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Updated October 27, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: July 1, 2027
As of October 27, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is By Apr 30, 2027 at 94.8%, followed by By Jun 30, 2027 at 92.2%, By Feb 28, 2027 at 92.2%. The market has $21.4K in total volume and $5.6K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| By Apr 30, 2027 | 94.8% | -2.1 pts | $1.9K |
| By Jun 30, 2027 | 92.2% | -4.1 pts | $3.9K |
| By Feb 28, 2027 | 92.2% | -2.4 pts | $1.8K |
| By Dec 31, 2026 | 91% | +5.0 pts | $5.9K |
| By Oct 31, 2026 | 52.1% | -24.9 pts | $7.9K |
Total volume $21.4K · 24h volume $5.6K · Liquidity $2.8K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ By Apr 30, 2027 ■ By Jun 30, 2027 ■ By Feb 28, 2027 · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Michael Carrick ceases to be the manager of Manchester United on or before the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Ceasing to be manager includes being sacked or dismissed, resigning, departing by mutual agreement, or leaving for another role. A temporary absence for illness, compassionate leave or suspension does not count while Carrick remains under contract as manager.
The date on which Carrick ceases to be manager is the date of the official announcement by Manchester United, or the effective date of departure stated in that announcement, whichever is earlier.
If Michael Carrick is still Manchester United manager after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, all markets in this event will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Manchester United. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Soccer odds · Premier League odds · Sports odds
As of October 27, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is By Apr 30, 2027 at 94.8%, followed by By Jun 30, 2027 at 92.2%, By Feb 28, 2027 at 92.2%. The market has $21.4K in total volume and $5.6K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is July 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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