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Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: April 1, 2027
As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, the leading outcome is Mercedes at 96.1%, followed by Ferrari at 1.2%, McLaren at 0.5%. The market has $28.90M in total volume and $1.2K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mercedes | 96.1% | +0.2 pts | $1.12M |
| Ferrari | 1.2% | +0.2 pts | $844.3K |
| McLaren | 0.5% | — | $1.86M |
| Red Bull Racing | <0.1% | — | $1.09M |
| Williams (settled) | 0.0% | — | $3.81M |
| Cadillac (settled) | 0.0% | — | $3.71M |
| Alpine (settled) | 0.0% | — | $3.35M |
| Haas (settled) | 0.0% | — | $3.32M |
| Aston Martin (settled) | 0.0% | — | $3.31M |
| Audi (settled) | 0.0% | — | $3.25M |
| Racing Bulls (settled) | 0.0% | — | $3.24M |
Total volume $28.90M · 24h volume $1.2K · Liquidity $267.0K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Mercedes ■ Ferrari ■ McLaren · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Formula 1 odds · Sports odds
As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, the leading outcome is Mercedes at 96.1%, followed by Ferrari at 1.2%, McLaren at 0.5%. The market has $28.90M in total volume and $1.2K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is April 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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