Polymarket Fed June 2026 Odds: FOMC Rate Decision Live Hub

Name: Polymarket Fed June 2026 Odds: FOMC Rate Decision Live Hub
Start: 2026-06-18T18:00:00Z

Quick Answer

Polymarket Fed June 2026 odds currently center on a no-change decision. The embedded market snapshot lists no change near 95.5%, a 25 bps cut near 3.1%, a 50+ bps cut near 0.6%, a 25 bps hike near 1.1%, and a 50+ bps hike near 0.4%.

Read each price as an implied probability, then check spread and depth before treating it as tradable.
The key event is the June 18, 2026 FOMC decision at 14:00 ET.
The Powell press conference at 14:30 ET is the main forward-guidance volatility window.

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24h Odds Movement

🗓️ Event Timeline

May 13, 2026

April CPI data released — last major inflation print before the June meeting.

Jun 6, 2026

May nonfarm payrolls — labor market signal Fed officials cite when sizing the next move.

Jun 11, 2026

May CPI release — final inflation reading inside the FOMC blackout window.

Jun 17, 2026

FOMC meeting begins. Two-day session opens; no public commentary during blackout.

Jun 18, 2026 · 14:00 ET

Rate decision and updated Summary of Economic Projections (SEP / dot plot) released.

Jun 18, 2026 · 14:30 ET

Chair Jerome Powell press conference — biggest intra-meeting source of forward-guidance volatility.

Fed Odds FAQ

What are the Polymarket Fed June 2026 odds?

The live hub tracks Polymarket markets for the June 2026 FOMC decision, including no change, a 25 bps cut, a 50+ bps cut, a 25 bps hike, and a 50+ bps hike. The visible prices are market-implied probabilities, not guarantees.

How do I read Fed rate odds on Polymarket?

A YES share around 0.95 implies the market is pricing about a 95 percent chance for that outcome before spread and liquidity. Always check the order book, resolution rules, and event source before treating the price as tradable.

When is the June 2026 FOMC decision?

The scheduled decision is June 18, 2026 at 14:00 ET, followed by the Jerome Powell press conference at 14:30 ET. The live hub keeps the countdown, timeline, and related Polymarket links in one place.

Live event hub for educational purposes. Not financial advice.
Odds powered by Polymarket Gamma API.

Polymarket Fed June 2026 Odds