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Updated September 23, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: October 13, 2026
As of September 23, 2026 at 15:49 UTC, the leading outcome is Uzbekistan at 71.5%, followed by India at 13.5%, Germany at 4.7%. The market has $215.9K in total volume and $10.6K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Uzbekistan | 71.5% | +17.0 pts | $25.7K |
| India | 13.5% | +3.5 pts | $35.8K |
| Germany | 4.7% | +1.1 pts | $16.2K |
| United States of America | 4.2% | -3.4 pts | $19.5K |
| China | 2.5% | -12.6 pts | $14.8K |
| Armenia | 1.6% | -0.5 pts | $13.1K |
| Azerbaijan | 1.4% | +0.3 pts | $9.2K |
| Netherlands | 1.3% | +0.1 pts | $8.1K |
| France | 0.9% | -0.2 pts | $11.6K |
| Hungary | 0.3% | -0.1 pts | $10.6K |
| Turkiye | 0.3% | -0.1 pts | $9.9K |
| England | 0.1% | — | $8.4K |
| Serbia | 0.1% | — | $9.7K |
| Ukraine | <0.1% | — | $7.3K |
| Spain | <0.1% | — | $3.8K |
25 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $215.9K · 24h volume $10.6K · Liquidity $164.3K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Uzbekistan ■ India ■ Germany · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve according to the winner of the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament, currently scheduled for September 15, 2026 to September 28, 2026.
If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Esports odds
As of September 23, 2026 at 15:49 UTC, the leading outcome is Uzbekistan at 71.5%, followed by India at 13.5%, Germany at 4.7%. The market has $215.9K in total volume and $10.6K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is October 13, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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