{
 "version": "https://jsonfeed.org/version/1.1",
 "title": "Polymarket View Blog",
 "home_page_url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/blog/",
 "feed_url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/feed.json",
 "description": "Prediction market trading guides, Polymarket odds analysis and live event trackers.",
 "language": "en",
 "items": [
  {
   "id": "https://polymarkettrader.com/blog/fresh-books-vs-mature-books-polymarket-analysis",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/blog/fresh-books-vs-mature-books-polymarket-analysis",
   "title": "When a +36-Point Move Isn't News: Fresh Books vs Mature Books on Polymarket",
   "summary": "See why a +36-point daily swing can signal a brand-new order book rather than news. A polymarket analysis of volume-to-total ratios across five books.",
   "date_published": "2026-09-24T00:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "id": "https://polymarkettrader.com/blog/raman-week-mvp-book-depth-september-24",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/blog/raman-week-mvp-book-depth-september-24",
   "title": "Raman's 21-Point Week and a 94.8% MVP Book With $1.1K of Depth: Polymarket Analysis for September 24",
   "summary": "Nithya Raman jumps 21.5 points in a week, a WNBA MVP book trades 144x its depth, and Kharg Island sits at 0.4% with six days left. Polymarket analysis.",
   "date_published": "2026-09-24T00:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "id": "https://polymarkettrader.com/blog/one-game-three-books-moneyline-runline-total",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/blog/one-game-three-books-moneyline-runline-total",
   "title": "One Game, Three Books: Reading a Moneyline, Runline and Total Together",
   "summary": "Cross-check a moneyline, runline and total on the same MLB board plus two pinned books in this Polymarket analysis of the September 23 snapshot.",
   "date_published": "2026-09-23T00:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "id": "https://polymarkettrader.com/blog/iran-blockade-waterway-books-polymarket-analysis",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/blog/iran-blockade-waterway-books-polymarket-analysis",
   "title": "When Two Iran Books Disagree: A Polymarket Analysis of the Blockade and Waterway Questions",
   "summary": "Two Polymarket Iran books moved opposite ways this week: blockade-end odds fell to 6.5% while traffic normalization rose to 24.5%. A polymarket analysis of the split.",
   "date_published": "2026-09-23T00:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "id": "https://polymarkettrader.com/blog/midterms-republican-sweep-lane-polymarket-analysis",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/blog/midterms-republican-sweep-lane-polymarket-analysis",
   "title": "Six Weeks to the Midterms: A Polymarket Analysis of the 7.5% Republican Sweep Lane",
   "summary": "Republican sweep odds sit at 7.5% six weeks out from the 2026 midterms. A Polymarket analysis of the balance-of-power board, depth, and turnover.",
   "date_published": "2026-09-22T00:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "id": "https://polymarkettrader.com/blog/schwerin-landtag-swing-merz-exit-odds-215",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/blog/schwerin-landtag-swing-merz-exit-odds-215",
   "title": "From Schwerin to Berlin: A 52-Point Landtag Swing and Merz Exit Odds at 21.5%",
   "summary": "AfD's Mecklenburg-Vorpommern book swung 52 points in 24 hours while Merz exit odds sit at 21.5%. A polymarket analysis of Germany's linked political books.",
   "date_published": "2026-09-21T00:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "id": "https://polymarkettrader.com/blog/september-expiry-poles-oil-book-eth-barrier",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/blog/september-expiry-poles-oil-book-eth-barrier",
   "title": "Two September Expiries at Opposite Poles: A Polymarket Analysis of a Pinned Oil Book and a 0.7% ETH Barrier",
   "summary": "Compare a WTI touch market pinned at 100% with a 0.7% Ethereum barrier and Trump's 1.1% 2028 book in this Polymarket analysis of September expiries.",
   "date_published": "2026-09-19T00:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "id": "https://polymarkettrader.com/blog/turnover-ratios-polymarket-geopolitical-rate-books-september-18",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/blog/turnover-ratios-polymarket-geopolitical-rate-books-september-18",
   "title": "Where the Money Sleeps: Turnover Ratios Across Polymarket's Geopolitical and Rate Books",
   "summary": "Compare Polymarket turnover ratios on September 18, 2026: Putin's 4.5% exit book, a $66M Iran market, and a Tokyo rate book turning 3x its liquidity.",
   "date_published": "2026-09-18T00:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "id": "https://polymarkettrader.com/blog/bitcoin-45k-barrier-disclosure-tail-october-hike-line",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/blog/bitcoin-45k-barrier-disclosure-tail-october-hike-line",
   "title": "Three Clocks, Three Shapes: Bitcoin's $45K Barrier, a 0.5% Disclosure Tail, and October's Hike Line",
   "summary": "Compare a 7% Bitcoin $45K barrier, a 0.5% disclosure tail, and a 45.5% October hike line in this polymarket analysis of deadline-driven odds.",
   "date_published": "2026-09-17T00:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "id": "https://polymarkettrader.com/blog/consensus-87-5-fomc-board-crypto-bill-newsom-drift",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/blog/consensus-87-5-fomc-board-crypto-bill-newsom-drift",
   "title": "Consensus at 87.5%: Prediction Market Odds for the FOMC Board, a Fading Crypto Bill, and Newsom's Drift",
   "summary": "See how an 87.5% rate-hike book, a crypto bill sliding to 4.3%, and Newsom's 17.2% line read in this polymarket analysis of September 16 odds.",
   "date_published": "2026-09-16T00:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "id": "https://polymarkettrader.com/blog/stockholm-mirror-book-sweden-pm-odds",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/blog/stockholm-mirror-book-sweden-pm-odds",
   "title": "Stockholm's Mirror Book: A 24-Point Overnight Swing in Sweden's PM Odds",
   "summary": "Sweden's Prime Minister market flipped 24 points in a day, with Andersson at 89.5%. A polymarket analysis of mirror books, thin depth, and resolution lag.",
   "date_published": "2026-09-14T00:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "id": "https://polymarkettrader.com/blog/fed-residual-hold-lane-red-sea-tail-september-13",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/blog/fed-residual-hold-lane-red-sea-tail-september-13",
   "title": "Hold Priced at 19.5%: A Polymarket Analysis of the Fed's Residual Lane and a 0.8% Red Sea Tail",
   "summary": "Fed hike odds sit at 79.5% with a 30-point weekly move, leaving a 19.5% residual hold lane. A polymarket analysis of rate books, Red Sea churn, and Iran.",
   "date_published": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "id": "https://polymarkettrader.com/blog/cs2-57-percent-band-prediction-market-odds-september-12",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/blog/cs2-57-percent-band-prediction-market-odds-september-12",
   "title": "The 57% Band: Prediction Market Odds Across Three Counter-Strike Playoff Boards",
   "summary": "Compare three Counter-Strike playoff books priced between 55% and 60% on Polymarket, with volume-to-liquidity ratios and 24h price change. Research, not a signal.",
   "date_published": "2026-09-12T00:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "id": "https://polymarkettrader.com/blog/lula-slips-below-even-money-spanberger-volume-september-11",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/blog/lula-slips-below-even-money-spanberger-volume-september-11",
   "title": "Lula Slips Below Even Money While a 0.1% Book Trades $1.6M: Prediction Market Odds for September 11",
   "summary": "Lula's 2026 re-election odds fall to 46.5% while a 0.1% Spanberger book trades $1.6M in a day. Polymarket analysis of price, volume and liquidity.",
   "date_published": "2026-09-11T00:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "id": "https://polymarkettrader.com/blog/laptop-fdv-ladder-prediction-market-odds-september-10",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/blog/laptop-fdv-ladder-prediction-market-odds-september-10",
   "title": "LAPTOP's FDV Ladder Reprices 39 Points in a Day — Prediction Market Odds for September 10",
   "summary": "LAPTOP's FDV ladder jumped 21-39 points in 24 hours on thin liquidity, while Hormuz normalization slid to 18.5%. A prediction market odds breakdown.",
   "date_published": "2026-09-10T00:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "id": "https://polymarkettrader.com/blog/gain-vs-win-wording-spread-russian-parliament-books",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/blog/gain-vs-win-wording-spread-russian-parliament-books",
   "title": "Gain vs Win: A 25-Point Wording Spread in Polymarket's Russian Parliament Books",
   "summary": "Two near-identical Russian parliament markets sit 25 points apart at 73.5% and 99.1%. A polymarket analysis of wording risk, thin books, and Lula's 52.5% line.",
   "date_published": "2026-09-09T00:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "id": "https://polymarkettrader.com/blog/ethereum-2250-touch-market-vs-tightening-fed",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/blog/ethereum-2250-touch-market-vs-tightening-fed",
   "title": "A Barrier Book Repriced 20 Points: Ethereum's $2,250 Touch Market vs a Tightening Fed",
   "summary": "Ethereum's $2,250 touch market fell 20.5 points in a week while Fed hike odds crossed 50%. A polymarket analysis of barrier pricing, volume and liquidity.",
   "date_published": "2026-09-08T00:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "id": "https://polymarkettrader.com/blog/tien-rybakina-zandschulp-us-open-prediction-market-odds",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/blog/tien-rybakina-zandschulp-us-open-prediction-market-odds",
   "title": "The Board Says Tien: Prediction Market Odds for Three US Open Match Books",
   "summary": "Compare US Open prediction market odds for Khachanov-Tien, Osaka-Rybakina and Gea-van de Zandschulp, with turnover-to-depth ratios and catalyst checks.",
   "date_published": "2026-09-07T00:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "id": "https://polymarkettrader.com/blog/alcaraz-58-5-taiwan-4-fed-cut-lane-no-bid",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/blog/alcaraz-58-5-taiwan-4-fed-cut-lane-no-bid",
   "title": "Alcaraz at 58.5%, Taiwan at 4%, and a Fed Cut Lane With No Bid",
   "summary": "Compare a 58.5% Alcaraz book, a 4% Taiwan tail, and Fed cut markets pinned near zero in this polymarket analysis of depth, turnover, and catalysts.",
   "date_published": "2026-09-07T00:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "id": "https://polymarkettrader.com/blog/same-price-different-shape-two-565-football-books",
   "url": "https://polymarkettrader.com/blog/same-price-different-shape-two-565-football-books",
   "title": "Same Price, Different Shape: Two 56.5% Football Books on Polymarket",
   "summary": "Compare two Polymarket football books both priced at 56.5% — Arsenal and Rennes — plus a $14M Champions League tail at 0.1%. Research notes, not trade advice.",
   "date_published": "2026-09-06T00:00:00+00:00"
  }
 ]
}