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Updated October 12, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: October 19, 2026
As of October 12, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Alexander Zverev at 38.5%, followed by Dalibor Svrcina at 37%, Pablo Carreno Busta at 22.4%. The market has $24.0K in total volume and $11.0K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Zverev | 38.5% | +18.5 pts | $10.2K |
| Dalibor Svrcina | 37% | +36.0 pts | $9 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | 22.4% | +21.4 pts | $9 |
| Jiri Lehecka | 20% | +15.4 pts | $9 |
| Daniil Medvedev | 13% | +8.0 pts | $356 |
| Alex de Minaur | 9.0% | +7.0 pts | $42 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 8.0% | +4.5 pts | $9 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | 7.0% | +4.5 pts | $9 |
| Rafael Jodar | 6.5% | +4.0 pts | $80 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | 6.0% | +1.0 pts | $109 |
| Jakub Mensik | 5.5% | +3.0 pts | $9 |
| Learner Tien | 5.0% | +1.0 pts | $9 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | 5.0% | +2.0 pts | $9 |
| Alexander Bublik | 4.5% | — | $634 |
| Karen Khachanov | 4.5% | +1.5 pts | $9 |
81 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $24.0K · 24h volume $11.0K · Liquidity $56.4K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Alexander Zverev ■ Dalibor Svrcina ■ Pablo Carreno Busta · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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The 2026 Shanghai, China tennis tournament is scheduled for October 5–18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Shanghai, China Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Shanghai, China Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If a player who is not listed wins the 2026 Shanghai, China Men’s Singles Tournament, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Shanghai, China Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from ATP (https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Tennis odds · Sports odds
As of October 12, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Alexander Zverev at 38.5%, followed by Dalibor Svrcina at 37%, Pablo Carreno Busta at 22.4%. The market has $24.0K in total volume and $11.0K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is October 19, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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