| Market | Leading outcome | 24h volume |
|---|
| 🗓 Fed Decision in December? | full event guide | $854.0K |
| US-Iran effective ceasefire continues? | Through November 5 99.4% | $2.84M |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 36.5% | $2.13M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27.3% | $2.05M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | JD Vance 18.6% | $1.25M |
| Next French Presidential Election | Marine Le Pen 45.1% | $759.3K |
| Alaska Senate Election Winner | Mary Peltola (D) 98% | $648.1K |
| Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? | Gadi Eizenkot 62.4% | $495.5K |
| New Zealand legislative election winner? | National Party 98.7% | $492.3K |
| Next Prime Minister of Sweden | Ulf Kristersson 56.2% | $336.9K |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade? | By March 31 69.5% | $303.2K |
| Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027? | Pete Hegseth 33% | $301.2K |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 10.5% | $250.5K |
| Elon Musk # tweets November 3 - November 10, 2026? | 260-279 21.8% | $232.9K |
| Mississippi Senate Election Winner | Scott Colom (D) 99.4% | $231.8K |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes 32.5% | $207.3K |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 68.5% | $192.6K |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist? | By December 31 2.6% | $168.1K |
| Elon Musk # tweets November 6 - November 13, 2026? | 280-299 14.5% | $130.3K |
| Next Prime Minister of Spain? | Alberto Núñez Feijóo 87.5% | $112.0K |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes 1.7% | $105.5K |
| Iran leadership change? | By June 30, 2027 22% | $101.1K |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement? | By December 31 35.5% | $93.5K |
| Next Prime Minister of Serbia? | Dejan Šoškić 44.6% | $89.9K |
| Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State? | By March 31, 2027 26.5% | $81.8K |
| Next Prime Minister of New Zealand? | Christopher Luxon 84.5% | $78.9K |
| Venezuela leader end of 2026? | Nicolás Maduro 91.5% | $72.4K |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? | Yes 19.5% | $71.2K |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes 2.6% | $65.3K |
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 98% | $57.1K |
| France declares state of emergency? | By December 31 3.4% | $55.5K |
| Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government? | National + ACT + NZF 73% | $53.9K |
| NC-03 House Election Winner | Raymond Smith Jr. (D) 80.2% | $48.1K |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency? | By December 31 2.8% | $45.0K |
| Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures) | December 31 31% | $45.0K |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting? | By December 31, 2026 44.5% | $43.8K |
| Elon Musk # tweets in November 2026? | 1000+ 85.5% | $40.5K |
| Putin out as President of Russia? | By June 30, 2027 9.5% | $40.1K |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes 3.0% | $38.6K |
| Argentina Presidential Election Winner | Javier Milei 44.5% | $35.9K |
| 2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory | Democrats 14-16% 87.2% | $34.0K |
| Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory | Talarico 12%+ 96.2% | $32.6K |
| Next Press Secretary announced? | By December 31 71.5% | $30.3K |
| Who will announce Presidential run before 2028? | Pete Buttigieg 95.5% | $30.3K |
| Next Senate Majority Leader? | Chuck Schumer 85% | $30.2K |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement? | By December 31, 2027 70% | $30.1K |
| Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026? | China 88.5% | $29.7K |
| Next Israeli government formed? | By June 30, 2027 83.5% | $29.0K |
| Which coalition will form the next Swedish government? | M + KD + L + C 40.8% | $28.9K |
| Next leader out of power before 2027? | None before 2027 57% | $28.7K |
| Next Press Secretary? | Anna Kelly 16.5% | $27.6K |
| NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory? | Labour 0-5% 96.7% | $27.1K |
| Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31? | Ken Paxton 99.9%+ | $26.4K |
| Pete Hegseth impeached? | By June 30, 2027 68.5% | $25.8K |
| NZ Election: National Party # of seats? | 40-44 99.4% | $25.4K |
| New Zealand Election: 2nd Place | Labour Party 97% | $23.9K |
| Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government? | Gadi Eizenkot 98.6% | $23.8K |
| Elon Musk # tweets November 10 - November 17, 2026? | 280-299 10.5% | $23.0K |
| Will Trump be impeached? | By December 31, 2027 57% | $22.7K |
| New Zealand Election: 3rd Place | Green Party 98.8% | $21.5K |
| CA-23 House Election Winner | Jay Obernolte (R) 96.3% | $21.1K |
| Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027? | No meeting before 2027 95.7% | $20.9K |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement? | By December 31 28.5% | $20.8K |
| Saudi airspace closed? | By December 31 5.5% | $20.8K |
| 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30? | Other 64.5% | $19.8K |
| 2026 Midterms: House Turnout | 120-125m 94.5% | $18.7K |
| What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) 11.5% | $18.4K |
| Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire? | By December 31, 2027 41.5% | $17.7K |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 9.5% | $17.4K |
| Netanyahu out? | By June 30, 2027 69.5% | $15.9K |
| AZ-02 House Election Winner | Eli Crane (R) 98.5% | $15.7K |
| Fed Decision in January? | No change 73.5% | $15.7K |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory? | By June 30, 2027 7.5% | $14.7K |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files? | By December 31 78.1% | $14.6K |
| Mississippi Senate Election Margin of Victory | Colom 0.6-0.9% 63% | $14.4K |
| AK-AL House Election Winner | Republican Party 95.7% | $13.6K |
| Ljubljana Mayoral Election Winner | Zoran Janković 60% | $13.5K |
| US imports Russian diesel? | By March 31 20% | $13.4K |
| Who will announce Presidential run before 2027? | Rahm Emanuel 35.9% | $13.2K |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | Yes 3.8% | $12.0K |
| Spain General Election Winner | PP 91% | $11.9K |
| How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year? | 3 46% | $11.3K |
| Kaohsiung Mayor Election Winner | Lai Jui-lung 89% | $11.2K |
| Russia x Ukraine peace talks? | By December 31 97.3% | $11.2K |
| Donald Trump # Truth Social posts November 3 - November 10, 2026? | 100-119 22.4% | $11.0K |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile? | By December 31 5.0% | $10.9K |
| Which parties will be in next Swedish Government? | Centre Party (C) 77.5% | $10.7K |
| Kash Patel out? | By December 31 20% | $10.6K |
| NZ Election: Labour Party # of seats? | 35-39 98.4% | $10.3K |
| Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027? | Yes 84% | $10.2K |
| NATO x Russia military clash? | By December 31 11.5% | $10.2K |
| CO-04 House Election Winner | Eileen Laubacher (D) 98% | $10.1K |
| Where will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place? | UAE 96% | $9.7K |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes 2.5% | $9.6K |
| Democratic 2028 presidential odds hit __ by December 31? | ↑ 70% 28.5% | $9.5K |
| US strike on Colombia? | By December 31 18.5% | $9.5K |
| FL-27 House Election Winner | María Elvira Salazar (R) 98.1% | $9.4K |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes 3.2% | $9.0K |
| Government shutdown? | By December 31 38.5% | $8.4K |
| Trump meets with Putin? | By December 31 88% | $8.2K |
| Lima Mayoral Election Winner | Rafael López Aliaga 17.7% | $8.0K |
| Who will Trump speak to by November 30? | Xi Jinping 97% | $7.8K |
| Houthis capture Taiz by...? (castle) | December 31 22% | $7.7K |
| Next US Senate Minority Leader? | John Thune 92.5% | $7.4K |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium? | By December 31 2.9% | $7.3K |
| Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney? | By December 31, 2026 24.5% | $7.1K |
| Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights? | By January 31, 2027 54.5% | $7.0K |
| Fed Decision in March? | No change 55% | $7.0K |
| Iran coup attempt? | By December 31, 2027 27.5% | $6.9K |
| New Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Su Chiao-hui 61% | $6.8K |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed? | By December 31 9.5% | $6.6K |
| Who will be arrested before 2027? | John Brennan 10.5% | $6.6K |
| Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? | Democratic 67.5% | $6.5K |
| Democratic 2028 presidential odds hit __ by March 31? | ↑ 70% 53.5% | $6.4K |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 3.5% | $6.4K |
| Cape Verde Presidential Election Winner | José Maria Neves 95.5% | $6.1K |
| Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? | Yes 20% | $6.0K |
| Closest Senate Race? | Mississippi 92.8% | $5.9K |
| Where will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next? | No meeting by December 31, 2027 76.5% | $5.9K |
| Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round? | Marine Le Pen 89.5% | $5.6K |
| Who will Trump meet with by November 30? | Xi Jinping 95% | $5.6K |
| Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026? | Yes 3.2% | $5.5K |
| Will Russia invade another country? | By December 31, 2027 18% | $5.5K |
| Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place? | No Meeting by December 31 54% | $5.3K |
| Israeli Knesset election annulled? | Yes 2.5% | $5.2K |
| Hsinchu City Mayor Election Winner | Ann Kao 87.5% | $5.1K |
| Which of these people will be impeached first by the end of 2027? | Pete Hegseth 42.5% | $4.9K |
| CA-04 House Election Winner (by individual) | Eric Jones 94.4% | $4.8K |
| Which party will win white voters in the midterms? | Democrats 99.3% | $4.6K |
| Next President of Germany? | Ilse Aigner 93.5% | $4.5K |
| Iran leader end of 2026? | Mojtaba Khamenei 90.8% | $4.5K |
| Brazil presidential election annulled? | Yes 2.7% | $4.4K |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes 3.3% | $4.4K |
| Who will Trump pardon before 2027? | Keonne Rodriguez 13.5% | $4.3K |
| Houthis enter Aden? | By December 31 13.5% | $4.3K |
| Who will Trump meet with in 2026? | Vladimir Putin 87.5% | $4.3K |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia? | By December 31, 2027 26% | $4.3K |
| Taitung County Magistrate Election Winner | Wu Hsiu-hua 82.5% | $4.1K |
| Next Mayor of Johannesburg? | Helen Zille 53.5% | $4.1K |
| Israeli election results in a hung parliament? | Yes 34.5% | $4.1K |
| Spain General Election: Biscay Winner | EH Bildu 42.5% | $4.1K |
| Which coalition will form the next Israeli government? | Other 61% | $4.1K |
| 2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner | Kuomintang (KMT) 73.5% | $4.0K |
| 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? | Jean-Luc Mélenchon 96% | $3.9K |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site? | By December 31 16.5% | $3.9K |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement? | By June 30, 2027 19.5% | $3.8K |
| TN-04 House Election Winner | Victoria Broderick (D) 96% | $3.8K |
| Taoyuan Mayor Election Winner | Chang San-cheng 93% | $3.7K |
| Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act? | Mark Warner 5.3% | $3.6K |
| Hsinchu County Magistrate Election Winner | Cheng Chao-fang 60% | $3.5K |
| Which parties will be in the next Israeli government? | Yashar 78.5% | $3.4K |
| Next Serbia Presidential Election Winner | Radomir Saičić 79.5% | $3.4K |
| How high will inflation get in 2026? | Above 4.5% 10.5% | $3.4K |
| Next Israeli Minister of Finance? | No Next Minister by Feb 28 32.5% | $3.4K |
| Next Israeli Minister of Justice? | No Next Minister by Feb 28 28.5% | $3.3K |
| New Hampshire Senate Election Margin of Victory | Pappas 12-15% 99.7% | $3.2K |
| US-Yemen ceasefire continues? | Through November 30 90.5% | $3.1K |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran? | By December 31 2.2% | $3.1K |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? | Yes 2.4% | $2.9K |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes 1.7% | $2.8K |
| Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31? | Jared Kushner 42% | $2.7K |
| Fed Decision in April? | No change 59% | $2.6K |
| Argentina Presidential Election First Round Winner | Javier Milei 60% | $2.6K |
| Will Iran legalize gay marriage? | Yes 1.1% | $2.6K |
| Tusk out by December 31? | Yes 4.5% | $2.4K |
| Will Trump veto a bill by February 1, 2027? | Yes 48% | $2.4K |
| Next Israeli Minister of Defense? | No Next Minister by Feb 28 35.4% | $2.3K |
| WA-05 House Election Winner | Michael Baumgartner (R) 98.7% | $2.3K |
| Taichung Mayor Election Winner | Johnny Chiang 77% | $2.3K |
| Next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | Elif Eralp 86% | $2.3K |
| OK-02 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 35-40% 96.9% | $2.2K |
| Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? | June 30, 2027 33.5% | $2.2K |
| NM-02 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 15-20% 97.5% | $2.2K |
| Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory | Paes wins 36.6% | $2.2K |
| Insurrection Act invoked? | By December 31 7.0% | $2.1K |
| Spain General Election: PSOE % of vote? | 28-30% 28.5% | $2.0K |
| Trump publicly insults Warsh? | By December 31 10% | $2.0K |
| US imposes new sanctions on China? | By November 30 5.5% | $2.0K |
| Which companies will the US take a stake in? | Unusual Machines 18% | $2.0K |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain? | By January 31, 2027 83% | $2.0K |
| How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026? | 6 86% | $1.9K |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany? | By December 31, 2027 37.5% | $1.9K |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | Yes 6.8% | $1.8K |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka? | By June 30, 2027 56% | $1.8K |
| Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? | Yes 64% | $1.8K |
| Arizona Governor Election: Turnout | 2.45M-2.6M 83% | $1.7K |
| Democratic nomination odds leader on November 30? | Jon Ossoff 96.5% | $1.7K |
| North Carolina enacts data center moratorium? | By December 31, 2028 32.5% | $1.7K |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes 1.6% | $1.7K |
| Flávio Bolsonaro returns to Brazil? | By December 31, 2027 49% | $1.7K |
| OK-04 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 15-20% 94.7% | $1.6K |
| MI-11 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 20-25% 89% | $1.6K |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Yes 3.5% | $1.6K |
| How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027? | Below 4.8% 68.5% | $1.6K |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi? | By December 31 5.5% | $1.5K |
| How many Israeli elections before government formed? | 1 65.5% | $1.5K |
| Andrew Tate released from custody? | By December 31 5.0% | $1.5K |
| Oregon Senate Election: Turnout | 1.9M-2M 89.5% | $1.5K |
| Next Venezuelan Presidential Election Winner | María Corina Machado 68.5% | $1.5K |
| Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31? | Yes 26.9% | $1.4K |
| Next Israeli Minister of National Security? | No Next Minister by Feb 28 31.5% | $1.4K |
| Chiayi City Mayor Election Winner | Wang Mei-hui 88% | $1.4K |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | Yes 8.5% | $1.4K |
| Trump impeached and removed before 2028? | Yes 18.4% | $1.4K |
| Gyanesh Kumar out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31? | Yes 9.5% | $1.3K |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | Yes 1.3% | $1.3K |
| Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027? | Somaliland 11% | $1.3K |
| OK-03 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 25-30% 98.4% | $1.3K |
| Democratic VP Nominee 2028 | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 20.5% | $1.3K |
| South Carolina Presidential Democratic Primary Winner | Jon Ossoff 35.5% | $1.3K |
| Fall Elections Combo: Brazil, Israel, US Senate | Lula, Eizenkot, Dems 62.1% | $1.2K |
| Alaska Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round) | Peltola 3-6% 64.5% | $1.2K |
| Total Internet Blackout in Iran? | By December 31 29% | $1.2K |
| NC-05 House Election Winner | Chuck Hubbard (D) 96.9% | $1.2K |
| Which bills will become law in 2026? | Export-control chip security 43% | $1.2K |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | Yes 3.9% | $1.2K |
| Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged? | By December 31 7.0% | $1.2K |
| Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt? | Ulrich Siegmund 66.5% | $1.1K |
| What will Fed Rate hit before 2027? | ↑ 4.25% 77% | $1.1K |
| Michigan Senate Election Margin of Victory | El-Sayed 6-9% 94.1% | $1.1K |
| How many House seats will the Democrats win in California? | 48 92% | $1.1K |
| Will Iran damage undersea internet cables? | By December 31 11.5% | $1.1K |
| Iowa Governor Election Margin of Victory | Sand 9-12% 83.8% | $1.1K |
| Alaska Senate and Governor Combo | Dems sweep 97.7% | $1.1K |
| Will Trump publicly insult someone? | November 11 94.5% | $1.1K |
| Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy? | By December 31 3.1% | $1.1K |
| Florida Senate Election Margin of Victory | Moody 0-3% 94.2% | $1.1K |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder? | By December 31, 2027 29% | $1.1K |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West)? | By December 31 72% | $1.0K |
| Which Senate races will be within 1%? | Mississippi 96.5% | $1.0K |
| Which Senate races will be within 5%? | Mississippi 99.6% | $1.0K |
| Tallahassee Mayoral Election Winner | Jeremy Matlow 98.5% | $983 |
| IN-04 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 0-10% 50.7% | $963 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027? | Yes 13% | $959 |
| Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | Yes 1.1% | $951 |
| Anthony Fauci charged by December 31? | Yes 2.4% | $941 |
| MN-01 House Election Winner | Jake Johnson (D) 96% | $927 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman? | By December 31 3.7% | $923 |
| Nevada Governor Election: Turnout | 1.05M-1.125M 77.8% | $922 |
| Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner | Pam Alexis 3.8% | $921 |
| Will Trump rename an ocean? | By December 31, 2027 13% | $912 |
| FL-26 House Election Winner | Mario Díaz-Balart (R) 99.4% | $900 |
| Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass? | Fireworks restriction initiative 72% | $886 |
| Republican VP Nominee 2028 | Marco Rubio 24.5% | $834 |
| Will AOC announce a run for Senate or President before 2028? | President 43% | $820 |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | Yes 7.0% | $817 |
| Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028? | No Next Chancellor before 2028 66.5% | $807 |
| Nebraska Senate Election Margin of Victory | Republican 6-9% 74% | $798 |
| Oklahoma enacts data center moratorium? | By December 31, 2028 31.5% | $798 |
| French Presidential Election First Round Winner | Marine Le Pen 84.5% | $796 |
| Rhode Island Governor Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 30-35% 80.5% | $792 |
| Next Mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay (Port Elizabeth)? | Retief Odendaal 85.5% | $740 |
| Will Ilhan Omar be deported? | By June 30, 2027 7.5% | $730 |
| Will Trump visit Greenland? | By December 31 3.5% | $719 |
| JD Vance out as VP? | By December 31 3.2% | $700 |
| Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal? | No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026 90.5% | $697 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia? | By June 30, 2027 25% | $689 |
| NY-22 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 15-20% 98% | $671 |
| Michigan Senate Election: Turnout | 4.6M-4.8M 49% | $665 |
| SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case? | By December 31 12.5% | $649 |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026? | Yes 1.4% | $642 |
| OR-06 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 15-20% 58.5% | $618 |
| IN-08 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 5-15% 56.5% | $596 |
| Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime? | Yes 27.5% | $592 |
| Ohio Senate Election Margin of Victory | Brown 3-6% 96.5% | $585 |
| How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026? | 36% 67.5% | $585 |
| What will Trump's approval rating hit by June 30, 2027? | ↓ 37% 80.8% | $578 |
| Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs? | Yair Lapid 48% | $571 |
| Kansas Governor Election Winner | Cindy Holscher (D) 99.2% | $567 |
| NY-17 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 3-6% 47.5% | $559 |
| Maduro Prison Time? | No prison time 60.5% | $547 |
| Fetterman leaves the Democrats? | By December 31, 2026 3.7% | $544 |
| Mississippi Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round) | Democrat Wins 98% | $540 |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin? | By December 31 8.5% | $539 |
| Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? | Yes 10% | $536 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm? | By December 31, 2026 5.0% | $528 |
| TX-11 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 15-20% 58% | $522 |
| TX-09 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 6%+ 99.1% | $521 |
| Which party will win the House in 2028? | Democratic Party 77.5% | $519 |
| Ohio Senate Election: Turnout | 4.65M-4.8M 71.5% | $517 |
| Spain General Election: PP + Vox Majority? | Yes 91.5% | $505 |
| Alaska Senate Election Margin of Victory (Final Round) | Peltola 3-6% 49.4% | $499 |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand Decision in March? | 25 bps increase 63.5% | $495 |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | Yes 1.8% | $491 |
| CT-01 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 35-40% 48.5% | $491 |
| VA-02 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 6-9% 91.8% | $489 |
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | Yes 7.0% | $481 |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Yes 1.7% | $477 |
| Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026? | Dong Jun 5.9% | $471 |
| Ilhan Omar arrested? | By December 31 11% | $471 |
| NATO article 5 before 2027? | Yes 3.8% | $465 |
| Spain General Election: ERC # of seats? | 8-9 39.1% | $463 |
| Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026? | Delcy Rodríguez 95.7% | $458 |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December? | 25 bps increase 53.5% | $456 |
| Macron out? | By December 31, 2026 2.2% | $442 |
| Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement? | By June 30, 2027 11.5% | $442 |
| CO-08 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 12-15% 69.3% | $432 |
| HI-01 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 45-50% 83% | $423 |
| France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30? | Yes 4.5% | $422 |
| ME-02 House Election Winner | Paul LePage (R) 99.3% | $420 |
| KS-01 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 20-25% 48.8% | $412 |
| Spain General Election: PP + Vox get 50%+ of Vote? | Yes 55% | $412 |
| Will Trump resign before 2027? | Yes 1.7% | $400 |
| SC-02 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 0-5% 94% | $393 |
| Oklahoma Senate Election Margin of Victory | Republican 15-20% 97% | $388 |
| Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? | Yes 1.1% | $378 |
| Colorado Governor Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 25-30% 96.5% | $369 |
| VA-09 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 30-35% 97.9% | $367 |
| US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026? | Yes 3.5% | $359 |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | Yes 4.2% | $358 |
| Next Premier of Victoria | Jess Wilson 94% | $357 |
| Texas Governor Election Margin of Victory | Hinojosa 6%+ 96.4% | $354 |
| California Governor Election: Turnout | 13.5M-14M 48.8% | $352 |
| Russia military action against EU country? | By December 31, 2027 21% | $347 |
| Guerrero Governor Election Winner | Beatriz Mojica Morga 65.6% | $346 |
| VT-AL House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 30-35% 65.5% | $340 |
| Iowa Senate Election Margin of Victory | Turek 3-6% 93.1% | $336 |
| MD-01 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 3-6% 50.4% | $335 |
| Ohio Governor Election Margin of Victory | Acton 6-9% 57.9% | $333 |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi? | By December 31 79% | $332 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | Yes <0.1% | $331 |
| FL-09 House Election Winner | Darren Soto (D) 98.7% | $323 |
| Which states will Donald Trump visit in 2026? | Louisiana 38.5% | $319 |
| US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine? | By December 31, 2027 24% | $304 |
| Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? | Yes 66.5% | $304 |
| CA-04 House Election Winner | Democratic Party 99% | $300 |
| Next Mayor of eThekwini (Durban)? | Apostle Mxolisi Phakathi 65.8% | $299 |
| PA-16 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 5-10% 97.2% | $299 |
| Victoria Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place | One Nation 67.5% | $292 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by..? | December 31 7.5% | $291 |
| Florida Governor Election Margin of Victory | Donalds 0-3% 96.7% | $288 |
| Victoria Parliamentary Election Winner | Liberal–National 92.5% | $286 |
| Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement? | Yes 34.5% | $284 |
| French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026? | Dominique de Villepin 83% | $283 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes 88% | $282 |
| IL-01 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 40-45% 46.5% | $278 |
| China x India military clash? | By December 31, 2026 5.5% | $277 |
| Connecticut Governor Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 15-20% 59.5% | $276 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | Yes 7.0% | $274 |
| New York Governor Election: Nassau County Winner | Kathy Hochul (D) 92% | $273 |
| Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? | Yes 0.9% | $272 |
| IL-12 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 35-40% 46% | $269 |
| French Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place | Jean-Luc Mélenchon 46% | $269 |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces? | By December 31, 2027 19.5% | $264 |
| LA-06 House Election Winner | Republican Party 91.4% | $262 |
| AL-07 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 35-40% 52% | $260 |
| MI-06 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 35-40% 97.5% | $257 |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela? | By December 31 7.5% | $254 |
| HI-02 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 30-35% 80.1% | $250 |
| Andy Burnham out as UK PM? | By December 31 1.8% | $249 |
| PA-12 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 30-35% 90.6% | $248 |
| NJ-04 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 15-20% 48.2% | $247 |
| CO-02 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 50-55% 46% | $242 |
| Aguascalientes Governor Election Winner | Antonio Martín del Campo 59.5% | $238 |
| Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? | Yes 22.5% | $232 |
| Which parties will be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government? | AfD 57% | $230 |
| Will Trump nationalize elections? | Yes 5.5% | $228 |
| OH-05 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 10-15% 96.5% | $228 |
| Will Russia capture all of Prymorske? | By December 31 2.5% | $227 |
| Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…? | December 31 8.5% | $220 |
| Next Mayor of Ekurhuleni (Germiston)? | Khathutshelo Rasilingwane 32% | $218 |
| Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election | Fernando Dias da Costa 8.6% | $215 |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control? | By December 31 11% | $215 |
| Oregon Governor Election Margin of Victory | Kotek 9-12% 50.1% | $209 |
| Missouri enacts data center moratorium? | By December 31, 2028 31.5% | $206 |
| Maine Senate Election Margin of Victory (Final Round) | Jackson 3-6% 49.5% | $204 |
| NY-04 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 10-15% 94.5% | $202 |
| Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament? | By December 31 9.0% | $200 |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske? | By December 31 81% | $200 |
| India strike on Pakistan? | By December 31, 2026 7.0% | $198 |
| Sinaloa Governor Election Winner | Imelda Castro Castro 66.5% | $197 |
| Michoacán Governor Election Winner | Carlos Torres Piña 67.2% | $197 |
| NC-13 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 0-5% 87.2% | $194 |
| NC-02 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 50-55% 97% | $192 |
| Next Mayor of Buffalo City (East London)? | Princess Faku 78.5% | $191 |
| Texas Senate Election: Turnout | 9.6M-10M 89% | $190 |
| Indiana enacts data center moratorium? | By December 31, 2028 30.5% | $185 |
| LA Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory? | Raman 8-12% 71.2% | $184 |
| Keelung Mayor Election Winner | Hsieh Kuo-liang 66% | $179 |
| TN-06 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 0-10% 60.3% | $178 |
| TN-05 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 3-6% 94.5% | $177 |
| CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual) | Doris Matsui 97.9% | $177 |
| MI-12 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 55-60% 45.5% | $176 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza? | By December 31 9.0% | $175 |
| Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026? | Portugal 11.3% | $166 |
| MO-08 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 35-40% 96.8% | $165 |
| Vermont Governor Election Margin of Victory | Republican 5-10% 95.3% | $163 |
| Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026? | Yes 4.3% | $161 |
| IL-14 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 25-30% 58% | $161 |
| CT-03 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 25-30% 48% | $159 |
| Piura Mayoral Election Winner | Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi 94.7% | $154 |
| SC-02 House Election Winner | Joe Wilson (R) 98.7% | $149 |
| AL-05 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 0-10% 54.9% | $148 |
| FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026? | Yes 2.5% | $147 |
| Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027? | Israel 10.5% | $147 |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? | Yes 5.0% | $145 |
| VA-03 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 45-50% 42.5% | $144 |
| Sonora Governor Election Winner | Lorenia Valles Sampedro 55% | $142 |
| NJ-06 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 35-40% 48.9% | $140 |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | Yes 2.2% | $140 |
| How many House seats will the Democrats win in Arizona? | 5 92.5% | $138 |
| MT-01 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 3-6% 93.5% | $137 |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026? | Yes 2.4% | $137 |
| Chihuahua Governor Election Winner | Marco Bonilla Mendoza 62% | $136 |
| PA-08 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 6-9% 38.9% | $130 |
| Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? | Yes 4.5% | $127 |
| North Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory | Cooper 18%+ 98% | $126 |
| IN-06 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 5-15% 98.4% | $125 |
| Next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026? | No HR in 2026 61% | $125 |
| MN-03 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 25-30% 96% | $124 |
| Will Trump visit North Korea? | By December 31 3.9% | $123 |
| AZ-06 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 9-12% 46.5% | $122 |
| FL-07 House Election Winner | Ryan Elijah (R) 98.2% | $122 |
| U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened? | By December 31, 2026 8.0% | $120 |
| TX-23 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 6-9% 90.8% | $119 |
| Next Secretary-General of the United Nations | Rebeca Grynspan 21% | $116 |
| RI-01 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 40-45% 93% | $116 |
| Nuevo León Governor Election Winner | Adrián de la Garza Santos 38% | $116 |
| GA-02 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round) | Democrat 20-25% 95.5% | $115 |
| CT-04 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 30-35% 97.3% | $114 |
| TX-12 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 5-10% 53.3% | $112 |
| Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027 | Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms 10.6% | $110 |
| CO-03 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 0-3% 93% | $107 |
| IA-03 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 6-9% 92.7% | $107 |
| U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal? | By December 31 7.6% | $107 |
| WY-AL House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 20-25% 47% | $106 |
| Will any country leave NATO? | By June 30, 2027 5.5% | $104 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations? | By December 31, 2026 2.4% | $102 |
| KS-03 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 20-25% 69% | $100 |
| Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027? | New Zealand 8.0% | $100 |
| Next Prime Minister of Italy? | Giorgia Meloni 48.5% | $100 |
| Ukraine peace referendum passed? | By December 31, 2027 32.5% | $100 |
| Modi out by June 30, 2027? | Yes 10.5% | $100 |
| Kansas Senate and Governor Combo | Dems sweep 96% | $100 |
| Malaysian parliament dissolved by..? | June 30, 2027 36.5% | $100 |
| Kansas Senate Election Margin of Victory | Hamilton Wins 99.7% | $100 |
| Ukraine election called? | By June 30, 2027 31.5% | $100 |
| Erdoğan out? | By December 31, 2027 22% | $98 |
| GA-06 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round) | Democrat 60-65% 97.2% | $97 |
| Yoon out of custody before 2027? | Yes 2.8% | $94 |
| Next Mayor of Tshwane (Pretoria)? | Nasiphi Moya 57% | $93 |
| Wyoming Governor Election Margin of Victory | Republican 50%+ 96.7% | $93 |
| Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31? | Bahrain 32.5% | $90 |
| Next Prime Minister of Greece? | Kyriakos Mitsotakis 69% | $88 |
| Louisiana Senate Election: Turnout | 1.4M-1.5M 57.5% | $88 |
| South Dakota Senate Election Margin of Victory | Republican 20-25% 93% | $87 |
| CO-06 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 30-35% 48% | $86 |
| WI-03 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 6-9% 96.8% | $84 |
| Saudi troops fighting in Yemen? | By December 31, 2026 7.5% | $83 |
| MI-03 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 15-20% 54.5% | $83 |
| FL-24 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 55%+ 91.1% | $80 |
| Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? | Yes 3.7% | $77 |
| IN-05 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 3%+ 46.9% | $77 |
| Next Mayor of Mangaung (Bloemfontein)? | Vusimuzi Soqaga 48.8% | $76 |
| Closest Governor's Race? | Kansas 93.3% | $76 |
| Miaoli County Magistrate Election Winner | Chung Tung-chin 94.4% | $75 |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory? | By December 31, 2027 16% | $72 |
| Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? | Yes 2.7% | $71 |
| FL-20 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 50-55% 61.2% | $70 |
| Will Russia enter Mykhailivka? | By December 31 25% | $70 |
| Arkansas Senate Election: Turnout | 825K-900K 88% | $70 |
| Ohio enacts data center moratorium? | By December 31, 2028 32.5% | $67 |
| NY-03 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 10-15% 43% | $66 |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs? | By December 31 56% | $63 |
| PA-13 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 30-35% 50.9% | $60 |
| Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause) | November 30 20.5% | $60 |
| NJ-07 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 15-18% 88.3% | $60 |
| OH-15 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 6%+ 52.6% | $60 |
| IL-11 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 25-30% 45.5% | $58 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO? | By December 31, 2027 28% | $58 |
| Ukraine coup attempt? | By December 31, 2027 12% | $58 |
| Delaware Senate Election: Turnout | 375K-400K 94.7% | $58 |
| MO-03 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 5-10% 48.8% | $57 |
| Venezuela presidential election scheduled? | By March 31, 2027 41.5% | $55 |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? | Yes 44.5% | $55 |
| CT-02 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 20-25% 51.5% | $52 |
| Baja California Sur Governor Election Winner | Francisco Pelayo Covarrubias 48% | $52 |
| NC-05 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 0-3% 63.7% | $51 |
| Montana Senate Election Margin of Victory | Republican 9-12% 46% | $51 |
| MD-05 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 35-40% 47% | $51 |
| Bauchi, Nigeria Governor Election Winner | Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar 54% | $50 |
| Texas enacts data center moratorium? | By December 31, 2028 34.5% | $50 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | Yes 5.5% | $50 |
| TX-18 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 70-75% 96.3% | $50 |
| IL-08 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 25-30% 46% | $50 |
| Baja California Governor Election Winner | Julieta Ramírez Padilla 63% | $49 |
| TX-36 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 5-10% 96.5% | $49 |
| Wisconsin Governor Election Margin of Victory | Crowley 6-9% 96.9% | $49 |
| Tim Walz in jail? | By December 31, 2026 1.1% | $48 |
| WI-08 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 6-9% 57.5% | $47 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | Yes 1.5% | $45 |
| FL-01 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 25-30% 55.4% | $44 |
| Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico? | By December 31, 2026 2.7% | $44 |
| NE-01 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 3-6% 93.2% | $44 |
| Colima Congress Election Winner | Morena 73% | $43 |
| Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk? | By December 31 15.5% | $43 |
| Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | Yes 1.7% | $43 |
| NJ-05 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 25-30% 97.1% | $42 |
| Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader? | By March 31 22% | $42 |
| US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? | Yes 4.2% | $40 |
| US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief? | By December 31 32% | $40 |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | Yes 9.5% | $40 |
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | Yes 9.0% | $40 |
| OH-04 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 30-35% 96% | $40 |
| MI-09 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 25-30% 96.5% | $40 |
| Brazil's top courts strike down oil export tax? | By June 30, 2028 28.5% | $40 |
| SC-01 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 0-3% 66.5% | $39 |
| TX-31 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 5-10% 58% | $39 |
| US strike on Mexico? | By December 31 2.8% | $37 |
| Arkansas Governor Election Margin of Victory | Republican 15-20% 47.5% | $36 |
| MD-07 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 65-70% 64.5% | $34 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | Yes 1.3% | $34 |
| IA-02 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 3-6% 92% | $33 |
| Trujillo Mayoral Election Winner | Roy Charlie Arbaiza Corcuera 94.1% | $32 |
| UT-01 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 40%+ 59.2% | $32 |
| Which party will win white women in the midterms? | Democrats 98.6% | $32 |
| NY-20 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 25-30% 97.5% | $31 |
| TX-21 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 10-15% 49% | $31 |
| Michigan Governor Election Margin of Victory | Benson 9-12% 48.5% | $31 |
| FL-17 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 15-20% 65.6% | $30 |
| Tennessee Governor Election Margin of Victory | Republican 0-5% 97.4% | $30 |
| U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? | December 31, 2026 6.3% | $30 |
| TX-05 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 0-5% 97.8% | $30 |
| US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? | Yes 2.6% | $30 |
| Peggy Flanagan runs behind Amy Klobuchar? | By 0-3 points behind 58.5% | $30 |
| NJ-02 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 0-3% 47.6% | $29 |
| Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve? | By December 31 6.8% | $29 |
| Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei? | By December 31 4.2% | $29 |
| AL-03 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 25-30% 96.5% | $28 |
| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader? | By March 31, 2027 20% | $28 |
| How many people will Trump deport in 2026? | 400-500k 58% | $28 |
| Another Canada election called? | By December 31, 2026 5.5% | $27 |
| PA-07 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 12-15% 72.2% | $27 |
| Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested? | By December 31 16.3% | $27 |
| Kansas Governor Election Margin of Victory | Holscher 0-3% 96.4% | $27 |
| Next Israeli Minister of Interior? | No Next Minister by Feb 28 37.5% | $26 |
| FL-16 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 3-6% 93.8% | $25 |
| Ilhan Omar federally charged? | By December 31 21% | $25 |
| Maine Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round) | Jackson 3-6% 78% | $24 |
| Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027? | Yes 13.5% | $23 |
| Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms? | Utah 99% | $22 |
| IL-16 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 15-20% 57% | $22 |
| Georgia Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round) | Ossoff 18%+ 91% | $22 |
| MA-08 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 40-45% 96.5% | $21 |
| Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? | Yes 1.1% | $20 |
| NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine? | By December 31, 2026 4.0% | $20 |
| LA-05 House Election Winner | Republican Party 94% | $20 |
| AR-04 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 30-35% 49.8% | $20 |
| VA-01 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 0-3% 39.5% | $20 |
| RI-02 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 20-25% 46.5% | $20 |
| FL-18 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 0-5% 46.7% | $20 |
| OR-03 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 50-55% 60% | $20 |
| US x Cuba diplomatic meeting? | By November 30 40.5% | $20 |
| Vance's Republican nomination odds hit __ by December 31? | ↓ 25% 41.5% | $20 |
| SAVE Act becomes law? | By December 31 3.3% | $20 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk? | By December 31 2.5% | $19 |
| Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? | Yes 5.1% | $18 |
| Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister? | By December 31 80.9% | $18 |
| MD-08 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 55-60% 48% | $17 |
| US Announces Diesel Export ban? | By December 31 5.5% | $17 |
| Will France pass a national budget by December 31? | Yes 57% | $16 |
| UT-03 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 45-50% 45.6% | $16 |
| Next Regional Board Chair of Värmland? | Åsa Johansson 88.6% | $16 |
| NC-08 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 0-3% 87.1% | $16 |
| U.S. nuclear test? | By December 31, 2026 4.3% | $15 |
| TX-16 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 40-45% 95.3% | $14 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | Yes 2.5% | $14 |
| Maynas Mayoral Election Winner | Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo 74.7% | $14 |
| North Carolina Senate Election: Turnout | 4.1M-4.3M 94.5% | $14 |
| KY-05 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 45-50% 51.1% | $13 |
| AR-03 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 10-15% 72.7% | $13 |
| Alabama Governor Election Margin of Victory | Republican 0-5% 88.5% | $13 |
| AZ-01 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 6-9% 52% | $12 |
| H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? | Yes 2.4% | $12 |
| MO-05 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 3%+ 98.2% | $11 |
| PA-05 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 40-45% 50.8% | $11 |
| France declares state of siege (martial law)? | By December 31 2.4% | $10 |
| Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? | Yes 5.8% | $10 |
| Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport? | By December 31 10% | $10 |
| TX-28 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 21%+ 54.9% | $10 |
| Who will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election? | J.D. Vance 52.5% | $9 |
| Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US? | By December 31 8.5% | $9 |
| Trump goes to space in 2026? | Yes 1.4% | $9 |
| Next Regional Board Chair of Jönköping? | Rachel De Basso 76.5% | $9 |
| Nigerian Presidential Election Winner | Bola Tinubu 67.5% | $9 |
| NC-03 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 0-3% 52.2% | $8 |
| IN-07 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 55-60% 60.2% | $8 |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027? | Yes 2.1% | $8 |
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America? | By December 31 2.7% | $8 |
| Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027? | Yes 5.0% | $8 |
| Will NATO countries clash with each other? | By December 31, 2027 16.5% | $7 |
| Arkansas Senate Election Margin of Victory | Republican 10-15% 93.9% | $7 |
| Massachusetts Governor Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 25-30% 96.7% | $6 |
| Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas? | By December 31, 2027 16.5% | $5 |
| Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe? | By December 31 11.5% | $5 |
| Who will Trump speak to by October 31? | Mark Rutte 7.0% | $5 |
| KY-04 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 5-15% 86.4% | $5 |
| MI-07 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 3-6% 46.5% | $5 |
| Flávio Bolsonaro arrested before 2027? | Yes 2.9% | $5 |
| NC-12 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 60-65% 93.8% | $5 |
| Virginia Senate Election: Turnout | 3.5M-3.75M 90% | $5 |
| MO-02 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 3-6% 48.9% | $4 |
| US x China Military clash before 2027? | Yes 2.4% | $4 |
| MS-01 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round) | Republican 35-40% 47.4% | $4 |
| TX-37 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 65-70% 96.5% | $3 |
| NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027? | Yes 5.1% | $3 |
| Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei? | By December 31 2.5% | $3 |
| Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody? | By December 31 2.1% | $2 |
| Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner | No election before 2027 95.7% | $2 |
| U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? | Yes 8.5% | $2 |
| US x Russia military clash? | By December 31, 2026 4.3% | $2 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | Yes 8.5% | $2 |
| MO-01 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 65-70% 50.2% | $2 |
| South Carolina Governor Election Margin of Victory | Republican 0-5% 67.7% | $2 |
| Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? | Yes 3.1% | $1 |
| Mexico Legislative Election Winner | Morena 89.2% | $1 |
| FL-19 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 20-25% 60% | $1 |
| Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026? | Yes 6.0% | $1 |
| Satoshi's identity be proven? | By December 31 1.8% | $1 |
| Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027? | Yes 1.2% | $1 |
| Nevada Governor Election Margin of Victory | Ford 6-9% 58.4% | $1 |
| Hawaii Governor Election: Turnout | 370K-400K 73% | $1 |
| Russia coup attempt? | By December 31, 2027 14.5% | $1 |
| Florida Senate Election: Turnout | 8.25M-8.5M 92.5% | $0 |
| GA-05 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round) | Democrat 80-85% 54.6% | $0 |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody? | By December 31 1.8% | $0 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela? | By December 31 2.4% | $0 |
| Maduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody? | By December 31 1.8% | $0 |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II? | By December 31 6.0% | $0 |
| Will Tim Walz resign? | By December 31 2.0% | $0 |
| French election called? | By December 31, 2026 5.1% | $0 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk? | By December 31 6.0% | $0 |
| Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed? | By December 31, 2026 2.3% | $0 |
| How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? | 4 79.2% | $0 |
| Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster? | By December 31, 2026 10.9% | $0 |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country? | By December 31, 2026 2.1% | $0 |
| Russia nuclear test? | By December 31, 2026 3.8% | $0 |
| Louisiana enacts data center moratorium? | By December 31, 2028 31% | $0 |
| Ukraine peace referendum scheduled? | By December 31, 2026 4.0% | $0 |
| Will Russia enter Khatnie? | By December 31 16.5% | $0 |
| Will Israel annex any territory? | By March 31, 2027 10% | $0 |
| Ukraine election held? | By December 31, 2026 2.5% | $0 |
| Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general? | By December 31, 2026 7.0% | $0 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO? | By December 31 1.0% | $0 |
| Will Hezbollah disarm? | By December 31 2.4% | $0 |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | Yes 0.8% | $0 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba? | By December 31 3.8% | $0 |
| Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…? | March 31 15.5% | $0 |
| Lai Ching-te impeached? | By December 31 22.1% | $0 |
| Greece x Turkey military engagement? | By December 31 5.4% | $0 |
| US charges Hormuz fees? | By December 31 2.8% | $0 |
| Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast? | By June 30, 2027 7.5% | $0 |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out? | By December 31 6.5% | $0 |
| Weed rescheduled? | By December 31 9.9% | $0 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | Yes 2.8% | $0 |
| Will Iran hold a presidential election? | By December 31 4.0% | $0 |
| Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | CXMT 20% | $0 |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | Yes 2.7% | $0 |
| US military draft authorized in 2026? | Yes 1.8% | $0 |
| Tim Walz charged? | By Before 2027 2.9% | $0 |
| Will Netanyahu be pardoned? | By December 31 6.5% | $0 |
| SBF released from custody in 2026? | Yes 1.6% | $0 |
| EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine? | By December 31 3.4% | $0 |
| Will Russia capture Sloviansk? | By December 31 5.7% | $0 |
| US x Cuba economic deal? | By December 31 6.0% | $0 |
| Will Venezuela become 51st state? | Yes 1.0% | $0 |
| Jimmy Lai released? | By December 31, 2026 3.6% | $0 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba? | By December 31 11% | $0 |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | Yes 3.1% | $0 |
| Will Russia capture all of Lyman? | By December 31 4.9% | $0 |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka? | By December 31 17% | $0 |
| San Luis Potosí Governor Election Winner | Ruth González Silva 68.5% | $0 |
| Will Trump publicly insult someone? | September 23 22% | $0 |
| Lecornu out as French PM? | By December 31, 2026 13.5% | $0 |
| John Fetterman out? | By December 31 5.5% | $0 |
| Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet? | John Healey 10.5% | $0 |
| Tlaxcala Governor Election Winner | Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera 68.2% | $0 |
| How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections? | <22 97.1% | $0 |
| Jerome Powell federally charged? | By December 31, 2026 1.5% | $0 |
| Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina? | Denis Bećirović 29.9% | $0 |
| Will Russia enter Borova? | By December 31 13% | $0 |
| Will Russia enter Havrylivka? | By December 31 7.5% | $0 |
| US takes Panama Canal before 2027? | Yes 2.4% | $0 |
| Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? | Yes 11% | $0 |
| Prabowo Subianto out as President of Indonesia? | By June 30, 2027 11% | $0 |
| How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act? | Above 64 16% | $0 |
| Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027? | Yes 69% | $0 |
| Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___? | December 31, 2026 1.8% | $0 |
| Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? | Yes 2.5% | $0 |
| Netanyahu arrested by…? | December 31 3.2% | $0 |
| Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? | Yes 3.9% | $0 |
| Kaduna, Nigeria Governor Election Winner | Uba Sani 60% | $0 |
| Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? | Yes 2.5% | $0 |
| UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? | Yes 1.6% | $0 |
| Closest Governor's Race? | Florida 100% | $0 |
| Will Russia capture Kindrativka? | By December 31 11% | $0 |
| Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? | Yes 2.8% | $0 |
| Will Argentina dollarize? | By December 31, 2026 2.0% | $0 |
| Querétaro Governor Election Winner | Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera 62.5% | $0 |
| Quintana Roo Governor Election Winner | Eugenio Segura Vázquez 85.5% | $0 |
| Colima Governor Election Winner | Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera 79% | $0 |
| Zacatecas Governor Election Winner | Verónica Díaz Robles 37% | $0 |
| Nayarit Governor Election Winner | Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez 81.4% | $0 |
| Campeche Governor Election Winner | Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus 72.5% | $0 |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? | Yes 3.5% | $0 |
| Next Premier of British Columbia | Lorne Doerkson 99.2% | $0 |
| Next Regional Board Chair of Örebro? | Jenny Steen 73.2% | $0 |
| Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? | Yes 1.1% | $0 |
| US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026? | Yes 13.5% | $0 |
| Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? | Yes 3.2% | $0 |
| Heidi Overton confirmed as FDA Commissioner? | By December 31 35% | $0 |
| Chiclayo Mayoral Election Winner | Elber Requejo Sánchez 99% | $0 |
| Next Mayor of Prague | Petr Hlaváček 95.3% | $0 |
| Next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands | Mark Brown 97.4% | $0 |
| Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026? | Yes 4.7% | $0 |
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026? | 1.2m 57% | $0 |
| Xi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung? | By December 31 98.7% | $0 |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | Yes 1.5% | $0 |
| US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey? | By December 31 31% | $0 |
| Will Russia capture Havrylivka? | By December 31 5.3% | $0 |
| How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026? | 1-100 64.8% | $0 |
| Huancayo Mayoral Election Winner | Emerson Nolasco Delgado 45.5% | $0 |
| China coup attempt? | By December 31, 2027 11% | $0 |
| US announces Cuba oil sanction relief? | By December 31 12% | $0 |
| Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally? | By March 31 4.2% | $0 |
| Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run? | By December 31, 2026 13% | $0 |
| Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member? | By December 31 4.5% | $0 |
| OPEC dissolves in 2026? | Yes 1.8% | $0 |
| Trump on $250 bill this year? | Yes 2.5% | $0 |
| Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? | Yes 6.5% | $0 |
| US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? | Yes 16.5% | $0 |
| Trump issues AI Restrictions Executive Order? | By December 31 9.0% | $0 |
| Mike Johnson out as Speaker? | By December 31, 2026 15% | $0 |
| Will Russia enter Krasnopillya? | By December 31 14% | $0 |
| James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? | Yes 0.7% | $0 |
| Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic? | By December 31 1.8% | $0 |
| Will any country join the Mecca Agreement? | By December 31 18% | $0 |
| US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026? | Yes 10% | $0 |
| US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026? | Yes 14% | $0 |
| José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison? | Yes 3.4% | $0 |
| Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? | Yes 5.0% | $0 |
| Who will Trump publicly praise by October 31? | Dario Amodei 24.2% | $0 |
| Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? | Yes 1.8% | $0 |
| Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? | Yes 10% | $0 |
| No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez? | By December 31 2.2% | $0 |
| EU dissolves before 2027? | Yes 1.8% | $0 |
| MD-04 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 80-85% 48% | $0 |
| Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? | Yes 6.2% | $0 |
| Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? | Yes 1.6% | $0 |
| Warsh out as Fed Chair by…? | June 30, 2027 5.5% | $0 |
| California Lieutenant Governor Election Winner | Fiona Ma 99.1% | $0 |
| Greek snap election scheduled in 2026? | Yes 5.0% | $0 |
| Prime Minister of Australia after next election? | Anthony Albanese 43% | $0 |
| Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? | Yes 4.3% | $0 |
| Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate? | By December 31 2.6% | $0 |
| Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ? | Yes 1.6% | $0 |
| Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? | Yes 4.4% | $0 |
| AR-01 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 35-40% 48.5% | $0 |
| Will Trump launch a coin by ___? | December 31, 2026 4.5% | $0 |
| NC-07 House Election Winner | David Rouzer (R) 98.5% | $0 |
| Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027? | Yes 2.8% | $0 |
| Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026? | Yes 1.7% | $0 |
| Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands? | By December 31 1.5% | $0 |
| Idaho Governor Election Margin of Victory | Republican 20-25% 45% | $0 |
| NY-13 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 75-80% 50.8% | $0 |
| Romanian parliament dissolved? | By December 31 1.2% | $0 |
| AL-04 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 45-50% 65% | $0 |
| Greenland snap election called by December 31? | Yes 5.9% | $0 |
| Carles Puigdemont back in Spain? | By December 31 73% | $0 |
| Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026? | Yes 1.1% | $0 |
| Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor? | By December 31 5.8% | $0 |
| MI-05 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 20-25% 51% | $0 |
| OR-04 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 10-15% 46.5% | $0 |
| Yemeni forces enter Sanaa? | By December 31 4.5% | $0 |
| Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? | Yes 1.7% | $0 |
| Next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem | Tomáš Vohryzka 98.1% | $0 |
| MI-02 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 20-25% 47.5% | $0 |
| SC-05 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 0-5% 49.8% | $0 |
| OH-07 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 9-12% 54.1% | $0 |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? | Yes 12% | $0 |
| MN-05 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 60-65% 46.5% | $0 |
| IN-02 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 5-10% 48.4% | $0 |
| UT-04 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 15-20% 42% | $0 |
| Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? | Yes 2.1% | $0 |
| FL-02 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 0-5% 58.3% | $0 |
| Next Greek Parliamentary Election: Party Winner | ND 93.5% | $0 |
| Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? | Yes 1.5% | $0 |
| NY-01 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 0-3% 51.5% | $0 |
| NY-05 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 60-65% 67% | $0 |
| NE-03 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 50-55% 47% | $0 |
| KY-02 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 25-30% 97.5% | $0 |
| GA-09 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round) | Republican 15-20% 64.8% | $0 |
| Greta Thunberg arrested? | By December 31 78.9% | $0 |
| What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027? | 4.5% 30.5% | $0 |
| Delta, Nigeria Governor Election Winner | Oborevwori Sheriff Francis Orohwedor 66% | $0 |
| Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks? | By December 31 9.5% | $0 |
| Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? | Yes 14% | $0 |
| IL-10 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 40-45% 46.7% | $0 |
| GA-01 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round) | Republican 0-3% 49.1% | $0 |
| Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027? | Yes 3.6% | $0 |
| MS-02 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round) | Democrat 35-40% 48.5% | $0 |
| NY-18 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 25-30% 59.5% | $0 |
| U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea? | By December 31, 2027 30% | $0 |
| MA-06 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 25-30% 74.5% | $0 |
| South Dakota Governor Election Margin of Victory | Republican 25-30% 94% | $0 |
| Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? | Yes 1.6% | $0 |
| Oklahoma Governor Election Margin of Victory | Republican 5-10% 92.5% | $0 |
| OH-01 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 12-15% 51.9% | $0 |
| TX-04 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 10-15% 53.5% | $0 |
| Wyoming Senate Election Margin of Victory | Republican 30-35% 92.5% | $0 |
| Akwa Ibom, Nigeria Governor Election Winner | Eno Umo Bassey 74.5% | $0 |
| OH-09 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 3-6% 72.5% | $0 |
| Iowa Senate Election: Turnout | 1.35M-1.4M 74% | $0 |
| Maine Senate Election: Turnout (First Round) | 700K-750K 64% | $0 |
| Alabama Senate Election: Turnout | 1.6M-1.7M 95% | $0 |
| Hawaii Governor Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 45%+ 47.9% | $0 |
| KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? | Yes 4.0% | $0 |
| Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round) | 320K+ 45.4% | $0 |
| Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out? | By December 31 7.1% | $0 |
| NY-16 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 50-55% 50.5% | $0 |
| Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? | Yes 2.2% | $0 |
| French Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place | Jean-Luc Mélenchon 29.5% | $0 |
| SC-03 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 25-30% 45.5% | $0 |
| OR-02 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 20-25% 53.5% | $0 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028? | Yes 22% | $0 |
| European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee? | By December 31, 2026 7.5% | $0 |
| Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026? | Yes 8.0% | $0 |
| Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? | Yes 4.7% | $0 |
| South Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory | Andrews Wins 97.9% | $0 |
| TX-15 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 12%+ 63.6% | $0 |
| MO-06 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 15-20% 59.4% | $0 |
| Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place? | PAN 74% | $0 |
| TX-30 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 65-70% 68.5% | $0 |
| TX-07 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 40-45% 82.8% | $0 |
| NY-25 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 25-30% 48% | $0 |
| NJ-03 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 25-30% 56.1% | $0 |
| GA-13 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round) | Democrat 55-60% 90.2% | $0 |
| IL-15 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 30-35% 63% | $0 |
| NE-02 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 15-20% 52% | $0 |
| NY-23 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 15-20% 53% | $0 |
| MO-07 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 25-30% 56.7% | $0 |
| Tennessee Senate Election: Turnout | 2M-2.2M 52.9% | $0 |
| TX-03 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 5-10% 59.3% | $0 |
| U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? | Yes 1.8% | $0 |
| WI-01 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 3-6% 92.2% | $0 |
| Tariff increase on Canada in effect? | By December 31, 2026 1.4% | $0 |
| MN-01 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 0-3% 49.5% | $0 |
| Vermont Governor Election: Turnout | 300K-325K 94.5% | $0 |
| AL-06 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 10-20% 58.6% | $0 |
| PA-14 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 5-15% 64% | $0 |
| Maryland Governor Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 30-35% 47.9% | $0 |
| TX-24 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 6-9% 66.2% | $0 |
| TX-13 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 30-35% 45% | $0 |
| TX-25 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 5-10% 94.4% | $0 |
| OH-13 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 20-25% 59.6% | $0 |
| FL-13 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 0-3% 53.9% | $0 |
| FL-08 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 5-10% 95.2% | $0 |
| TX-27 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 0-5% 49.2% | $0 |
| OH-11 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 65-70% 61% | $0 |
| MO-04 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 25-30% 53% | $0 |
| IA-04 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 15-20% 79% | $0 |
| MD-03 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 35-40% 47.5% | $0 |
| Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH)? | By November 30 37.5% | $0 |
| ME-01 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round) | Democrat 30-35% 47% | $0 |
| MI-01 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 10-15% 53% | $0 |
| US files Ilhan Omar denaturalization case? | By March 31 13% | $0 |
| Which Dems will underperform Kamala? | Tina Kotek: OR-Gov 72.9% | $0 |
| IL-02 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 50-55% 52.4% | $0 |
| Georgia Senate Election: Turnout (First Round) | 4M-4.2M 74% | $0 |
| ID-01 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 35-40% 50.9% | $0 |
| TX-26 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 10-15% 64.5% | $0 |
| NJ-01 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 40-45% 54.8% | $0 |
| NC-09 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 0-3% 57.5% | $0 |
| NY-24 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 20-25% 57% | $0 |
| NY-14 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 55-60% 49.1% | $0 |
| FL-11 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 6-9% 53.6% | $0 |
| NY-09 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 65%+ 46.2% | $0 |
| KY-06 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 6%+ 96.5% | $0 |
| OH-12 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 15-20% 46.5% | $0 |
| WI-07 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 10-15% 97.2% | $0 |
| Georgia Governor Election Margin of Victory (First Round) | Bottoms 6-9% 68% | $0 |
| OH-14 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 5-10% 49.7% | $0 |
| TX-01 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 35-40% 69.2% | $0 |
| Pennsylvania Governor Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 20-25% 54.5% | $0 |
| TX-19 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 35-40% 82.5% | $0 |
| Idaho Senate Election: Turnout | 680K-720K 91% | $0 |
| UT-02 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 5-15% 47.9% | $0 |
| FL-27 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 0-3% 68.6% | $0 |
| Louisiana Senate Election Margin of Victory | Republican 0-5% 98.7% | $0 |
| TX-20 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 55%+ 49.6% | $0 |
| TX-10 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 5-10% 56% | $0 |
| Minnesota Senate Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 10-15% 77.5% | $0 |
| KS-02 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 3-6% 51.5% | $0 |
| California Governor Election Margin of Victory | Becerra 25-30% 46.7% | $0 |
| IL-05 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 50-55% 46.2% | $0 |
| Israel Election: Arab party disqualified? | Yes 0.5% | $0 |
| Wyoming Senate Election: Turnout | 190K-210K 41% | $0 |
| Oregon Senate Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 35%+ 45.8% | $0 |
| Kentucky Senate Election: Turnout | 1.4M-1.5M 95.3% | $0 |
| NC-06 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 0-3% 66.7% | $0 |
| IN-09 House Election Margin of Victory | Republican 10-15% 52% | $0 |
| NY-15 House Election Margin of Victory | Democrat 65-70% 50% | $0 |
| Obama arrested before 2027? | Yes 1.8% | $0 |
| Rivers, Nigeria Governor Election Winner | Chinda Kingsley Ogundu 85.5% | $0 |
| Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent? | Yes 4.8% | $0 |
| Dem sweep & Gas hits $3.50 by end of 2026? | Dem sweep; No $3.50 gas 94.1% | $0 |
| Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026? | Yes 3.5% | $0 |
| Dem sweep & US recession by end of 2027? | Dem sweep; Recession 56.4% | $0 |
| Dem sweep & Gas hits $4.50 by end of 2026? | Dem sweep; No $4.50 gas 86.8% | $0 |
| Dem sweep & US stake in OpenAI or Anthropic by end of 2027? | Dem sweep; No US stake 70% | $0 |
| Dem sweep & Democrat wins 2028 presidency? | Dem sweep; Dem wins 2028 61.5% | $0 |
| Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027? | Yes 2.6% | $0 |
| Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? | Yes 19.5% | $0 |
| Market | Leading outcome | 24h volume |
|---|
| UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion | Barcelona 23.5% | $874.6K |
| NBA: 2027 Champion | San Antonio Spurs 21.5% | $522.1K |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 52.5% | $497.2K |
| Super Bowl LXI Winner (2027 NFL Champion) | San Francisco 49ers 14.1% | $122.0K |
| PGL Major Singapore 2026: Winner | Vitality 28.5% | $73.9K |
| Worlds 2026 Winning Region | LCK (South Korea) 68.5% | $66.4K |
| EPL: 2027 Champion | Arsenal 69.5% | $44.3K |
| IEM Beijing 2026: Winner | MOUZ 78% | $29.5K |
| F1 Constructors' Champion | Mercedes 99.9% | $24.8K |
| Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify | Valentin Vacherot 2.5% | $18.3K |
| Worlds 2026: Team to Make Grand Finals | Gen.G 80.5% | $17.7K |
| NBA: 2026-27 MVP | Luka Doncic 39.2% | $15.6K |
| NHL: 2027 Champion | Edmonton Oilers 11.5% | $11.9K |
| NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year | Cameron Boozer 32% | $11.8K |
| Worlds 2026: Finals MVP | Chovy 20.5% | $9.7K |
| MLB: AL Platinum Glove Winner | Cody Bellinger 99.9%+ | $8.7K |
| AFC Asian Cup 2027 Winner | Australia 6.4% | $8.4K |
| AFC Asian Cup 2027: Group C Winner | China 3.2% | $7.1K |
| UEFA Europa League: Team to Finish Top 8 in League Phase | Benfica 97.4% | $6.9K |
| Premier League: Teams relegated (2026-27) | Hull City 54.5% | $6.4K |
| Which teams will make the NHL Playoffs? | Minnesota Wild 93% | $6.2K |
| AFC Asian Cup 2027: Group A Winner | Kuwait 4.9% | $5.6K |
| BBC Sports Personality of the Year Winner 2026 | Harry Kane 83.5% | $5.2K |
| Who Will Dricus Du Plessis Fight Next? | Nasourdine Imavov 13.9% | $5.2K |
| English Premier League: Top Goalscorer 2026-27 | Erling Haaland 68.5% | $5.1K |
| MLS Cup Winner 2026 | Nashville SC 24.5% | $4.9K |
| NFL: First WR to 1,000 Receiving Yards | Jaxon Smith-Njigba 73% | $4.9K |
| NFL: 2026 MVP Winner | Josh Allen 27.5% | $4.7K |
| AFC Asian Cup 2027: Group B Winner | Jordan 5.9% | $4.7K |
| Who will be in the 2027 Big Game halftime show? | Jay Z 96% | $4.7K |
| Manchester City punishment announced? | By December 18 22.5% | $4.1K |
| Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026? | Yes 5.7% | $3.9K |
| Most Kills at Worlds 2026 | Caliste 38.5% | $3.9K |
| 2026 World Chess Championship: Winner | Javokhir Sindarov 76.5% | $3.8K |
| NHL: 2026-27 Calder Trophy | Gavin McKenna 21% | $3.7K |
| AFC Asian Cup 2027: Group D Winner | Tajikistan 5.0% | $3.7K |
| Most Played Champion at Worlds 2026 | Lee Sin 88.1% | $3.7K |
| NBA: Team to Make Playoffs | San Antonio Spurs 96.4% | $3.3K |
| NHL: Teams to Record 90+ Points | Dallas Stars 91% | $3.0K |
| UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to 2027 Round of 16 | Paris Saint-Germain 99.7% | $3.0K |
| NHL: Teams to Record 100+ Points | Carolina Hurricanes 86.5% | $2.9K |
| LALIGA: 2027 Champion | Barcelona 67.5% | $2.7K |
| English Premier League Top 4 Finishers (2026-27) | Arsenal 97.5% | $2.6K |
| World Cup 2030: Location of Final | Other / Unconfirmed by 2028 48.5% | $2.5K |
| AFC Asian Cup 2027: Group F Winner | Japan 6.1% | $2.3K |
| NHL: Players to Record 80+ Points | Connor McDavid 96% | $2.3K |
| UEFA EURO 2028: Winner | Spain 22.5% | $2.2K |
| UEFA Conference League: 2027 Champion | Brighton & Hove Albion 36.5% | $2.2K |
| NFL: 2027 NFC Champion | San Francisco 49ers 24.5% | $2.2K |
| UEFA Europa League: Team to Finish 9th-24th in League Phase | Milan 83.5% | $2.1K |
| Serie A: 2027 Champion | Inter Milan 57.5% | $2.1K |
| Serie A Top 4 Finishers (2026-27) | Inter Milan 85.5% | $2.0K |
| NHL: Teams to Record 110+ Points | Carolina Hurricanes 64.5% | $2.0K |
| ATP 2026 End of Year Rankings: Player to Make Top 10 | Daniil Medvedev 99.4% | $1.8K |
| UEFA Europa League: 2027 Champion | Bournemouth 17% | $1.7K |
| NFL: Team to Make Postseason | San Francisco 49ers 96.5% | $1.7K |
| AFCON 2027 Qualifying: Group H Winner | Tunisia 51.5% | $1.4K |
| League of Legends Global Power Rankings Post Worlds: Rank 1 | GEN 63.5% | $1.4K |
| Esports Awards: Esports Content Creator of the Year | Caedrel 92% | $1.3K |
| LaLiga: Top Goalscorer 2026-27 | Kylian Mbappé 44.5% | $1.2K |
| Bundesliga: Team to qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League | Schalke 04 51.8% | $1.2K |
| NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion (2026) | Justin Allgaier 50% | $1.1K |
| Ligue 1: Top Goalscorer 2026-27 | Estéban Lepaul 21% | $1.1K |
| NFL: 2026-27 1,000+ Receiving Yards | Jaxon Smith-Njigba 91.5% | $988 |
| Serie A: Teams relegated (2026-27) | Venezia 60% | $901 |
| UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to 2027 semis | Paris Saint-Germain 62% | $841 |
| NCAA Football: 2027 National Champion | Georgia Bulldogs 24.8% | $815 |
| NFL: 2026-27 Scrimmage Touchdowns Leader | Jahmyr Gibbs 31.5% | $812 |
| Ballon d'Or Winner 2027 | Lamine Yamal 24.5% | $772 |
| EPL: Team to qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League | Arsenal 97.9% | $762 |
| UEFA Champions League: Team to Finish 9th-24th in League Phase | Atlético Madrid 81% | $753 |
| UEFA Champions League: Top Scorer 2026-27 | Kylian Mbappé 24% | $701 |
| NFL: 2026-27 10+ Receiving Touchdowns | Jaxon Smith-Njigba 92% | $698 |
| EPL: Team to qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League | Brighton & Hove Albion 60.5% | $634 |
| NCAA Football: Conference of Heisman Winner | Big Ten 38% | $627 |
| NFL: Ashton Jeanty 2026-27 Regular Season Rushing Yards | 574.5+ rushing yards 73.5% | $617 |
| English Premier League Top 6 Finishers (2026-27) | Arsenal 96.9% | $609 |
| NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner | Jeremiah Smith 37.5% | $600 |
| Which Teams Will Make a Roster Change Before December? | Team Heretics 98.9% | $587 |
| Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Top 12 Scoring TEs | Tucker Kraft 80.5% | $586 |
| NHL: Players to Record 100+ Points | Connor McDavid 87.8% | $579 |
| NFL: First RB to 1,000 Rushing Yards | Bijan Robinson 72.5% | $545 |
| 2027 Men's College Basketball National Champion | Duke 19.5% | $530 |
| Brazil Série A: Winner | Flamengo 80.5% | $528 |
| Michael Carrick out as Manchester United manager? | By Jun 30, 2027 95.8% | $525 |
| NFL: Parker Washington 2026-27 Regular Season Receiving Yards | 349.5+ receiving yards 97.5% | $522 |
| NFL: NFC West Champion | San Francisco 49ers 78% | $518 |
| NFL: 2026-27 3,500+ Passing Yards | Jared Goff 86.7% | $516 |
| NHL: Players to Record 50+ Goals | Kirill Kaprizov 60.5% | $514 |
| EPL: 2026-27 Top 2 Finishers | Arsenal 91% | $505 |
| Liga MX: 2026 Apertura Champion | Guadalajara 24% | $503 |
| MLB: 2026 NL MVP | Pete Crow-Armstrong 98% | $502 |
| Fantasy Football: 2026-27 RB Points Leader | Jahmyr Gibbs 66% | $498 |
| UEFA Champions League: Most Assists 2026-27 | Tigran Barseghyan 49.5% | $495 |
| NCAA Football 2026 American Conference: Winner | North Texas Mean Green 37.3% | $493 |
| NBA: 2027 Western Conference Champion | San Antonio Spurs 35% | $485 |
| Will Bryan Johnson dunk before 2027? | Yes 15.5% | $467 |
| UEFA Nations League 2026-27: Group B2 Winner | Northern Ireland 48.5% | $450 |
| NCAA Football: 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader | Arch Manning 23.2% | $449 |
| UEFA Nations League 2026-27: Group C4 Winner | Iceland 81.5% | $445 |
| MLB: NL Comeback Player of the Year | Zack Wheeler 98.7% | $439 |
| Bundesliga: Teams relegated (2026-27) | SC Paderborn 45% | $434 |
| UEFA Europa League: Team to advance to 2027 quarters | Bournemouth 72.5% | $432 |
| NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner | Connor McDavid 73.5% | $429 |
| MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner | Lionel Messi 98.7% | $418 |
| Ligue 1: 2027 Champion | Paris Saint-Germain 88% | $414 |
| Serie A: Team to qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League | Inter Milan 96.9% | $401 |
| NCAA Football: Team to Make National Championship | Georgia 35% | $369 |
| NFL: 2026 Regular Season Win Totals | Arizona Cardinals 92% | $368 |
| Will ZywOo reach 36 HLTV MVP awards by December 31, 2026? | Yes 14.3% | $362 |
| UFC: Who Will Jean Silva Fight Next? | Alexander Volkanovski 24.7% | $358 |
| NFL: 2026-27 1,000+ Rushing Yards | Jahmyr Gibbs 91.5% | $335 |
| UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to 2027 quarters | Paris Saint-Germain 85.5% | $326 |
| #1 Searched Athlete on Google 2026? | Erling Braut Haaland 45% | $325 |
| UEFA Europa League: Team to advance to 2027 Round of 16 | Juventus 96.4% | $324 |
| NFL: 2026-27 30+ Passing Touchdowns | Joe Burrow 85.5% | $320 |
| NFL: NFC East Champion | New York Giants 53.5% | $287 |
| Who will become a UFC champion in 2026? | Alexander Volkov 5.3% | $287 |
| Copa Libertadores: Winner | Palmeiras 64.5% | $281 |
| NHL: 2027 Western Conference Champion | Colorado Avalanche 19.5% | $272 |
| NFL: AFC West Champion | Denver Broncos 51.5% | $270 |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | Yes 4.6% | $268 |
| Colombia Primera A: Teams relegated (2026) | Jaguares 96% | $267 |
| Chinese Super League: Winner | Chengdu Rongcheng 69.8% | $264 |
| Serie A: Top Goalscorer 2026-27 | Donyell Malen 38% | $255 |
| VALORANT Offseason: zekken Next Team | NRG 80.8% | $247 |
| NBA: 2027 Eastern Conference Champion | Philadelphia 76ers 26.5% | $247 |
| NFL: Panthers 2026 Win Total | 5.5+ Wins 84.6% | $245 |
| UFC: Who Will Magomed Ankalaev Fight Next? | Paulo Costa 36% | $240 |
| Primeira Liga: 2027 Champion | Porto 62% | $238 |
| NFL: 2026-27 AP Defensive Player of the Year Winner | Will Anderson Jr. 33.5% | $237 |
| English Premier League Top 5 Finishers (2026-27) | Arsenal 97.1% | $235 |
| UEFA Champions League: Team to Finish Top 8 in League Phase | Paris Saint-Germain 94.5% | $229 |
| NASCAR Cup Series: 2026 Champion | Kyle Larson 94.9% | $228 |
| Bundesliga: 2027 Champion | Bayern Munich 87.5% | $228 |
| Liga MX: 2026 Apertura 2nd Place Finish | Cruz Azul 39% | $205 |
| NCAA Football: Team to have an Undefeated Season | Utah 26% | $203 |
| NFL: 2027 AFC Champion | Buffalo Bills 24.5% | $199 |
| NFL: Tyreek Hill Next Team | Kansas City Chiefs 26% | $191 |
| Ligue 1: Team to qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League | Paris Saint-Germain 95.5% | $186 |
| F1: Action of the Year | Max Verstappen 74% | $172 |
| NFL: Cameron Ward 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Touchdowns | 12.5+ passing TDs 55.5% | $170 |
| Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Top 12 Scoring RBs | Kenneth Walker III 87.5% | $163 |
| AFC Asian Cup 2027: Group E Winner | United Arab Emirates 3.2% | $161 |
| UEFA Champions League: 2027 2nd Place | Paris Saint-Germain 18.5% | $160 |
| NFL: AFC North Champion | Cincinnati Bengals 54.5% | $157 |
| Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? | Yes 2.1% | $150 |
| NFL: Sam Darnold 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Touchdowns | 17.5+ passing TDs 75.5% | $150 |
| UEFA Nations League Winner 2026-27 | Spain 35% | $150 |
| UEFA Champions League: League Phase Winner | Paris Saint-Germain 48% | $146 |
| NCAA Football: Colorado 2026 Win Total | 3.5+ Wins 76.5% | $140 |
| UFC: Who Will Conor McGregor Fight Next? | Max Holloway 31.6% | $139 |
| NCAA Football: LSU 2026 Win Total | 6.5+ Wins 97% | $138 |
| NFL: 2026-27 Rushing Yards Leader (Team) | Chicago Bears 44.5% | $135 |
| NCAA Football 2026 Mountain West Conference: Winner | New Mexico Lobos 60.5% | $131 |
| Bundesliga: Team to qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League | Borussia Dortmund 97.3% | $130 |
| NCAA Football: CFB Playoff Top 4 Seeds | Notre Dame 74% | $127 |
| UEFA Champions League: League Phase Most Goals (Club) | Paris Saint-Germain 65% | $122 |
| Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Top 12 Scoring FLEX | Bijan Robinson 84% | $121 |
| NFL: NFC North Champion | Chicago Bears 37% | $120 |
| NFL: Eagles 2026 Win Total | 8.5+ Wins 6.9% | $120 |
| NCAA Football: 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader | DeSean Bishop 11% | $118 |
| MLB: 2026 AL MVP | Yordan Alvarez 98.7% | $118 |
| UEFA Champions League: League Phase Last Place | Slovan Bratislava 71.5% | $115 |
| NFL: 2026-27 Receptions Leader | Trey McBride 16.2% | $100 |
| NCAA Football: Team Win Totals | Mississippi State 4.5+ 96.8% | $100 |
| MLB: AL Manager of the Year | Will Venable 99.3% | $98 |
| NFL: AFC Team to advance to Divisional Round | Jacksonville Jaguars 73.5% | $92 |
| NFL: Puka Nacua 2026-27 Regular Season Receiving Touchdowns | 3.5+ receiving TDs 93% | $91 |
| NFL: Team to advance to AFC Championship Game | Buffalo Bills 47.5% | $90 |
| Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026? | Justin Gaethje 95% | $89 |
| MLB: NL Rookie of the Year | Sal Stewart 98.9% | $85 |
| Brazil Série A: Teams relegated (2026) | Remo 97.9% | $83 |
| UEFA Champions League: League Phase Largest Goal Differential | Paris Saint-Germain 67.5% | $82 |
| Which teams will qualify to PGL Major Singapore 2026? | Aurora Gaming 99.6% | $78 |
| Serie A: Most Assists 2026-27 | Mattia Zaccagni 28% | $77 |
| NFL: AFC South Champion | Jacksonville Jaguars 90% | $75 |
| Esports Awards 2026: Esports Game of the Year | League of Legends 53.5% | $67 |
| MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner | Cam Schlittler 99.7% | $65 |
| UEFA Europa League: League Phase Winner | Benfica 52.5% | $63 |
| NBA: Steph Curry Next Team | Golden State Warriors 96.5% | $63 |
| NFL: 2026-27 AP Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner | Arvell Reese 27.3% | $60 |
| How many NFL Scorigamis in the 2026-27 regular season? | 4+ 85% | $60 |
| AFCON 2027 Qualifying: Group K Winner | Mali 67% | $60 |
| Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Top 12 Scoring WRs | CeeDee Lamb 83.5% | $60 |
| NFL: Sam Darnold 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Yards | 3,199.5+ passing yards 60.2% | $60 |
| Copa Libertadores 2027 Winner | Flamengo 22.5% | $56 |
| MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner | Pete Crow-Armstrong 98.5% | $53 |
| LaLiga Top 2 Finishers (2026-27) | Barcelona 97.5% | $52 |
| NFL: 2026-27 Rushing Touchdowns Leader | Jahmyr Gibbs 21.5% | $52 |
| NFL: 2026-27 Sacks Leader (Team) | Pittsburgh Steelers 44.2% | $50 |
| MLB: NL Manager of the Year | Pat Murphy 99.6% | $48 |
| MLS: 2026 Most Valuable Player | Lionel Messi 90.9% | $46 |
| Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026? | Ciryl Gane 69% | $43 |
| Esports Awards: Streamer of the Year | iShowSpeed 83.5% | $37 |
| UEFA Nations League 2026-27: Group A1 Winner | France 81.5% | $37 |
| MLB: AL Rookie of the Year | Kevin McGonigle 99% | $35 |
| NCAA Football: BYU 2026 Win Total | 7.5+ Wins 95.7% | $29 |
| NFL: 2026-27 Receiving Yards Leader | Jaxon Smith-Njigba 72.5% | $24 |
| NFL: Ashton Jeanty 2026-27 Regular Season Rushing Touchdowns | 3.5+ rushing TDs 38.5% | $24 |
| UEFA Nations League 2026-27: Group C3 Winner | Slovakia 99.2% | $23 |
| NFL: 2026-27 AP Offensive Player of the Year Winner | Jahmyr Gibbs 33% | $23 |
| UEFA Nations League A: Teams relegated (2026-27) | Czechia 89% | $22 |
| Serie A: Team to qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League | Juventus 35% | $20 |
| NFL: NFC South Champion | Tampa Bay Buccaneers 32.5% | $20 |
| NFL: 2026-27 Passing Touchdowns Leader | Joe Burrow 52.5% | $20 |
| UEFA Conference League: Team to Finish 9th-24th in League Phase | Nordsjaelland 72% | $20 |
| Will Man City be relegated from the EPL in 2026-27? | Yes 41.5% | $20 |
| NCAA Football 2026 Big 12 Conference: Winner | Utah Utes 45.5% | $20 |
| NHL: Goalies to Record 4+ Shutouts | Jake Oettinger 76% | $19 |
| Eredivisie: Teams relegated (2026-27) | Willem II 65.5% | $19 |
| NCAA Football: Georgia Tech 2026 Win Total | 4.5+ Wins 7.0% | $16 |
| MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young Winner | Jacob Misiorowski 99.2% | $15 |
| Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? | Yes 5.3% | $10 |
| NCAA Football 2026 ACC Conference: Winner | Miami Hurricanes 62% | $10 |
| NBA: 2026-27 Rebounds Per Game Leader | Domantas Sabonis 37.6% | $10 |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026? | Yes 7.3% | $10 |
| AFCON 2027 Qualifying: Group F Winner | Burkina Faso 55% | $9 |
| NCAA Football: Louisville 2026 Win Total | 6.5+ Wins 84% | $8 |
| LoL Offseason: Deft Next Team | Nongshim RedForce 93.8% | $7 |
| LaLiga: Teams relegated (2026-27) | Málaga 72% | $5 |
| NFL: 2026-27 AP Offensive Rookie of the Year Winner | Mike Washington Jr. 5.8% | $5 |
| NHL: 2027 Eastern Conference Champion | Carolina Hurricanes 18.5% | $5 |
| MotoGP World Champion (2026) | Marc Marquez 94% | $5 |
| Fantasy Football 2026-27: Overall Points Leader | Drake London 49.9% | $5 |
| NCAA Football: Texas Tech 2026 Win Total | 7.5+ Wins 96.4% | $3 |
| Bundesliga: Top Goalscorer 2026-27 | Harry Kane 53.5% | $2 |
| MLS: 2026 Defender of the Year | Henry Kessler 39.6% | $1 |
| MLB: 2026 AL Hank Aaron Winner | Yordan Alvarez 99.2% | $1 |
| NFL: Lamar Jackson 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Yards | 2,749.5+ passing yards 6.5% | $1 |
| Who will be UFC Light Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026? | Carlos Ulberg 94.5% | $0 |
| NCAA Football: Michigan State 2026 Win Total | 2.5+ Wins 62.8% | $0 |
| Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026? | Joshua Van 96.1% | $0 |
| Who will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026? | Sean Strickland 94.4% | $0 |
| Who will be UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 at the end of 2026? | Islam Makhachev 92.6% | $0 |
| Who will be UFC Welterweight champion at the end of 2026? | Islam Makhachev 97% | $0 |
| Who will be the next UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 in 2026? | Islam/None in 2026 92.5% | $0 |
| Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026? | Petr Yan 97.2% | $0 |
| Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026? | Alexander Volkanovski 95.8% | $0 |
| NCAA Football: Team to make College Football Playoffs | Georgia 91.4% | $0 |
| NFL: Cardinals vs. 49ers Season Series Winner | 49ers 49% | $0 |
| ATP 2026 End of Year Rankings: Player to be Number 1 | Alexander Zverev 98.4% | $0 |
| NFL: AFC East Champion | Buffalo Bills 76.5% | $0 |
| Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026? | Yes 1.1% | $0 |
| WSOP: Player of the Year Winner | William Foxen 35.5% | $0 |
| UFC: Who Will Sean Strickland Fight Next? | Nassourdine Imamov 84.9% | $0 |
| Esports Awards 2026: Esports Commercial Partner of the Year | Red Bull 62% | $0 |
| Esports Awards: Mobile Game of the Year | Mobile Legends: Bang Bang 60.5% | $0 |
| Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026? | Yes 2.1% | $0 |
| Esports Awards: Esports Content Group of the Year | S8UL Esports 71.5% | $0 |
| MLS: 2026 Coach of the Year | Javier Mascherano 47.5% | $0 |
| MLS: 2026 Goalkeeper of the Year | Chris Brady 40.8% | $0 |
| MLB: Outstanding DH Winner | Yordan Alvarez 97% | $0 |
| Will Valve officially release Deadlock before 2027? | Yes 19.9% | $0 |
| UEFA Nations League 2026-27: Group A2 Winner | Netherlands 54.5% | $0 |
| Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Top 5 Scoring QBs | Brock Purdy 81% | $0 |
| UEFA Nations League 2026-27: Group B4 Winner | Sweden 73% | $0 |
| Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? | Yes 97% | $0 |
| UFC: Who Will Rafael Fiziev Fight Next? | Mateusz Gamrot 34.8% | $0 |
| Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026? | Yes 13% | $0 |
| 2027 PPA Tour Finals: Player to Qualify (Women's) | Anna Leigh Waters 95.1% | $0 |
| How many EPL points will Man City be deducted? | 50+ 39.5% | $0 |
| Next England National Team Head Coach | John Terry 7.2% | $0 |
| NHL: Teams to Record 80+ Points | Carolina Hurricanes 96.9% | $0 |
| Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026? | Yes 7.0% | $0 |
| NHL: Players to Record 30+ Goals | Auston Matthews 92.5% | $0 |
| NFL Scorigami by Week: 2026-27 Season | Week 12 32.5% | $0 |
| Liga MX: 2026-27 Top Goalscorer | Juan Brunetta 10.4% | $0 |
| English Premier League: Most Clean Sheets 2026-27 | David Raya 82.5% | $0 |
| 2027 Pro Football Draft: 1st Overall Pick | Dylan Stewart 46.8% | $0 |
| Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Top 5 Scoring RBs | Jahmyr Gibbs 88.5% | $0 |
| UEFA Nations League 2026-27: Top Scorer | Harry Kane 57.6% | $0 |
| UEFA Conference League: Team to Finish Top 8 in League Phase | Monaco 82.5% | $0 |
| NHL: Players to Record 40+ Goals | Kirill Kaprizov 73.5% | $0 |
| Bundesliga: Most Clean Sheets 2026-27 | Gregor Kobel 44.5% | $0 |
| NCAA Football 2026 SEC Conference: Winner | Georgia Bulldogs 47.5% | $0 |
| Süper Lig: Teams relegated (2026-27) | Eyüpspor 86% | $0 |
| Peru Liga 1: Teams relegated (2026) | UTC Cajamarca 90% | $0 |
| AFCON 2027 Qualifying: Group B Winner | Egypt 67% | $0 |
| UEFA Nations League 2026-27: Group B3 Winner | Austria 86.5% | $0 |
| LA28 Olympics run as scheduled? | Yes 88.4% | $0 |
| AFCON 2027 Qualifying: Group D Winner | South Africa 66.5% | $0 |
| Golden Boy 2026 Winner | Pau Cubarsi 96.5% | $0 |
| Fantasy Football: 2026-27 TE Points Leader | George Kittle 44.5% | $0 |
| NFL: Bears 2026 Win Total | 7.5+ Wins 96% | $0 |
| NCAA Football: Texas State 2026 Win Total | 4.5+ Wins 91.5% | $0 |
| NFL: Trevor Lawrence 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Yards | 3,274.5+ passing yards 85% | $0 |
| NCAA Football: Team to Qualify for 2026 ACC Championship Game | Miami Hurricanes 90.5% | $0 |
| Copa Sudamericana 2026 Winner | Boca Juniors 52.5% | $0 |
| NFL: Omarion Hampton 2026-27 Regular Season Rushing Touchdowns | 3.5+ rushing TDs 97.2% | $0 |
Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket. Educational information, not financial advice.