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Updated October 9, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: June 7, 2027
As of October 9, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is SC Freiburg at 51.5%, followed by VfB Stuttgart at 28.5%, RB Leipzig at 25%. The market has $20.6K in total volume and $1.6K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| SC Freiburg | 51.5% | +30.0 pts | $1.7K |
| VfB Stuttgart | 28.5% | — | $6.7K |
| RB Leipzig | 25% | +11.0 pts | $3.4K |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | 12.5% | — | $532 |
| 1. FC Köln | 11.5% | — | $783 |
| TSG Hoffenheim | 9.5% | — | $1.2K |
| Schalke 04 | 8.5% | — | $160 |
| SC Paderborn | 7.7% | +0.6 pts | $210 |
| Borussia Dortmund | 7.6% | +5.2 pts | $2.0K |
| Werder Bremen | 6.5% | -13.5 pts | $80 |
| Bayern Munich | 4.3% | -0.3 pts | $3.4K |
| SV Elversberg | 4.2% | -15.8 pts | $559 |
Total volume $20.6K · 24h volume $1.6K · Liquidity $4.1K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ SC Freiburg ■ VfB Stuttgart ■ RB Leipzig · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team earns a place in the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League through the 2026-27 Bundesliga season or by winning a 2026-27 UEFA club competition. Qualifying routes that count include the team’s final 2026-27 Bundesliga league position, winning a domestic cup competition that carries a 2027-28 UEFA Europa League place, and earning a 2027-28 UEFA Europa League place by winning the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution is based on the competition to which the listed team is allocated by the final 2026-27 Bundesliga standings, the 2026-27 domestic cup results, and the 2026-27 UEFA competition winners. A place obtained by playing and advancing through the UEFA qualifying rounds held after the domestic season does not count, and movement between competitions caused by those qualifying rounds has no bearing on resolution.
Once it becomes mathematically impossible for the listed team to earn a 2027-28 UEFA Europa League place by these routes, the associated market will immediately resolve to "No".
If the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled or postponed past June 6, 2027, 11:59 PM ET such that the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League places cannot be determined, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA and/or the Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Soccer odds · Sports odds
As of October 9, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is SC Freiburg at 51.5%, followed by VfB Stuttgart at 28.5%, RB Leipzig at 25%. The market has $20.6K in total volume and $1.6K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is June 7, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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