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Updated September 26, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: June 1, 2027
As of September 26, 2026 at 02:04 UTC, the leading outcome is Arsenal at 97.9%, followed by Liverpool at 74%, Chelsea at 68.5%. The market has $33.0K in total volume and $2.0K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 97.9% | +0.1 pts | $4.3K |
| Liverpool | 74% | +4.5 pts | $2.6K |
| Chelsea | 68.5% | +1.0 pts | $4.9K |
| Manchester City | 63.5% | -25.0 pts | $6.5K |
| Manchester United | 55% | +10.5 pts | $4.3K |
| Coventry City | 41.4% | +36.9 pts | $273 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | 37.5% | +3.0 pts | $745 |
| Brentford | 29.5% | +1.0 pts | $109 |
| Leeds United | 18% | +6.5 pts | $11 |
| Bournemouth | 17.6% | -0.1 pts | $2.0K |
| Newcastle United | 14.5% | -1.0 pts | $1.9K |
| Aston Villa | 12.5% | +0.5 pts | $1.4K |
| Everton | 11.2% | +0.2 pts | $183 |
| Nottingham Forest | 6.0% | -0.5 pts | $21 |
| Tottenham Hotspur | 4.5% | — | $2.6K |
2 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $33.0K · 24h volume $2.0K · Liquidity $34.8K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Arsenal ■ Liverpool ■ Chelsea · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team earns a place in the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League through the 2026-27 Premier League season or by winning a 2026-27 UEFA club competition. Qualifying routes that count include the team’s final 2026-27 Premier League league position, winning a domestic cup competition that carries a 2027-28 UEFA Champions League place, and earning a 2027-28 UEFA Champions League place by winning the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League or Europa League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution is based on the competition to which the listed team is allocated by the final 2026-27 Premier League standings, the 2026-27 domestic cup results, and the 2026-27 UEFA competition winners. A place obtained by playing and advancing through the UEFA qualifying rounds held after the domestic season does not count, and movement between competitions caused by those qualifying rounds has no bearing on resolution.
Once it becomes mathematically impossible for the listed team to earn a 2027-28 UEFA Champions League place by these routes, the associated market will immediately resolve to "No".
If the 2026-27 Premier League season is cancelled or postponed past May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET such that the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League places cannot be determined, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA and/or the Premier League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Soccer odds · Premier League odds · Sports odds
As of September 26, 2026 at 02:04 UTC, the leading outcome is Arsenal at 97.9%, followed by Liverpool at 74%, Chelsea at 68.5%. The market has $33.0K in total volume and $2.0K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is June 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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