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Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: October 5, 2026
As of September 24, 2026 at 16:40 UTC, the leading outcome is Boston Red Sox at 93.5%, followed by Philadelphia Phillies at 88%, Houston Astros at 65%. The market has $149.6K in total volume and $762 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago White Sox (settled) | 100% | +1.0 pts | $26.7K |
| Miami Marlins (settled) | 100% | +0.9 pts | $24.3K |
| Tampa Bay Rays (settled) | 100% | +0.9 pts | $2.8K |
| Chicago Cubs (settled) | 100% | +2.7 pts | $2.7K |
| San Diego Padres (settled) | 100% | +3.0 pts | $2.6K |
| Milwaukee Brewers (settled) | 100% | +1.5 pts | $1.5K |
| Cleveland Guardians (settled) | 100% | +2.4 pts | $1.2K |
| St. Louis Cardinals (settled) | 100% | — | $1.2K |
| Arizona Diamondbacks (settled) | 100% | +4.7 pts | $1.1K |
| Atlanta Braves (settled) | 100% | +5.5 pts | $967 |
| Washington Nationals (settled) | 100% | +5.1 pts | $560 |
| New York Yankees (settled) | 100% | -0.9 pts | $183 |
| Boston Red Sox | 93.5% | +13.0 pts | $1.4K |
| Philadelphia Phillies | 88% | +9.0 pts | $1.3K |
| Houston Astros | 65% | +10.5 pts | $4.7K |
15 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $149.6K · 24h volume $762 · Liquidity $8.1K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Boston Red Sox ■ Philadelphia Phillies ■ Houston Astros · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve according to the final regular season record of the listed team during the 2026 MLB Regular Season. If the listed team records more than the listed number of wins, the corresponding market will resolve to its corresponding “Over”. Otherwise, it will resolve to its corresponding “Under”.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the listed team to record more than listed number of wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to corresponding "Under".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, these markets will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used."
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: MLB odds · Sports odds
As of September 24, 2026 at 16:40 UTC, the leading outcome is Boston Red Sox at 93.5%, followed by Philadelphia Phillies at 88%, Houston Astros at 65%. The market has $149.6K in total volume and $762 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is October 5, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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