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Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: January 15, 2027
As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, the leading outcome is Alexander Zverev at 53%, followed by Jannik Sinner at 47.5%, Carlos Alcaraz at <0.1%. The market has $33.4K in total volume and $2.2K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Zverev | 53% | +10.2 pts | $14.5K |
| Jannik Sinner | 47.5% | -2.5 pts | $15.5K |
| Carlos Alcaraz | <0.1% | — | $3.4K |
Total volume $33.4K · 24h volume $2.2K · Liquidity $3.3K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Alexander Zverev ■ Jannik Sinner ■ Carlos Alcaraz · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve according to the player who finishes World No. 1 in the official 2026 ATP year-end singles rankings, as published by the ATP at the conclusion of 2026.
If the 2026 year-end rankings are not published, are canceled, or a year-end No. 1 has not been determined by January 14 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are tied and officially recognized as co-No. 1, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be the official ATP year-end rankings as published by the ATP Tour (atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Tennis odds · Sports odds
As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, the leading outcome is Alexander Zverev at 53%, followed by Jannik Sinner at 47.5%, Carlos Alcaraz at <0.1%. The market has $33.4K in total volume and $2.2K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 15, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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