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Updated October 7, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: July 1, 2027
As of October 7, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is 50+ at 43.5%, followed by 0 at 12%, 30-49 at 9.7%. The market has $21.8K in total volume and $4.1K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50+ | 43.5% | +8.0 pts | $5.1K |
| 0 | 12% | -1.0 pts | $3.1K |
| 30-49 | 9.7% | -19.1 pts | $4.4K |
| Expelled | 9.2% | +2.8 pts | $4.1K |
| 10-19 | 3.2% | +2.5 pts | $2.1K |
| 20-29 | 3.2% | +2.0 pts | $1.8K |
| 1-9 | 1.1% | — | $1.2K |
Total volume $21.8K · 24h volume $4.1K · Liquidity $6.7K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ 50+ ■ 0 ■ 30-49 · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve according to the total number of Premier League points Manchester City FC is deducted as a sanction as a result of the Premier League's proceedings against Manchester City FC concerning alleged breaches of the Premier League's financial rules, which were announced on February 6, 2023 (commonly referred to as the "115 charges" case), as officially determined as of June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
If a points deduction is reduced, increased, or overturned on appeal and the appeal decision is officially announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the most recent officially announced deduction will be used. If deductions are applied across more than one season, the total across all seasons will count. A suspended points deduction that is not immediately applied will not count. If no points deduction has been imposed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "0".
If, as of June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the most recent officially announced sanction in this case expels Manchester City FC from the Premier League, this market will resolve to "Expelled", regardless of any points deduction.
Each range includes both of its bounds, so every whole number of points maps to exactly one option. For example, a deduction of 10 points resolves to "10-19", and a deduction of 50 points resolves to "50+".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Premier League, the independent Regulatory Commission, the Appeal Board, or Manchester City FC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Soccer odds · Premier League odds · Sports odds
As of October 7, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is 50+ at 43.5%, followed by 0 at 12%, 30-49 at 9.7%. The market has $21.8K in total volume and $4.1K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is July 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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