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Updated October 8, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: December 19, 2026
As of October 8, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is By December 18 at 41.5%, followed by By December 4 at 22.5%, By November 20 at 11.5%. The market has $21.0K in total volume and $3.5K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| By December 18 | 41.5% | +8.0 pts | $5.3K |
| By December 4 | 22.5% | — | $3.8K |
| By November 20 | 11.5% | — | $5.5K |
| By November 6 | 8.5% | -1.0 pts | $1.4K |
| By October 23 | 5.7% | — | $3.4K |
| By October 9 | 1.7% | -0.1 pts | $1.8K |
Total volume $21.0K · 24h volume $3.5K · Liquidity $35.0K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ By December 18 ■ By December 4 ■ By November 20 · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sanctions imposed on Manchester City FC by the independent Regulatory Commission for the breaches found in the Premier League's proceedings against Manchester City FC concerning alleged breaches of the Premier League's financial rules, which were announced on February 6, 2023 (commonly referred to as the "115 charges" case) are officially announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement of the sanctions set by the independent Regulatory Commission will count, regardless of whether they are later appealed, including a decision that no sanction will be imposed. If sanctions are announced in stages, the first official announcement of any sanction will count. An announcement of the findings of breach without any corresponding sanction, reports or leaks of expected sanctions, and sanctions for any other matter will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Premier League, the independent Regulatory Commission, the Appeal Board, or Manchester City FC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Soccer odds · Premier League odds · Sports odds
As of October 8, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is By December 18 at 41.5%, followed by By December 4 at 22.5%, By November 20 at 11.5%. The market has $21.0K in total volume and $3.5K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is December 19, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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