{
 "slug": "supreme-court",
 "topic": "Supreme Court",
 "category": "politics",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/supreme-court/",
 "updated": "2026-09-23T15:49:17+00:00",
 "count": 32,
 "volume_24h": 44678.2,
 "polymarket_tags": [
  "supreme-court",
  "scotus",
  "courts"
 ],
 "markets": [
  {
   "title": "Maduro Prison Time?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/maduro-prison-time-527/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/maduro-prison-time-527",
   "leader": "No prison time",
   "probability": 0.545,
   "change_24h": -0.02,
   "volume_24h": 34382.01,
   "volume": 891702.74,
   "end_date": "2028-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-samuel-alito-announce-his-retirement/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-samuel-alito-announce-his-retirement-by",
   "leader": "By June 30, 2027",
   "probability": 0.425,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 7922.26,
   "volume": 3748607.91,
   "end_date": "2027-07-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-anyone-be-charged-over-epstein-disclosures",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-anyone-be-charged-over-epstein-disclosures",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.06,
   "change_24h": -0.03,
   "volume_24h": 1075.74,
   "volume": 142336.72,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "U.S. tariff rate on China on December 31, 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-tariff-rate-on-china-on-december-31-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-tariff-rate-on-china-on-december-31-2026",
   "leader": "5–15%",
   "probability": 0.3,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 457.53,
   "volume": 457.53,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Clavicular arrested?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/clavicular-arrested-byptptpt",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/clavicular-arrested-byptptpt",
   "leader": "By September 30",
   "probability": 0.05,
   "change_24h": -0.01,
   "volume_24h": 385.69,
   "volume": 5121.61,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lindsay-clancy-convicted-of-murder",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lindsay-clancy-convicted-of-murder",
   "leader": "By December 31, 2027",
   "probability": 0.195,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 212.76,
   "volume": 657846.73,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-clarence-thomas-announce-his-retirement-byptptpt-20260701190627804",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-clarence-thomas-announce-his-retirement-byptptpt-20260701190627804",
   "leader": "By June 30, 2027",
   "probability": 0.095,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume_24h": 85.39,
   "volume": 11394.96,
   "end_date": "2027-07-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/scotus-accepts-sports-event-contract-case-by-july-31-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/scotus-accepts-sports-event-contract-case-by-july-31-2026",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.325,
   "change_24h": -0.01,
   "volume_24h": 63.1,
   "volume": 988810.94,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Diddy released from custody in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/diddy-released-from-custody-in-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/diddy-released-from-custody-in-2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.1785,
   "change_24h": 0.1215,
   "volume_24h": 21.61,
   "volume": 2598.33,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/supreme-court-vacancy-in-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/supreme-court-vacancy-in-2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.215,
   "change_24h": 0.065,
   "volume_24h": 17.02,
   "volume": 20955.88,
   "end_date": "2027-01-02T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Chud the Builder convicted?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/chud-the-builder-convicted",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/chud-the-builder-convicted",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.33,
   "change_24h": -0.015,
   "volume_24h": 17.0,
   "volume": 1053.57,
   "end_date": "2027-08-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Clavicular convicted of rape?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/clavicular-convicted-of-rape",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/clavicular-convicted-of-rape",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.165,
   "change_24h": -0.285,
   "volume_24h": 16.08,
   "volume": 18.16,
   "end_date": "2028-07-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Jerome Powell federally charged?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/jerome-powell-federally-charged-by-june-30",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/jerome-powell-federally-charged-by-june-30",
   "leader": "By December 31, 2026",
   "probability": 0.0175,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 10.15,
   "volume": 319246.28,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/james-comey-sentenced-to-prison-in-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/james-comey-sentenced-to-prison-in-2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0145,
   "change_24h": -0.0015,
   "volume_24h": 10.0,
   "volume": 169666.72,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lindsay-clancy-convicted-of-manslaughter",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lindsay-clancy-convicted-of-manslaughter",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0765,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 1.05,
   "volume": 14203.03,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Eric Swalwell charged by September 30?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/eric-swalwell-charged-by-september-30",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/eric-swalwell-charged-by-september-30",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0525,
   "change_24h": -0.0015,
   "volume_24h": 0.81,
   "volume": 522.4,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Maduro guilty of all counts?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/maduro-guilty-of-all-counts",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/maduro-guilty-of-all-counts",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.22,
   "change_24h": 0.015,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 133116.1,
   "end_date": "2028-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/any-brazil-stf-justice-removed-by-impeachment-before-2027",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/any-brazil-stf-justice-removed-by-impeachment-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.043,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 91768.64,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-lula-announce-nomination-of-a-supreme-court-minister-byptptpt-20260602182854659",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-lula-announce-nomination-of-a-supreme-court-minister-byptptpt-20260602182854659",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.565,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 26544.98,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T02:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/luigi-mangione-out-of-custody-before-2027",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/luigi-mangione-out-of-custody-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.015,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 20012.06,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Chud the Builder convicted of attempted murder?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/chud-the-builder-convicted-of-attempted-murder",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/chud-the-builder-convicted-of-attempted-murder",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.15,
   "change_24h": 0.035,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 15434.03,
   "end_date": "2027-08-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lindsay-clancy-sentenced-to-prison-time",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lindsay-clancy-sentenced-to-prison-time",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.055,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 11201.46,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "D4vd released from custody in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/d4vd-released-from-custody-in-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/d4vd-released-from-custody-in-2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.08,
   "change_24h": 0.02,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 7809.79,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Tristan Buckmaster sues OpenAI?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/tristan-buckmaster-sues-openai-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/tristan-buckmaster-sues-openai-by",
   "leader": "By December 31, 2026",
   "probability": 0.12,
   "change_24h": 0.025,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 6869.19,
   "end_date": "2028-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Who will the Trump admin next nominate as SCOTUS Justice?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-trump-admin-next-nominate-as-scotus-justice-20260624144117702",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-trump-admin-next-nominate-as-scotus-justice-20260624144117702",
   "leader": "James Ho",
   "probability": 0.185,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 4970.62,
   "end_date": "2029-01-20T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "SCOTUS grants Trump Birthright Citizenship Rehearing by December 31?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/scotus-grants-trump-birthright-citizenship-rehearing-by-december-31-20260710222928774",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/scotus-grants-trump-birthright-citizenship-rehearing-by-december-31-20260710222928774",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.057,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 1771.34,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "SPLC found guilty in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/splc-found-guilty-in-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/splc-found-guilty-in-2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0785,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 1493.07,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "E. Jean Carroll federally charged?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/e-jean-carroll-federally-charged-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/e-jean-carroll-federally-charged-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.27,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 1232.92,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "LA Mayoral Election: Court Rules 1st Round Fraudulent?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/la-mayoral-election-court-rules-1st-round-fraudulent-20260607211804480",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/la-mayoral-election-court-rules-1st-round-fraudulent-20260607211804480",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.2005,
   "change_24h": 0.006,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 990.15,
   "end_date": "2027-11-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Supreme Court accepts AI copyright case before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/supreme-court-accepts-ai-copyright-case-before-2027",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/supreme-court-accepts-ai-copyright-case-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.1,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 300.02,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Daejon Love convicted of fraud or conspiracy by June 30?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/daejon-love-convicted-of-fraud-or-conspiracy-by-june-30",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/daejon-love-convicted-of-fraud-or-conspiracy-by-june-30",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.465,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 255.22,
   "end_date": "2027-06-30T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Netanyahu convicted in corruption trial?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/netanyahu-convicted-in-corruption-trial",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/netanyahu-convicted-in-corruption-trial",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.265,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 160.14,
   "end_date": "2028-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  }
 ],
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/supreme-court/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/supreme-court/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma API; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}
