,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ukraine-peace-referendum-passed-by-december-31-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ukraine-peace-referendum-passed-by-december-31-2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0275,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 68933.84,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Russia capture Svitle?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-svitle-byptptpt-20260805161409629",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-svitle-byptptpt-20260805161409629",
   "leader": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.124,
   "change_24h": -0.0115,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 65899.9,
   "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-rejoin-the-g7-before-2027",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-rejoin-the-g7-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0235,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 53562.61,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-agrees-to-give-ukraine-security-guarantee-by-december-31",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-agrees-to-give-ukraine-security-guarantee-by-december-31",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.055,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 38752.54,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-re-enter-huliaipole-byptptpt-20260805160946468",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-re-enter-huliaipole-byptptpt-20260805160946468",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.145,
   "change_24h": 0.02,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 33207.86,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/putin-meets-with-iranian-officials-by-december-31",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/putin-meets-with-iranian-officials-by-december-31",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.9825,
   "change_24h": -0.0005,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 11759.91,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Kanye West arrested in Russia by October 31?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/kanye-west-arrested-in-russia-by-october-31",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/kanye-west-arrested-in-russia-by-october-31",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.012,
   "change_24h": -0.0025,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 3846.03,
   "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  }
 ],
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/russia-ukraine/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/russia-ukraine/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma API; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}