{
 "slug": "trump",
 "topic": "Trump",
 "category": "politics",
 "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/trump/",
 "updated": "2026-09-23T15:49:17+00:00",
 "count": 110,
 "volume_24h": 3658174.94,
 "polymarket_tags": [
  "trump",
  "trump-presidency",
  "donald-trump"
 ],
 "markets": [
  {
   "title": "Fed Decision in October?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-october-20260617190323537",
   "leader": "25 bps increase",
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  },
  {
   "title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-byptptpt-20260713152715080",
   "leader": "By December 31",
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  {
   "title": "Will Xi Jinping visit US?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-xi-jinping-visit-us-before-2027",
   "leader": "By December 31",
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   "volume": 3123348.86,
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  {
   "title": "US-Iran ceasefire continues?",
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  {
   "title": "Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?",
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   "leader": "China",
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   "volume_24h": 126752.11,
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  {
   "title": "Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/clarity-act-signed-into-law-in-2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0625,
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  {
   "title": "Venezuela leader end of 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/venezuela-leader-end-of-2026/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/venezuela-leader-end-of-2026",
   "leader": "Nicolás Maduro",
   "probability": 0.599,
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   "volume_24h": 115624.0,
   "volume": 97483149.69,
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  },
  {
   "title": "Trump renames AI by September 30?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-renames-ai-by-september-30",
   "leader": "Yes",
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  {
   "title": "NATO x Russia military clash?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/nato-x-russia-military-clash-in-2025/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nato-x-russia-military-clash-in-2025",
   "leader": "By December 31",
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  {
   "title": "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.145,
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   "volume_24h": 108028.21,
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  {
   "title": "Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?",
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   "leader": "Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani",
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  {
   "title": "Trump out as President by September 30?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/dtrump-out-as-president-by-september-30",
   "leader": "Yes",
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   "volume_24h": 73052.33,
   "volume": 1713627.33,
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  },
  {
   "title": "Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-agreement/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-agreement-by",
   "leader": "By December 31, 2027",
   "probability": 0.725,
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  {
   "title": "Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-acquire-any-part-of-greenland-in-2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0195,
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   "volume_24h": 39530.1,
   "volume": 10807417.29,
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  },
  {
   "title": "US-Yemen ceasefire continues?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-yemen-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-yemen-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt",
   "leader": "Through September 22",
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   "volume_24h": 34630.98,
   "volume": 50144.42,
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  },
  {
   "title": "Maduro Prison Time?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/maduro-prison-time-527/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/maduro-prison-time-527",
   "leader": "No prison time",
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   "volume_24h": 34382.01,
   "volume": 891702.74,
   "end_date": "2028-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Fed Decision in December?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/fed-decision-in-december/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-december-20260729232808632",
   "leader": "25 bps increase",
   "probability": 0.705,
   "change_24h": 0.03,
   "volume_24h": 31497.9,
   "volume": 1260682.56,
   "end_date": "2026-12-10T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/cnn-politico-or-ms-now-unbanned-from-white-house-by-september-30",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/cnn-politico-or-ms-now-unbanned-from-white-house-by-september-30",
   "leader": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.974,
   "change_24h": 0.079,
   "volume_24h": 30793.22,
   "volume": 59578.21,
   "end_date": "2026-10-31T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/where-will-zelenskyy-and-putin-meet-next/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/where-will-zelenskyy-and-putin-meet-next",
   "leader": "No meeting before 2027",
   "probability": 0.93,
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   "volume_24h": 26259.32,
   "volume": 3559999.49,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "US-Iran Hormuz Agreement?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-iran-hormuz-agreement-byptptpt-20260803235957575",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-iran-hormuz-agreement-byptptpt-20260803235957575",
   "leader": "By September 30",
   "probability": 0.071,
   "change_24h": 0.015,
   "volume_24h": 23300.51,
   "volume": 1316005.24,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/iran-oman-hormuz-management-agreement/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-oman-hormuz-management-agreement-byptptpt-20260804222725871",
   "leader": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.34,
   "change_24h": 0.01,
   "volume_24h": 23236.07,
   "volume": 2616901.65,
   "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "How long will Trump and Xi shake hands?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-long-will-trump-and-xi-shake-hands-20260916",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-long-will-trump-and-xi-shake-hands-20260916",
   "leader": "15s+",
   "probability": 0.4,
   "change_24h": 0.245,
   "volume_24h": 17142.78,
   "volume": 21717.27,
   "end_date": "2026-10-08T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Trump meets with Putin?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-meets-with-putin-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-meets-with-putin-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.735,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume_24h": 16040.59,
   "volume": 293203.51,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Who will Trump meet with in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/who-will-trump-meet-with-in-2026/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-meet-with-in-2026",
   "leader": "Vladimir Putin",
   "probability": 0.725,
   "change_24h": -0.04,
   "volume_24h": 15480.6,
   "volume": 1140065.63,
   "end_date": "2027-01-02T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.026,
   "change_24h": -0.002,
   "volume_24h": 14041.53,
   "volume": 35565402.42,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/where-will-the-next-us-iran-senior-diplomatic-meeting-take-placeptptpt",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/where-will-the-next-us-iran-senior-diplomatic-meeting-take-placeptptpt",
   "leader": "USA",
   "probability": 0.42,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 13957.04,
   "volume": 13957.04,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "US strike on Mexico?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/us-strike-on-mexico/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-strike-on-mexico-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.095,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 13839.67,
   "volume": 3478176.18,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "US x China tariff agreement by December 31?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-china-tariff-agreement-by-december-31",
   "leader": "December 31",
   "probability": 0.9095,
   "change_24h": -0.0155,
   "volume_24h": 12611.1,
   "volume": 278125.14,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Who will be arrested before 2027?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-arrested-before-2027",
   "leader": "John Brennan",
   "probability": 0.2,
   "change_24h": -0.09,
   "volume_24h": 12491.3,
   "volume": 449878.54,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-blockade-lifted-before-xi-visits-us",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.001,
   "change_24h": -0.0315,
   "volume_24h": 11563.4,
   "volume": 19213.0,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-us-iran-senior-diplomatic-meeting-byptptpt",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-us-iran-senior-diplomatic-meeting-byptptpt",
   "leader": "By December 31, 2026",
   "probability": 0.87,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 11506.2,
   "volume": 11506.2,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Trump visit Greenland?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-visit-greenland-by-march-31",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.115,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 10395.19,
   "volume": 311168.6,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "María Corina Machado enters Venezuela?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-mara-corina-machado-enter-venezuela-by-january-31",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.415,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 10131.36,
   "volume": 6482722.94,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Trump bans more news outlets from White House by September 30?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-bans-more-news-outlets-from-white-house-by-september-30",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-bans-more-news-outlets-from-white-house-by-september-30",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.05,
   "change_24h": -0.095,
   "volume_24h": 9622.54,
   "volume": 16223.92,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "What will Trump say during his remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-his-remarks-at-xi-jinpings-state-arrival",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-his-remarks-at-xi-jinpings-state-arrival",
   "leader": "China 5+ times",
   "probability": 0.575,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 7958.91,
   "volume": 7937.91,
   "end_date": "2026-09-24T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/republican-senate-seats-after-the-2026-midterm-elections-927/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-senate-seats-after-the-2026-midterm-elections-927",
   "leader": "≤47",
   "probability": 0.395,
   "change_24h": 0.015,
   "volume_24h": 7700.31,
   "volume": 2972293.35,
   "end_date": "2026-11-03T17:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Who will Trump meet with in September?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-meet-with-in-september-20260826",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-meet-with-in-september-20260826",
   "leader": "Volodymyr Zelenskyy",
   "probability": 0.9965,
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   "volume_24h": 7288.34,
   "volume": 167978.35,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-low-will-10-year-treasury-yield-get-before-2027",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-low-will-10-year-treasury-yield-get-before-2027",
   "leader": "Below 4.6%",
   "probability": 0.31,
   "change_24h": -0.135,
   "volume_24h": 7071.29,
   "volume": 306390.7,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Donald Trump # Truth Social posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/donald-trump-of-truth-social-posts-september-18-september-25-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/donald-trump-of-truth-social-posts-september-18-september-25-2026",
   "leader": "80-99",
   "probability": 0.436,
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   "volume_24h": 6565.17,
   "volume": 20171.2,
   "end_date": "2026-09-25T16:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Trump and Pezeshkian meet by September 30?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-and-pezeshkian-meet-by-september-30",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-and-pezeshkian-meet-by-september-30",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.051,
   "change_24h": -0.199,
   "volume_24h": 6540.83,
   "volume": 6540.83,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-the-end-of-2026/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-the-end-of-2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.065,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 6420.09,
   "volume": 26238966.95,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-and-xi-kiss-at-their-summit-20260916",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-and-xi-kiss-at-their-summit-20260916",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0025,
   "change_24h": -0.003,
   "volume_24h": 6237.17,
   "volume": 10461.43,
   "end_date": "2026-10-08T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Donald Trump # Truth Social posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/donald-trump-of-truth-social-posts-september-25-october-2-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/donald-trump-of-truth-social-posts-september-25-october-2-2026",
   "leader": "200+",
   "probability": 0.185,
   "change_24h": -0.08,
   "volume_24h": 6054.68,
   "volume": 6625.37,
   "end_date": "2026-10-02T16:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of Xi summit?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-endorses-chinas-claim-to-taiwan-by-end-of-xi-summit",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-endorses-chinas-claim-to-taiwan-by-end-of-xi-summit",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0155,
   "change_24h": -0.0045,
   "volume_24h": 5520.79,
   "volume": 24937.69,
   "end_date": "2026-10-08T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Who will attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-attend-the-white-house-state-dinner-for-xi-jinping",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-attend-the-white-house-state-dinner-for-xi-jinping",
   "leader": "Elon Musk",
   "probability": 0.992,
   "change_24h": 0.0015,
   "volume_24h": 5240.22,
   "volume": 20269.17,
   "end_date": "2026-10-08T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Who will Trump speak to in September?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-speak-to-in-september",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-speak-to-in-september",
   "leader": "Xi Jinping",
   "probability": 0.9975,
   "change_24h": 0.0025,
   "volume_24h": 5207.36,
   "volume": 171688.69,
   "end_date": "2026-09-30T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Trump be impeached?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-be-impeached-by-december-31-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-be-impeached-by-december-31-2026",
   "leader": "By December 31, 2027",
   "probability": 0.805,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 4566.1,
   "volume": 1031334.67,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-reissues-iran-oil-sales-sanction-relief-byptptpt-20260708142359046",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-reissues-iran-oil-sales-sanction-relief-byptptpt-20260708142359046",
   "leader": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.28,
   "change_24h": -0.04,
   "volume_24h": 4488.5,
   "volume": 369255.24,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/miguel-daz-canel-out-as-leader-of-cuba-by-june-30",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.155,
   "change_24h": -0.02,
   "volume_24h": 3423.38,
   "volume": 2186717.25,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Trump renames New Mexico to New America?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-renames-new-mexico-to-new-america-byptptpt",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-renames-new-mexico-to-new-america-byptptpt",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.045,
   "change_24h": -0.01,
   "volume_24h": 3201.07,
   "volume": 126998.22,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/crypto-market-structure-legislation-becomes-law-in-2026-20260727223933088",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.055,
   "change_24h": -0.04,
   "volume_24h": 3188.07,
   "volume": 25638.77,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Trump out as President before 2027?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-out-as-president-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.045,
   "change_24h": -0.01,
   "volume_24h": 2789.06,
   "volume": 11828940.47,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/venezuela-de-facto-leader-end-of-2026",
   "leader": "Delcy Rodríguez",
   "probability": 0.925,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 2663.6,
   "volume": 403125.32,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by October 30?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-us-crude-oil-reserves-fall-to-by-october-30",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-us-crude-oil-reserves-fall-to-by-october-30",
   "leader": "280M",
   "probability": 0.745,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 2579.26,
   "volume": 2579.26,
   "end_date": "2026-11-12T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Donald Trump # Truth Social posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/donald-trump-of-truth-social-posts-september-22-september-29-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/donald-trump-of-truth-social-posts-september-22-september-29-2026",
   "leader": "140-159",
   "probability": 0.22,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume_24h": 2341.92,
   "volume": 11831.56,
   "end_date": "2026-09-29T16:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-removed-via-25th-amendment-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.028,
   "change_24h": -0.003,
   "volume_24h": 2273.53,
   "volume": 53086.53,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-publicly-insult-by-september-30-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-publicly-insult-by-september-30-2026",
   "leader": "Mark Carney",
   "probability": 0.87,
   "change_24h": 0.115,
   "volume_24h": 2211.46,
   "volume": 150165.71,
   "end_date": "2026-09-30T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/what-will-the-fed-rate-be-at-the-end-of-2026/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-the-fed-rate-be-at-the-end-of-2026",
   "leader": "4.25%",
   "probability": 0.565,
   "change_24h": 0.0365,
   "volume_24h": 2155.27,
   "volume": 6892859.2,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-trump-endorse-in-the-2026-israeli-election-20260610144125261",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-trump-endorse-in-the-2026-israeli-election-20260610144125261",
   "leader": "Likud",
   "probability": 0.475,
   "change_24h": 0.2,
   "volume_24h": 2128.95,
   "volume": 44808.98,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-low-will-trumps-approval-rating-go-in-2026",
   "leader": "35%",
   "probability": 0.265,
   "change_24h": -0.01,
   "volume_24h": 1913.32,
   "volume": 146533.48,
   "end_date": "2027-01-04T17:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Kash Patel out?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/kash-patel-out-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/kash-patel-out-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.21,
   "change_24h": 0.02,
   "volume_24h": 1780.35,
   "volume": 1740769.39,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "US Announces Diesel Export ban?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-announces-diesel-export-ban-byptptpt",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-announces-diesel-export-ban-byptptpt",
   "leader": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.33,
   "change_24h": 0.195,
   "volume_24h": 1706.21,
   "volume": 2692.24,
   "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "What will Trump say this week? (September 21 - September 27)",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-this-week-september-21-september-27-20260927",
   "leader": "Cook / Cooked",
   "probability": 0.735,
   "change_24h": 0.35,
   "volume_24h": 1583.17,
   "volume": 8423.47,
   "end_date": "2026-09-27T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-to-leave-the-trump-cabinet-474",
   "leader": "None before 2027",
   "probability": 0.5205,
   "change_24h": -0.086,
   "volume_24h": 1400.39,
   "volume": 72896.34,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Trump goes to space in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-goes-to-space-in-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-goes-to-space-in-2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.022,
   "change_24h": 0.0065,
   "volume_24h": 1390.45,
   "volume": 53937.93,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Trump insult Xi by end of US Visit?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-insult-xi-by-end-of-us-visit",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-insult-xi-by-end-of-us-visit",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.013,
   "change_24h": 0.0015,
   "volume_24h": 1378.09,
   "volume": 2810.79,
   "end_date": "2026-10-08T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-leave-trump-administration-before-2027",
   "leader": "Dan Scavino",
   "probability": 0.296,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 1319.59,
   "volume": 1412795.74,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Trump approval rating on September 25?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-approval-rating-on-september-25",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-approval-rating-on-september-25",
   "leader": "<37.5",
   "probability": 0.4465,
   "change_24h": 0.4355,
   "volume_24h": 1271.32,
   "volume": 4834.95,
   "end_date": "2026-09-25T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Cuban regime falls in 2026?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/cuban-regime-falls-in-2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.1,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 1261.74,
   "volume": 1734070.74,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-and-xi-hug-at-their-summit-20260916",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0545,
   "change_24h": 0.0095,
   "volume_24h": 1144.74,
   "volume": 8728.55,
   "end_date": "2026-10-08T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lisa-cook-officially-out-as-fed-governor-byptptpt-20260807214943167",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lisa-cook-officially-out-as-fed-governor-byptptpt-20260807214943167",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.042,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 1133.63,
   "volume": 24952.27,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will US withdraw from NATO?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-us-withdraw-from-nato-before-2027",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-us-withdraw-from-nato-before-2027",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.0205,
   "change_24h": -0.0015,
   "volume_24h": 1113.19,
   "volume": 6339690.2,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S.?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/uptspt-anti-cartel-operation-outside-of-the-uptspt-byptptpt-20260810131538349",
   "leader": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.275,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 1109.47,
   "volume": 101932.44,
   "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-anyone-be-charged-over-epstein-disclosures",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.06,
   "change_24h": -0.03,
   "volume_24h": 1075.74,
   "volume": 142336.72,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Netanyahu arrested by…?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/netanyahu-arrested-by-20260720194516248",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/netanyahu-arrested-by-20260720194516248",
   "leader": "December 31",
   "probability": 0.0445,
   "change_24h": -0.0205,
   "volume_24h": 1059.92,
   "volume": 29861.12,
   "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will the US officially declare war on Iran?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-officially-declare-war-on-iran-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-officially-declare-war-on-iran-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.0295,
   "change_24h": 0.001,
   "volume_24h": 1055.83,
   "volume": 7828530.62,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-phase-ii-by-october-31/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-phase-ii-by-october-31",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.16,
   "change_24h": -0.04,
   "volume_24h": 1051.14,
   "volume": 2890249.89,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "When will Xi leave the USA?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/when-will-xi-leave-the-usa-20260916",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/when-will-xi-leave-the-usa-20260916",
   "leader": "September 25",
   "probability": 0.984,
   "change_24h": 0.008,
   "volume_24h": 962.74,
   "volume": 1807.22,
   "end_date": "2026-10-08T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Trump declassifies new UFO files?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-20260918",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-20260918",
   "leader": "By November 30",
   "probability": 0.875,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 930.02,
   "volume": 930.02,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "What will Trump say in September?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-in-september-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-in-september-2026",
   "leader": "Dancing in the Street",
   "probability": 0.9945,
   "change_24h": 0.6195,
   "volume_24h": 891.68,
   "volume": 46431.19,
   "end_date": "2026-09-30T23:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-trump-make-new-trade-deals-with-before-2027-921",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-trump-make-new-trade-deals-with-before-2027-921",
   "leader": "Vietnam",
   "probability": 0.1825,
   "change_24h": -0.0145,
   "volume_24h": 851.73,
   "volume": 396466.06,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Which states will Donald Trump visit in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-states-will-donald-trump-visit-in-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-states-will-donald-trump-visit-in-2026",
   "leader": "Illinois",
   "probability": 0.927,
   "change_24h": 0.0125,
   "volume_24h": 835.96,
   "volume": 322686.91,
   "end_date": "2027-01-02T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Who will Trump pardon before 2027?",
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   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-pardon-before-2027",
   "leader": "Roger Stone",
   "probability": 0.265,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 824.86,
   "volume": 477851.33,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Trump publicly insult someone?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-publicly-insult-someone-on-september-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-publicly-insult-someone-on-september-2026",
   "leader": "September 23",
   "probability": 0.91,
   "change_24h": 0.05,
   "volume_24h": 808.49,
   "volume": 49938.77,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Turkey rejoins F-35 program?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/turkey-rejoins-f-35-program-byptptpt-20260708215709215",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/turkey-rejoins-f-35-program-byptptpt-20260708215709215",
   "leader": "By June 30, 2027",
   "probability": 0.295,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume_24h": 799.88,
   "volume": 45865.82,
   "end_date": "2027-07-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "When will Trump announce a new White House Press Secretary?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/when-will-trump-announce-a-new-white-house-press-secretary",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/when-will-trump-announce-a-new-white-house-press-secretary",
   "leader": "October 14",
   "probability": 0.315,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 781.71,
   "volume": 223732.92,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Trump meets with Netanyahu?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-meets-with-netanyahu-by-20260917",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-meets-with-netanyahu-by-20260917",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.595,
   "change_24h": -0.005,
   "volume_24h": 760.04,
   "volume": 3845.28,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/pete-hegseth-out-as-secretary-of-defense-by-december-31",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/pete-hegseth-out-as-secretary-of-defense-by-december-31",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.235,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 731.78,
   "volume": 446422.16,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Trump publicly insults Warsh?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-publicly-insults-warsh-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-publicly-insults-warsh-by",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.17,
   "change_24h": -0.075,
   "volume_24h": 727.72,
   "volume": 4597.83,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-putin-and-zelensky-meet-together-before-2027",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-putin-and-zelensky-meet-together-before-2027",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.065,
   "change_24h": 0.015,
   "volume_24h": 700.25,
   "volume": 51188.55,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-donald-trump-visit-in-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-donald-trump-visit-in-2026",
   "leader": "Japan",
   "probability": 0.225,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 697.43,
   "volume": 662102.66,
   "end_date": "2027-01-02T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-invokes-war-powers-in-yemen-by-september-30",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-invokes-war-powers-in-yemen-by-september-30",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0695,
   "change_24h": -0.009,
   "volume_24h": 697.11,
   "volume": 49536.23,
   "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/is-jeffrey-epstein-alive-498",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/is-jeffrey-epstein-alive-498",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0235,
   "change_24h": 0.0025,
   "volume_24h": 636.83,
   "volume": 2580104.59,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-pick-as-the-next-press-secretary-20260812210729848",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-pick-as-the-next-press-secretary-20260812210729848",
   "leader": "Scott Jennings",
   "probability": 0.1585,
   "change_24h": 0.005,
   "volume_24h": 629.37,
   "volume": 456042.12,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Mamdani visits the White House?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mamdani-visits-the-white-house-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mamdani-visits-the-white-house-by",
   "leader": "By October 31",
   "probability": 0.255,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 609.7,
   "volume": 609.7,
   "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-russia-nuclear-deal-by-december-31",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-russia-nuclear-deal-by-december-31",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.054,
   "change_24h": 0.0005,
   "volume_24h": 232.6,
   "volume": 661899.02,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/ukraine-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-ukrainian-territory-in-2025/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ukraine-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-ukrainian-territory-in-2025",
   "leader": "By December 31, 2026",
   "probability": 0.021,
   "change_24h": -0.002,
   "volume_24h": 170.31,
   "volume": 2650597.42,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-resign-by-december-31-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-resign-by-december-31-2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.028,
   "change_24h": -0.0025,
   "volume_24h": 145.6,
   "volume": 541025.58,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will the U.S. invade Venezuela?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/will-the-us-invade-venezuela-in-2025/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-invade-venezuela-in-2025",
   "leader": "By December 31",
   "probability": 0.0335,
   "change_24h": 0.0005,
   "volume_24h": 101.84,
   "volume": 14197153.7,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "US x Russia military clash?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/us-x-russia-military-clash/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-russia-military-clash-by",
   "leader": "By December 31, 2026",
   "probability": 0.0345,
   "change_24h": -0.0015,
   "volume_24h": 89.4,
   "volume": 1806175.69,
   "end_date": "2027-05-29T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed?",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/jeffrey-epstein-foul-play-confirmed-in-2025/",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/jeffrey-epstein-foul-play-confirmed-in-2025",
   "leader": "By December 31, 2026",
   "probability": 0.0225,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 40.0,
   "volume": 3138025.19,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by October 31?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/courts-block-trumps-100000-truth-social-early-access-plan-by-october-31",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/courts-block-trumps-100000-truth-social-early-access-plan-by-october-31",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.075,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 14.99,
   "volume": 1630.33,
   "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-gop-use-nuclear-option-to-break-filibuster",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-gop-use-nuclear-option-to-break-filibuster",
   "leader": "By December 31, 2026",
   "probability": 0.07,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 560837.8,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Who will Trump endorse?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-endorse",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-endorse",
   "leader": "John Cornyn - TX-Sen",
   "probability": 0.0145,
   "change_24h": -0.001,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 250892.81,
   "end_date": "2026-11-04T00:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/jeanine-pirro-out-as-dc-us-attorney-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/jeanine-pirro-out-as-dc-us-attorney-by",
   "leader": "By December 31, 2026",
   "probability": 0.295,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 124614.42,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-eliminates-capital-gains-tax-on-crypto-in-2025",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-eliminates-capital-gains-tax-on-crypto-in-2025",
   "leader": "December 31, 2026",
   "probability": 0.0565,
   "change_24h": -0.0375,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 117180.43,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T05:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-rename-an-ocean-in-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-rename-an-ocean-in-2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.0365,
   "change_24h": -0.0035,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 18340.53,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-fully-suspends-entry-to-the-us-for-more-countries-by",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-fully-suspends-entry-to-the-us-for-more-countries-by",
   "leader": "By December 31, 2026",
   "probability": 0.45,
   "change_24h": -0.055,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 14920.37,
   "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-high-will-trumps-approval-rating-go-in-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-high-will-trumps-approval-rating-go-in-2026",
   "leader": "↑ 47%",
   "probability": 0.148,
   "change_24h": 0.001,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 8089.59,
   "end_date": "2027-01-04T17:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "title": "Trump renames Lake Okeechobee to \"Trump Lake\" in 2026?",
   "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-renames-lake-okeechobee-to-trump-lake-in-2026",
   "polymarket_url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-renames-lake-okeechobee-to-trump-lake-in-2026",
   "leader": "Yes",
   "probability": 0.045,
   "change_24h": null,
   "volume_24h": 0.0,
   "volume": 485.38,
   "end_date": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00"
  }
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 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com",
  "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/trump/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/trump/\">Odds data: PolymarketTrader.com</a>"
 },
 "source": "Polymarket public Gamma API; not affiliated with Polymarket."
}