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Updated September 26, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: not specified
As of September 26, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Jannik Sinner at 96.4%, followed by Ben Shelton at 96%, Flavio Cobolli at 96%. The market has $22.6K in total volume and $1.2K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jannik Sinner | 96.4% | -0.1 pts | $138 |
| Ben Shelton | 96% | -0.5 pts | $180 |
| Flavio Cobolli | 96% | — | $20 |
| Arthur Fils | 82% | -3.0 pts | $3.5K |
| Frances Tiafoe | 81.2% | -11.7 pts | $1.6K |
| Daniil Medvedev | 68.5% | +1.0 pts | $2.4K |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | 50.5% | +1.5 pts | $3.7K |
| Taylor Fritz | 49% | -0.5 pts | $2.0K |
| Rafael Jodar | 46% | -2.0 pts | $597 |
| Alex de Minaur | 43% | +15.5 pts | $3.0K |
| Jakub Mensik | 24% | — | $986 |
| Tommy Paul | 14% | +3.9 pts | $926 |
| Novak Djokovic | 11.4% | -0.1 pts | $1.6K |
| Casper Ruud | 4.0% | +0.5 pts | $161 |
| Alexander Bublik | 3.8% | -1.9 pts | $114 |
7 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $22.6K · 24h volume $1.2K · Liquidity $6.7K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Jannik Sinner ■ Ben Shelton ■ Flavio Cobolli · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player finishes the 2026 season ranked within the top 10 (positions 1 through 10, inclusive) of the official year-end ATP singles rankings. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
The "year-end ATP singles rankings" are the final official singles rankings published after the conclusion of the 2026 ATP Tour season, including the ATP Finals.
A player ranked exactly 10th counts as "Yes"; a player ranked 11th or lower, or unranked, counts as "No".
If the ATP does not publish a year-end singles ranking for 2026, or the season is not completed, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official ATP year-end singles rankings published at atptour.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Tennis odds · Sports odds
As of September 26, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Jannik Sinner at 96.4%, followed by Ben Shelton at 96%, Flavio Cobolli at 96%. The market has $22.6K in total volume and $1.2K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is not specified. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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