Home › Polymarket odds
Updated September 23, 2026 · 200 markets · refreshed twice a day
Live-market snapshots for the most-traded long-running Polymarket events, grouped by category. Each page shows every outcome's probability, 24-hour change, volume, a 30-day chart and how the market resolves. Big scheduled events link to our full event guides.
Politics & Elections: Trump (110) · 2028 Presidential Election (99) · 2026 Midterms (296) · Senate Races (128) · Governor Races (88) · House Races (100) · Supreme Court (32) · World Elections (168) · Brazil (100) · France (36) · Germany (22) · United Kingdom (22) · Canada (99)
Geopolitics & World: Iran (117) · Strait of Hormuz (31) · Israel (103) · Middle East (108) · Russia–Ukraine War (129) · China & Taiwan (82) · Venezuela (24)
Economy & Fed: Fed & Interest Rates (41) · Inflation & CPI (31) · US Economy (135) · Stocks & Earnings (109) · Oil & Commodities (56) · IPOs (91)
Crypto: Bitcoin (82) · Ethereum (91) · Solana (94) · XRP (97) · Crypto Prices (146) · Token Launches & FDV (163) · Crypto Regulation (22)
Sports: NFL (88) · NBA (33) · MLB (43) · NHL (5) · College Football (30) · Soccer (22) · Premier League (17) · Champions League (16) · Golf (7) · Formula 1 (8) · UFC (30) · Esports (73)
Tech & AI: AI (165) · OpenAI (68) · Anthropic (55) · Big Tech (171) · Elon Musk (69) · Science & Space (113)
Culture & Entertainment: Movies & Box Office (59) · Music (87) · Awards (91) · Celebrities & Creators (79)
Other markets: Weather (123)
| Market | Leading outcome | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026? | ↑ $95 71.5% | $219.2K |
| Anthropic IPO by __? | December 31, 2026 78% | $57.9K |
| Largest Company end of September? | NVIDIA 99.4% | $46.6K |
| Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? | ↑$1.5T 89% | $39.3K |
| How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027? | 5.1% 87% | $32.3K |
| Largest Company end of December 2026? | NVIDIA 75.5% | $24.0K |
| Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap | $2.0–$2.25T 23.6% | $19.6K |
| How many Fed rate hikes in 2026? | 2 (50 bps) 56.5% | $15.9K |
| Which companies will be acquired before 2027? | MGM Resorts 28.5% | $10.4K |
| What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December? | ↑ $5,000 30% | $6.9K |
| IPOs before 2027? | Anthropic 77% | $6.9K |
| OpenAI IPO? | By June 30, 2027 57% | $6.9K |
| AI bubble burst? | By June 30, 2027 20.5% | $6.7K |
| US recession by end of 2026? | Yes 8.5% | $6.5K |
| Fed rate cut? | By July 2027 Meeting 48.5% | $2.2K |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | Yes 6.5% | $1.4K |
| Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? | Anthropic 53.9% | $1.3K |
| Market | Leading outcome | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| 🗓 Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 | full event guide | $166.6K |
| 🗓 MLB World Series Champion 2026 | full event guide | $81.7K |
| 🗓 F1 Drivers' Champion | full event guide | $62.4K |
| 🗓 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis) | full event guide | $0 |
| UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion | Barcelona 22.5% | $539.0K |
| Pro Football: 2027 Champion | Los Angeles Rams 12.5% | $423.3K |
| Bundesliga: 2027 Champion | Bayern Munich 83.5% | $61.2K |
| LALIGA: 2027 Champion | Barcelona 78.5% | $58.5K |
| EPL: 2027 Champion | Arsenal 48.5% | $54.5K |
| WNBA: 2026 Champion | Minnesota Lynx 45.5% | $50.0K |
| Serie A: 2027 Champion | Inter Milan 57.5% | $44.7K |
| WNBA: 2026 MVP | A'ja Wilson 86.1% | $32.2K |
| Ligue 1: 2027 Champion | Paris Saint-Germain 79.5% | $29.2K |
| NBA: 2027 Champion | Oklahoma City Thunder 21.5% | $18.3K |
| NHL: 2027 Champion | Colorado Avalanche 11.5% | $17.0K |
| 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament Winner | Uzbekistan 72.5% | $10.6K |
| MLB: 2026 American League Champion | Tampa Bay Rays 30% | $10.2K |
| Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion | Los Angeles Rams 18.5% | $4.8K |
| NCAA Football: 2027 National Champion | Texas Longhorns 14.5% | $2.7K |
| Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner | Josh Allen 30% | $2.3K |
| MLS Cup Winner 2026 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC 21.2% | $2.0K |
| Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion | Buffalo Bills 21.5% | $1.8K |
| Market | Leading outcome | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which company has the best AI model end of September? | Anthropic 98.5% | $89.9K |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Anthropic 73.5% | $14.7K |
| Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record? | 1 75% | $7.4K |
| Which company has the best AI model end of October? | Anthropic 88.5% | $7.1K |
| OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution? | By December 31, 2027 81.5% | $3.2K |
| #1 Searched Person on Google 2026? | Lindsay Clancy 19% | $1.7K |
| Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? | ↑3.5k 99.9%+ | $1.1K |
| Market | Leading outcome | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Yes 1.8% | $85.2K |
| Next James Bond actor? | Jack Lowden 45.9% | $58.6K |
| "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30? | 950 - 960m 99.1% | $25.0K |
| Taylor Swift pregnant? | By December 31, 2026 11.5% | $6.9K |
| Highest grossing movie in 2026? | Spider-Man: Brand New Day 93.5% | $3.5K |
| Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026? | Avengers: Doomsday 49.5% | $1.6K |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released? | By March 31, 2027 5.5% | $110 |
| Market | Leading outcome | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2.9% | $67.4K |
This week's biggest moves · Polymarket vs Kalshi — the same events priced on both exchanges · Polymarket fees · APY calculator · Where Polymarket is available · Polymarket en español · Eleição no Brasil 2026
Every market has a free JSON endpoint and an embeddable card. See the developer docs and the odds index JSON. Credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link (CC BY 4.0).
🔔 Free Telegram watchlist of big odds moves
Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket. Educational information, not financial advice.