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Resolved market · Category: Crypto · Market end date: January 1, 2028
This market has closed. At the last update (November 9, 2026 at 00:50 UTC) it had settled on the outcome listed as settled below, after $214.6K of total trading volume.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| $20M | 0.0% | -12.4 pts | $91.6K |
| $30M | 0.0% | -7.4 pts | $39.3K |
| $200M | 0.0% | -0.5 pts | $20.3K |
| $40M | 0.0% | -4.5 pts | $18.2K |
| $50M | 0.0% | -1.8 pts | $14.5K |
| $100M | 0.0% | -0.2 pts | $13.4K |
| $70M | 0.0% | -1.8 pts | $10.9K |
| $150M | 0.0% | -0.5 pts | $6.5K |
Total volume $214.6K · 24h volume $0 · Liquidity $0. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ $20M ■ $30M ■ $200M · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Cambria's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.
The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Cambria (https://x.com/playcambria) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Token Launches & FDV odds
This market has closed. At the last update (November 9, 2026 at 00:50 UTC) it had settled on the outcome listed as settled below, after $214.6K of total trading volume.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2028. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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