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2026 World Chess Championship: Winner — Polymarket Odds

Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: July 1, 2027

As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, the leading outcome is Javokhir Sindarov at 71.5%, followed by Gukesh Dommaraju at 29.5%. The market has $84.5K in total volume and $501 in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeProbability24h changeVolume
Javokhir Sindarov71.5%
$36.7K
Gukesh Dommaraju29.5%
$47.8K

Total volume $84.5K · 24h volume $501 · Liquidity $675.7K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.

30-day price history

0%25%50%75%100%Aug 25Sep 24

Javokhir Sindarov Gukesh Dommaraju · 30-day price history (12-hour points)

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How this market resolves

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 World Chess Championship.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 World Chess Championship per the rules of FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 World Chess Championship tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the current Polymarket odds for 2026 World Chess Championship: Winner?

As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, the leading outcome is Javokhir Sindarov at 71.5%, followed by Gukesh Dommaraju at 29.5%. The market has $84.5K in total volume and $501 in the last 24 hours.

When does the 2026 World Chess Championship: Winner market end?

The event's listed end date is July 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.

How are these odds calculated?

They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.

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