{
 "slug": "strait-of-hormuz",
 "topic": "Strait of Hormuz",
 "category": "geopolitics",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/strait-of-hormuz/",
 "updated": "2026-09-23T15:49:17+00:00",
 "count": 31,
 "volume_24h": 1185425.44,
 "polymarket_tags": [
  "strait-of-hormuz",
  "hormuz",
  "shipping",
  "blockade"
 ],
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   "title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-byptptpt-20260713152715080",
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  {
   "title": "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31",
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  {
   "title": "Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bab-el-mandeb-strait-effectively-closed-by",
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  {
   "title": "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?",
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  {
   "title": "Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/kharg-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-by-march-31",
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  {
   "title": "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-october-31/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-october-31-20260810151043583",
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   "volume": 845436.1,
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  {
   "title": "US-Iran Hormuz Agreement?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-iran-hormuz-agreement-byptptpt-20260803235957575",
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  {
   "title": "Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-oman-hormuz-management-agreement-byptptpt-20260804222725871",
   "leader": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.34,
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  {
   "title": "Iran charges Hormuz fees?",
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   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.25,
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   "volume": 3085077.28,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
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  {
   "title": "Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-blockade-lifted-before-xi-visits-us",
   "leader": "Yes",
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   "volume": 19213.0,
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  {
   "title": "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-november-30-20260810151158765",
   "leader": "Yes",
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   "volume_24h": 11432.3,
   "volume": 412373.27,
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  {
   "title": "Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-month-will-strait-of-hormuz-traffic-return-to-normal-20260702155718114",
   "leader": "No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026",
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  {
   "title": "Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of September?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/avgpt-of-ships-transiting-strait-of-hormuz-end-of-september",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/avgpt-of-ships-transiting-strait-of-hormuz-end-of-september",
   "leader": "0-5",
   "probability": 0.84,
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  {
   "title": "How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 28?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-ships-transit-bab-el-mandeb-strait-week-of-september-28",
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   "leader": "190-209",
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   "volume": 4961.05,
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  {
   "title": "How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 28?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-week-of-september-28",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-week-of-september-28",
   "leader": "<20",
   "probability": 0.335,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 3219.11,
   "volume": 3219.11,
   "end_date": "2026-10-04T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of September?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/avgpt-of-ships-transiting-bab-el-mandeb-strait-end-of-september",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/avgpt-of-ships-transiting-bab-el-mandeb-strait-end-of-september",
   "leader": "25-29",
   "probability": 0.455,
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   "volume_24h": 1606.72,
   "volume": 49379.83,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 21?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-week-of-september-21",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-week-of-september-21",
   "leader": "20-24",
   "probability": 0.4,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 1422.53,
   "volume": 1422.53,
   "end_date": "2026-09-27T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/shipping-successfully-targeted-in-hormuz-onptptpt",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/shipping-successfully-targeted-in-hormuz-onptptpt",
   "leader": "September 23",
   "probability": 0.975,
   "change_24h": 0.57,
   "volume_24h": 779.95,
   "volume": 33779.48,
   "end_date": "2026-09-30T19:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 21?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-ships-transit-bab-el-mandeb-strait-week-of-september-21",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-ships-transit-bab-el-mandeb-strait-week-of-september-21",
   "leader": "170-189",
   "probability": 0.535,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 645.22,
   "volume": 645.22,
   "end_date": "2026-09-27T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-september-30",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-september-30",
   "leader": "10+",
   "probability": 0.09,
   "change_24h": -0.155,
   "volume_24h": 581.16,
   "volume": 35485.23,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-send-warships-through-the-strait-of-hormuz-by-december-31",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-send-warships-through-the-strait-of-hormuz-by-december-31",
   "leader": "US",
   "probability": 0.275,
   "change_24h": 0.015,
   "volume_24h": 396.88,
   "volume": 49769.9,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-blockade-lifted-before-iran-oman-hormuz-agreement",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-blockade-lifted-before-iran-oman-hormuz-agreement",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.37,
   "change_24h": -0.015,
   "volume_24h": 183.27,
   "volume": 13214.31,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/abu-musa-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-byptptpt-20260720011758214",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/abu-musa-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-byptptpt-20260720011758214",
   "leader": "By September 30",
   "probability": 0.0055,
   "change_24h": -0.003,
   "volume_24h": 150.0,
   "volume": 97380.35,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/hormuz-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-byptptpt-20260720014603391",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/hormuz-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-byptptpt-20260720014603391",
   "leader": "By September 30",
   "probability": 0.008,
   "change_24h": -0.007,
   "volume_24h": 150.0,
   "volume": 71360.71,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to \"Strait of Trump\" by December 31?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-renames-strait-of-hormuz-to-strait-of-trump-by-december-31",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-renames-strait-of-hormuz-to-strait-of-trump-by-december-31",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.054,
   "change_24h": 0.009,
   "volume_24h": 111.11,
   "volume": 100028.97,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by..?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/0-ships-transit-bab-el-mandeb-on-any-date-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/0-ships-transit-bab-el-mandeb-on-any-date-by",
   "leader": "December 31",
   "probability": 0.165,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume_24h": 68.62,
   "volume": 8102.61,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/hengam-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-byptptpt-20260720014859845",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/hengam-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-byptptpt-20260720014859845",
   "leader": "By September 30",
   "probability": 0.006,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.01,
   "volume": 208473.45,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "US charges Hormuz fees?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-charges-hormuz-fees-byptptpt-20260713151243232",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-charges-hormuz-fees-byptptpt-20260713151243232",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.058,
   "change_24h": 0.0005,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 983543.84,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/farsi-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-byptptpt-20260720015111488",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/farsi-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-byptptpt-20260720015111488",
   "leader": "By September 30",
   "probability": 0.005,
   "change_24h": -0.001,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 198461.68,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/greater-tunb-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-byptptpt-20260720014332851",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/greater-tunb-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-byptptpt-20260720014332851",
   "leader": "By September 30",
   "probability": 0.005,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 55049.52,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by December 31?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/jones-act-domestic-shipping-requirements-removed-by-december-31-20260629145453301",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/jones-act-domestic-shipping-requirements-removed-by-december-31-20260629145453301",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.045,
   "change_24h": -0.015,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 2013.0,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  }
 ],
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/strait-of-hormuz/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/strait-of-hormuz/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma API; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}