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Updated October 12, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: May 10, 2027
As of October 12, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is CJ Carr at 16.5%, followed by Drew Mestemaker at 16.1%, Sam Leavitt at 15.7%. The market has $20.3K in total volume and $815 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Carr | 16.5% | +0.5 pts | $2.3K |
| Drew Mestemaker | 16.1% | -1.2 pts | $817 |
| Sam Leavitt | 15.7% | +11.0 pts | $42 |
| Arch Manning | 13.5% | +5.5 pts | $11.0K |
| Ellis Robinson IV | 11.4% | +5.7 pts | $784 |
| Duce Robinson | 11.1% | +6.5 pts | $42 |
| John Mateer | 10.9% | +6.3 pts | $54 |
| Julian Sayin | 10.9% | +6.3 pts | $42 |
| Brendan Sorsby | 10.5% | +5.9 pts | $42 |
| Darian Mensah | 9.6% | -0.4 pts | $744 |
| Trinidad Chambliss | 9.0% | +0.2 pts | $334 |
| Dylan Stewart | 5.8% | +1.1 pts | $120 |
| Leonard Moore | 5.8% | +1.1 pts | $42 |
| Byrum Brown | 5.1% | — | $809 |
| Dante Moore | 4.7% | — | $2.5K |
3 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $20.3K · 24h volume $815 · Liquidity $213.5K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ CJ Carr ■ Drew Mestemaker ■ Sam Leavitt · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player is drafted first overall in the 2027 NFL Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If the 2027 NFL Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by May 9, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: NFL odds · Sports odds
As of October 12, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is CJ Carr at 16.5%, followed by Drew Mestemaker at 16.1%, Sam Leavitt at 15.7%. The market has $20.3K in total volume and $815 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is May 10, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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